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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    There a good chance Brexit simply will not happen now. Maybe fir the best

    Look, I'd turn the clock back 2 years if I could, but all those Kippers and other leavers would not wear that.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,220
    Pulpstar said:

    TURNS OUT KIPPERS LIKE CHAOS.

    Who knew !

    Hard to say because of churn. I reckon some Tory Remainers have thought "fuck it, I'm voting Labour".
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    Douglas Alexander has been busy eating lots of fried mars bars
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Looking very sick for CON now - the key is to do something in Scotland and hope we don't lose too many in England

    Go Basildon 1987 style!!! +3% swing
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Basildon South, swing from Lab to Con: 2.3%.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    HYUFD said:

    Basildon South
    LD 732
    BNP 383
    Green 680
    Cons 26889
    Lab 15321
    UKIP 3193

    Conservative hold

    Doesn't look like neighbouring seats should be under threat
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,211

    Lib Dems will gain Gordon not tory

    The LDs, Tory, and SNP will all be within a few percent of each other.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    The Conservative Party made a major error. Brexit has always been a JOURNEY. The best thing for the country was for us to take back, over the next decade, ever greater amounts of power.

    This way we could have completely removed the "money" issue, as we'd pay in during the transition but not take out. We'd be able to negotiate new trade deals.

    Gah.
    I've said it before,

    Smithson jnr for PM....
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    RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Exit poll: SCon 10 seats.

    Is this a KLAXON??
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,808
    NeilVW said:

    I think I make that 9 gains for SCon on Jeremy Vine's board. Please please please... I'm on >9.5 seats.

    Brilliant. I win on 8 seats and 10 seats and lose on 9 seats!

    I have a feeling this won't be my night, anywhere, anyhow.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,691

    Chameleon said:

    Osbourne looking very downbeat. Sounding even more downbeat.

    He's a Tory through and through, he's seen his hard work undone by a useless twat who isn't fit to lick his boots
    Do me a favour. The Tories are struggling because the Labour vote is up by MORE. Why? Because a younger generation betrayed by useless t**** like Osborne have had enough.
    Seriously, fuck off.

    Under Osborne's watch, the Tories went from 198 seats to 331.

    Under the pound shop Gordon Brown the Tories could be sub 300 seats AGAINST Jeremy Corbyn
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    jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,261
    There will be another election this year, minority con or minority Labour. Absolute chaos in an important Brexit year.
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    PolruanPolruan Posts: 2,083

    Somewhere around YouGov to Exit poll seems right. Don;t know where claims of Cobryn in government come from.

    Con largest doesn't mean Con government. Nobody other than the unionist parties is likely to support their QS. If it's bang on the exit I think they can just do it (functional majority in single figures). Any worse and it's our old friend, the Coalition of Chsos.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087
    edited June 2017
    I know how he feels - I sort of assumed if I was finally doing so, I'd be part of at least a mini tide. I've always thought of myself as easily influenced and goes with the flow kind of chap.

    Turns out that flow was PB Tories, and the voters were heading the other way.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Ruth Davidson for leader. She was given free reign, no control freakery from May, and look at the difference.
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    Stroud the out 77%
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Polruan said:

    Somewhere around YouGov to Exit poll seems right. Don;t know where claims of Cobryn in government come from.

    Con largest doesn't mean Con government. Nobody other than the unionist parties is likely to support their QS. If it's bang on the exit I think they can just do it (functional majority in single figures). Any worse and it's our old friend, the Coalition of Chsos.
    If Lab are on ~266 it could hardly be Corbyn as PM
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830

    Philip Davies losing in Shipley:)

    I'm actually surprised Philip Davies isn't on RCS's List of Tories He'd Rather See Lose. There must be some Tory modernisers, particularly women, who would rather like to see the back of him.
    He is absolutely awful. Out of all the Conservative MPs, I dislike him the most.
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,321
    Basildon South looks very good for Con.
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    DM_AndyDM_Andy Posts: 456
    I'm enjoying the stricken faces of all the Old Labour figures the BBC have booked in to stick the knives into Corbyn.
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    Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Overall swing likely to be -1%

    CON 45% LAB 40%
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    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    tyson said:

    I'd love it if that fox hunting, Brexit, Torylite Laboiurite goes

    Not forgetting her worst feature - she's rabidly anti-cycling!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    I'm so confused. It seems like LDs may be a majority Scottish party. That being said, we have no results from there yet, and there were only a few polling stations polled. Be wary.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    We are going to need an A50 extension.

    More likely it gets revoked
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    too many Pb comments, i'm just skipping to the last page on each thread. What's the PB consensus so far? tory minority govt, lab coalition of chaos, or tory eeking out a majority?
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,048

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Its not about Labour or the Tories its about our country. It is a shame you don't see that.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,808

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Wow, are we onto blaming the voters already?
    The Kippers, yes. Turns out they weren't voting Kipper for the UKIP bit.
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    Chris_AChris_A Posts: 1,237
    I'll wait for confirmation before taking the corkscrew to the Dow 1985.
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,342
    Turnout >70% currently favourite on Betfair. The much-derided youth really have turned out
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    chrisbchrisb Posts: 101
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    The Conservative Party made a major error. Brexit has always been a JOURNEY. The best thing for the country was for us to take back, over the next decade, ever greater amounts of power.

    This way we could have completely removed the "money" issue, as we'd pay in during the transition but not take out. We'd be able to negotiate new trade deals.

    Gah.
    Is that even possible with the 2 year window in article 50?
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Tories doing bad down South is down to Timothy's social care policy LOL.
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    Kate Hoey lost Vauxhall to who?
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    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    How fast do Tory party rules allow it to dispose of a failed leader; will she remain PM for a month or two?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Ave_it said:

    Overall swing likely to be -1%

    CON 45% LAB 40%

    With a few odd results here and there. Looks about right.
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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    JonathanD said:
    Would be a champagne moment!
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    NeilVWNeilVW Posts: 726

    NeilVW said:

    I think I make that 9 gains for SCon on Jeremy Vine's board. Please please please... I'm on >9.5 seats.

    Brilliant. I win on 8 seats and 10 seats and lose on 9 seats!

    I have a feeling this won't be my night, anywhere, anyhow.
    I think it said 9 gains, so 10 seats. Fingers crossed!
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    Polruan said:

    Somewhere around YouGov to Exit poll seems right. Don;t know where claims of Cobryn in government come from.

    Con largest doesn't mean Con government. Nobody other than the unionist parties is likely to support their QS. If it's bang on the exit I think they can just do it (functional majority in single figures). Any worse and it's our old friend, the Coalition of Chsos.
    If Lab are on ~266 it could hardly be Corbyn as PM
    Labour are going to be a lot higher than 266 - possibly over 290
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    PaulMPaulM Posts: 613

    Inverclyde, Coatbridge and the western isles going labour wtf

    Massive focus on Corbyns links to Irish Republicans would not necessarilly be a negative in Coatbridge. Or Port Glasgow.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    Exit poll: SCon 10 seats.

    Is this a KLAXON??

    It's kerrrching for me, certainly.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238

    So, how do Leavers feel about the prospect of Jeremy Corbyn PM? Would they now prefer to be still in the EU with David Cameron as Prime Minister?

    So, how do Leavers feel about the prospect of Jeremy Corbyn PM? Would they now prefer to be still in the EU with David Cameron as Prime Minister?

    So, how do Leavers feel about the prospect of Jeremy Corbyn PM? Would they now prefer to be still in the EU with David Cameron as Prime Minister?

    So, how do Leavers feel about the prospect of Jeremy Corbyn PM? Would they now prefer to be still in the EU with David Cameron as Prime Minister?

    I am happy with both Leave and would be delighted with Jeremy Corbyn as PM.
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    isamisam Posts: 41,045
    kle4 said:

    I know how he feels - I sort of assumed if I was finally doing so, I'd be part of at least a mini tide. I've always thought of myself as easily influenced and goes with the flow kind of chap.

    Turns out that flow was PB Tories, and the voters were heading the other way.
    I didn't vote Tory, but would have preferred May to Corbyn as PM. First time I didn't prefer the Lab leader!
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    TravelJunkieTravelJunkie Posts: 431
    MikeL said:

    Basildon South looks very good for Con.

    Pro pro brexit. Can't wait for London results
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,339
    Sorry, but I came on here for a robust seat analysis. What the hell is going on?
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    How fast do Tory party rules allow it to dispose of a failed leader; will she remain PM for a month or two?
    They are very experienced at deposing leaders. :p
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,220

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Wow, are we onto blaming the voters already?
    The Kippers, yes. Turns out they weren't voting Kipper for the UKIP bit.
    I wouldn't be so sure about this. I wouldn't be surprised if some of this is pissed off Tory Remainers voting Labour.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Essex Man looks like it's swinging further to the Tories.

    No extra seats for them to gain there, though.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    AndyJS said:

    Basildon South, swing from Lab to Con: 2.3%.

    I make it ~3%
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,253

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Its not about Labour or the Tories its about our country. It is a shame you don't see that.
    You support the abolition of the UK so the sanctimony is unbecoming.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    How fast do Tory party rules allow it to dispose of a failed leader; will she remain PM for a month or two?
    Depends if we have a coronation or not.
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    ParistondaParistonda Posts: 1,819
    kle4 said:

    I know how he feels - I sort of assumed if I was finally doing so, I'd be part of at least a mini tide. I've always thought of myself as easily influenced and goes with the flow kind of chap.

    Turns out that flow was PB Tories, and the voters were heading the other way.
    This was my first time voting Labour, and considering I voted LD last few times I am finally part of a high tide not a low one.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,808

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Its not about Labour or the Tories its about our country. It is a shame you don't see that.
    You know I see that.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    too many Pb comments, i'm just skipping to the last page on each thread. What's the PB consensus so far? tory minority govt, lab coalition of chaos, or tory eeking out a majority?

    One of the first two.
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    CiceroCicero Posts: 2,314
    rcs1000 said:

    Lib Dems will gain Gordon not tory

    The LDs, Tory, and SNP will all be within a few percent of each other.
    If the Lib Dems have Gordon, then they will be well above 20
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    To those in CCHQ reading this. Do you want to know how to get the youth vote? Change maintenance loans to grants, and reduce tuition fees to £3k.
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    atia2atia2 Posts: 207
    Jeremy Corbyn's biggest asset was being a straight-talking ordinary human being. Voters can see through lies, spin, and non-answers. They are better informed and less deferential than they used to be. It's no longer the Sun wot wun it.
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    old_labourold_labour Posts: 3,238

    The Labour vote is VERY efficient???

    Darlington LAB HOLD.

    Back to pre 2015 situation?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    rcs1000 said:

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    The Conservative Party made a major error. Brexit has always been a JOURNEY. The best thing for the country was for us to take back, over the next decade, ever greater amounts of power.

    This way we could have completely removed the "money" issue, as we'd pay in during the transition but not take out. We'd be able to negotiate new trade deals.

    Gah.
    They can do that, personally having voted Remain I would not be unhappy with that but inevitably it will mean some swingback to UKIP, however perhaps the Tories can win some centrists back from LDs and Labour
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Putney ?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.
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    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    If only Jolyon Maugham had been able to carry on with his Irish case, we'd know whether A50 could be revoked.
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    AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Spreads 318 and 319. Con/DUP short term before con leadership switch, then another general?
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    brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    Danny565 said:

    Essex Man looks like it's swinging further to the Tories.

    No extra seats for them to gain there, though.

    What did I say? Tories rack up votes where they don't need them.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,691
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Lab Gain.
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    viewcode said:

    Quick question. Is Labour most seats possible at this point?

    I'm wondering whether it's value? 27/2 Betdaq.
    Yep. good value.

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    stjohnstjohn Posts: 1,780
    Based on current betting on the next PM

    May 2.18
    Corbyn 3.35
    Boris 8.04

    I think Boris could well emerge as our "Churchillian" national emergency PM.

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    Bobajob_PBBobajob_PB Posts: 928
    Labour tipped to gain Putney.

    Greening loses her seat???
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022

    If only Jolyon Maugham had been able to carry on with his Irish case, we'd know whether A50 could be revoked.

    No way it would have been decided by now :p
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    another_richardanother_richard Posts: 25,154
    nunu said:

    Ruth Davidson for leader. She was given free reign, no control freakery from May, and look at the difference.

    And she got an exemption for Scotland from the WFA change.

    I knew that would hurt the Cons in E&W.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,808
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    Hahahahaha!!!!!
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 20,782
    We've gained Vale of Clwyd!
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    EDW20000EDW20000 Posts: 138
    Stupid May should never have dodged the tv debate.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,087

    MikeL said:

    Basildon South looks very good for Con.

    Pro pro brexit. Can't wait for London results
    Could be a slaughter.
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    tysontyson Posts: 6,052
    edited June 2017
    RobD said:

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    How fast do Tory party rules allow it to dispose of a failed leader; will she remain PM for a month or two?
    They are very experienced at deposing leaders. :p
    I think like Gordon Brown who wanted the job so much, Theresa May will be so desperate to cling on that she will dig in with her kitten heels...fucking tragic
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214

    Danny565 said:

    Essex Man looks like it's swinging further to the Tories.

    No extra seats for them to gain there, though.

    What did I say? Tories rack up votes where they don't need them.
    Basildon is historically a swing seat, if Corbyn has not won Basildon he is unlikely to be PM even if he gains seats
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    glwglw Posts: 9,556
    atia2 said:

    Jeremy Corbyn's biggest asset was being a straight-talking ordinary human being. Voters can see through lies, spin, and non-answers. They are better informed and less deferential than they used to be. It's no longer the Sun wot wun it.

    He may even end up PM but he is still a shameless liar.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013

    MaxPB said:

    surbiton said:

    MaxPB said:

    SeanT said:

    I still don't see any route from here to a Corbyn premiership.

    Thank fuck.

    Tory NOM, Boris, Faron or Hammond, as PM, a rethink on Hard Brexit, a new election in October.

    Yes, I think we're looking at 330 seats, but May is done. Literally fucking done.
    Seems like you are not happy !
    I'll be happy if we get to 320 seats by tomorrow morning and Theresa May is gone by Monday, plus an EEA/EFTA Brexit. Would be the ideal result for me personally because I don't think hard Brexit is optimal.
    To be honest, Max, it wouldn't surprised me if Brexit is kicked into the long grass now. All the EU27 have to do is vote unanimously to extend the A50 period indefinitely, or for 5-10 years, and do a new treaty with the UK, perhaps generously putting Dave's deal back on the table again.
    Then I and millions like me will be back to voting UKIP again.
    Do you think I'm ever voting or supporting UKIP again given how their voters have broken for Labour, tonight?

    UKIP'ers might have ended up betraying their own Brexit.
    Its not about Labour or the Tories its about our country. It is a shame you don't see that.
    I don't think UKIP voters have broken for Labour.
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    OUTOUT Posts: 569

    Sorry, but I came on here for a robust seat analysis. What the hell is going on?

    Carnage, all the champers turns out to be cheap imitations.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,667
    Danny565 said:

    Essex Man looks like it's swinging further to the Tories.

    No extra seats for them to gain there, though.

    Yes, definitely true. Our vote distribution looks awful, very much like Labour in 2015
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,203
    Cicero said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Lib Dems will gain Gordon not tory

    The LDs, Tory, and SNP will all be within a few percent of each other.
    If the Lib Dems have Gordon, then they will be well above 20
    If the Lib Dems get over 10 seats, then many posters will be eating their words about Farrom. ;)
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,211

    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    Hahahahaha!!!!!
    I think that's extremely unlikely.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    LOL Oh dear!
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    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    edited June 2017
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    I know a few former Cons that are voting LD in Witney... Farmers mainly. I referenced them earlier on. Look out for Henley, as likely to fall as Witney, plus there has been a decent presence by them in the past few weeks. Very unlikely for either though.
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    BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    RobD said:

    If only Jolyon Maugham had been able to carry on with his Irish case, we'd know whether A50 could be revoked.

    No way it would have been decided by now :p
    'Would' is a future tense.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,453

    too many Pb comments, i'm just skipping to the last page on each thread. What's the PB consensus so far? tory minority govt, lab coalition of chaos, or tory eeking out a majority?

    Labour minority government
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    The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    WHAT

    REVENGE OF THE REMAINERS.

    What's happening in Watford? Any rumours about here?
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    I have not seen these sort of gyrations in my life.

    Brexit is dead in the water.
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    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    Are the LibDems going to take Maidenhead?
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,506
    NeilVW said:

    NeilVW said:

    I think I make that 9 gains for SCon on Jeremy Vine's board. Please please please... I'm on >9.5 seats.

    Brilliant. I win on 8 seats and 10 seats and lose on 9 seats!

    I have a feeling this won't be my night, anywhere, anyhow.
    I think it said 9 gains, so 10 seats. Fingers crossed!
    That would almost be disappointing as the night is working out.
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    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    edited June 2017

    Tories doing bad down South is down to Timothy's social care policy LOL.

    and REMAIN revenge, and left wing economic policies from May, and crap campaign no positives at all. Just brexit, brexit, brexit.


    The labour posters in the rural Tory shires were a harbinger of things to come.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    If that's true, then anti-Tory tactical voting is back big time.
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    AR404AR404 Posts: 21
    Why the hell didn't they do the boundaries when they had the chance? What a mess, no chance of that now, they've preserved Labour for a generation
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    stjohn said:

    Based on current betting on the next PM

    May 2.18
    Corbyn 3.35
    Boris 8.04

    I think Boris could well emerge as our "Churchillian" national emergency PM.

    Bollocks!

    Needs to be a centrist Tory, if any are left...
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    stjohn said:

    Based on current betting on the next PM

    May 2.18
    Corbyn 3.35
    Boris 8.04

    I think Boris could well emerge as our "Churchillian" national emergency PM.

    Surely it's going to be Jeremy Corbyn on these numbers?
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    Any Richmond Park news?
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,253
    rcs1000 said:

    Scott_P said:

    @1000cuts: I'm being told - *told* - by a journalist that the LDs are set to take Witney.

    That was David Cameron's seat.

    Hahahahaha!!!!!
    I think that's extremely unlikely.
    Liz Leffman had the advantage of a running start after the by-election.
This discussion has been closed.