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The people have vindicated May's stance: No government is better than a bad government.HaroldO said:This is the worst possible result, but all I can see on facebook is "huh, huh at least the Tories won't win". Labour or Tory government is better than no government!
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MaxPB said:
Have to say, this was the worst Tory campaign I've ever seen. Theresa May needs to go, even if we scrape 330 seats like we have now
And beg Dave and George to come back.MaxPB said:Have to say, this was the worst Tory campaign I've ever seen. Theresa May needs to go, even if we scrape 330 seats like we have now
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If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?0
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My only bet was Labour under 120. LOL!0
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George Osborne is pissing himself0
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This is so bloody hung this parliament.0
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Erm, no they didn't. The Tories are still well ahead, just not far enough ahead.socialliberal said:The public were asked if you wanted Teresa May or a Marxist. They chose the Marxist!
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Maybe the young have come good? Be very interested to get a sense of turnout.SouthamObserver said:This exit poll is bollocks. This is 1992 all over again.
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Exit poll identical to last time suggests the eventual result will be the same as last time: a small Tory majority.
Interest in the detail: I'm certain from canvassing in Birmingham that Labour hasn't done very well in the Midlands and North. Therefore Labour has made big % gains in the South and London and some (very) surprising gains. Also, the Tories must've won quite a lot of SNP seats, so the Tories have actually gone backwards in England overall.
Crazy.0 -
Hopefully with George. What a mess.FrancisUrquhart said:If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?
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I think it overstates Labour. But clearly not likely to be 50 odd seats out.SouthamObserver said:This exit poll is bollocks. This is 1992 all over again.
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Soft Brexit now. And May will be gone as soon as politically possible.Chris said:If this exit poll is right, then it is difficult to see how the Tories can govern on the basis of hard Brexit. So will political expediency prevail, and will the Tories ditch May in favour of someone with a more pragmatic approach? If so, who?
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Literally no sign of this on the ground, but BBC saying treat Scottish numbers with caution.dodrade said:Scottish Labour in biggest comeback since Lazarus perhaps?
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Boris has been on the warpath for 2 weeks.jonny83 said:
1922 committee will get those letters very quick.AHMatlock said:Well, if the exit poll is accurate or very close, I'm not sure how Theresa May can survive as leader. Surely the Backbench will want her out fast unless the majority is at least as large as Cameron, and even that May not be enough...
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That Philip Hammond bet for Prime Minister after the election is suddenly looking a lot better than a 500/1 shot.0
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GBPUSD tanked 200 pips already.0
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What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.0
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So who was planning on watching the exit poll then getting some sleep?
Not happening now!0 -
I am rich
Cashed out all bets
Thanks PB Tories for being so bullish.0 -
Gold Standard!TheScreamingEagles said:Hats off to Survation
And maybe the way Momentum packed the panels was by the cunning ruse of converting the electorate...0 -
By then the Conservatives could be standing on a 'no Brexit' manifesto.FrancisUrquhart said:If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?
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It could go the other way.TheScreamingEagles said:
Well in 2015 they predicted Con 316, Con ended up on 331Razedabode said:..how often are these exit polls wrong?!
Tories are relying on Lynton. So so heavily.0 -
they are far more accurate these dayskle4 said:
How far out was it in 1992? Because unless it is by 50 Con seats, we won't have a result which resulted in a more stable situation than the one we started with.SouthamObserver said:This exit poll is bollocks. This is 1992 all over again.
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BBC figures suggest no difference in regional swings.Dadge said:Exit poll identical to last time suggests the eventual result will be the same as last time: a small Tory majority.
Interest in the detail: I'm certain from canvassing in Birmingham that Labour hasn't done very well in the Midlands and North. Therefore Labour has made big % gains in the South and London and some (very) surprising gains. Also, the Tories must've won quite a lot of SNP seats, so the Tories have actually gone backwards in England overall.
Crazy.
However that might be where it is wrong, if it is.0 -
Why are they all being so cautious about the exit poll?0
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No Theresa is better than a bad Theresa.Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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Survation bang on again?Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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Remember, the exit poll tends to underestimate the Tories. Could still get a Con majority of 1,2,3,4 or 5. Lol.0
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I hope a few of you had a wager on Gower when I tipped Labour at 6/1 3 weeks ago.
It looks as if I'm quids in and the drinks are on me tonight.0 -
Boris Johnson as PM after the GE - who then gets a new deal with Europe and a 2nd EU referendum?0
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Right time to sign off, before I get egg on my face with the increased Tory majority :')0
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Ming Campbell rules out Labour deal with Corbyn or deal with Tories because of hard Brexit, so it looks that if the exit poll is right the Tories will have to agree to a soft Brexit if they want LD support0
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YesRichard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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Is it just me or is this exit poll a lot like 2015?0
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If we pull it off and win FST and that dozy woman failing means another election in the autumn I will be seriously seriously annoyed.0
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Triumph for You Gov
Lada for May0 -
So when I said Theresa May is a pound shop Gordon Brown and got grief...0
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So, looks like the youth have actually turned out then, learnt their lesson after Brexit?0
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Can you imagine Juncker's face now?Roger said:
Pessimist! Great news for those who want to destroy Brexit. My French chums won't think we're all shits anymoreSouthamObserver said:This exit poll is bollocks. This is 1992 all over again.
This would kill off hard Brexit. That's why it can't be right. It would be too good to be true.
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Wish I hadn't put that tenner on Hemsworth.0
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Thornbury is pissing herself. She cannot contain her glee. To be fair I'd be the same if I were her.0
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So assuming the same error range, that gives Con range now of 298-329, yes?TheScreamingEagles said:
Well in 2015 they predicted Con 316, Con ended up on 331Razedabode said:..how often are these exit polls wrong?!
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Has this poll been weighted appropriately or should we be adding half a dozen extra points to the Conservatives?0
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If it is wrong slightly in Tory fabour, they have a narrow majority and can keep going much as they did before. If it is wrong toward Labour's favour, them despite no coalition it will be a progressive alliance arrangement under PM Corbyn.FrancisUrquhart said:If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?
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At least we will get Soft Brexit now....0
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Me too!rcs1000 said:Argyll & Bute, 6-1 LibDem shot. PLEASE.
SLAB taking Glasgow and Paisley seats will suit my finances nicely. I put a fiver or more on each on SLAB at 10-20.0 -
But it isn't though, passing mediocre laws is better than no laws at all! This isn't a game, we have the shitshow that is Brexit coming up and having a triumvirate government is appalling.williamglenn said:
The people have vindicated May's stance: No government is better than a bad government.HaroldO said:This is the worst possible result, but all I can see on facebook is "huh, huh at least the Tories won't win". Labour or Tory government is better than no government!
I would prefer Corbyn or Farron being PM.
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I think this means Nick Timothy gets his p45.0
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what are the voting percentages of the exit poll over UK and Scotland0
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Con need 327 for majority on Betfair.
Need to outperform Exit by 13.0 -
No we won't - that wasn't within the gift of the Tories.The_Apocalypse said:At least we will get Soft Brexit now....
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Not as bad as Brexit Mr NabaviRichard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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North East was supposed to be bad for Labour. So we should get an idea from the swing in Sunderland if exit polls is completely off0
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Wheres Martin Boon
Hope he gets sacked
Tosser0 -
Battersea goes on this I would have thought. One of the Swindon seats, both Plymouth seats?ThomasNashe said:Anyone know what's happening in Putney? Justin Greening could be in trouble?
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It went insane last June. Tory Brexiteers indulged themselves ahead of the country and are now paying the price.Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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No matter the actual result, the media are lapping up the possibility of a hung Parliament.FrancisUrquhart said:What a fucking shit show.....
R5 presenters can't contain their glee...champagne corks are popping there.0 -
Yes. We must be patient.SouthamObserver said:
Can you imagine Juncker's face now?Roger said:
Pessimist! Great news for those who want to destroy Brexit. My French chums won't think we're all shits anymoreSouthamObserver said:This exit poll is bollocks. This is 1992 all over again.
This would kill off hard Brexit. That's why it can't be right. It would be too good to be true.0 -
Really?bigjohnowls said:Wheres Martin Boon
Hope he gets sacked
Tosser0 -
Merkel, Macron, and Juncker must be so bloody ecstatic.0
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And what happens when one single piece of manifesto promise doesn't go through for Labour, there would be anarchy.kle4 said:
If it is wrong slightly in Tory fabour, they have a narrow majority and can keep going much as they did before. If it is wrong toward Labour's favour, them despite no coalition it will be a progressive alliance arrangement under PM Corbyn.FrancisUrquhart said:If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?
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It's Hillary Clinton all over again, isn't it?0
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I feel like remainers did last year......catastrophe and national humiliation. fuck0
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Quite possibly right on both, possibly PM Hammond with LD support he would have a majority but would inevitably be a UKIP surge too and that could put Corbyn in No 10 next time. Politically may be more sensible for the Tories to go into opposition if this exit poll is right, put Boris in as opposition leader on a hard Brexit platform and let Corbyn deal with the EU and agree concessions on immigration, 100 billion euros etcCasino_Royale said:
Soft Brexit now. And May will be gone as soon as politically possible.Chris said:If this exit poll is right, then it is difficult to see how the Tories can govern on the basis of hard Brexit. So will political expediency prevail, and will the Tories ditch May in favour of someone with a more pragmatic approach? If so, who?
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Bristol East too.hunchman said:
Battersea goes on this I would have thought. One of the Swindon seats, both Plymouth seats?ThomasNashe said:Anyone know what's happening in Putney? Justin Greening could be in trouble?
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Could be totally different swing in North from the South. Southampton Itchen almost certainly Labour on this I would have thought.AndreaParma_82 said:North East was supposed to be bad for Labour. So we should get an idea from the swing in Sunderland if exit polls is completely off
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Losers if the poll is confirmed: Mail, Sun, Telegraph, Facebook video creators. How sad!not_on_fire said:ICM "Gold standard" buried once and for all
The rumour that Rudd is in trouble in Hastings fits with the reports that Labour was doing well in SE and SW.0 -
Vindicated Corbyn's decision to green light the poll too.TheScreamingEagles said:Theresa May has vindicated Gordon Brown's decision not to hold an election in 2007
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They don't do VI, just seats.scotslass said:what are the voting percentages of the exit poll over UK and Scotland
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This feels worse, I don't care whom is in government most of the time as long as we have one.FattyBolger said:I feel like remainers did last year......catastrophe and national humiliation. fuck
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Or hung, drawn and quartered!Pong said:I think this means Nick Timothy gets his p45.
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If this is brodly accurat, can we please elect a proper leader for the Conservative party and then have anouther election in 2 mouths?
P.S. It gives me no joy to say this but about 3 hours ago, I did predict this. Well I posted 335 +/- 20 Seats which is out by 1.0 -
Reading East could be vulnerable.hunchman said:
Battersea goes on this I would have thought. One of the Swindon seats, both Plymouth seats?ThomasNashe said:Anyone know what's happening in Putney? Justin Greening could be in trouble?
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George doing what? Were the voters pining for the return of Osborne to Downing St?DavidL said:
Hopefully with George. What a mess.FrancisUrquhart said:If this is the result we surely be doing all this again fairly shortly?
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All may had to do was brexit, immigration, protect the oldies and promise to chuck a bit more cash the nhs...That's all.0
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New boundaries must be a goner
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It really is. No stable government at all and Brexit to negotiate. Total disaster.Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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Only 10 Scottish constituencies exit polled. Would still be surprised if SNP go below 40.AramintaMoonbeamQC said:
Literally no sign of this on the ground, but BBC saying treat Scottish numbers with caution.dodrade said:Scottish Labour in biggest comeback since Lazarus perhaps?
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Yes and no, the Tory campaign was just awful.Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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Huh? Don't know what you mean there.kle4 said:
No we won't - that wasn't within the gift of the Tories.The_Apocalypse said:At least we will get Soft Brexit now....
If this exit poll is true, it also shows that people aren't listening to DM and The Sun anymore, which is good news:)0 -
You've got to be joking if you think that would be a winner. Brexit is dead in the water.HYUFD said:
Quite possibly right on both, possibly PM Hammond with LD support he would have a majority but would inevitably be a UKIP surge too and that could put Corbyn in No 10 next time. Politically may be more sensible for the Tories to go into opposition if this exit poll is right, put Boris in as opposition leader on a hard Brexit platform and let Corbyn deal with the EU and agree concessions on immigration, 100 billion euros etcCasino_Royale said:
Soft Brexit now. And May will be gone as soon as politically possible.Chris said:If this exit poll is right, then it is difficult to see how the Tories can govern on the basis of hard Brexit. So will political expediency prevail, and will the Tories ditch May in favour of someone with a more pragmatic approach? If so, who?
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I can't get over that SNP number, 34?0
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All these people saying "now it's soft Brexit". Could somebody explain what "soft Brexit "means?0
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I think it was Tory Remainers in the Remain cities that will have been a big factor. People could live with a new policy on social care.atia2 said:Delurking to ask how the PB Tories imagined that a campaign this vacuous and this inept would have no electoral consequences? If that were true, we might as well do away with election campaigns altogether.
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What is the implied swing - does anyone know?0
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You know I heard this sound, like a mass rubbing of hands.
I think it came from DUP headquarters several miles away.....0 -
Can I recommend Kanga pants for PB Tories whose buttocks have been clenched to an unbearable level.0
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Exactly. Tories shouldn't have treated the country with contempt by putting up such a shite manifesto.JonathanD said:
It went insane last June. Tory Brexiteers indulged themselves ahead of the country and are now paying the price.Richard_Nabavi said:What an unmitigated disaster. The country has gone utterly insane.
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ReallyRobD said:
Really?bigjohnowls said:Wheres Martin Boon
Hope he gets sacked
Tosser0 -
BREXIT GETS OVERTURNED
YIPEEEE!!0 -
Remain in the single market and customs unionalex. said:All these people saying "now it's soft Brexit". Could somebody explain what "soft Brexit "means?
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Robert HuttonVerified account @RobDotHutton 2m2 minutes ago
Might the exit poll be wrong? Absolutely, and one way in which it might be is postal ballots.0 -
Nobody knows. Even if it's possible...alex. said:All these people saying "now it's soft Brexit". Could somebody explain what "soft Brexit "means?
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