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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » While we await the Cummings presser my nomination for the bookshelf of the pandemic
My nomination for the book shelf of the pandemic https://t.co/96GyYQTOFC
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Dom does love his drama.
They are interested in the spirit of them. And the way they were commonly understood to apply.
If they were understood incorrectly...Well who's fault was that?
In case anyone was wondering what a Dominic Cummings speech looks like:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CDbRxH9Kiy4
https://www.england.nhs.uk/statistics/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2020/05/COVID-19-daily-announced-deaths-25-May-2020.xlsx
The Middle Class was quite prepared.
But as it is! . . . My language fails!
Go out and govern New South Wales!"'
We need more Covid cases. Think of the vaccine trials.
He could do his soft soap interview next week about making a panicked decision, the difficulties of having an autistic child, etc etc etc and be back in government before Christmas.
And Boris could have done a press conference, giving the big dangers of Covid, he knows personally, can't have one rule for one, protect the great NHS, yadda yadda yadda.
* except me, who is working.
Ladbrokes: 6/4 go, 1/2 stay
PP/Betfair: 5/4 go, 4/7 stay
I actually though agree with him that what matters is the word reasonable. I said the other day that reasonable is a word used in law for good reason just as David says.
Whether his actions are legal or not depend upon whether they were reasonable in his circumstances. I completely agree with that 100%.
https://twitter.com/thetimesscot/status/1264901080326029315
However, if you compare the response to the cases, it's very clear that you have:
- Fast growth -> Response -> Slow decline -> Complacency -> Fast growth -> Strong response -> decline
So any theory that's based on something *not* involving the response can't be much of the story, or you wouldn't see the growth phases before the response and during the complacency period.
Also the shambles probably helped a bit, because after screwing up the cruise ship situation so badly, the government took the thing seriously enough to do the early response (cancel events, WFH where possible, close schools).
Which is why he so hated by vested interests of all types.
Same as I would any normal member of the public in those circumstances
If his child is autistic then some of the flak will go but still why didn’t he just make a statement on Saturday .
He must surely realize that saying anything that isn’t true will definitely be the end .
If the child doesn’t have any specific issues then I’m not sure an apology will wash now .
Nobody is talking about Professor Pantsdown, and he is still assisting the government and nailed on come a second wave he will be back on SAGE in person.
Cummings aside, looking at the amended regulations it is now legal to move home.
My question is:
Is it therefore legal to move in with others?
I don't see anything in the guidance specifically prohibiting it or addressing it at all.
https://www.gov.uk/guidance/government-advice-on-home-moving-during-the-coronavirus-covid-19-outbreak
And people will say bollocks it's one law for you and another for the plebs.
In other words, it will be classic Dom. Its only purpose is to be classic Dom.
Though as it happens and as I said after saying he could be wrong: I agree with him. I said to you on Saturday that reasonable has a meaning in law and is used for a good reason. Here David Allen Green is saying the exact same thing as I said three days ago.
You didn't agree with me on Saturday. Do you agree with David when he's now saying the same thing I said?
I hope Cummings comes out swinging. I think they’ve made a terrible error, but he might as well go down fighting.
"The contrast is glaring with other countries where experts – not politicians – lead briefings to the public on the reasons for evolving policies and the risks involved. Even in Sweden, whose approach to the pandemic has been controversial and at odds with its European neighbours, the nightly updates, including admissions of error, by the country’s health chief, Anders Tengell, have been a model of clarity and made him something of a national hero. It’s been reported that some people have his image tattooed on their arms. I do not think this is an honour Cummings will be receiving just now."
https://twitter.com/Snewsma/status/1264815843889864704
Dragged, usually by a horse, on a wooden frame to the place where he was to be publicly put to death.
Hanged by the neck for a short time or until almost dead (hanged).
Removed from hanging and placed on a table. Still alive, the victim was cut open in the abdomen and his intestines and sex organs removed The removed organs were burned in a flame, prepared close to the prisoner.
The victim's head was cut off, and the rest of the body hacked into four parts or quarters (quartered).
My theory is that Johnson will further promote him to distract the proles whenever necessary. He will be a Duke, General and bishop this time next year.
After the spike in domestic violence cases was reported advice was issued saying that if a couple has a bad argument it is ok for one partner to move into a friend's home to cool down for a few days.
Not an example under the law but again covered by being reasonable. Stepping away to cool down can be better than feeling trapped until someone resorts to violence.
It was anecdotes from the Crouch End coffee shops which predicted the Labour general election win in 2015.
Thatcher was opposed to UK involvement in a Federal EU even as PM she did not advocate the UK leaving the EEC as Foot did.
Roy Jenkins was classic liberal left though
https://www.cbsnews.com/news/social-media-video-shows-lake-of-the-ozarks-packed-for-memorial-day-weekend-amid-coronavirus-pandemic/
“The rule that you are to love your neighbour becomes in law, you must not injure your neighbour; and the lawyer's question, Who is my neighbour? receives a restricted reply. You must take reasonable care to avoid acts or omissions which you can reasonably foresee would be likely to injure your neighbour. Who, then, in law, is my neighbour? The answer seems to be – persons who are so closely and directly affected by my act that I ought reasonably to have them in contemplation as being so affected when I am directing my mind to the acts or omissions which are called in question.“ - Donoghue v Stevenson [1932] UKHL 100
His actions put at risk people he should have had directly in contemplation as being infected by he virus he and his wife were carrying if they came into contact with them. It’s that basic. There were alternatives, up to and including social services, that would have better protected his legally defined “neighbours”, thus his actions were clearly unreasonable and a court will hold the same.
Its also possible that many of the dead oldies are being recorded under different causes.
Looks like starting to hit Gothenburg, Malmo still basically unaffected.
Hong Kong needs a controversial new security law to tackle "growing terrorism", the territory's security chief has said.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-52794433
The requirement is for it to be reasonable. Never needs or needed to be "all" and I believe people are individuals.
Two people can face the same situation and make different choices with both being reasonable.
I don't accept that social services come before family nor did the DCMO who put family before social services.
Most of the Lobby know Cummings well, and the vast majority really don't like him for a whole number of reasons.
He's also much more intelligent than the hacks, and with a very sharp idea of how the public thinks and reacts.
Whatever the outcome, it's going to be must-watch TV.
I bet Keir can't imagine he would get this lucky.
Most normal people would not have gone and put their aged parents at risk.
Knowing they had the virus.
However most normal people would think you are a complete bastard to drive 250 miles to do that.
https://twitter.com/RossMcCaff/status/1264897646482919431?s=20
But this isn't normal times, everybody with a medical condition is being locked away. My folks haven't been out the house in 3 months.