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  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: Conservative GAIN Taunton Deane
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Do not understand Con Maj on betfair at all - 1.83!

    Must be profit takers but it's basically free money.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    By the way, things will be a whole load more comfortable with 230 Lab + 50 SNP than if it was 280 Lab because there's no way SNP MPs will show up in Westminster all the time.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    edited May 2015
    Sandpit said:
    »
    Sky on one screen with sound, BBC and Telegraph update pages on one laptop and PB on another - the best election night ever :D<<

    Are you in my house? And you forgot twitter.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    BBC now project 329 Conservative. Whoop!!!!!!!
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Wake up to George Osborne's speech. I'm surprised the BBC aren't showing black framed testcards and playing classical music on all channels.

    Cable and Hughes gone! The latter deservedly so.

    Another recount in Morley? Come on, come on, come on...
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Tories 259 (+22) vs Lab 212 - another 100ish safe-ish Tory seats to go. Only 67 needed.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Purseybear said:

    BBC now project 329 Conservative. Whoop!!!!!!!

    YAY :D:D:D:D:D:D
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @carrieapples: RT: @mjrharris Ed Miliband's entire senior team resigned in last hour. Statement in morning to follow.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Please can we be 100 seats more than Labour. That'd be just lovely.
  • volcanopete
    volcanopete Posts: 2,078
    Norman Lamb holds on to N Norfolk with reduced majority and can begin his leadership bid.
  • SquareRoot
    SquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Scott_P said:

    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY

    Someone PLEASE TELL US
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    Tory lead on national vote share nearly 4% now.
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    watford30 said:

    Wake up to George Osborne's speech. I'm surprised the BBC aren't showing black framed testcards and playing classical music on all channels.

    Cable and Hughes gone! The latter deservedly so.

    Another recount in Morley? Come on, come on, come on...

    Sehr feierlich und sehr langsam...
  • trublue
    trublue Posts: 103
    stjohn said:


    That would be a huge betting story if the Tories just miss out on Betfair but actually get their majority.

    Is it a standard betting rule? Or have Betfair just added it and are completely out of whack with the rest of the industry? If the latter they are going to get a lot of bad publicity with the way this is shaping up.
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Unless there are Con losses still to come, there is a Con Maj even without Speaker.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Prodicus said:

    Sandpit said:
    »
    Sky on one screen with sound, BBC and Telegraph update pages on one laptop and PB on another - the best election night ever :D<<

    Are you in my house? And you forgot twitter.</p>

    BBC, ITV, and Sky TV feeds. Sky Arts web feed. PB.com. Twitter. Job done
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    Scott_P said:

    @carrieapples: RT: @mjrharris Ed Miliband's entire senior team resigned in last hour. Statement in morning to follow.

    Phark!

  • Grandiose
    Grandiose Posts: 2,323
    BBC says recount in morley and Outwood at Labour's request.

    Behind?!
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Scott_P said:

    Prodicus said:

    Sandpit said:
    »
    Sky on one screen with sound, BBC and Telegraph update pages on one laptop and PB on another - the best election night ever :D<<

    Are you in my house? And you forgot twitter.</p>

    BBC, ITV, and Sky TV feeds. Sky Arts web feed. PB.com. Twitter. Job done
    I bet Twitter has been great this evening. :D
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Harry Cole retweeted
    Carrie Symonds ‏@carrieapples 1m1 minute ago London, England
    RT: @mjrharris Ed Miliband's entire senior team resigned in last hour. Statement in morning to follow.

    Keep an eye out for more on this.
  • Luckyguy1983
    Luckyguy1983 Posts: 32,094
    Just woken up. Gutted about UKIP, delighted about the failure of Ed is crap and about the election of so many Tory MPs, let's hope they're up to what the next 5 years is going to throw at them.
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Who has intelligence on Balls' result/recount... which way is it shading?
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    John Curtice for BBC: Cons should be 329 or very close
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    SquareRoot said:

    Scott_P said:

    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY

    Someone PLEASE TELL US
    Apparently Lab asked for the recount, which basically answers your question.
  • EPG
    EPG Posts: 6,739
    Morning all. Well, I can honestly say I didn't expect that!

    I always quite liked the Lib Dems, so I'm sorry that they did so utterly poorly. Some of the results were unlucky. But it indicates that their base didn't have much substance. Perhaps Labour's weakness amid a Conservative government is their next opportunity to rebuild for, what, the fourth time in a hundred years. They have already had many of their lives.

    Congratulations to the Conservatives and SNP, and hard luck to all others. As an Irishman, I see great opportunity in the next five years: we may soon become more familiar with your banks and gain a Celtic ally in Europe! But remember that a few hours ago, this was the election no-one wanted to win.

    The electoral system works unusually, if you don't mind a mildly-critical comment from abroad. Three parties with nationally-minded agendas win nearly 25 per cent votes and nine out of 650 seats. One party with a narrow separatist agenda wins 5 per cent of votes and 56 seats. Really, this is regrettable. I'm not a huge fan of Ukip or the Greens, but their exclusion doesn't mean parliament is more representative.

    As for the substance of this site, this was my first major political betting event. I return home from an election party to see my book in very healthy profit. I thank the gods of betting that I stayed away from Ashcroft polls, after one minor dalliance in Sutton and Cheam. I hope people took my tip to back the DUP in Belfast North at 4/9; they won as handily as the unionist pact ordained. In turn, I took antifrank's long-shot tips on the SNP in their least winnable Central Belt seats.

    Sadly, it's not all wins: I got 2/1 on Mr Galloway, but it seems one term is always enough dis-Respect from George for any constituency. And that Maidstone tip didn't transpire true. I was interested in Labour in many marginals, but somehow managed to only back them in Wirral West! I admit that was luck, not skill. And I'm still awaiting pay-outs on the Tories in the West Country, and my biggest bet, on the Tories in Blackpool North.

    We learn from each other here, and I will pay part of my profits in tithe to the good maintainers of this blog, if the time comes. My thanks to you all, and I hope to continue contributing to this blog as the inevitable mess of this fixed-term parliament proceeds!
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @jameschappers: BBC now predicting Tories 329 Lab 233: a majority Conservative government. Bigger disaster for pollsters than 92?
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    I repeat SNP MPs won't show up all the time, or even often. It will be a lot more comfortable than it might look.
  • nigel4england
    nigel4england Posts: 4,800
    I don't follow Twitter, has our old friend Tim self-combusted yet?
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Saw activity in Leeds.. doesn't look like Balls' seat though
  • watford30
    watford30 Posts: 3,474
    How are the Squirrel Gang today - any sightings of IOS, compouter2 and the other Labour Party shills?
  • richardDodd
    richardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Well done Team PB..BRILLIANT AS USUAL..
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Tissue_Price said:

    SquareRoot said:

    Scott_P said:

    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY

    Someone PLEASE TELL US
    Apparently Lab asked for the recount, which basically answers your question.
    YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Haha Whoop whoop. Fingers crossed.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    Con hold Shipley, Truro, Sussex Mid, Wantage, Bognor Regis - now 262 - Lab stuck on 212
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    watford30 said:

    How are the Squirrel Gang today - any sightings of IOS, compouter2 and the other Labour Party shills?

    compouter2 said "EICIPM" 5 mins before the exit poll was released. We may not see him again. :D:D:D
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Theresa May will get Foreign Sec, apparently.
  • SquareRoot
    SquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    nigel4england said:

    I don't follow Twitter, has our old friend Tim self-combusted yet?

    He is retaining silent mode

    https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius/with_replies
  • Freggles
    Freggles Posts: 3,487
    I just got up after sleeping at 4am.

    We're forecast 8 Lib Dems? Really?
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JamieRoss7: Next person to make this joke gets put in the internet bin. https://t.co/VYPvIlmCZ6
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    The GE page has entirely disappeared from the Ladbrokes site. Anyone? I have a dog in this race.
  • RobinWiggs
    RobinWiggs Posts: 621
    Tissue_Price said:

    SquareRoot said:

    Scott_P said:

    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY

    Someone PLEASE TELL US
    Apparently Lab asked for the recount, which basically answers your question.
    I think a little bit of wee just came out, reading that.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    LD HOLD Leeds NW ?
  • SquareRoot
    SquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    Tissue_Price said:

    SquareRoot said:

    Scott_P said:

    @helenpidd: Hearing there are 260 votes in it - don't know who was the loser on the first count. Ed not answering qs http://t.co/TxyY1ZE6GY

    Someone PLEASE TELL US
    Apparently Lab asked for the recount, which basically answers your question.

    Wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooow
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    edited May 2015
    Is looking very much like the old adage on the polls take, the best Tory score and the worst Labour. Off top of my head best Tory was 36% and worst Labour was 31%....not far off that now with national vote share (35/31)
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Balls recount asked for by Labour.....
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Is looking very much like the old adage on the polls take, the best Tory score and the worst Labour. Off top of my head best Tory was 36% and worst Labour was 31%....not far off that now with national vote share.

    It may end up Tories +7 :D
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    Britain Elects ‏@britainelects 1m1 minute ago
    It looks like Ed Balls is gone. Labour requested the recount.
  • TheKitchenCabinet
    TheKitchenCabinet Posts: 2,275
    Labour List says Balls has lost.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    CON GAIN ST AUSTELL & NEWQUAY
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @paulwaugh: Norman Lamb re-elected. Looks like him and Tim Farron as the two bald men fighting over a LibDem comb
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    Michael Moore concedes defeat dunno who wins
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    edited May 2015
    Con GAIN St Austell and its fine brewery from the LDs,

    LDs hold Leeds NW, somehow.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Dair said:

    Michael Moore concedes defeat dunno who wins

    PLLEEASSEEE can it be a Tory. You already have 55 seats :(
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 10s10 seconds ago
    Source: Ed Balls might be defeated by just 300 votes #GE2015 http://www.itv.com/news/update/2015-05-08/source-ed-balls-might-be-defeated-by-just-300-votes/ …
  • Dair
    Dair Posts: 6,108
    All those Tories voting Lib dem in BRS will feel idiotic.
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    edited May 2015
    LAB GAIN CITY OF CHESTER AND DEWSBURY from Cons
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    BBC has Con +22.

    Mid Dorset not recorded - that makes +23

    That means 330 inc Speaker WITH NO MORE GAINS/LOSSES
  • MyBurningEars
    MyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    Goodbye Sir Robert Edward Russell, it takes a very special type of MP to tell your constituents to "get a life and stop whinging", so you are a very special man.

    Duw genowgh hwi Dan Rogerson! Your proposal to make St Piran's Day a national holiday of Cornwall would have given a couple of hundred thousand people an extra day off work per year, which would have been nice.

    Hail Sir Robert Smith, 3rd Baronet, best wishes for your fight with Parkinson's.
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Labour gain Dewsbury and Chester.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    MikeL said:

    BBC has Con +22.

    Mid Dorset not recorded - that makes +23

    That means 330 inc Speaker WITH NO MORE GAINS/LOSSES

    How?... just,.... how did this happen.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    Labour fightback!
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Cons LOSE Dewsbury and Chester.
  • Charles
    Charles Posts: 35,758
    In the air for Balls.

    Hope that helps

    :lol:
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Please please please...the sprinkles on the cherry on the icing on the cake would be getting a majority on the back of Morley and Outwood....
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    Tories lost Chester to Labour.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    LDs hold Leeds NW by 2,907:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000780
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    A couple of consolation gains for Lab there - Chester and Dewsbury.
  • numbertwelve
    numbertwelve Posts: 7,728
    Labour gain Chester, and Dewsbury.

    Might make the 326 difficult?
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    I'd laugh if I had a heart of stone.
    Scott_P said:

    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...

  • TGOHF
    TGOHF Posts: 21,633
    edited May 2015
    Hearing from good source that recount requested by Ed Balls. He's behind by 300. #GE2015

    James Mates ITV tweet.
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Charles said:

    In the air for Balls.

    Hope that helps

    :lol:

    Good man!
  • RobD
    RobD Posts: 60,609
    Scott_P said:

    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...

    What do you mean, needs 10% of MPs?
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    SeanT said:

    Is cornwall entirely Tory? Kernow bys vyken. Heh.

    St Ives is one of 7 constituencies that start counting later this morning.
  • foxinsoxuk
    foxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Scott_P said:

    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...

    1 MP is 12.5% at present for LDs.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Scott_P said:

    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...

    Roflcopter has been launched....
  • Charles
    Charles Posts: 35,758
    My suggestion for UKIP: elect Nuttal as leader. De-emphasis immigration and Europe and go hell for leather to target Labour's WWC vote in the North/Kent

    Real opportunity to establish your self as one of the major 2 parties.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    Tories lost Chester to Labour.

    The Merseyside effect again, that also did for Esther McVey.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,734
    It seems that when Tories have lost to Labour, they have often increased their vote, but the collapse in Lib Dem have added even more to Labour.
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Those two Labour gains are not good for the Tory overall majority.
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2015
    Lab win Chester by 93 votes:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000640

    Interesting that down the road in north Wales it was the Tories gaining Vale of Clwyd from Labour.
  • Tissue_Price
    Tissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    numbertwelve said:

    Labour gain Chester, and Dewsbury.

    Might make the 326 difficult?

    Nope. Might make 330 tricky depending on these Lab gains.
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    foxinsoxuk said:

    Scott_P said:

    Apparently Lib Dem rules mean leader needs 10% of MPs. They don't have 10 MPs...

    1 MP is 12.5% at present for LDs.
    prizes for all?
  • Prodicus
    Prodicus Posts: 658
    I am suddenly wide awake again. Funny, that.
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Super close in Chester - why no recount? Balls less close...
  • dr_spyn
    dr_spyn Posts: 11,312
    ITV News ‏@itvnews 11s11 seconds ago
    LAB Gain Hove #GE2015
  • KentRising
    KentRising Posts: 2,926
    Lab GAIN Hove.

    Sting in the tail?!
  • JonCisBack
    JonCisBack Posts: 911
    Lab 3 gains in last 5 mins...maybe no maj? Wasn;t expecting those...
  • Plato
    Plato Posts: 15,724
    LAB GAIN HOVE from Cons
  • AndyJS
    AndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Gavin Barwell holds Croydon Central for the Conservatives by 165 votes:

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000654
  • hucks67
    hucks67 Posts: 758
    The Tories massively outspent the other parties in the year running up to polling day and this is a major factor in what has happened. Also I don't think it helped the SNP looking like they would be supporting Labour in government, so English voters have voted to stop that.
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    Don't forget that every 1 LibDem loss in E&W means 2 in … oh, wait ;-)
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    Come on, give us Balls!!!!
  • Scott_P
    Scott_P Posts: 51,453
    @JGForsyth: Senior Ed Miliband aide tells me that it is 'news to them' that they have all resigned
  • MikeL
    MikeL Posts: 7,809
    Now very tight I think.

    Con can't afford any more losses.
  • marke09
    marke09 Posts: 926
    is Bercow still safe as speaker now Cameron has a majority
  • Purseybear
    Purseybear Posts: 766
    BBC now definitely calling a Conservative majority.
  • oxfordsimon
    oxfordsimon Posts: 5,845
    marke09 said:

    is Bercow still safe as speaker now Cameron has a majority

    Let's hope not.

    Force him out.
  • dyedwoolie
    dyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Con would probably like BRS and Morley now, lol
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