Three Tory winners tonight. Ruth Davidson, David Cameron, & George Osborne
An unmitigated disaster for the Tories that none of them are MPs
Watching Osborne and Balls on ITV - you get the impression they both hugely regret not standing considering they both would have been well placed had they been re-elected!
FFS, we're stuck with the BBC Scotland coverage here while there are actually English results coming in which are not being covered at all. Ridiculous.
Isn't BBC1 England available anywhere down the EPG? Or is it on BBC News or Parliament?
Think Curtice has underestimated how much postal voters will have trended to the Tories, relative to on-the-day voters, compared to last time. Tory majority on.
Could be.
Postals skew old - old swinging anti-Corbyn due to traditional views on defence, terrorism etc.
@paulwaugh: Tory insiders at CCHQ saying Tory Remainers stayed at home, one source says. No wonder Osbo happy.
Not all of us. Some of us voted...
I went Lib Dem. Although another poster laughed at me, the voting ID part of the referendum did it for me.
Though I'm in a safe Cons constituency. If I was in a Lab-Con marginal it would have been Con. Although perhaps not if Leadsom had been the Con candidate ....
Sunderland South had a swing of over 3% to the Conservatives.
Yet I think the exit poll predicts no Conservative gains in England.
Now we'll certainly see differential results across the country but if there are some Lab to Con swings of 3% or over there's likely to be some Conservative gains in England.
Which is what Labour were expecting before the exit poll.
I have a huge problem if the young swing this vote. They believe in the magic money tree (bank of mum an dad) and have no grasp of the truly poisonous nature of Marxism. I really am scared for what's going to happen
If the Tories do get a majority whoever leads them I would be tempted for softish Brexit, ie try and stay in the single market in some form and with the 'transition controls' Blair failed to implement 'cashed in now' but otherwise leaving free movement and some continued payments to the EU but maybe not 100 billion euros. Katya Adler said the EU wanted clarity with the UK, they have not even got that now
Question - what do people think of the Lib Dems? They were predicted to be nearly wiped out. Not on this exit poll. What is happening here?
1997 levels of tactical voting - I bet an 8-10% vote share as suggested in polls will be accurate but people have put 2015 behind them. Scotland probably the bulk of those gains though.
Jack Straw says he would be 'delighted' if Labour make gains under Corbyn despite having made previous predictions that he would lead Labour to oblivion
I wonder how many will be begging to get back into the shadow cabinet now.
Osborne raises a good point. May said if she loses 6 seats she has lost the election. So if she does actually lose 6 seats, even if beating the exit poll, how can she form a government?
I have a huge problem if the young swing this vote. They believe in the magic money tree (bank of mum an dad) and have no grasp of the truly poisonous nature of Marxism. I really am scared for what's going to happen
I've heard people taking the line of 'the elderly screwed us, lets fuck them'. It's immature, but a genuine feeling. Not entirely unfounded.
Jack Straw says he would be 'delighted' if Labour make gains under Corbyn despite having made previous predictions that he would lead Labour to oblivion
I wonder how many will be begging to get back into the shadow cabinet now.
The more the better....
The more back in it the better, or the more who beg the better?
Comments
No wonder Osbo happy.
Not all of us. Some of us voted...
Sod it. I'm not enamoured with the Conservatives, and I think Corbyn's a clown. This is all hilarious.
Can you overdose on popcorn?
Nobody's fault but his own.
Though given Kellner still gets work it probably doesn't matter how wrong they are.
Postals skew old - old swinging anti-Corbyn due to traditional views on defence, terrorism etc.
What is going on
I'd want multiple sources (preferably hard data from counts going straight to Messina) to believe it.
At 550-1 it would be my best bet ever by a long long way.
Though I'm in a safe Cons constituency. If I was in a Lab-Con marginal it would have been Con. Although perhaps not if Leadsom had been the Con candidate ....
This was the outcome that I wanted, albeit not what I predicted.
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Sheffield Hallam looking closer than 2015.
Yet I think the exit poll predicts no Conservative gains in England.
Now we'll certainly see differential results across the country but if there are some Lab to Con swings of 3% or over there's likely to be some Conservative gains in England.
Which is what Labour were expecting before the exit poll.
Honestly at this point I think this Exit Poll is the biggest load of bollx since god knows when.
I'm laying NOM....