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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » I’m struggling to make sense of the results, but if Mrs May do

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  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,587
    The report of a Broxtowe majority of 3 turns out wrong - Soubry holds, with a majority of a bit over 800:

    Lib Dems 2247
    Ukip 1477
    Labour 25120
    Greens 681
    Tories 25981
  • OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Edin North and Leith SNP hold
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    A baker's dozen of English middle-class seats that the Tories shouldn't have come close to losing tonight.

    Madness.

    Indeed. Needless.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    GeoffM said:

    Looks like we're going to have to give away Gibraltar to Spain to get a good Brexit deal.

    Gibraltar independence?
    We aren't anyone's to "give away" and we'd fight rather than be occupied.
    Good luck to you fighting without support.

    This is an obvious potential consequence of your position.
    I'll kill a few of the dago bastards before they get me.
    And I won't be the only one.
    We won't go down without spilling some blood.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,932
    Rees-Mogg showing his lack of class.

    Any comment, Charles?
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,736
    new thread
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    The report of a Broxtowe majority of 3 turns out wrong - Soubry holds, with a majority of a bit over 800:

    Lib Dems 2247
    Ukip 1477
    Labour 25120
    Greens 681
    Tories 25981

    being a soft brexiteer may have saved her tonight.

    This much is clear, people want a soft brexit.
  • FattyBolgerFattyBolger Posts: 299

    The statue of May at Dover is going to be 2017's EdStone

    Who built that?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,932
    GeoffM said:

    GeoffM said:

    Looks like we're going to have to give away Gibraltar to Spain to get a good Brexit deal.

    Gibraltar independence?
    We aren't anyone's to "give away" and we'd fight rather than be occupied.
    Good luck to you fighting without support.

    This is an obvious potential consequence of your position.
    I'll kill a few of the dago bastards before they get me.
    And I won't be the only one.
    We won't go down without spilling some blood.
    I refer the dishonourable gentleman to my previous comment.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,249
    Pulpstar said:

    This election has been completely lost on the dementia tax.

    Oldies lost their goodies, young-uns were offered lots of goodies, and their parents benefited too, plus May wobble and had no chat.

    That, plus the arrogance and hubris of the campaign, you could see how seats could be lost. But not *those* seats, and I'm astonished Labour have advanced so far under bloody Corbyn.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,932

    The statue of May at Dover is going to be 2017's EdStone

    Who built that?
    Heck, I'd do it for a price.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,317

    MaxPB said:

    Whatever happens, the Cameroons have to be brought back in from the cold. Gove needs a big role and we need Osborne back, maybe he can stand in Maidenhead when Theresa stands down.

    What's Osborne going to offer ?

    Higher student fees ? Higher house prices ? More borrowing to fund vanity projects ?
    Support from social liberals. Theresa May has taken us for granted with her shit policies. While the socialist liberal, fiscally dry wing of the party is small, there are enough of us that they need us to turn out. Loads of people I know weren't happy with her but voted out of a sense of duty. Over a whole country that translates into a lot of lost votes and a swing to Labour in seats like Battersea and even Canterbury where we did awfully among young people.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,497
    Pulpstar said:

    This election has been completely lost on the dementia tax.

    The little piece of analysis ITV just did suggests that shouldn't be overestimated. It's true Labour made up ground amongst the Oldies, but the big swings were in areas where there was a strong Young vote.

    Seems it was the yoof wot won it.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,249

    The statue of May at Dover is going to be 2017's EdStone

    Except no-one really knew about that.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    MaxPB said:

    Whatever happens, the Cameroons have to be brought back in from the cold. Gove needs a big role and we need Osborne back, maybe he can stand in Maidenhead when Theresa stands down.

    I think his arsing about trolling tezza in the campaign is yet another example of his being too clever for his own good. He didn't foresee a result so finely balanced that his sabotage might have made a difference, just as he didn't foresee the tory maj of 2015 and having to perform on the euref guarantee or the long-term problems caused by the ftpa, or indeed anything much. He is useless, lazy and treacherous.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,249
    Labour Hold Broxtowe.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Pulpstar said:

    This election has been completely lost on the dementia tax.

    she lost the narrative after that not just the policy, tho looking at the stunning tory losses in the south, they would have a majority without it.


    and you all said it was a good policy.pfffff
  • El_SidEl_Sid Posts: 145
    Were you up for Salmond?
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,932
    kle4 said:

    Closer in Edinburgh West than I'd thought.

    GeoffM said:

    Looks like we're going to have to give away Gibraltar to Spain to get a good Brexit deal.

    Gibraltar independence?
    We aren't anyone's to "give away" and we'd fight rather than be occupied.
    Good luck to you fighting without support.

    This is an obvious potential consequence of your position.
    Are we back on that nonsense?
    Why is it nonsense?
  • MimusMimus Posts: 56
    jonny83 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Ruth Davidson is amazing.

    She really is.
    Her political career will still end in failure.

    Just as Alex Salmond's just has.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    edited June 2017

    The statue of May at Dover is going to be 2017's EdStone

    Who built that?
    The good people of Kent. Sadly, Canterbury didn't get the memo....
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    El_Sid said:

    Were you up for Salmond?

    Ooooh yes :)
  • DevonblueDevonblue Posts: 6
    Tories have won Mansfield. Not surprised, husband's home town, both his grandads were miners, family labour to their core but mum in law told me she'd voted Tory this time. Really anti Corbyn, pro Brexit constituency.
  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917

    Labour Hold Broxtowe.

    Lol! Hate the woman but will take evry blue hold at this point.
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Lib Dems called for recount in Ceredigion 150 votes between them and Plaid apparently some votes for both parties found in Labour and Con bundles
  • BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,755
    Pong said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Scott_P said:

    @PolhomeEditor: Conservatives now expecting to win more than 12 seats in Scotland. Absolutely incredible. #GE2017

    YAY

    And Yay yay and thrice yay for TSE >9.5 tip, which goes some way to balancing the books.
    With respect to TSE, I believe it was @GeoffM who first tipped that bet at 20/1
    That's right. thank you geoffm. i managed to get on at 20/1.
  • ProdicusProdicus Posts: 658
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,830
    marke09 said:

    Lib Dems called for recount in Ceredigion 150 votes between them and Plaid apparently some votes for both parties found in Labour and Con bundles

    Sounds like a lot to overcome though. I wish them well, it'd be good for them to have at least one seat in all the GB nations.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,486
    MaxPB said:

    Whatever happens, the Cameroons have to be brought back in from the cold. Gove needs a big role and we need Osborne back, maybe he can stand in Maidenhead when Theresa stands down.

    I wonder if Osborne regrets standing down........
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    second recount in Ceredigion
  • houndtanghoundtang Posts: 450
    anna soubry wasting no time in applying the knife
  • Part of me thinks I will be rejoining the Tories soon back in England and part of me think I can never forgive them for this.
  • camelcamel Posts: 815
    barrow hold, wow
  • marke09marke09 Posts: 926
    Looks like Wales will be a Lib Dem free zone
  • kjohnwkjohnw Posts: 1,456
    rudd holds on
  • DevonblueDevonblue Posts: 6
    Delighted, well done Amber
  • DevonblueDevonblue Posts: 6
    James Cleverley being tipped as Tory leadership candidate on LBC
This discussion has been closed.