politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May do
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Woohoo!Scott_P said:@akmaciver: Being told Alex Salmond has DEFINITELY lost. #GE2017
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The likes of DH and TP have been shat on by CCHQ.Bobajob_PB said:
Yep. @david_herdson proved right.Nigelb said:Got to get up for work at 7, so signing off.
Listening to Mrs May, losing the will to stay awake anyway.
With many thanks to Mr Herdson, for prompting me to multiply my minority govt bets last night.
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The second sentence answers your first, perhaps.MaxPB said:Seriously, how did we lose Canterbury? That's true blue rinse territory.
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Oh such joyScott_P said:@akmaciver: Being told Alex Salmond has DEFINITELY lost. #GE2017
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Poor Amber :-(alex. said:3rd recount in Hastings
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https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/872921570934706179bigjohnowls said:What was Exit Poll
Latest forecast 318/2670 -
Losers:
T May, N Sturgeon, Tories, SNP,, Martin Boon, ICM
Winners:
J CORBYN, J McDonnell, EMILY THORNBERRY, YOUGOV , Survation0 -
oh dear what a shame - HA!Scott_P said:@akmaciver: Being told Alex Salmond has DEFINITELY lost. #GE2017
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Remember, "Brexit negotiations start in just 11 days' time."0
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My blackbirds are singing this morning .....and I cannot go go to bed.....0
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12 months ago I was joking about the laughable idea of PM Corbyn visiting the Trump White House. Now...0
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Bim elected in Harpenden .... Mrs JackW will be pleased.0
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@PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE20170
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Brilliant the prolonged agony but she's LOST.....and she's LOST DESERVEDLYKentRising said:
Poor Amber :-(alex. said:3rd recount in Hastings
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Junker must be weeing his pants0
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Lab gain Leamington!0
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Con hold Morley. That's a surprise the way the night has been going.0
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Rosie cooper holds on
Warwick leamington gain0 -
Southam: Your sons won it for Labour.
I thought the Midlands will be a bloodbath for Labour.0 -
Ben Bradshaw gor 62% in Exeter0
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Tories were on 314 in the exit, so only a small nudge-up.bigjohnowls said:What was Exit Poll
Latest forecast 318/2670 -
So that's two out of three general election campaigns in this country Sir Lynton Crosby has 'lost'
Looks like 2015 was down to Dave and George, not the Aussie0 -
As bad a night as this has been for May and the Tories, if Labour were so wonderful, should they not have won a majority (or at least got close)?0
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Arn't invitations for State Visits extended by the queen?Scott_P said:0 -
Con hold Morley & Outwood.0
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Some unhelpful LD good results. If we had held those then we could have been on for 322/323?
Just unhelpful results coming through now Derby N0 -
Eh??AndyJS said:Con hold Morley & Outwood.
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So what happens if in October PM Priti goes for a majority by offering:
No dementia tax
£350m more for the NHS
Cancel all student debts0 -
Has he drunk too much again?RochdalePioneers said:Junker must be weeing his pants
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wow.Scott_P said:@PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE2017
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Yes, let's stay in the single market, have Soft Brexit, form close relationships with European leaders and tell Trump to f*ck off.Scott_P said:0 -
Derby North - goes red0
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Has Martin Boon tweeted his KABOON IV yet?surbiton said:Losers:
T May, N Sturgeon, Tories, SNP,, Martin Boon, ICM
Winners:
J CORBYN, J McDonnell, EMILY THORNBERRY, YOUGOV , Survation0 -
Tory gain Middlesbrough's south0
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Leamington.
Did SO get back on the train in time?0 -
Con since WW1
9.3% swing0 -
Derby north gone Lab.0
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LD hold Carshalton, excellent0
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Two lessons to be learnt here:
1. Leadership elections MATTER. Coronations don't work in a democracy. Corbyn - for all his faults - was tested in 2 elections and now this one. May wasn't - until this one.
And, no 2, don't call unnecessary elections.
Sad about Clegg. Pleased that Norman Lamb held on.
God knows what it means for Brexit. An even bigger FUBAR than before, I expect.0 -
Good night everyone0
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All of those are bad things.The_Apocalypse said:
Yes, let's stay in the single market, have Soft Brexit, form close relationships with European leaders and tell Trump to f*ck off.Scott_P said:0 -
And Kingston! I have a Lib Dem MP again0
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Some pretty tight Lab gains from Con (such as Canterbury) - crucial to preventing a slim Con majority. (I think that ship has sailed)0
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Lab gain Canterbury.
People want the change the Europhobes promised.0 -
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Tory 315 I think. Will be near as dammit again?bigjohnowls said:What was Exit Poll
Latest forecast 318/2670 -
Seriously, can somebody explain to me what went wrong in Canterbury? Local issues? A scandal?williamglenn said:
The second sentence answers your first, perhaps.MaxPB said:Seriously, how did we lose Canterbury? That's true blue rinse territory.
What was it?0 -
LD Gain Caithness0
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London, the Tory graveyard. I wanted Chingford though.0
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WOWScott_P said:@PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE2017
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Amber Rudd has gone.Fantastic win for Labour in Peterborough.Good win for Daniel Zeichner in Cambridge,another Labour gain in Ipswich but poor old Chris Jones lost to Chloe Smith by 500 votes in Norwich North .Clive Lewis is king of all he surveys in Norwich South but Norman Lamb refuses to go on the spit and beats off tough Tory challenge.North Norfolk was like Rorkes' Drift.0
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Caithness, thank you, thank you.0
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YAYScott_P said:@PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE2017
And Yay yay and thrice yay for TSE >9.5 tip, which goes some way to balancing the books.0 -
Really cant see how Tories get any better than Exit Poll0
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Mark Senior must be pleased with Lib Dems results0
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LD gain Caithness.0
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Let's give credit to Tim Farron. Written off, lots of speculation about an English wipe out, even by me for about 90 minutes. Instead he's going to gain seats.0
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And some surprising LD gains and hold vs Conkle4 said:Some pretty tight Lab gains from Con (such as Canterbury) - crucial to preventing a slim Con majority. (I think that ship has sailed)
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Another Lib Dem gain. Almost certainly 10 or above.0
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University.Peter_the_Punter said:
Seriously, can somebody explain to me what went wrong in Canterbury? Local issues? A scandal?williamglenn said:
The second sentence answers your first, perhaps.MaxPB said:Seriously, how did we lose Canterbury? That's true blue rinse territory.
What was it?0 -
Send for Ruth at the first opportunity0
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Brake by 1300.
He was one the invisible LDs as I call them (probably unfairly) - the smaller names who snuck through the massacre last time. And he's survived again. Welldone.0 -
Lol! Nicola says Labour surged in Scotland.0
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People clamouring for Boris when we are about to go into some of the most important negotiations this country has had for years. I don't get it...0
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We must find a way to get Ruth Davidson in parliament, and then as PM. The only sensible senior Tories these days.0
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If Salmond follows Robertson out of Westminster, who will be the SNP group leader? Wishart?0
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LDs up to 9, and O&S still to report.
Sorry for LDs < 10
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Turns out the reported Tory gain in Dagenham was fake news. Lab hold by 4,652 votes.0
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Amber Rudd byebye0
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Jenkyns get 51% !AndyJS said:Con hold Morley & Outwood.
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So much for someone saying they were all back at home. Clearly students are bright enough to arrange PVssurbiton said:
University.Peter_the_Punter said:
Seriously, can somebody explain to me what went wrong in Canterbury? Local issues? A scandal?williamglenn said:
The second sentence answers your first, perhaps.MaxPB said:Seriously, how did we lose Canterbury? That's true blue rinse territory.
What was it?0 -
Your post a few minutes a go prompted me to cash out my position. Thanks.rcs1000 said:LDs up to 9, and O&S still to report.
Sorry for LDs < 100 -
It was my vote that did it.not_on_fire said:And Kingston! I have a Lib Dem MP again
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Interesting that Canterbury had no UKIP cabdidate this time but it did the Tories no good at all, with Labour up 20%,0
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CS&ER LD Gain0
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Steurgeon sounding like she's close to resignation.0
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Next election not going to be pretty for the Tories. Myth of invincibility gone.0
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Which still wouldn't be enough.kle4 said:
We're looking at Tories having more seats (ATM) than any prospective coalition of chaos.
At this stage, it ain't happening.
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Scotland is 4 or 5 better than the exit poll expected, I think.bigjohnowls said:Really cant see how Tories get any better than Exit Poll
321, 322, 323, 324 possible.0 -
They story of that will be a Tale...Peter_the_Punter said:
Seriously, can somebody explain to me what went wrong in Canterbury? Local issues? A scandal?williamglenn said:
The second sentence answers your first, perhaps.MaxPB said:Seriously, how did we lose Canterbury? That's true blue rinse territory.
What was it?
I thank you.
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I thought the path to an EFTA/EEA solution was missed last autumn. I think I was wrong.The_Apocalypse said:
Yes, let's stay in the single market, have Soft Brexit, form close relationships with European leaders and tell Trump to f*ck off.Scott_P said:0 -
With respect to TSE, I believe it was @GeoffM who first tipped that bet at 20/1Ishmael_Z said:
YAYScott_P said:@PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE2017
And Yay yay and thrice yay for TSE >9.5 tip, which goes some way to balancing the books.0 -
David Davis, surely? Wouldn't jeopardise the extra votes that the Tories have put on in this election either. Boris would be ridiculous.jonny83 said:People clamouring for Boris when we are about to go into some of the most important negotiations this country has had for years. I don't get it...
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Boris leader at Westminster, Davidson staying as leader in Scotland is clearly the best electoral combination for Tories. GoodnightThe_Apocalypse said:We must find a way to get Ruth Davidson in parliament, and then as PM. The only sensible senior Tories these days.
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She can't. She cannot abandon Holyrood, and theywould not be rewarded for forcing a by-election somehow.The_Apocalypse said:We must find a way to get Ruth Davidson in parliament, and then as PM. The only sensible senior Tories these days.
Allow her to attend Cabinet in an advisory capacity. Something.0 -
Any news on Cheltenham?0
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I think Ukip made a mistake in this regard.NickPalmer said:Interesting that Canterbury had no UKIP cabdidate this time but it did the Tories no good at all, with Labour up 20%,
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