By the way, things will be a whole load more comfortable with 230 Lab + 50 SNP than if it was 280 Lab because there's no way SNP MPs will show up in Westminster all the time.
That would be a huge betting story if the Tories just miss out on Betfair but actually get their majority.
Is it a standard betting rule? Or have Betfair just added it and are completely out of whack with the rest of the industry? If the latter they are going to get a lot of bad publicity with the way this is shaping up.
Harry Cole retweeted Carrie Symonds @carrieapples 1m1 minute ago London, England RT: @mjrharris Ed Miliband's entire senior team resigned in last hour. Statement in morning to follow.
Just woken up. Gutted about UKIP, delighted about the failure of Ed is crap and about the election of so many Tory MPs, let's hope they're up to what the next 5 years is going to throw at them.
Morning all. Well, I can honestly say I didn't expect that!
I always quite liked the Lib Dems, so I'm sorry that they did so utterly poorly. Some of the results were unlucky. But it indicates that their base didn't have much substance. Perhaps Labour's weakness amid a Conservative government is their next opportunity to rebuild for, what, the fourth time in a hundred years. They have already had many of their lives.
Congratulations to the Conservatives and SNP, and hard luck to all others. As an Irishman, I see great opportunity in the next five years: we may soon become more familiar with your banks and gain a Celtic ally in Europe! But remember that a few hours ago, this was the election no-one wanted to win.
The electoral system works unusually, if you don't mind a mildly-critical comment from abroad. Three parties with nationally-minded agendas win nearly 25 per cent votes and nine out of 650 seats. One party with a narrow separatist agenda wins 5 per cent of votes and 56 seats. Really, this is regrettable. I'm not a huge fan of Ukip or the Greens, but their exclusion doesn't mean parliament is more representative.
As for the substance of this site, this was my first major political betting event. I return home from an election party to see my book in very healthy profit. I thank the gods of betting that I stayed away from Ashcroft polls, after one minor dalliance in Sutton and Cheam. I hope people took my tip to back the DUP in Belfast North at 4/9; they won as handily as the unionist pact ordained. In turn, I took antifrank's long-shot tips on the SNP in their least winnable Central Belt seats.
Sadly, it's not all wins: I got 2/1 on Mr Galloway, but it seems one term is always enough dis-Respect from George for any constituency. And that Maidstone tip didn't transpire true. I was interested in Labour in many marginals, but somehow managed to only back them in Wirral West! I admit that was luck, not skill. And I'm still awaiting pay-outs on the Tories in the West Country, and my biggest bet, on the Tories in Blackpool North.
We learn from each other here, and I will pay part of my profits in tithe to the good maintainers of this blog, if the time comes. My thanks to you all, and I hope to continue contributing to this blog as the inevitable mess of this fixed-term parliament proceeds!
Is looking very much like the old adage on the polls take, the best Tory score and the worst Labour. Off top of my head best Tory was 36% and worst Labour was 31%....not far off that now with national vote share (35/31)
Is looking very much like the old adage on the polls take, the best Tory score and the worst Labour. Off top of my head best Tory was 36% and worst Labour was 31%....not far off that now with national vote share.
Goodbye Sir Robert Edward Russell, it takes a very special type of MP to tell your constituents to "get a life and stop whinging", so you are a very special man.
Duw genowgh hwi Dan Rogerson! Your proposal to make St Piran's Day a national holiday of Cornwall would have given a couple of hundred thousand people an extra day off work per year, which would have been nice.
Hail Sir Robert Smith, 3rd Baronet, best wishes for your fight with Parkinson's.
My suggestion for UKIP: elect Nuttal as leader. De-emphasis immigration and Europe and go hell for leather to target Labour's WWC vote in the North/Kent
Real opportunity to establish your self as one of the major 2 parties.
The Tories massively outspent the other parties in the year running up to polling day and this is a major factor in what has happened. Also I don't think it helped the SNP looking like they would be supporting Labour in government, so English voters have voted to stop that.
Comments
Must be profit takers but it's basically free money.
»
Sky on one screen with sound, BBC and Telegraph update pages on one laptop and PB on another - the best election night ever
Are you in my house? And you forgot twitter.
Cable and Hughes gone! The latter deservedly so.
Another recount in Morley? Come on, come on, come on...
Behind?!
Carrie Symonds @carrieapples 1m1 minute ago London, England
RT: @mjrharris Ed Miliband's entire senior team resigned in last hour. Statement in morning to follow.
Keep an eye out for more on this.
I always quite liked the Lib Dems, so I'm sorry that they did so utterly poorly. Some of the results were unlucky. But it indicates that their base didn't have much substance. Perhaps Labour's weakness amid a Conservative government is their next opportunity to rebuild for, what, the fourth time in a hundred years. They have already had many of their lives.
Congratulations to the Conservatives and SNP, and hard luck to all others. As an Irishman, I see great opportunity in the next five years: we may soon become more familiar with your banks and gain a Celtic ally in Europe! But remember that a few hours ago, this was the election no-one wanted to win.
The electoral system works unusually, if you don't mind a mildly-critical comment from abroad. Three parties with nationally-minded agendas win nearly 25 per cent votes and nine out of 650 seats. One party with a narrow separatist agenda wins 5 per cent of votes and 56 seats. Really, this is regrettable. I'm not a huge fan of Ukip or the Greens, but their exclusion doesn't mean parliament is more representative.
As for the substance of this site, this was my first major political betting event. I return home from an election party to see my book in very healthy profit. I thank the gods of betting that I stayed away from Ashcroft polls, after one minor dalliance in Sutton and Cheam. I hope people took my tip to back the DUP in Belfast North at 4/9; they won as handily as the unionist pact ordained. In turn, I took antifrank's long-shot tips on the SNP in their least winnable Central Belt seats.
Sadly, it's not all wins: I got 2/1 on Mr Galloway, but it seems one term is always enough dis-Respect from George for any constituency. And that Maidstone tip didn't transpire true. I was interested in Labour in many marginals, but somehow managed to only back them in Wirral West! I admit that was luck, not skill. And I'm still awaiting pay-outs on the Tories in the West Country, and my biggest bet, on the Tories in Blackpool North.
We learn from each other here, and I will pay part of my profits in tithe to the good maintainers of this blog, if the time comes. My thanks to you all, and I hope to continue contributing to this blog as the inevitable mess of this fixed-term parliament proceeds!
https://twitter.com/GOsborneGenius/with_replies
We're forecast 8 Lib Dems? Really?
Wooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooow
It looks like Ed Balls is gone. Labour requested the recount.
LDs hold Leeds NW, somehow.
Source: Ed Balls might be defeated by just 300 votes #GE2015 http://www.itv.com/news/update/2015-05-08/source-ed-balls-might-be-defeated-by-just-300-votes/ …
Mid Dorset not recorded - that makes +23
That means 330 inc Speaker WITH NO MORE GAINS/LOSSES
Duw genowgh hwi Dan Rogerson! Your proposal to make St Piran's Day a national holiday of Cornwall would have given a couple of hundred thousand people an extra day off work per year, which would have been nice.
Hail Sir Robert Smith, 3rd Baronet, best wishes for your fight with Parkinson's.
Hope that helps
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000780
Might make the 326 difficult?
James Mates ITV tweet.
Real opportunity to establish your self as one of the major 2 parties.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000640
Interesting that down the road in north Wales it was the Tories gaining Vale of Clwyd from Labour.
LAB Gain Hove #GE2015
Sting in the tail?!
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14000654
Con can't afford any more losses.
Force him out.