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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May do

SystemSystem Posts: 12,346
edited June 2017 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May doesn’t quit as PM a Tory MP will go all Leo Amery at her very soon

Reported if Theresa May doesn't get a majority she will step down … it depends by how much … if not a large margin she'll stay for a bit

Read the full story here


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Comments

  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,561
    first?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,905
    Think SCON surge might have kept a few SLD from being elected?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Lab hold Islington North - shocking.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,132
    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872996770367909891
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,278
    SeanT said:

    Second, like A SALMOND ESQ

    We can all rejoice at that news!
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    kle4 said:

    Think SCON surge might have kept a few SLD from being elected?

    Yeah, the fact that Fife NE went to recount is proof that the LDs haven't made much progress in Scotland.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Recount in Ceredigion
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Portsmouth North stays Blue.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    Between who ?
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The Tories are on 40% after 283 results and most of their safe seats haven't declared yet.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,905
    I really don't want Boris as PM though. And we really cannot bloody take a delay for a Tory leadership election, nor do they want another coronation.

    Lab set up well for stonking win in 2022 no matter what. (or a win in 2017 if another election happens).
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,204
    I swear, if we have to through all this again in 3 months...
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Con GAIN AYR! damn should have punt on it.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Pulpstar said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    Between who ?
    LD, PC, Lab, Con.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    John Major got 48,662 in Huntingdon in 1992.
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,561
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872996770367909891

    I couldn't think of a better result!
  • DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215
    What seat totals are people expecting?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    spudgfsh said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872996770367909891

    I couldn't think of a better result!
    Neither can Nicola.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Pirate Party still outpolling Women's Equality Party.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,278
    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    Some of the NI seats might be higher. North down 1959 the UUP got 51,773.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,132
    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    Nah John Major got over 48,000 votes in Huntingdon in 1992
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,988
    Am I right in thinking Warwick & Leamington has indeed turned red? That email I got yesterday seems to have been on the level.
  • alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/bbcphilipsim/status/872998792139874305
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    My avatar looks prescient.
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    Corbyn got run close.....another candidate got 7 votes his forty thousand odd...

    Vie St Jeremiah of Islington.......
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Tories gain Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock from SNP.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,905
    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    Since the 1990s the Cons have struggled to get a comfortable, working majority.
  • llefllef Posts: 301
    labour win cardiff north maj 5k
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,278
    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    She is? :o
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,923
    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    But so inefficient that Tories will go backwards...thats FPTP folks.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,748
    Pulpstar said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    Between who ?
    I doubt there's more than 2,000 votes between the top four.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    AndyJS said:

    The Tories are on 40% after 283 results and most of their safe seats haven't declared yet.

    Andy I've lost track - are the Tories on for Overall Maj ?
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    LOL.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    nunu said:

    Con GAIN AYR! damn should have punt on it.

    Worth repeating.

    Ruth Davidson, take a bloody bow.
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Tories hold Telford.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,640
    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @skyelections: Conservative gain #AberdeenSouth from SNP #GE2017
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    Great effort from @Tissue_Price in Don Valley.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    it looks like UKIP not standing has helped labour!??!?
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,204
    kle4 said:

    I really don't want Boris as PM though. And we really cannot bloody take a delay for a Tory leadership election, nor do they want another coronation.

    Lab set up well for stonking win in 2022 no matter what. (or a win in 2017 if another election happens).

    TM will start the ball rolling through summer, the initial meetings etc, then new PM by August?

    Of course, the horrible thought is that they then might call a GE for a mandate!
  • tysontyson Posts: 6,120
    St Jeremiah acknowledges his supporters and his many wives
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,132
    SouthamObserver said:

    Am I right in thinking Warwick & Leamington has indeed turned red? That email I got yesterday seems to have been on the level.

    Yup, Warwick Uni students what won it.
  • Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414
    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    Ironic, isn't it?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Another SCon gain, wow.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,797
    SeanT said:

    Second, like A SALMOND ESQ

    Sean, would you meet up with me and the missus for a chat sometime?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    numbertwelve said:

    I swear, if we have to through all this again in 3 months...

    If we do I might go cold turkey on pb for the duration, and find out how politics looks to normal people.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    RobD said:

    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    She is? :o
    Yes, and she could get 46% overall, the highest since 1970.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,172
    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    brokenwheel said:

    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    LOL.
    That is actually a very, very funny fact.
  • spudgfshspudgfsh Posts: 1,561
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872996770367909891

    So where's the video for the next 'portillo moment'?
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Con gain Aberdeen South
    Lab gain Cardiff North
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299
    AndyJS said:

    Tories gain Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock from SNP.

    Wheres MalcolmG?
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    https://twitter.com/bbcphilipsim/status/872999093466955777
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,172
    Typo said:

    Tories hold Telford.

    That is a good hold.

    Come on Midlands. Come on my son!
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    Scott_P said:

    https://twitter.com/bbcphilipsim/status/872998792139874305

    #BOOM Will pay for a few more losers. £25 @ 10-1. Should have had more, hmm.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SNP held Glasgow East by 75 votes.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,278
    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    She is? :o
    Yes, and she could get 46% overall, the highest since 1970.
    I suppose we really are back to two-party politics!
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    nunu said:

    Con GAIN AYR! damn should have punt on it.

    Malcolm must have been out canvassing for the Nats......
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    Pulpstar said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories are on 40% after 283 results and most of their safe seats haven't declared yet.

    Andy I've lost track - are the Tories on for Overall Maj ?
    Nope, but may not be too far short of half the votes in GB...
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,272
    kle4 said:

    I really don't want Boris as PM though. And we really cannot bloody take a delay for a Tory leadership election, nor do they want another coronation.

    Lab set up well for stonking win in 2022 no matter what. (or a win in 2017 if another election happens).

    If Boris becomes PM and there is say another election in a few months time I think I will pass.

    Cannot stand him.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,797
    Ishmael_Z said:

    numbertwelve said:

    I swear, if we have to through all this again in 3 months...

    If we do I might go cold turkey on pb for the duration, and find out how politics looks to normal people.
    If we could work out what a 'normal' person is we'd be in a much better state ...
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 58,748
    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
    If North Norfolk, Witney and Bath rumours are true, then they will get 12. If they get Kingston too, that makes 13.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 7,204
    Pulpstar said:

    AndyJS said:

    The Tories are on 40% after 283 results and most of their safe seats haven't declared yet.

    Andy I've lost track - are the Tories on for Overall Maj ?
    No, but probably de facto with the DUP and abstaining Shinners...
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,640
    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
  • SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    Pulpstar said:

    spudgfsh said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872996770367909891

    I couldn't think of a better result!
    Neither can Nicola.
    Salmon may be gone, but that won’t shut him up.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Joke I hope.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    AndyJS said:

    SNP held Glasgow East by 75 votes.

    Gone in the Autumn election.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    CON GAIN ABDERDEEN SOUTH
  • trawltrawl Posts: 142
    Sorry did someone say Bham Erdington Lab hold?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    FattyBolger said:

    AndyJS said:

    Tories gain Ayr, Carrick & Cumnock from SNP.

    Wheres MalcolmG?
    Probably feels like I do
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,797
    Corbyn's speech is excellent.

    I can't quite believe I've said that.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,967
    rcs1000 said:

    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
    If North Norfolk, Witney and Bath rumours are true, then they will get 12. If they get Kingston too, that makes 13.
    St Ives possible as well.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    That's quite possible. A two-party race and a much bigger electorate since 1992.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2017
    Corbyn talking rubbish, the Conservatives haven't lost support, they've increased their share by 7% so far.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 74,892
    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    Assuming a conservative government, that is the key point. Given the Brexit timetable (which I'm pretty certain won't be relaxed by our EU interlocutors), there really not much time to mess around, so it has to happen quickly.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,132
    MaxPB said:

    Mortimer said:

    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    Should be Fallon.
    Oh fuck that. He's a walking disaster.
    I'm on team Fallon
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,278
    KentRising said:

    CON GAIN ABDERDEEN SOUTH

    Another one through the middle. Oh yes!
  • woody662woody662 Posts: 255
    I was agent in NW Leics and we increased our vote against Labour by 2000. Can't make sense of all this.
  • The_ApocalypseThe_Apocalypse Posts: 7,830
    MaxPB said:

    The_Apocalypse said:

    May is going, which is a good thing. Someone this incompetent cannot negotiate Brexit.

    But who replaces her? There is a paucity of talent on our front bench.
    I would have said Amber Rudd. But it looks like she's gone. Boris is a no. So I have no idea.
  • houndtanghoundtang Posts: 450
    Corbyn almost certain to be PM now - if not in next few days than within next two years?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,905
    RobD said:

    Pulpstar said:

    47000 votes in Bristol West for Lab - must be the most ever. Surely.

    Some of the NI seats might be higher. North down 1959 the UUP got 51,773.
    They had some election in the 70s or 80s as well where people got 95+%
    AndyJS said:

    RobD said:

    alex. said:

    May is on track to get the biggest number of votes in UK political history.

    She is? :o
    Yes, and she could get 46% overall, the highest since 1970.
    Two party politics can be a bitch when that level of success nets you, well, failure.
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,272
    Corbyn thinks May should go surprise surprise.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Corbyn calls on May to go
  • ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Con gain Dagenham!
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Cruddas defeated!
  • TypoTypo Posts: 195
    Cons gain Dagenham!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 56,021
    AndyJS said:

    Corbyn talking rubbish, the Conservatives haven't lost support, they've increased their share by 7% so far.

    Corbyn's been talking rubbish for the last 40 years!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 121,132
    Con gain Dagenham
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Dag Rainham goes blue
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    How many Scottish Conservative seats is that? And we've still yet to have Edinburgh seats or Stirling.
  • not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,449
    LD Gain Bath!!
  • GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    May looks like she's aged 10-years in a night.
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    edited June 2017
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    kle4 said:

    marke09 said:

    Recount in Ceredigion

    LDs struggling to get above 10 still, several places could be lost or not gained on recounts.
    If North Norfolk, Witney and Bath rumours are true, then they will get 12. If they get Kingston too, that makes 13.
    St Ives possible as well.
    Haven't heard any Bath or St Ives rumours. But possible. The fact that the LDs are struggling to gain Fife NE shows that they're not going to go mad in Scotland with gains.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,172
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    Con gain Dagenham

    YES Daggers!
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    trawl said:

    Sorry did someone say Bham Erdington Lab hold?

    Yes by about 6k
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,407
    Floater said:

    Dag Rainham goes blue

    That's one bet I wasn't expecting to win tonight!
This discussion has been closed.