That's the complete opposite of what I've just seen on the Ohio exit poll. Harris narrowly ahead with everyone apart from the 45-64 age group where Trump is ahead by 61-39.
Zelensky must be sitting himself as Trump into 1.25
Look if Trump wins all of Europe and Canada are going to have to increase our military spending and fund Zelensky as Trump will slash his support. If not Putin could in theory march across Eastern Europe if Trump withdraws from NATO and rebuild the Eastern block.
Trump would impose massive tariffs on imports from China and the EU and to some extent us so we would also be heading for the biggest trade war since the 1930s, especially as he will almost certainly have a GOP Congress it seems too
I honestly think some young males would vote for Hitler now, so much for learning the lessons of the past
Can you honestly not think of very very valid reasons why young men - especially young white men - would vote for the hard or populist right after the last decade or two?
I honestly think some young males would vote for Hitler now, so much for learning the lessons of the past
Can you honestly not think of very very valid reasons why young men - especially young white men - would vote for the hard or populist right after the last decade or two?
I can certainly think of reasons - but I can't think of any valid ones
If so as of now Harris wins the EC as she is still leading in Michigan, Iowa, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania even as Trump still leads the popular vote and in Georgia and North Carolina, Ohio and Florida
Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day.
BREAKKKKKKKKKKKKKING NEWS....CNN Exit Poll for Nevada, Democracy / Economy most important issue, 48% financial situation worse...but illegal immigrants right to gain citizenship high.
Harris is going to win Virginia, but it is significantly closer than 2020.
Making a Trump narrow popular vote win, Harris EC narrow win increasingly possible
Not according to NYT model.
Trump currently leads the US popular vote by 4.5 million, in 2020 Biden led Trump by 5 million in California when he was doing better than Harris is now nationally. So it is certainly possible
BREAKKKKKKKKKKKKKING NEWS....CNN Exit Poll for Nevada, Democracy / Economy most important issue, 48% financial situation worse...but illegal immigrants right to gain citizenship high.
Harris is going to win Virginia, but it is significantly closer than 2020.
Making a Trump narrow popular vote win, Harris EC narrow win increasingly possible
Not according to NYT model.
Trump currently leads the US popular vote by 4.5 million, in 2020 Biden led Trump by 5 million in California when he was doing better than Harris is now nationally. So it is certainly possible
Comments
BREAKINGGGG
THIS IS POTENTIALLY THE BIG GAME CHANGER
I’ve just noticed there’s a barber right outside my hotel and I may get a haircut
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2024/exit-polls/ohio/general/president/0
So tempting.
Trump leads by 244k.
Edit: nope. Back to PA.
While the NYT needle nudging again towards Trump.
Betfair 79.4
Polymarket 79.4
NYT 69
BRACE
Philadelphia still looking OK for Harris too.
Maybe not quite over yet
Trump would impose massive tariffs on imports from China and the EU and to some extent us so we would also be heading for the biggest trade war since the 1930s, especially as he will almost certainly have a GOP Congress it seems too
Trump 89 million votes
Harris 70 million votes
What are these numbers?
Mexican peso down too.
guess that's consistent with a trump win..
Their numbers for Florida are wrong, 10x what they should be.
https://x.com/eriktelford/status/1853980137445835210
Harris 49.4%
Trump 49.1%
Decison Desk is crap.
https://thehill.com
Counting is expected to extend beyond election night, primarily because election workers are not allowed to start processing mail ballots until Election Day.
Maybe worth staying up another hour or so to see how Georgia and North Carolina pan out.
So you might be waiting a while.
Ooof. NYT has ticked even more to Trump. Now with a 73% chance of victory
Is this over?
2020 vote = 5m
2024 counted so far = 4.3m