Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Get ready for Boris’s big day to see CON resignations and the

124678

Comments

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    2 to 1!
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    2:1

  • All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Boris 66.3%
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Buffoon has it.

    Not for long surely.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    I'm surprised there weren't more spoilt papers. High turnout.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,707
    Well, that's me not voting Conservative.
    Boris must be the most unsuited person for the job ever. An entertainer wiith zero substance.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,627
    That’s a lower margin than everyone had predicted.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,884
    2:1 victory for Boris - least surprising result ever :)
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688


    All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.

    Yes absolutely
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    66.3% for Boris, Hunt did very well in the campaign.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Boris 66.3%

    Two thirds vs one third, basically.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Only for a couple of months.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Go Boris!!!!! :D
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Johnson has difficulty keeping a straight face while thanking May.
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821
    Pulpstar said:

    66.3% for Boris, Hunt did very well in the campaign.

    Unfortunately not well enough.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Really !!
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,605
    edited July 2019
    Chris said:

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
    66.4% share for Johnson

    EDIT 66.39%
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Yep. Jumped the gun there. Standard of journalism not high.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,617
    Chris said:

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
    It was never in doubt.....

    Not this site's finest few weeks.
  • FlannerFlanner Posts: 437

    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Really !!
    Where to?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    I'm surprised there weren't more spoilt papers. High turnout.

    Was going to but in the end thought ABB more important to vote for.

    I'm not tearing up my card yet though as it might be needed again before long!
  • Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,821

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
    No, it's going in tomorrow, it's a joint letter with my wife and she hasn't signed it yet.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited July 2019
    Now Boris waffling. Total drivel. Normally dresses this up in flowery language to pull the wool over the eyes of star-struck acolytes but even that's absent.

    Turning off. It's complete bollocks.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    In the name of God ...
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    So in the end a comfortable 2 to 1 win for Boris over Jeremy Hunt.

    Now over to Boris to beat Corbyn and deliver Brexit
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    True to form, Boris is either busking this victory speech or scribbled it whilst in the back of the car....
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Ugh, he's such a tosser.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    So, 13% of Tory members are vaguely sane.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Is this the worst leadership victory speech in history?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    What a twat. I think I'm going to vomit.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,683
    I wonder if Boris has a surprise or two up his sleeve - 'Actually, bugger October. We're leaving the EU now.' That would be dramatic.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Dude. FFS.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    And don't come back!
  • tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,565
    Let's hope the product is better than the packaging. I'm no fan but we really need him to be bigger than he looks.

    I reckon Jo Swinson DID get more votes than Jeremy Hunt - just!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,627
    HYUFD said:

    So in the end a comfortable 2 to 1 win for Boris over Jeremy Hunt.

    Now over to Boris to beat Corbyn and deliver Brexit

    Fair play to yourself, you spotted Johnson before the rest of us. Hope you managed to profit from your enthusiasm for the eventual winner.
  • We're in trouble, aren't we?
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    I don't get it, are there really people who find him funny/entertaining??
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    Interesting intervention from the EU Commissioner for food health & safety:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/commissioners/2014-2019/andriukaitis/blog/boris-you-are-wrong_en

    The programme also left one infamous quote: ‘Boris, ti ne prav’ (‘Boris, you are wrong’)!

    It is a different Boris, of course, but there was something in the way of doing politics that was similar: many unrealistic promises, ignoring economic rationales and rational decisions...
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    What an utter utter arsehole.
  • OllyTOllyT Posts: 5,006
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Agreed, the sooner the better. End of the month?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    BBC referring to boris as the new PM. Come on bbc, it's not quite that yet.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,773
    The Die has been cast.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    Roger said:

    What a twat. I think I'm going to vomit.

    Ditto. And I'm nowhere you on the political spectrum either.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,773
    Well we're utterly f**ked....
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    OllyT said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Agreed, the sooner the better. End of the month?
    :D
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Danny565 said:

    I don't get it, are there really people who find him funny/entertaining??

    God only knows but this is absolutely dreadful. Even Ed Milliband gave a better one.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414

    I wonder if Boris has a surprise or two up his sleeve - 'Actually, bugger October. We're leaving the EU now.' That would be dramatic.

    Only surprise was he kept it short. Probably wise as he had nowt to say.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Was that @HYUFD there in the crowd reaching out for a snog?
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688

    We're in trouble, aren't we?

    :)

    Reminds me of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    edited July 2019


    All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.

    Yes absolutely
    But with a rousing and slightly over-hopeful speech from the in-house "energy bunny" for donations for the next year.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    This is what it sounds like when doves cry.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    509 soiled ballot papers? Probably not surprising given the age of the tory membership
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046
    JackW said:

    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.

    What gave you that impression Jack?
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    What did the ConHome poll say, HYUFD ? In numbers or percentages.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    HYUFD said:

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
    Your man won. I am happy for you that you are on the winning side.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    Betting point to note for the future, Betfair has suspended the Theresa May Exit date market as of now.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
    No, it's going in tomorrow, it's a joint letter with my wife and she hasn't signed it yet.
    A big step Richard, and I'm sure one that you have not taken lightly.

    Let's see how may others do likewise.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865
    Do we take it from that that Hunt is going to keep a serious job after all?
  • glwglw Posts: 9,912

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Sky News - Gauke has resigned
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    May's premiership is going to to seem like a golden age of competence and achievement in six months' time, in a similar way to how Corbyn has made Ed MIlliband look like one of Labour's greatest ever leaders.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,912
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    HYUFD said:

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
    I'm surprised you don't bet more given how strong your confidence level is in your predictions
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    Chris said:


    509 soilt papers

    This is an astonishingly low number, I can only conclude when somebody drew a penis they counted that as a vote for Boris
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914
    TOPPING said:

    Was that @HYUFD there in the crowd reaching out for a snog?

    Congratulations to HYUFD. He predicted this catastrophe over two years ago and despite a lot of criticism stuck by his guns.

    It really wasn't predictable, So well done!
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    edited July 2019
    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1153623798362648576

    From DUD to DUDE. No wonder he needed to add a letter to Energise.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    glw said:

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
    Which are your favourite non-Brexit lib dem policies?
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Gauke resigns.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    DavidL said:

    Do we take it from that that Hunt is going to keep a serious job after all?

    Probably. Boris needs to keep his opponents in the tent. Somewhere there is an article by Hague about the constraints of balancing different wings, not all of which are obvious.
  • surbiton19surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    JackW said:

    Sky News - Gauke has resigned

    Part of the Gaukward squad now !
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,772
    BF have paid up.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    Pulpstar said:

    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

    Johnson +£396.86
    Hunt +£24.50

    Everything else all safely green.

    On Betfair...

    But, I have £182 losing bets with the bookies made over the last 2 years, but one of them was a +£1,600 payout with SkyBet as I backed Hunt when he was at 100/1 and 60/1 some time ago.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,653
    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.
  • Bob__SykesBob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    glw said:

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
    Will we need to buy sandals? :-)
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Tabman said:

    JackW said:

    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.

    What gave you that impression Jack?
    The vaguely less than North Korean reception. It's like many in the hall had the sugar rush and then Boris began speaking. Odd .... mind you it was an odd speech - sounded unscripted, off the cuff and a little stale.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Pulpstar said:

    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

    Johnson +£396.86
    Hunt +£24.50

    Everything else all safely green.

    On Betfair...

    But, I have £182 losing bets with the bookies made over the last 2 years, but one of them was a +£1,600 payout with SkyBet as I backed Hunt when he was at 100/1 and 60/1 some time ago.
    Nice. I wish I had this skill with trading bets. At the moment I just look for value, I rarely have any feel for when I should get in or out.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,038
    In an undisclosed location, the ERG are currently singing "Tomorrow Belongs to Me"
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    YouGov Live Poll

    1. Boris Johnson has been announced as the new leader of the Conservative party. Which of the following best reflects your reaction to Boris Johnson becoming leader?
    Delighted 7%
    Pleased 19%
    Disappointed 6%
    Dismayed 52%
    Don't really mind either way 12%
    Don't know 4%
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    The Young Tory on R5L not great. "This sends a clear message to the rest of the country. Boris is the man and we need to unite behind him."
    With respect, I resile.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    Nah, if he starts to fail he'll be attacked from the right as not being a true believer. It'll ring true too, because of his two letters and because everyone knows Boris only really believes in Boris' career.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    I think (nearly) two to one means the Tory party unequivocally owns what's going to happen.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited July 2019

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    One thing us for certain, failure to commit to deliver Brexit will guarantee defeat, Boris at least gives the Tories a chance now
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 42,707

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    509 soiled ballot papers? Probably not surprising given the age of the tory membership
    :blush:
    You try typing the results quickly.
    Though if I were being forced to vote for Boris, I'd probably wipe my hairy arse with it first.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,133
    edited July 2019
    This doesn't look good for the Ashes...

    England fast bowler James Anderson has been ruled out of his side's Ashes warm-up Test against Ireland at Lord's. Fast bowlers Mark Wood and Jofra Archer have side strains and were not named in the squad for the Ireland game, which starts on Wednesday.

    Wood is unlikely to be fit before the fourth Ashes Test, which starts on 4 September, while England hope Archer could be available for the second Test, starting on 14 August.

    https://www.bbc.com/sport/cricket/49082928

    Broad, Woakes and Curran medium fast deliveries aren't exactly going to worry the convicts.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092

    This doesn't look good for the Ashes...

    England fast bowler James Anderson has been ruled out of his side's Ashes warm-up Test against Ireland at Lord's. Fast bowlers Mark Wood and Jofra Archer have side strains and were not named in the squad for the Ireland game, which starts on Wednesday.

    Wood is unlikely to be fit before the fourth Ashes Test, which starts on 4 September, while England hope Archer could be available for the second Test, starting on 14 August.

    https://www.bbc.com/sport/cricket/49082928

    Broad, Woakes and Curran medium fast deliveries aren't exactly going to worry the convicts.

    Christ, there's more cricket? Haven't we had enough?
This discussion has been closed.