politicalbetting
Home› General

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sign In Register

Categories

Options

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The results so far have developed not necessarily to Remain

1…678911

Comments

  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Pulpstar said:

    This is over.

    I seem to remember declaring 1.86 free money last year too!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Nationally now Leave 50.9% Remain 49.1%
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    KentRising said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    GarethoftheVale2 said:

    Leave 3% above par in Merton

    KentRising said:

    Merton, at 67% for Remain, par.

    Which is it?
    Merton only 62.9% Remain, so I'm wrong. 3% below par for Remain there.
    In line with Hanretty's figures.
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    williamglenn said:

    hunchman said:

    Caroline Spelman is the Tory version of Angela Eagle!

    Harsh.
    She's just said a falling pound is bad for the West Midlands exporters! Goodness a Tory MP with no comprehension of basic economics!
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    Good to hear!
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    Leave past 5 million votes. 50.7%
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited June 2016
    Did anyone take 15/1 a few hours ago? I remember someone saying they were going to "have a nibble".
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    S Somerset and S Ribble and Erewash are OUT
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    BBC - this isn't about the EU.

    I think you'll find it is.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Haringey Remain 74% Leave 26%
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Leave 157k ahead
  • Options
    MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642
    edited June 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    I very nearly lost 5 figures. Congratulations on your profits, well played.
  • Options
    IndigoIndigo Posts: 9,966
    PlatoSaid said:

    tlg86 said:

    16 and 17 year olds could have made all the difference (had they been allowed to vote).

    And your point is caller? That naive and idealistic voters favour a certain POV?
    So could 14 & 15 years olds.... votes for junior school pupils anyone ?
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Crossover for the nth time.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    Well done!
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Has there been about £30m wagered on BF since the polls closed?
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    KentRising said:

    BBC - this isn't about the EU.

    I think you'll find it is.

    Head...desk...thud....
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    AndyJS said:

    If Birmingham votes Leave it really is over I think.

    Yes. London can only cancel out the Shires.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Carlisle out.
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,221
    Thrasher saying 53% Leave
  • Options
    CookieCookie Posts: 11,547
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    It is interesting...several years ago it was all thought naively that Tory voters on the whole wanted to leave, Labour remain.

    What we are seeing are huge areas of working class areas that used to be Labour heartlands going stongly Leave, and it seems the richer SE Tory areas IN.

    Yes, good point. This is getting hidden when the party splits are examined - Labour voters break heavily for Remain, but that's because Labour are no longer the party of the WWC. At the risk of wildly over-simplifying, All those Labour Remain voters are middle-class public sector workers in London, Manchester and Scotland.
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Thrasher 53:47 forecast
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    Thrasher on Sky now - predicting Leave ahead 53/47
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    edited June 2016
    Thrasher Forecast Model - 53/47 to leave
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,616
    KentRising said:

    Coventry LEAVE!

    Beware the non-London Commonwealth vote!

    Coventry my home during the working week :)
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    AndyJS said:

    Did anyone take 15/1 a few hours ago? I remember someone saying they were going to "have a nibble".

    Yup - but not enough.
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    SeanT said:

    You know, in the end, you don't fuck with the British people.

    and you don't fu*k with Sean Thomas!
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    HYUFD said:

    Haringey Remain 74% Leave 26%

    In line with expectations.
  • Options
    LowlanderLowlander Posts: 941
    Pong said:

    Spin have completely given up

    & Ladbrokes...

    Ladbrokes Politics Verified account 
    ‏@LadPolitics
    Without doubt the craziest, fastest moving political betting market in recent history #EUref


    Brendon Hope ‏@BrendonHope · 43m
    @LadPolitics like taking candy off a baby.


    Like taking candy off a baby, indeed.

    I think (at a late stage) I took £150 off Baby Shadwell.
  • Options
    ChameleonChameleon Posts: 3,902
    Bare in mind that we haven't even started on Yorks. This could get worse for remain.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 59,022
    MP_SE said:

    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    I very nearly lost 5 figures.
    Ouch :(
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    I do not understand one thing. If the WWC are so angry, why are the UKIP not doing much better in by-elections ?
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    John_N4 said:

    Australian, Canadian and Indian voters swing it for Leave - lol

    The Queen's Blessed Commonwealth Of Nations.

    Writing that with Rees-Mogg speaking in the background... oh wow. I'm high on Britishness right now.. ;)
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,268
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Thrasher Forecast Model - 53/47 to leave

    In from 56. The trend is with Remain.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    MK win for Leave.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Milton Keynes Leave 51%
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    Oadby out
    Haringey in
    Halton out
    Yorks and Humber Out
    Gateshead out
    Worcester out
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    KentRising said:

    Coventry LEAVE!

    Beware the non-London Commonwealth vote!

    Coventry my home during the working week :)
    BeLeave. I'm buying shares in the Sunil Sun and making a killing!!!!!!!!!
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    KentRising said:

    BBC - this isn't about the EU.

    I think you'll find it is.

    Head...desk...thud....
    No, it's about waycism, and Jo, and stuff...
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Wirral Remain 52% Leave 48%
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    HYUFD said:

    Haringey Remain 74% Leave 26%

    Remain 1.5% over par there.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    Remain 3% above par in Wirral
  • Options
    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Chameleon said:

    Bare in mind that we haven't even started on Yorks. This could get worse for remain.

    If it's anything like the North East it's going to be painful.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    KentRising said:

    BBC - this isn't about the EU.

    I think you'll find it is.

    I think the BBC have packed up the champagne tonight.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,027
    Just put £200 on leave.. Astounding it is 1.86.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Always been a big fan of Peter Kellner so I'm not gloating just reporting:

    https://twitter.com/PeterKellner1/status/746161085284290560
  • Options
    RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    SeanT said:

    You know, in the end, you don't fuck with the British people.

    Hmm. People in the most marginalised parts of the country took their punishment more quietly than almost any other Europeans did during the Thatcher years.

    Now those areas are voting out.

  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    HYUFD said:

    Milton Keynes Leave 51%

    Wow....how that on the golfing scorecard...I would have naively had it as solid Remain.
  • Options
    FormerToryOrangeFormerToryOrange Posts: 112
    tlg86 said:

    16 and 17 year olds could have made all the difference (had they been allowed to vote).

    Yes, and 10 year old no doubt. But we don't let children vote for good reasons.
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    williamglenn said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Thrasher Forecast Model - 53/47 to leave

    In from 56. The trend is with Remain.
    Clutching at straws
  • Options
    initforthemoneyinitforthemoney Posts: 736
    SeanT said:

    You know, in the end, you don't fuck with the British people.

    the english and welsh people perhaps. apparently you can fuck with the scots a lot.
  • Options
    ChelyabinskChelyabinsk Posts: 488
    tlg86 said:

    16 and 17 year olds could have made all the difference (had they been allowed to vote).

    They'll have to cheer themselves up with a stiff drink- when they're old enough to buy one.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,024
    RodCrosby said:

    Has there been about £30m wagered on BF since the polls closed?

    Yep!
  • Options
    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,986
    KentRising said:

    BBC - this isn't about the EU.

    I think you'll find it is.

    You must be watching a different BBC.

  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Fife Remain 59% Leave 41%
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Just think all the millions and billions the City has wasted to prop up Remain in the betting and currency markets, all the time the small peasants were betting on Leave and selling pounds.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    edited June 2016
    williamglenn said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Thrasher Forecast Model - 53/47 to leave

    In from 56. The trend is with Remain.
    He was quite clear to ignore the first "prediction" as not enough data, so no trend.
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Pulpstar said:

    Just put £200 on leave.. Astounding it is 1.86.

    Keep going, Hanretty says Remain's chances are 0.03%.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Gateshead Leave 57% Remain 43%
  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    hunchman said:

    SeanT said:

    You know, in the end, you don't fuck with the British people.

    and you don't fu*k with Sean Thomas!
    Millions of women beg to differ
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Rushmoor Leave 58%
  • Options
    IanB2IanB2 Posts: 47,575
    Sandpit said:

    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    Well done!
    Well done. I was expecting a solid remain win but even from my starting point I have managed to turn things around and come out with a reasonable profit. Only until I next look at my shares and pension or choose to travel abroad, of course...
  • Options
    pbr2013pbr2013 Posts: 649
    Mortimer said:

    MK win for Leave.

    MK! Benn!
  • Options
    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,221
    Milton Keynes votes to Leave by 51.5 to 48.5
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Sevenoaks votes leave
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    HYUFD said:

    Milton Keynes Leave 51%

    One of the most important bellwethers.
  • Options
    John_N4John_N4 Posts: 553
    Headlines we won't see:
    1) It was Australians, Canadians and Indians that won it
    2) It was the queen that won it, with her last-minute intervention asking for three good reasons to stay in the EU
    3) Was Thomas Mair known to MI5?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Sevenoaks Leave 54% Remain 46%
  • Options
    ArtistArtist Posts: 1,883
    Remain needs a lot more results like Wirral and Stroud and quick.
  • Options
    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    HYUFD said:

    Gateshead Leave 57% Remain 43%

    Blimey, that was 51% Remain on Hanretty's sheet
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    surbiton said:

    AndyJS said:

    If Birmingham votes Leave it really is over I think.

    Yes. London can only cancel out the Shires.
    No it can't. London is not *that* big, despite what people who live there think, especially in terms of eligible voters who turned out to vote.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    Wolverhampton Out...yet another midlands town for Out.
  • Options
    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    edited June 2016
    AndyJS said:

    Did anyone take 15/1 a few hours ago? I remember someone saying they were going to "have a nibble".


    14 for me. £75
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,214
    Wolverhampton Leave 63%

    Lichfield and Ashford vote Leave
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    John_N4 said:

    Australian, Canadian and Indian voters swing it for Leave - lol

    My Canadian girlfriend voted Leave with relish. Something about "if I have to pay for a visa and the NHS subsidy and a UK driving license, so blimmin' well should they..."
  • Options
    DadgeDadge Posts: 2,038
    It is hard to believe people are still matching Leave at 1.8
  • Options
    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    What on earth is going on with Betfair? It's like Nuneaton again last year.
  • Options
    GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 20,943
    tlg86 said:

    Milton Keynes votes to Leave by 51.5 to 48.5

    It's over now yes?
  • Options
    GarethoftheVale2GarethoftheVale2 Posts: 2,002
    Wolverhampton 63% leave
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,156
    Mortimer said:

    rcs1000 said:

    This has been - by a mile - my most profitable betting evening of all time.

    Good to hear!
    Wuss. I'll have you know I won SEVEN WHOLE POUNDS in the London Mayoral. Beat that... :)
  • Options
    CornishBlueCornishBlue Posts: 840
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Wolverhampton Out...yet another midlands town for Out.

    *cough* city
  • Options
    RealBritainRealBritain Posts: 255
    *any other Europeans would do*, I should say there.

    Given the correlation of areas damaged during the 1980s with leave voting, you might very well say It's a reaction to already having been f**** with.
  • Options
    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sevenoaks out
    Neath out
    Wolverhampton out

    Leave 50.9%
  • Options
    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Port Talbot just told the EU where to stick their lack of support for traditional industries.
  • Options
    FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Carlisle LEAVE 8% over par
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,510
    Thrasher will eventually get down to the 52:48 figures that I, ahem, forecast yesterday. I may be dining out on this for some time.
  • Options
    AndrewSpencerAndrewSpencer Posts: 113
    How many London areas left?
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    What the Midlands giveth ( a CON majority), the Midlands taketh away David Cameron.
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    Late in the day but has anyone got a link to Andy's spreadsheet please?
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    I so wish Tony Benn and that rotten scoundrel Edward Heath were around tonight to see this!
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,958
    Mogg is a CLASS ACT.

    He needs to be in cabinet fast.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    Stratford On Avon - Out ...Midlands town again...
  • Options
    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited June 2016
    Great Yarmouth - IN 14,284 - OUT 35,844.

    SKY National 51.3 LEAVE.
  • Options
    alex.alex. Posts: 4,658
    weejonnie said:

    Port Talbot just told the EU where to stick their lack of support for traditional industries.

    UK policy not EU policy
  • Options
    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Great Yarmouth 71.5% out
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Good LEAVE in Yarmouth
  • Options
    OUTOUT Posts: 569
    Dalek returning officer in Great Yarm.
  • Options
    KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,850
    Thurrock Leave 72%!! - 10 points over par!
  • Options
    GideonWiseGideonWise Posts: 1,123
    My brother lives in Sevenoaks. Extremely well to do. Thought it would be REMAIN.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,302
    SeanT said:

    I'm almost crying

    Is that because you have heard the news about increased vino prices from tomorrow?
This discussion has been closed.