I must confess — I don't understand the NYT's needle for national popular vote. Trump is 4 million ahead with California, Washington and Oregon to come.
Why trust Decision Desk when they literally cannot input the Florida votes correctly?
If you can find a better WIGGLY WORM then knock yourself out
Ooof. NYT has ticked even more to Trump. Now with a 73% chance of victory
Is this over?
NYT needle still has Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania toss ups. They will decide the election now almost certainly and Harris as of now leads 2/3 of them, with Wisconsin now having Trump fractionally ahead by 0.5%
Why trust Decision Desk when they literally cannot input the Florida votes correctly?
If you can find a better WIGGLY WORM then knock yourself out
Ooof. NYT has ticked even more to Trump. Now with a 73% chance of victory
Is this over?
NYT needle still has Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania toss ups. They will decide the election now almost certainly and Harris as of now leads in all of them
Why trust Decision Desk when they literally cannot input the Florida votes correctly?
If you can find a better WIGGLY WORM then knock yourself out
Ooof. NYT has ticked even more to Trump. Now with a 73% chance of victory
Is this over?
NYT needle still has Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania toss ups. They will decide the election now almost certainly and Harris as of now leads 2/3 of them, with Wisconsin now having Trump fractionally ahead
NYT are just about ready to call it for Georgia and NC, while CNN are still running around trying to find the votes that could enable Harris to come back in those states.
Polymarket has flipped from Kamela most PV to Trump PV
NYT now has Trump plus 0.2 for popular vote
If Trump does win I hope he wins the popular vote so when he imposes massive tariffs, when abortion is massively restricted in most of middle America and when he withdraws from NATO Americans can't say they weren't warned but still mostly voted for him anyway
It really is incredible that Trump was written off as a novelty canddiate in 2015, and will end up defining an era and serving two terms spanning more than a decade.
It really is incredible that Trump was written off as a novelty canddiate in 2015, and will end up defining an era and serving two terms spanning more than a decade.
Because political elites decided to ignore a lot of the real problems that were developing in the country.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
The exit poll was consistently Joe Biden is utter shit, economy is major concern. While Dems tried to keep saying but the economy is ace because Biden was amazing.
It really is incredible that Trump was written off as a novelty canddiate in 2015, and will end up defining an era and serving two terms spanning more than a decade.
Because political elites decided to ignore a lot of the real problems that were developing in the country.
And Wokeness. Trans. White fucking Privilege. And so on and so on and so on
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
$15 is not an uncommon amount for a McDs meal now. Fast Food prices have gone insane. Five Guys is like $30. Combination of food inflation and large minimum wage increases, some states have made minimum wage $15 or $20.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
People have posted $16 receipts for Big Mac meals.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
People have posted $16 receipts for Big Mac meals.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
People have posted $16 receipts for Big Mac meals.
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
$15 is not an uncommon amount for a McDs meal now. Fast Food prices have gone insane. Five Guys is like $30. Combination of food inflation and large minimum wage increases, some states have made minimum wage $15 or $20.
Who'd have thought that paying people vastly more than the market rate would raise prices for the goods and services those same people buy?
Can confirm that it’s incredibly expensive to eat out in the U.S. $30 for two at McDonald’s doesn’t sound impossible.
And historically fast food in the US was incredibly cheap. The $1 menu was a staple of so many places, $5 meal, etc. When I first started going to the US regularly, I was shocked how much people eat out, often most meals of the day, but because so cheap.
And your stupid fucking Labour government enraged the next US President by officially paying for Labour members to campaign for Harris
Indescribably stupid
It doesn't really make much difference. Trump doesn't care about the rest of the world outside the US, he doesn't even care about Americans in blue states really. He wants to make America great again through massive tariffs on imports and American isolationism otherwise on the whole in foreign policy beyond support for Israel
Musk's buying of Twitter has probably won this for Trump tbh.
Its the economy...stupid....when middle class can't even go to McDonalds and feed your family for less than $50, bit hard to convince people things are going really well.
Blimey is that the cost of a McDs in the USA ?
People have posted $16 receipts for Big Mac meals.
Can confirm that it’s incredibly expensive to eat out in the U.S. $30 for two at McDonald’s doesn’t sound impossible.
Quite so
Every time I visit America these days I am stupefied by the costs. I understand a lot of Americans earn healthy wages - esp when compared to Europeans
But THAT much higher???
Professionals, yes, can be 2-3x the same corporate job in the UK. But the problem is the middle, regular jobs, they are terribly squeezed, much higher food costs, higher rents, constant tips.
On the professional end, the upside can also be crazy high e.g. OpenAI devs get on average $1 million comp, DeepMind in London aren't getting that, more like £150-200k. Trying to earn much more than that in the UK, you have to start a business or be CEO. US you can earning many $100k's and not be leadership.
Comments
After 8 years of “Trump”, it remains ultimately impossible to fully explain.
Just going to load some more food into the bomb shelter.....
Popular vote estimate
Trump +0.3
Harris +5 to Trump +6
Trump 49.6%
Harris 49.6%
Trump 52%
Harris 46%
Goodnight
The CNN % reporting is not precisely correlated to total vote - it may be distorted by mail, different precinct sizes etc.
The exit poll was consistently Joe Biden is utter shit, economy is major concern. While Dems tried to keep saying but the economy is ace because Biden was amazing.
Selzer was an outlier
Harris 50%
Trump 49.2%
Indescribably stupid
Catastrophic for Harris.
https://nypost.com/2023/11/04/lifestyle/16-for-a-burger-fries-and-soda-mcdonalds-customers-slam-franchise-fume-its-no-longer-affordable/
Every time I visit America these days I am stupefied by the costs. I understand a lot of Americans earn healthy wages - esp when compared to Europeans
But THAT much higher???
EC: Trump 296 - Harris 242
PV: Trump ahead by 0.8%
On the professional end, the upside can also be crazy high e.g. OpenAI devs get on average $1 million comp, DeepMind in London aren't getting that, more like £150-200k. Trying to earn much more than that in the UK, you have to start a business or be CEO. US you can earning many $100k's and not be leadership.