Having slept on it it seems obvious what's happened. The English are fed up with the Scots. Sorry but this is ugly and I find it hard to see how anyone can find it very appealing.
My suggestion for UKIP: elect Nuttal as leader. De-emphasis immigration and Europe and go hell for leather to target Labour's WWC vote in the North/Kent
Real opportunity to establish your self as one of the major 2 parties.
I think Suzanne Evans would be better personally. But Nigel really should have stepped back before this GE, brilliant and unfairly maligned as he is.
Having slept on it it seems obvious what's happened. The English are fed up with the Scots. Sorry but this is ugly and I find it hard to see how anyone can find it very appealing.
Not fed up with Scots, just fed up with the SNP moanathon.
The feeling here in the New Statesman office is that this may end up being good for the left; a "proper loss" might prompt some self-examination. Let's wait and see.
Plato Still a little better than the exit poll was predicting for the unionist parties when the SNP were forecast to take every Scottish seat but 1, nonetheless clearly the SNP's night in Scotland, the Tories in England and Wales
Tories now 5% clear in the national vote share...Those pollsters who were on BBC and Sky still claiming that they still got the national vote share right are looking even more stupid.
Ashdown had half a point about the LDs doing what the country needed them to do 5 years ago; they did it well, and have suffered at the ballot box for it.
He then blew it by blaming the Tories for everything and calling them scumbags.
So in conclusion. All pollsters disastrously wrong, LD finished , UKIP going backwards, Tory majority. The SNP won the election for the Tories.
Cameron will have to now govern alone without allies and plenty of moaning over compromises with the SNP and Europe and a tough economy to come. Sound like Major in 1992 alright.
Good morning.
I think they did. SNP MPs may now be powerless on the opposition benches and tire fairly quickly of turning up, particularly if EVFEL passed, and how can it not now?
Dream on , with a wafer thin majority I think they will do very well. Certainly better than the previous Labour donkeys. Will be interesting to see old red face having to work for his money.
Majority still looks too close to call for betting purposes with the speaker rule on Betfair. I wonder how many punters are getting suckered in using TV projections that include the speaker.
Cameron really said he would bring the UK together after 6 weeks of using the Scots as bogeymen?
1. he used the SNP as bogeymen, not the Scots 2. to say the SNP characterised the Cons as bogeymen would qualify as understatement of the year.
it's politics, innit.
Looking at how the SNP have swept the board, the SNP represent a large part of Scotland's vote. Which in effect means Cameron has demonised a large part of Scotland over this campaign. I sincerely doubt Cameron will bring the UK together - it's more divided than it's ever been before.
Plato Still a little better than the exit poll was predicting for the unionist parties when the SNP were forecast to take every Scottish seat but 1, nonetheless clearly the SNP's night in Scotland, the Tories in England and Wales
Majority still looks too close to call for betting purposes with the speaker rule on Betfair. I wonder how many punters are getting suckered in using TV projections that include the speaker.
Nicola is very intelligent, focussed and disciplined.
I don't doubt she's done significantly better than Salmond would have done. Salmond was always limited by his small c conservative North East roots. Glasgow Nicola had no qualms about driving her tanks straight onto Labour's lawn.....
Plato Still a little better than the exit poll was predicting for the unionist parties when the SNP were forecast to take every Scottish seat but 1, nonetheless clearly the SNP's night in Scotland, the Tories in England and Wales
Tories gained 3 seats in Wales, but Labour still have 25 seats to their 11. So not exactly their night in Wales overall.
Cameron really said he would bring the UK together after 6 weeks of using the Scots as bogeymen?
1. he used the SNP as bogeymen, not the Scots 2. to say the SNP characterised the Cons as bogeymen would qualify as understatement of the year.
it's politics, innit.
Looking at how the SNP have swept the board, the SNP represent a large part of Scotland's vote. Which in effect means Cameron has demonised a large part of Scotland over this campaign. I sincerely doubt Cameron will bring the UK together - it's more divided than it's ever been before.
It has exacerbated existing indy divisions of course but it has allowed unionists to vote SNP in the knowledge that the union is not at stake.
Of the 29 seats I've polled in Scotland, the leading party in my snapshot won the seat in 25. Average error on parties’ vote shares was 3.3% @LordAshcroft
Cameron really said he would bring the UK together after 6 weeks of using the Scots as bogeymen?
1. he used the SNP as bogeymen, not the Scots 2. to say the SNP characterised the Cons as bogeymen would qualify as understatement of the year.
it's politics, innit.
Looking at how the SNP have swept the board, the SNP represent a large part of Scotland's vote. Which in effect means Cameron has demonised a large part of Scotland over this campaign. I sincerely doubt Cameron will bring the UK together - it's more divided than it's ever been before.
It has exacerbated existing indy divisions of course but it has allowed unionists to vote SNP in the knowledge that the union is not at stake.
I would say the union is pretty much at stake. Many better hope the SNP don't win a majority at Holyrood in 2016....
Comments
Also still Pudsey et al to come. If they're late, they're close..
Drat.
Just Balls left.
CON HOLD PUDSEY and Warrington S
You can all thank me now
I know feck-owl about betting but I did place this: Foresight maybe...?
SNP 56
Con 1
LD 1
Lab 1
If DUP won't agree to boundary changes under current Act he'll need new Act of Parliament to go back to 650 seats.
Absolute knife edge because there could be Con rebels so 327ish not enough - new Act required to GUARANTEE they go through.
He can't risk Statutory Instrument losing in 2018.
New Statesman:
The feeling here in the New Statesman office is that this may end up being good for the left; a "proper loss" might prompt some self-examination. Let's wait and see.
http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/05/terrible-night-labour-cameron-cruises-victory-ns-liveblog
Bugger, spotted an Edinburgh South bet there, take another £15 quid off my total.
Didn't have the heart to say: Good speech David!..
Their faces said it all. They know it's the end.
2. to say the SNP characterised the Cons as bogeymen would qualify as understatement of the year.
it's politics, innit.
He then blew it by blaming the Tories for everything and calling them scumbags.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000886
Luckyguy1983 - Evans is too smarmy.
Congrats to the Nats!
Ein Reich
Ein Volk
Irn Bru
How many hats have been eaten?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001024
Con + 20 = 327 with Speaker, 326 without.
So OK IF NO MORE LOSSES.
Plus possibility of more gains!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000880
Polling disaster. Millions spent and all the pollsters badly, badly underperform the ARSE of a very very old man. A very cool old man.
(if the rumours in Thanet South are right.)
Nearly 8000.
another value loser!
Lancaster, Waveney, Plymouth Sutton, Bedford, Keighley, Warwick & Leamington, Norwich North, and Crewe & Nantwich.
Several of those could go either way.
Portsmouth South - Con gain from LD.
Mike Hancock loses his deposit as an indy but gains his 30k redundancy payment.
http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/constituencies/E14000884
Southam Observer completely vindicated!
Or have you already factored it in?