What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
No. It depends on whether Trump pursues policies that promote division and persecute those on the losing side. Division won't come from the result, it will come from what the winner does with that result.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
Yes, the end of trying to treat people equally, and the start of the smashing of the rights of minorities. And women...
A consensus has formed based on the male female voting split that women have too much power in western societies. This has to be addressed for the good of society. Also Putin will be waking up with a smile this morning. Much of Ukraine will now likely be handed to Russia and Ukraine will be reduced to a rump state. Its over for Zelensky.
It could be over for the western free market liberal world for the time being.
Trump will match his America First isolationism with massive tariffs and protectionism on imports to the US
Starmer needs to decide whether he tries to cosy up to Trump or tries to find other allies. I think Starmer's instincts, politics and professional history will be against Trump, and I can imagine Trump not liking Starmer, either.
A very bad result for the UK.
The UK has been busy estranging itself from the global order since 2016. This is another nail in the coffin.
AUKUS looks like a critical part of the global order at this point. It's New Zealand that has estranged itself.
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
No. It depends on whether Trump pursues policies that promote division and persecute those on the losing side. Division won't come from the result, it will come from what the winner does with that result.
Division comes from the woke left. They have to lose power everywhere now.
Yes, the end of trying to treat people equally, and the start of the smashing of the rights of minorities. And women...
A consensus has formed based on the male female voting split that women have too much power in western societies. This has to be addressed for the good of society. Also Putin will be waking up with a smile this morning. Much of Ukraine will now likely be handed to Russia and Ukraine will be reduced to a rump state. Its over for Zelensky.
It could be over for the western free market liberal world for the time being.
Trump will match his America First isolationism with massive tariffs and protectionism on imports to the US
Starmer needs to decide whether he tries to cosy up to Trump or tries to find other allies. I think Starmer's instincts, politics and professional history will be against Trump, and I can imagine Trump not liking Starmer, either.
A very bad result for the UK.
The UK has been busy estranging itself from the global order since 2016. This is another nail in the coffin.
Not a view held in much of Eastern Europe where Britain has been a far stronger and more reliable ally than the rest of the EU.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
I fear the Israel - Hamas conflict has potentially cost Harris a lot of support.. But as ever, the runes are currently indistinct. Let's wait for more data.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
I fear the Israel - Hamas conflict has potentially cost Harris a lot of support.. But as ever, the runes are currently indistinct. Let's wait for more data.
It definitely looks like it hit in some college towns that CNN have shown.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
I fear the Israel - Hamas conflict has potentially cost Harris a lot of support.. But as ever, the runes are currently indistinct. Let's wait for more data.
I hope the Arabs and Muslims who stayed home in Michigan or voted Trump or Stein enjoy the Netanyahu obliteration of Gaza and attack on Iran as that is what they will now get with Trump's full support for Bibi
There is a desire in the west for a strong leader like Putin. Trump supplies this.
’The west’ doesn’t want leaders who are Xi and Kim’s bitch. Whether the Americans still count as the west remains to be seen.
Without the americans europe could be russias to take.
Russia can’t even take Kherson. Their army’s so weak it relies on third world countries to survive. Their president is an addled paederast surrounded by drunks. Their economy is imploding and will only suffer more as people withdraw investment.
I know you have to post delusional nonsense to earn your fee but (a) couldn’t you make it funny and (b) at least try to spell it correctly?
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
Zelensky if he has any sense will get nuclear weapons within 6 months and Taiwan follow suit.
I am not sure if Trump's tariffs will help inflation much though either
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Ultimately it's simple. Voters think he's the most qualified to be president, and if you are a democrat, you must think they ought to know.
So no rabbits out of hats then. So much for Harris trying so hard to reach disaffected Republicans.
On paper economic growth is good even, how much would have been enough? Or was it immigration?
The problem is that the growth is all going to those with assets and in certain industries. Those renting, in what the US call the middle class, no real investments in the stock market, the inflation is absolute killer. Then you find out there have millions and millions of illegal immigrants, and for most of the 4 years the government have just shrugged.
Looking at the map, you can't help feeling the losing states in the American civil war have never really forgiven the rest of the country for defeating them.
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Indeed. I expect there'll be some minor quibbling but widespread non acceptance is a non starter, it's only the one side - seemingly the more popular side - which has form on fighting results.
More than any policy Trump has such a huge ego, and it sucks when big egos are right about people liking them.
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Ultimately it's simple. Voters think he's the most qualified to be president, and if you are a democrat, you must think they ought to know.
I’m not arguing with the result . People want Trump . I don’t have to understand it. It is what it is . If people are happy to have a pathological liar as President that’s upto them.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
Zelensky if he has any sense will get nuclear weapons within 6 months and Taiwan follow suit.
I am not sure if Trump's tariffs will help inflation much though either
A glance at some of the anti Trump sources i track and they're not all super panicking...but because they are weirdly quiet, which tells the same story as panicking given they'd highlight anybfood news.
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Ultimately it's simple. Voters think he's the most qualified to be president, and if you are a democrat, you must think they ought to know.
I’m not arguing with the result . People want Trump . I don’t have to understand it. It is what it is . If people are happy to have a pathological liar as President that’s upto them.
We have a confirmed liar as Prime Minister. Why is that disqualifying?
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Indeed. I expect there'll be some minor quibbling but widespread non acceptance is a non starter, it's only the one side - seemingly the more popular side - which has form on fighting results.
More than any policy Trump has such a huge ego, and it sucks when big egos are right about people liking them.
Try expanding your social circle mate. Maybe actually talk to some working class people. Liberal bubbles aint healthy and you have no idea how much people hate the likes of yourself.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
Zelensky if he has any sense will get nuclear weapons within 6 months and Taiwan follow suit.
I am not sure if Trump's tariffs will help inflation much though either
They will help inflation enormously. Expect it to exceed 20%.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
The centrist dad media bubble have failed again. The problem is these people struggle to understand that the people they don't meet when they go to the US have been having a terrible time, inflation, crime, drugs, illegal immigration (and not just the cities).
YouTuber Peter Santenello had lots of interesting videos over the past few months. Very similar to John Harris videos over the years.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Ultimately it's simple. Voters think he's the most qualified to be president, and if you are a democrat, you must think they ought to know.
I’m not arguing with the result . People want Trump . I don’t have to understand it. It is what it is . If people are happy to have a pathological liar as President that’s upto them.
We have a confirmed liar as Prime Minister. Why is that disqualifying?
Oh please . You can’t seriously say Starmer is the equivalent of Trump .
So no rabbits out of hats then. So much for Harris trying so hard to reach disaffected Republicans.
On paper economic growth is good even, how much would have been enough? Or was it immigration?
The problem is that the growth is all going to those with assets and in certain industries. Those renting, in what the US call the middle class, no real investments in the stock market, the inflation is absolute killer. Then you find out there have millions and millions of illegal immigrants, and for most of the 4 years the government have just shrugged.
The irony being one reason why the government ‘just shrugged’ is because Trump intervened behind the scenes to make the problem worse by blocking the government from doing anything about it.
He’s astute at manipulating popular opinion, you have to give him that.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
Looking at the map, you can't help feeling the losing states in the American civil war have never really forgiven the rest of the country for defeating them.
Not entirely, Trump is winning plenty of Union states in the Midwest and West and Harris has won Virginia which was Confederate
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
The centrist dad media bubble have failed again. The problem is these people struggle to understand that the people they don't meet when they go to the US have been having a terrible time, inflation, crime, drugs, illegal immigration (and not just the cities).
YouTuber Peter Santenello had lots of interesting videos over the past few months. Very similar to John Harris videos over the years.
The flyover states, where the garbage deplorables turned out again. It’s the economy, stupid.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
What can one say. I think Harris fought a good campaign but American voters decided they wanted 4 more years of hate and division .
I’m not shocked given the polls were so close. But one has to feel for those Americans who must wonder what on earth has happened to their country .
Whether there is division depends on whether people accept the result or fight against it.
There’s nothing to argue about . US voters want another 4 years of Trump , it looks currently that it won’t even be close . I can’t pretend to understand the mindset of most Americans, I find it baffling .
Indeed. I expect there'll be some minor quibbling but widespread non acceptance is a non starter, it's only the one side - seemingly the more popular side - which has form on fighting results.
More than any policy Trump has such a huge ego, and it sucks when big egos are right about people liking them.
Try expanding your social circle mate. Maybe actually talk to some working class people. Liberal bubbles aint healthy and you have no idea how much people hate the likes of yourself.
Even people who like Trump would not dispute he has an ego, he would admit it himself (he just thinks its justified) why would they hate me for saying that?
And I was predicting a Trump win, just not as comfortably.
Question for political legal eagles, what would happen if Trump was assassinated right now?!
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
The American secret service can be blamed for failing to stop the snipers, thus probably adding to Trump's support when he survived the attempts. I still don't know how they failed so spectacularly to secure the areas.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
The centrist dad media bubble have failed again. The problem is these people struggle to understand that the people they don't meet when they go to the US have been having a terrible time, inflation, crime, drugs, illegal immigration (and not just the cities).
YouTuber Peter Santenello had lots of interesting videos over the past few months. Very similar to John Harris videos over the years.
The flyover states, where the garbage deplorables turned out again. It’s the economy, stupid.
Not just those, NY, Vermont, Massachusetts...he found lots of very angry people e.g. putting up illegal immigrants in hotels in rural towns.
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because: • Biden’s admin has been solid • Trump’s lost ground since 2016 • The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22 • Young women like Kamala + vote ✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
The centrist dad media bubble have failed again. The problem is these people struggle to understand that the people they don't meet when they go to the US have been having a terrible time, inflation, crime, drugs, illegal immigration (and not just the cities).
YouTuber Peter Santenello had lots of interesting videos over the past few months.
It was the same in the UK over Brexit, and in 2019 over the Red Wall. Or in Turkey, between the urban intelligentsia and the more conservative rural folk. Or, more extreme, in Afghanistan, where the westernised folk in Kabul seemed to know f-all about the remote tribal people.
In fact, it's probably the same in almost every country.
Afghanistan's an interesting one wrt Rory, as he's spoken and written about that very eloquently. That people from western countries would visit Kabul, talk to westernised Afghanis, then go away thinking everything was fine. They would, for understandable reasons, not make the sorts of journeys Rory did into the hinterland. So he has probably made the same mistake in the USA than he saw others make in Afghanistan.
it should also be noted that Starmer's massive majority was not gained by a massive vote share.
Time to change the mod policy on this site. No more banning people as russian trolls who put forth slightly different views. It reeks of insecurity from the mods and with Trump in the WH just looks silly.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
I fear the Israel - Hamas conflict has potentially cost Harris a lot of support.. But as ever, the runes are currently indistinct. Let's wait for more data.
I hope the Arabs and Muslims who stayed home in Michigan or voted Trump or Stein enjoy the Netanyahu obliteration of Gaza and attack on Iran as that is what they will now get with Trump's full support for Bibi
Well, yes. Their feelings of moral purity will not help the people they think they care about.
Question for political legal eagles, what would happen if Trump was assassinated right now?!
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
The American secret service can be blamed for failing to stop the snipers, thus probably adding to Trump's support when he survived the attempts. I still don't know how they failed so spectacularly to secure the areas.
Because there was a conspiracy (probably involving Ukraine) to kill Trump in PA
Time to change the mod policy on this site. No more banning people as russian trolls who put forth slightly different views. It reeks of insecurity from the mods and with Trump in the WH just looks silly.
They haven’t banned the Russian troll this morning, duh.
CNN now dropping the identity politics / abortion stuff and tuned on a dime to well can't outrun the Biden economy and illegal immigrants are a problem.....
Almost feels like pretty soon the UK will be the only country in the world that doesn't have a populist government. (With the possible exception of Iceland).
Almost feels like pretty soon the UK will be the only country in the world that doesn't have a populist government. (With the possible exception of Iceland).
Starmer definitely giving the good old British try to ensure no popularism about his government ;-)
Are Bad Al and Rory the Former Tory still on their YouTube channel? I presume they must be very angry now. When I tuned in earlier they were very chipper.
Who can blame her? Having her country elect a deranged old fool who has threatened to be a dictator is not good.
Venezuela did something similar with Chavez and it’s been a disaster.
It was very avoidable if they'd just taken some basic steps to dampen down the appeal of Trump and people like him.
For example Thatcher's government was mostly full of old-school paternalists like Geoffrey Howe and Douglas Hurd, the very opposite of populist, but despite that she managed to make the far-right disappear almost completely by saying and doing a few things to satisfy people on the populist front.
Checking some more prolific accounts many haven't tweeted in 3 hours, I think many are in shock - always unclear whether people are spinning or believing, but I think it's the latter with many, it's not a shock to those following the polls (though we'd hoped they would fall on the positive side) but despite knowing it was close these really thought they had it.
If, as looks likely though not certain, Trump has won, I think three things cost the Democrats the election:
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation - the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered - Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
Zelensky if he has any sense will get nuclear weapons within 6 months and Taiwan follow suit.
I am not sure if Trump's tariffs will help inflation much though either
Get nukes from where?
Both Ukraine and Taiwan have nuclear reactors. Nuclear reactors have cooling ponds. Full of old fuel rods.
There’s a myth that you can’t use “civil plutonium” in a nuclear device. Too much Pu-240
In fact, the US tested a weapon in the 1960s with plutonium which was 25% Pu-240. Which is very, very high burn up. British plutonium, by the way, which we swapped for HEU.
That’s assuming that each country didn’t run a set of fuel rods at low power in part of one reactor, for a shorter period of time. To create low burn up (less 240, more 239 Plutonium). Once you’ve done that, you stick it in the cooling pond with the rest. As an investment.
The rest is chemistry - dissolve the rods in acid, precipitate the plutonium - and a bit of engineering. Implosion needed inventing in 1945. Nowadays the skills are taught at university, and you can do the computation on your wrist watch….
Dem guy (on BBC) still quoting red mirage and not over in Blue Wall. Still time. Etc.
CNN here yielding to reality
11:47 PM EST Jeff Zeleny Scores of people are silently leaving the Yard at Howard University. No one has addressed the crowd. The Harris campaign has been radio silent to this crowd of supporters who arrived with a spirit of jubilation and are leaving with a sense of disbelief and dejection.
Who can blame her? Having her country elect a deranged old fool who has threatened to be a dictator is not good.
Venezuela did something similar with Chavez and it’s been a disaster.
It was very avoidable if they'd just taken some basic steps to dampen down the appeal of Trump and people like him.
They could, for instance, have told Biden he was not going to be the candidate in 2024 and then had a proper series of primaries. Not a coronation of a ditzy do-nothing like Harris
Question for political legal eagles, what would happen if Trump was assassinated right now?!
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
The American secret service can be blamed for failing to stop the snipers, thus probably adding to Trump's support when he survived the attempts. I still don't know how they failed so spectacularly to secure the areas.
Because there was a conspiracy (probably involving Ukraine) to kill Trump in PA
Your conspiracy theory needs to include the US Secret Service, which seems a stretch, and also the local police force.
Question for political legal eagles, what would happen if Trump was assassinated right now?!
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
The American secret service can be blamed for failing to stop the snipers, thus probably adding to Trump's support when he survived the attempts. I still don't know how they failed so spectacularly to secure the areas.
Because there was a conspiracy (probably involving Ukraine) to kill Trump in PA
Your conspiracy theory needs to include the US Secret Service, which seems a stretch, and also the local police force.
Pennsylvania has the 2nd largest Ukrainian population in the USA and many of them are in the police force
This truly is a victory for the lawyers - Trump successfully pushed back all but the most minor legal case against him, a masterpiece of delay tactics. The state cases won't technically need to be dismissed but won't go anywhere.
And Trump media will retain value so financially he's going to be ok even if the civil damages are mostly upheld (it was already likely to reduce on appeal). What a lucky man!
Question for political legal eagles, what would happen if Trump was assassinated right now?!
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
The American secret service can be blamed for failing to stop the snipers, thus probably adding to Trump's support when he survived the attempts. I still don't know how they failed so spectacularly to secure the areas.
Because there was a conspiracy (probably involving Ukraine) to kill Trump in PA
Your conspiracy theory needs to include the US Secret Service, which seems a stretch, and also the local police force.
Yes, Leon's constant invoking of Ukraine over that incident is crass.
Comments
- the much too generous support given out during the pandemic and the ridiculously named Inflation Reduction Act, which stoked inflation
- the disastrous withdrawal from Afghanistan, from which Biden's approval ratings never recovered
- Biden clinging on much, much too long, then annointing Kamala as his successor without a proper competition.
And the heroic Ukrainians and Taiwanese will pay the price.
1. Biden called Trump voters garbage. It now looks like the majority of American voters are garbage
2. Harris called Trump a fascist. It now looks like the next POTUS will be a fascist, according to the Democrats
How do they walk back from all that?
https://x.com/endwokeness/status/1853991051926573507
Or is it over?
I wonder if like Tories in 2015 worked out Facebook was the big thing, that Trump has worked out that things like podcasts are how you reach people.
I know you have to post delusional nonsense to earn your fee but (a) couldn’t you make it funny and (b) at least try to spell it correctly?
On paper economic growth is good even, how much would have been enough? Or was it immigration?
I am not sure if Trump's tariffs will help inflation much though either
More than any policy Trump has such a huge ego, and it sucks when big egos are right about people liking them.
"Rory Stewart
@RoryStewartUK
Kamala Harris will win comfortably, because:
• Biden’s admin has been solid
• Trump’s lost ground since 2016
• The young Black male votes which Trump needs didn’t turn out in 16, 18, 20, or 22
• Young women like Kamala + vote
✴️Ignore polls—they’re herding, after past misses
6:37 AM · Nov 4, 2024
2.3M Views"
https://x.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1853325635747266782
YouTuber Peter Santenello had lots of interesting videos over the past few months. Very similar to John Harris videos over the years.
A few months ago he was amazed by the migration stats of the last few years
He’s astute at manipulating popular opinion, you have to give him that.
Trump is leading all 7 battleground states.
God willing no such thing will happen
But constitutionally what happens if one candidate is whacked (or has a heart attack) during an actual election?
I remember Eadric, Byronic, LadyG…
And I was predicting a Trump win, just not as comfortably.
Which given Trump’s age and decay seems pretty likely in the near future anyway.
If a plane crashes on the Ukraine/Republic of China border, which side do you bury the survivors?
In fact, it's probably the same in almost every country.
Afghanistan's an interesting one wrt Rory, as he's spoken and written about that very eloquently. That people from western countries would visit Kabul, talk to westernised Afghanis, then go away thinking everything was fine. They would, for understandable reasons, not make the sorts of journeys Rory did into the hinterland. So he has probably made the same mistake in the USA than he saw others make in Afghanistan.
it should also be noted that Starmer's massive majority was not gained by a massive vote share.
Not even for crimes against the English language.
Knowing his penchant for romantic conservatism, he may be wearing mourning bands and weepers.
Venezuela did something similar with Chavez and it’s been a disaster.
Edit - They go live in 10 mins.....
For example Thatcher's government was mostly full of old-school paternalists like Geoffrey Howe and Douglas Hurd, the very opposite of populist, but despite that she managed to make the far-right disappear almost completely by saying and doing a few things to satisfy people on the populist front.
There’s a myth that you can’t use “civil plutonium” in a nuclear device. Too much Pu-240
In fact, the US tested a weapon in the 1960s with plutonium which was 25% Pu-240. Which is very, very high burn up. British plutonium, by the way, which we swapped for HEU.
That’s assuming that each country didn’t run a set of fuel rods at low power in part of one reactor, for a shorter period of time. To create low burn up (less 240, more 239 Plutonium). Once you’ve done that, you stick it in the cooling pond with the rest. As an investment.
The rest is chemistry - dissolve the rods in acid, precipitate the plutonium - and a bit of engineering. Implosion needed inventing in 1945. Nowadays the skills are taught at university, and you can do the computation on your wrist watch….
I'm- 300 on next President.
Will be +250 if Harris wins PV and -80 if not.
Will be +70 if all/most swing states go Trump.
So worst of all worlds is narrow Trump PV, EC win.
11:47 PM EST
Jeff Zeleny
Scores of people are silently leaving the Yard at Howard University. No one has addressed the crowd. The Harris campaign has been radio silent to this crowd of supporters who arrived with a spirit of jubilation and are leaving with a sense of disbelief and dejection.
Which has kept me cheery these past few weeks, while others fretted.
I’m shocked, embarrassed, depressed and vaguely nauseous. God only knows how actual Democratic voters feel.
Three sources close to Harris are expressing concern that Harris’ path to victory may be too narrow to overcome.
And Trump media will retain value so financially he's going to be ok even if the civil damages are mostly upheld (it was already likely to reduce on appeal). What a lucky man!