Many models has Lamb down as a 95+% probable loss.
He may be the ultimate survivor of the LDs - Clegg and Mulholland did not survive, Williams might not, Pugh didn't stand again to see, Farron isn't safe, has Brake lost yet?
Despite feeling hollowed out as my party gets a stuffing everywhere, I'm heartened that this is looking like a good election for Unionism in Scotland and NI
Feel sorry for Theresa May here. Found wanting. Overpromoted and exposed. It happens. We all reach our limit and she did it very publicly and humiliatingly.
Sad, but she must now go.
when she got the job I remember recalling what Churchill said about Eden, that 'the greatest of his office would find him out'.
I gave her benefit of the doubt over Brexit and thought she was getting it together, but this election campaign has been atrocious.
Feel sorry for Theresa May here. Found wanting. Overpromoted and exposed. It happens. We all reach our limit and she did it very publicly and humiliatingly.
I could never be a politician. Imagine the biggest self-inflicted f*ck-up of your entire life being witnessed by the whole country and then being written about and analysed for years or even decades to come.
@MattChorley: May: "It will be incumbent on us to have that period of stability" Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah
Many models has Lamb down as a 95+% probable loss.
He may be the ultimate survivor of the LDs - Clegg and Mulholland did not survive, Williams might not, Pugh didn't stand again to see, Farron isn't safe, has Brake lost yet?
Has to be a big personal vote and quite right too. One of the good guys.
Tories have lost. Clinging on with a minority government would be a mistake. Accept defeat after 7 years in power.
Er, a minority Govt is the only viable govt.
Yes but going from a majority to a minority like the tories is a recipe for a landslide 2022 defeat.
Yep - if Labour keep the discipline they've shown in this campaign, unless there's a great Brexit (which was always impossible - there would have been some level of pain no matter what), the Tories are out by a lot in 5 years.
If Boris become PM, I'm going to join the Labour party, and vote Labour in the next local election, and GE. I'd rather have Corbyn as PM than HIM.
Yes, well Boris is the populist we need I am afraid. Labour have gone populist under Corbyn and gained a swing to them, we need to get an even better populist and that is Boris. So it will be Brexit but perhaps slightly fudged, austerity ended and taxes slashed, gateaux for all to trump Corbyn's icecreams for all!
Can we just step back a moment and admire the Ruth surge in Scotland?
Wow.
I think a few more years in Scotland to refine her policy stances and then look to get a seat in Westminster. That's assuming she has real political ambition, I don't know if she wants it.
SDLP wiped out by 2 SF and 1 DUP. The great balancing act ends. Not easy to see a way back. 18 NI is 10 DUP 6/7 SF 1 Independent 1/0 UUP
Who won Belfast South >?
Emma LITTLE PENGELLY (Democratic Unionist). It's probably #1 target for tactical voting next time as at least 3 of parties 2-5 will want to get rid of her.
I could never be a politician. Imagine the biggest self-inflicted f*ck-up of your entire life being witnessed by the whole country and then being written about and analysed for years or even decades to come.
At least she isn't likely to be kicked out of her house in the morning like Brown, kids in tow! (I guess he had a few days to pack)
Many models has Lamb down as a 95+% probable loss.
He may be the ultimate survivor of the LDs - Clegg and Mulholland did not survive, Williams might not, Pugh didn't stand again to see, Farron isn't safe, has Brake lost yet?
Has to be a big personal vote and quite right too. One of the good guys.
So was Clegg. As I've said for ages, the history books will see the coalition very differently from how we saw it in 2015.
Confirmed DUP gain in South Belfast and just over 1200 in the bank.
I'm not going to lie, as a Conservative I'd have liked a good Conservative majority but I will have great joy watching Snowflakes over there as they consider the possibility that the DUP could be the kingmakers and they fall back on lazy outdated talk..
Despite feeling hollowed out as my party gets a stuffing everywhere, I'm heartened that this is looking like a good election for Unionism in Scotland and NI
What about Farmer Tom?
I'm hopeful but we haven't even had West Tyrone declared yet and I could have told you who won that the day the election was called
If Boris become PM, I'm going to join the Labour party, and vote Labour in the next local election, and GE. I'd rather have Corbyn as PM than HIM.
Yes, well Boris is the populist we need I am afraid. Labour have gone populist under Corbyn and gained a swing to them, we need to get an even better populist and that is Boris. So it will be Brexit but perhaps slightly fudged, austerity ended and taxes slashed, gateaux for all to trump Corbyn's icecreams for all!
Boris isn't a populist he's a f*cking idiot. This fool doesn't know what the hell he believes. He'd be a disaster for this country.
Next Tory leader needs to be able to debate effectively (now part of elections and expected by the public), offer a positive vision and answer questions straight.
Comments
He may be the ultimate survivor of the LDs - Clegg and Mulholland did not survive, Williams might not, Pugh didn't stand again to see, Farron isn't safe, has Brake lost yet?
It's not hard - even Labour under Corbyn managed to do it. Start telling the electorate the bad news AFTER you've won your landslide, not before!
Later today, in front of No.10.
Plus...
Edinburgh West
Orkney & Shetland
for sure
Seven is the minimum the LDs.
Plus some of...
Kingston & Surbiton
Carshalton
Ceridgion
CS&ER
RC&S
A&B
Fife NE
11?
Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahah
Listening to Mrs May, losing the will to stay awake anyway.
With many thanks to Mr Herdson, for prompting me to multiply my minority govt bets last night.
The country said: "Not you."
Winners: YouGov, Jeremy Corbyn, Ruth Davidson.
Although it's a bit like choosing between syphilis and gonorrhoea.
She sounds broken.
- ICM is the Gold standard
- Young voters don't turn out
- UKIP voters will all vote Tory
- YouGov's seat model was nonsense
LD hold
Anyone betting on yougov model made a fortune....
Plus it was the way of Witney Tories flicking the finger to Mrs May and wanting Dave back
Cons 318, still just about enough with DUP
Lab 276
SNP 32
LD 11
PC 3
Grn 1
Others 18
It's probably #1 target for tactical voting next time as at least 3 of parties 2-5 will want to get rid of her.
Lab 60.8
Con 34.4
Ouch
Ouch!
I'm not going to lie, as a Conservative I'd have liked a good Conservative majority but I will have great joy watching Snowflakes over there as they consider the possibility that the DUP could be the kingmakers and they fall back on lazy outdated talk..
May found out too easily.