Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden did actually win the swing states, Harris wasn't suddenly going to sweep them because she got the nomination a month earlier.
As I said at the time Harris was too left liberal coastal elitist for middle America, even if Biden was too old they could have found a Mid West governor to go for
And your stupid fucking Labour government enraged the next US President by officially paying for Labour members to campaign for Harris
Indescribably stupid
Who cares
We will care when Trump turns on us, you dolt
We have bigger fish to fry. I am more worried about NATO and Putin. I had to deal with my son’s fears of being conscripted in the next 10 years before he went to bed,when I told him I thought Trump had it. Shouldn’t have to do that.
Prices for basic groceries in the US are about double what they are in the UK. I know from being in Boston earlier this year. The sort of thing that ordinary voters care about but many politicians don't.
Prices for basic groceries in the US are about double what they are in the UK. I know from being in Boston earlier this year. The sort of thing that ordinary voters care about but many politicians don't.
I am sure the massive Trump tariffs on imports will greatly help with that, of course it will also lead to tariffs on US exports too
Prices for basic groceries in the US are about double what they are in the UK. I know from being in Boston earlier this year. The sort of thing that ordinary voters care about but many politicians don't.
Even before all the inflation, they were always quite high, which I found very odd. But eating out was super cheap.
Starting to set in now for CNN....they looking very downbeat.
I’ve CNN on one screen and Daily Wire on the other. The latter group seem rather happier at the moment. Dana Bash on CNN looks like someone put pineapple on her pizza.
County Margin Shift from 2020 presidentialShift from 2020 pres. Votes Percent of votes in % In Menominee Harris +62 2.8 pts. 2.8 points more Republican 1,572 >95%
Depending on how the maine subgroups go, if Kamala wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michegan, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and the West coast... that's 269/269. Hmm.
Depending on how the maine subgroups go, if Kamala wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michegan, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and the West coast... that's 269/269. Hmm.
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
I don't think any candidate was likely to beat Trump based on this result.
Middle America was going to vote for tariffs on imports and America First abroad and that is what they are going to get.
Florida voters have even rejected fuller abortion rights in their state constitution. This is a clear swing right in the US and looks like the GOP will take Congress too
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
About a year ago I met a Democratic operative who told me in all earnestness that Biden was the best President since John F Kennedy and - to my suggestions that he was no longer totally with it - suggested I was guilty of intolerable muckraking.
Depending on how the maine subgroups go, if Kamala wins Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michegan, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada and the West coast... that's 269/269. Hmm.
NYT needle of doom is very firmly pointing towards Trump winning Arizona, and leaning towards him winning most of the others.
Food prices in America wouldn’t be so painful if it wasn’t also for the fact that the produce is very largely awful, mass produced, chemical-ridden slop.
Something to think about when Barty makes one of his periodic calls to concrete over British farmland.
Food prices in America wouldn’t be so painful if it wasn’t also for the fact that the produce is very largely awful, mass produced, chemical-ridden slop.
Something to think about when Barty makes one of his periodic calls to concrete over British farmland.
And the cost of the non shitty food is eye watering. Whole Foods makes Waitrose look like Farm Foods.
It looks like the Republicans will control the Senate too.
My memory isn't what it used to be, but if Trump wins the EC and the popular vote and the Republicans win the Senate and the House I think it'll be the first time since 2004 for such a clean sweep.
A remarkable achievement, especially given the changes in American demographics since then.
I am profoundly depressed by this. And am going to bed. I really worry about Ukraine tonight.
Other NATO nations will have to step up to the plate and fund it, G20 nations will also no doubt be preparing retaliatory tariffs for the tariffs Trump is about to impose on their imports
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
About a year ago I met a Democratic operative who told me in all earnestness that Biden was the best President since John F Kennedy and - to my suggestions that he was no longer totally with it - suggested I was guilty of intolerable muckraking.
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
About a year ago I met a Democratic operative who told me in all earnestness that Biden was the best President since John F Kennedy and - to my suggestions that he was no longer totally with it - suggested I was guilty of intolerable muckraking.
The intensity of the denial was extraordinary
It was hilarious. I was telling people on here ages ago he couldn't / wouldn't stand. It was so obvious.
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
About a year ago I met a Democratic operative who told me in all earnestness that Biden was the best President since John F Kennedy and - to my suggestions that he was no longer totally with it - suggested I was guilty of intolerable muckraking.
The intensity of the denial was extraordinary
Everything they said about Trump, from the contempt for democracy to the cult-like partisanship was just so much projection.
And your stupid fucking Labour government enraged the next US President by officially paying for Labour members to campaign for Harris
Indescribably stupid
Who cares
We will care when Trump turns on us, you dolt
We can turn to the EU. Excellent.
Frying pan and fire. The EU is turning Right even faster than the US
Yes exactly. After this Le Pen is even more likely to win in France. In fact I’d say almost certainly
The west is turning to the populist right. We will soon see deportations from western countries, starting in America?
Britain is now incredibly alone.
Being led by the most leftist leader in a major western nation for the next 4 years yes, Trudeau likely goes next year and Scholz is underwater in polls and Albanese only neck and neck
I am profoundly depressed by this. And am going to bed. I really worry about Ukraine tonight.
Other NATO nations will have to step up to the plate and fund it, G20 nations will also no doubt be preparing retaliatory tariffs for the tariffs Trump is about to impose on their imports
Not telling Biden to retire earlier when it was obvious he was too elderly was a huge mistake. It was bad for him and bad for everyone else.
Biden is a jerk.
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
Some of us were saying this two years ago. Biden is senile, it’s getting worse, if the Dems don’t replace him it will end in disaster
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
I don't think any candidate was likely to beat Trump based on this result.
Middle America was going to vote for tariffs on imports and America First abroad and that is what they are going to get.
Florida voters have even rejected fuller abortion rights in their state constitution. This is a clear swing right in the US and looks like the GOP will take Congress too
Florida voters are voting FOR fuller abortion right, just NOT by required 60% super-majority.
And your stupid fucking Labour government enraged the next US President by officially paying for Labour members to campaign for Harris
Indescribably stupid
Who cares
We will care when Trump turns on us, you dolt
We can turn to the EU. Excellent.
Frying pan and fire. The EU is turning Right even faster than the US
Yes exactly. After this Le Pen is even more likely to win in France. In fact I’d say almost certainly
The west is turning to the populist right. We will soon see deportations from western countries, starting in America?
Britain is now incredibly alone.
Being led by the most leftist leader in a major western nation for the next 4 years yes, Trudeau likely goes next year and Scholz is underwater in polls and Albanese only neck and neck
It’s not a left / right matter, but rather a question of social democracy, rule of law, and free trade.
The Harris campaign sucked. If all you have is calling your opponent a fascist , you don’t have much. I completely missed the big theme attracting voters to her. Walz was a dead weight.
I am profoundly depressed by this. And am going to bed. I really worry about Ukraine tonight.
Other NATO nations will have to step up to the plate and fund it, G20 nations will also no doubt be preparing retaliatory tariffs for the tariffs Trump is about to impose on their imports
NATO may well be dead.
Even without US support it can't be otherwise nothing to stop Putin marching across Europe all the way to Berlin
I am profoundly depressed by this. And am going to bed. I really worry about Ukraine tonight.
Other NATO nations will have to step up to the plate and fund it, G20 nations will also no doubt be preparing retaliatory tariffs for the tariffs Trump is about to impose on their imports
NATO may well be dead.
Even without US support it can't be otherwise nothing to stop Putin marching across Europe all the way to Berlin
NATO itself may be dead. Alternatives may have to be established.
Europe cannot afford its current fiscal burden. Pushing defence budgets to 4% implies yet more austerity.
Beyond that, much of Europe can’t really be relied upon. Britain and a few others will find itself shouldering much of the burden.
Comments
He promised to be a bridge to the next generation, and then failed to make any provision to do so,
He could have pushed Kamala to the Supreme Court, found a more papabile candidate, and then allowed them to postion themselves through 23/24.
48% counted
If you’re going to run a data service, please can you check the damn data!!
As I said at the time Harris was too left liberal coastal elitist for middle America, even if Biden was too old they could have found a Mid West governor to go for
@owenjonesjourno
I apologise to US pollsters for doubting you"
https://x.com/owenjonesjourno/status/1853999735171936569
I don't think CNN live in the real world.
Harris 49.5%
Trump 48.9%
Menominee Harris +62
2.8 pts. 2.8 points more Republican 1,572 >95%
And yet half of PB was saying “he just has a stammer”, “he likes falling over”, “his favourite pastime is drooling there’s no change”
I just don’t think I understand American politics at all.
Here in Pacific Northwest, there are two districts in play (party wise anyway): OR CD5 & WA CD3.
win in France. In fact I’d say almost certainly
The west is turning to the populist right. We will soon see deportations from western countries, starting in America?
Middle America was going to vote for tariffs on imports and America First abroad and that is what they are going to get.
Florida voters have even rejected fuller abortion rights in their state constitution. This is a clear swing right in the US and looks like the GOP will take Congress too
Trump leads by 150k.
Harris would need to win remaining vote 65-35, which looks very unlikely.
I am profoundly depressed by this. And am going to bed. I really worry about Ukraine tonight.
Something to think about when Barty makes one of his periodic calls to concrete over British farmland.
Cat au vin may have been interesting
Musk, though, and - even worse, Thiel - are genuinely frightening.
A remarkable achievement, especially given the changes in American demographics since then.
Sadly.
Night all. Hope the odds have been suitably mispriced.
And unlike 1939, there is no Empire and no FDR.
Only by 57% versus 43% landslide.
(And I mean that)
I am not sure it automatically helps in France though, they don't like to follow France and rejected Le Pen in 2017 despite Trump's win in 2016
For a politicalbetting site, it’s a rock n roll way to go though. R.I.P.
Trump clearly overwhelming favourite - but it may get quite close - remember there always tend to be late ballots etc.
Alternatives may have to be established.
Europe cannot afford its current fiscal burden. Pushing defence budgets to 4% implies yet more austerity.
Beyond that, much of Europe can’t really be relied upon.
Britain and a few others will find itself shouldering much of the burden.
Just call it as it is - it's done.
End of.