politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Get ready for Boris’s big day to see CON resignations and the
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https://twitter.com/keiranpedley/status/1153349302917509121?s=21
Interesting - the two least popular were ousted by their own party - two of the three least unpopular (Major/Brown) ousted by the electorate - Blair had similar rating to the two election losers and Cameron had just lost BREXIT.0 -
Probably Sarah Vine's cast offs.williamglenn said:
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It should have been named "Pandora's Pox"rottenborough said:Pulpstar said:Could he make a last minute splash as both Boris and Corbyn fail to command a majority ?
David Miliband
£4,045.18
They say it's the hope that kills you.
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Recently the Brexiteers (Vs the SNP), Oakeshott vs the Guardian, Grimes vs Electoral commission have been winning all the court cases/settlements/apologies.tlg86 said:More legal fun and games:
https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1153609152515780609
Haven't seen the detail of this one though so can't comment.0 -
he will sign up you can be certain, principle free charlatanTheuniondivvie said:A minor note in the Borisian cacophony, but an interesting one.
https://twitter.com/ChrisMusson/status/11536094585908961280 -
If they had bought it three years ago, she could have used it to beat the EU into a deal that passed.....williamglenn said:0 -
Looking on the bright side, it's been a great betting event. As at the 17th June I was all green on Boris, Hunt, Javid, Raab and Gove, with Rory my only loser amongst those not yet eliminated. Now I'm pretty evenly green whichever of the two wins (and even better off if neither of them becomes next PM).
Contrary to what people were saying on the last thread, laying the favourites was the right strategy, but you needed to do it early enough and take advantage of cases where the odds shortened excessively for particular candidates, going in again to back candidates at better odds. Also there were some wonderful discrepancies early on further down the field - Javid at around 80/1 for example, which gave a nice pot to lay off later.0 -
Guido has it. Basically Femi linked Tice to something said by Leave.EU two years after Tice left that organisation.Pulpstar said:
Recently the Brexiteers (Vs the SNP), Oakeshott vs the Guardian, Grimes vs Electoral commission have been winning all the court cases/settlements/apologies.tlg86 said:More legal fun and games:
https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1153609152515780609
Haven't seen the detail of this one though so can't comment.0 -
A big tell before the result is announced will be Nigel Evans grinning like a cheshire cat.0
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Swinson will have had her napper measured for her crown by nowTheuniondivvie said:
Yeah, apart from opposing Brexit and offering full blooded support (incorrectly imo) to the EU ref II brigade.Cicero said:
No , that's the SNP, who are prepared to do anything to break up the UK.malcolmg said:
just a well funded pressure group, one trick pony.Recidivist said:
Or a small but well funded one.Alanbrooke said:
what if theyre not a party but just a big pressure group ?MikeSmithson said:
The Brexit party is a busted flush. Zero MPs and heading for a further flop next week in BreconMarqueeMark said:
If it isn't, 50,000 members will resign and join the Bexit Party at the blatant electoral fraud....SquareRoot said:
interesting times. assuming it is Boris. What if it isn't,...rkrkrk said:Tory MPs should be wary of going for Boris too early. They risk being blamed for his failures.
There's a parallel perhaps with the Owen Smith attempt against Corbyn. For most labour party members, he'd just been elected and they wanted him to have a decent run at it [without continuous undermining from MPs].
In striking too early, and with an unconvincing candidate, they may have actually entrenched Corbyn for longer.
The LD efforts to build bridges and consensus off to its usual good start.
When she talked about being PM yesterday it was just a memory lapse as she had forgotten the T at the end0 -
He was a few minutes ago on SkyPulpstar said:A big tell before the result is announced will be Nigel Evans grinning like a cheshire cat.
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Anybody who gets outraged at being sued "for a tweet" really needed some advice on libel before being in the public eye.....tlg86 said:More legal fun and games:
https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/11536091525157806090 -
It has certainly been an interesting one, with so many candidates popping up one after another.Richard_Nabavi said:Looking on the bright side, it's been a great betting event. As at the 17th June I was all green on Boris, Hunt, Javid, Raab and Gove, with Rory my only loser amongst those not yet eliminated. Now I'm pretty evenly green whichever of the two wins (and even better off if neither of them becomes next PM).
Contrary to what people were saying on the last thread, laying the favourites was the right strategy, but you needed to do it early enough and take advantage of cases where the odds shortened excessively for particular candidates, going in again to back candidates at better odds. Also there were some wonderful discrepancies early on further down the field - Javid at around 80/1 for example, which gave a nice pot to lay off later.0 -
Anne Milton resigns.0
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Means each MP chipped in less than a fiver....williamglenn said:0 -
As I predicted when the wheeze to prevent proroguing worked. There's no need to trigger a crisis now, sane Tory MPs now have a less nuclear option.rottenborough said:0 -
Jeremy Hunt just shortened 10pts on bf (42 => 32) fwiw.0
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Not when you compare to Ashdowne or Kennedy, not even 2nd rate against previous real leaders.Roger said:Joe Swinson was impressive. Probably helped by her proximity to the Hartley Brewer molester who immediately followed her. If Johnson thinks having spokesmen in his image is a good idea he's making a big mistake. The number of 'yuks' among my small circle was petrifying. Joe meanwhile made the clever decision to aim her fire at Corbyn. It's all about Brexit and until this interview I didn't know Corbyn spent two weeks of the Referendum campaign on holiday!
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Are you kidding....I've never seen so many scampering rats trying to clamber aboard a sinking ship since ......well......Damian Green and Michael Fallon were seen with Boris posters begging for airtime outside the radio 4 studio yesterday afternoon.Theuniondivvie said:A minor note in the Borisian cacophony, but an interesting one.
https://twitter.com/ChrisMusson/status/11536094585908961280 -
I think that's sexism. Pure and simple. Both those mentioned had foibles. CK, especially, was an alcoholic which isn't great (Churchill being a wartime exception).malcolmg said:
Not when you compare to Ashdowne or Kennedy, not even 2nd rate against previous real leaders.Roger said:Joe Swinson was impressive. Probably helped by her proximity to the Hartley Brewer molester who immediately followed her. If Johnson thinks having spokesmen in his image is a good idea he's making a big mistake. The number of 'yuks' among my small circle was petrifying. Joe meanwhile made the clever decision to aim her fire at Corbyn. It's all about Brexit and until this interview I didn't know Corbyn spent two weeks of the Referendum campaign on holiday!
Wait and see.0 -
It was only the cabinetMarqueeMark said:
Means each MP chipped in less than a fiver....williamglenn said:0 -
And was given an opportunity to withdraw the comments, but refused to. If the facts are as reported, Femi should have taken the opportunity to say Sorry.tlg86 said:
Guido has it. Basically Femi linked Tice to something said by Leave.EU two years after Tice left that organisation.Pulpstar said:
Recently the Brexiteers (Vs the SNP), Oakeshott vs the Guardian, Grimes vs Electoral commission have been winning all the court cases/settlements/apologies.tlg86 said:More legal fun and games:
https://twitter.com/JolyonMaugham/status/1153609152515780609
Haven't seen the detail of this one though so can't comment.0 -
Will they tell us how many spoilt votes?0
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All very exciting isn't it
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Ah, OK.Big_G_NorthWales said:
It was only the cabinetMarqueeMark said:
Means each MP chipped in less than a fiver....williamglenn said:0 -
She's the Guildford MP, and one of those who will have spent the last 6 months moving from having a safe seat to being firmly in Lib Dem sightlines.rottenborough said:Anne Milton resigns.
Looks like it's focussed her mind - I wonder if others between Surrey and Cornwall might be feeling the same?
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Sky have managed to not see Boris come in to the building, despite having had a helicopter over Westminster for the last three hours!1
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I guess if you wanted a last-minute bit of traction for the 'Boris won handsomely' meme you might splash some wasted money on Hunt? The counter-intuitive ploy.TOPPING said:Jeremy Hunt just shortened 10pts on bf (42 => 32) fwiw.
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Grayling in the audience looks gutted on Sky News0
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Of course but she's a one day old virgin. Charlie was crap when he started. Ashdown wasn't but there aren't many of him around. She's competing with Corbyn and Johnson. I'd put Carline Lucas and Nicola Sturgeon top then Joe then a huge gap to Corbyn then the Grand Canyon then Johnson.malcolmg said:
Not when you compare to Ashdowne or Kennedy, not even 2nd rate against previous real leaders.Roger said:Joe Swinson was impressive. Probably helped by her proximity to the Hartley Brewer molester who immediately followed her. If Johnson thinks having spokesmen in his image is a good idea he's making a big mistake. The number of 'yuks' among my small circle was petrifying. Joe meanwhile made the clever decision to aim her fire at Corbyn. It's all about Brexit and until this interview I didn't know Corbyn spent two weeks of the Referendum campaign on holiday!
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Yes, I thought that. Depressed even.JackW said:Grayling in the audience looks gutted on Sky News
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Yep and Jeremy Hunt is by no means safetpfkar said:
She's the Guildford MP, and one of those who will have spent the last 6 months moving from having a safe seat to being firmly in Lib Dem sightlines.rottenborough said:Anne Milton resigns.
Looks like it's focussed her mind - I wonder if others between Surrey and Cornwall might be feeling the same?0 -
Hardly sexism, the cry of the loser. Both were political big hitters. So far she has been a nonentity over 14 years and in my humble opinion will be unlikely to improve. Trying to blame uselessness on sexism is a joke and a refuge for losers.Mysticrose said:
I think that's sexism. Pure and simple. Both those mentioned had foibles. CK, especially, was an alcoholic which isn't great (Churchill being a wartime exception).malcolmg said:
Not when you compare to Ashdowne or Kennedy, not even 2nd rate against previous real leaders.Roger said:Joe Swinson was impressive. Probably helped by her proximity to the Hartley Brewer molester who immediately followed her. If Johnson thinks having spokesmen in his image is a good idea he's making a big mistake. The number of 'yuks' among my small circle was petrifying. Joe meanwhile made the clever decision to aim her fire at Corbyn. It's all about Brexit and until this interview I didn't know Corbyn spent two weeks of the Referendum campaign on holiday!
Wait and see.0 -
If anybody has any last-minute hunches on a Hunt win, now would be a really good time to speak up...
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Boris Johnson late to his own leadership announcement.
Good start.0 -
Ken Clarke probably a close third...MarqueeMark said:Will they tell us how many spoilt votes?
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Malcolm, how you can describe someone as a loser who only yesterday was victorious in the leadership campaign is beyond me.
Or is your benchmark the Scottish national football team?0 -
When Boris makes his victory speech, how full on will he go with the Churchill mimicry he's been adopting of late? I mean, will he do two fingers held aloft and a cigar?0
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Yep. You couldn't make it up.AndyJS said:Boris Johnson late to his own leadership announcement.
Good start.0 -
How on earth can this not run to time ?0
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Grayling is still around !!!!Pulpstar said:How on earth can this not run to time ?
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Last lay of the contest
Jeremy Hunt26£2.00£50.00
Ref: 172041249152Matched: 11:29 23-Jul-190 -
Recount delay ..... there's between 52-48 in it ....
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I've often said that sports commentators really earn their money when there's nothing happening: for instance, during an F1 red flag period, or an entire cricket match.
Watching BBC One, the commentators are really trying to fill air time.0 -
Hard to build a consensus with numpties who claim we would "sell our grandmothers"... So all's fair in love and war, and expect the SNP to be pulled up every time.Theuniondivvie said:
Yeah, apart from opposing Brexit and offering full blooded support (incorrectly imo) to the EU ref II brigade.Cicero said:
No , that's the SNP, who are prepared to do anything to break up the UK.malcolmg said:
just a well funded pressure group, one trick pony.Recidivist said:
Or a small but well funded one.Alanbrooke said:
what if theyre not a party but just a big pressure group ?MikeSmithson said:
The Brexit party is a busted flush. Zero MPs and heading for a further flop next week in BreconMarqueeMark said:
If it isn't, 50,000 members will resign and join the Bexit Party at the blatant electoral fraud....SquareRoot said:
interesting times. assuming it is Boris. What if it isn't,...rkrkrk said:Tory MPs should be wary of going for Boris too early. They risk being blamed for his failures.
There's a parallel perhaps with the Owen Smith attempt against Corbyn. For most labour party members, he'd just been elected and they wanted him to have a decent run at it [without continuous undermining from MPs].
In striking too early, and with an unconvincing candidate, they may have actually entrenched Corbyn for longer.
The LD efforts to build bridges and consensus off to its usual good start.0 -
I've been looking up the definition of Johnson in Cassell's Dictionary of Slang, published 1998. Most of the definitions are not suitable for the sensitive people on this site but I was amused by this definition: Johnson Family n. (late 19C+) a generic term for the world of professional criminals.0
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Mr. Jessop, is there no red-shouldered blackbird frolicking in puddles?0
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Time keeping not improved under the new regime I see.0
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May will tell Her Maj that Boris has no chance in the house, Hunt gets sent for. You heard it ere first.0
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The lecturn doesn't have a crest on it...
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probably not as gutted as ferry companiesJackW said:Grayling in the audience looks gutted on Sky News
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Here we go - 2 minute warning by Sky !!!0
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Apparently a rather large seagull has snatched Boris up and dumped him in the Thames !!0
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Or improvised boat races down the flooded pit lane.Morris_Dancer said:Mr. Jessop, is there no red-shouldered blackbird frolicking in puddles?
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Boris is going to end up like one of those villains in a Bond movie that loses because he takes too long over stuff.0
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Live now0
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Parliament could have indicative votes on possible PMs.Andrew said:May will tell Her Maj that Boris has no chance in the house, Hunt gets sent for. You heard it ere first.
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JackW said:
Apparently a rather large seagull has snatched Boris up and dumped him in the Thames !!
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If Boris is beaming and Hunt looks grim, then we may be in for a repeat of Ed and David Milliband.0
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Mr. W, to paraphrase Disraeli:
It would be a misfortune if Boris were to be dumped in the Thames by a large seagull.
It would be a calamity if someone were to fish him out.1 -
Noone wanted to hear Sal Brinton gassing on yesterday and noone is bothered by Brandon Lewis' remarks today1
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Yes. Get on with it. I want my money!!!Pulpstar said:Noone wanted to hear Sal Brinton gassing on yesterday and noone is bothered by Brandon Lewis' remarks today
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Brandon Lewis doing a great Comical Ali routine here...
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This is like the results on Strictly where they really drag it out.0
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Well, if you insist. Since I really wasn't planning on dying now the advice is perhaps superfluous, but good advice nevertheless.Big_G_NorthWales said:Live now
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Boris can hardly conceal his glee.0
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This could have been Brady's big moment.0
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Boris smiling = yuck0
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No Carrie with Boris?0
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Dead heat?0
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A plea to be kinder to the next PM than they were to the last ,and Boris smiles and claps.
Git.0 -
Hunt proving that you cant hide your disappointment with a forced smile no matter how good you are...0
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Get the feck on with it, let us know just how fecked we are!0
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Cheryl Gillan has a rather nice voice to listen to.0
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Not exactly doing a good job of this, are they? Late and then deathly dull.
The tories are so out of touch.0 -
Did Boris learn that exaggerated clapping at Eton?0
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We don't need to know any of this shite.0
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I spent some time with Cheryl in the 2010 campaign. A very interesting ladyDanny565 said:Cheryl Gillan has a rather nice voice to listen to.
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OdiousJackW said:Boris can hardly conceal his glee.
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Oh God what a drag out!0
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Does Dame C not realise we already know how the process worked?1
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This is aaaawwful0
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Votes from at home and abroad. Not sure that is wise to point out.0
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Are they going to bring on the No10 cat as well!0
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ARE WE THERE YET0
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Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.
No new shoes for TSE.0 -
159,320 votes
87.4% turnout.
509 soilt papers
Hunt 46,656
BJ: 92,1530
