politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is looking like 1992 Redux

System · May 2015

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is looking like 1992 Redux

We are now predicting a Conservative MAJORITY of 3. Finishing with 327 – with a winning post now of 324 @itvnews

Read the full story here

CarlottaVance · May 2015

First!

RobD · May 2015

Hell YES. We are officially "ALLLLRRIIIGGGHHHTTTT"

Plato · May 2015

Con hold Selby & Ainsty

Brom · May 2015

Galloway gone

kle4 · May 2015

Looks like the SW likes Cameroonian Toryism even more than the regular stuff - if they keep that up, no way back for the LDs there perhaps.

TGOHF · May 2015

Galloway GAWN !

Life_ina_market_town · May 2015

Helen Grant has comfortably retained Maidstone despite speculation she was toast.

kle4 · May 2015

Pollsters still not cracked the shy tory problem it seems.

SimonStClare · May 2015

How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?

Artist · May 2015

Galloway trounced.

MP_SE · May 2015

Galloway looks ill.

Life_ina_market_town · May 2015

Galloway out!
He can come down and split the leftist vote in London in 2016!

KentRising · May 2015

Helen Grant wins in Maidstone with great ease, despite the hype.

Speedy · May 2015

If it's 1992 I'm looking forward for 5 years of Tory collective suicide over Europe, sleaze scandals and financial crisis till 1997 comes.

ThomasNashe · May 2015

Brom said:
Galloway gone

The one bit of good news!!

MarqueeMark · May 2015

My 1,000-2,000 majority prediction for the blues in Torbay was not too far off the mark. 3,286 in the end.

RobD · May 2015

pleeaassseee can we be the second party of Scotland. That'd be utterly delicious end to the night (that, and getting a freakin majority!)

Brom · May 2015

People's republic of Bradford west. What a shithole

old_labour · May 2015

@Andy_JS Thanks for all your hard work since I discovered this site.

AndyJS said:
LDs fifth in Totnes:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E14001001

TOPPING · May 2015

TGOHF said:
Galloway GAWN !

Not sure if I wouldn't prefer him inside the tent...

Philip_Thompson · May 2015

1983 - The longest suicide note in history
2015 - The largest tombstone in history

Sandpit · May 2015

Hell Yeah!!!!

kle4 · May 2015

Well Galloway's out, that's a good result at least.

TheScreamingEagles · May 2015

I'm about to doze off, please dear Allah, let me be up for Reckless Balls

Speedy · May 2015

SimonStClare said:
How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?

10 pollsters actually.

Plato · May 2015

Philip_Thompson said:
1983 - The longest suicide note in history
2015 - The largest tombstone in history

old_labour · May 2015

Good. He is a loathsome man.

Brom said:
Galloway gone

Sandpit · May 2015

Galloway out. Only Balls to go now..???

CarlottaVance · May 2015

1992 started out pre-poll 'Labour win'. I got home from the opera to 'Exit polls say Con biggest, minority govt'. Woke to 'Con Maj'......

Galloway losing one of the best results.....I wonder if he will have the most ungracious concession speech.....

Plato · May 2015

Con HOLD Dartford

FrancisUrquhart · May 2015

I don't dare look at my twitter timeline....

RobD · May 2015

CarlottaVance said:
1992 started out pre-poll 'Labour win'. I got home from the opera to 'Exit polls say Con biggest, minority govt'. Woke to 'Con Maj'......

Galloway losing one of the best results.....I wonder if he will have the most ungracious concession speech.....

And the same happened today. Insane!

kle4 · May 2015

Life_ina_market_town said:
Galloway out!
He can come down and split the leftist vote in London in 2016!

At the least he can run in Tower Hamlets, there's an opening.

currystar · May 2015

SimonStClare said:
How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?

I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!

KentRising · May 2015

Morgan with EASE

Scott_P · May 2015

@LucyMPowell: Pleased and honoured to be re-elected as MP for Manchester Central. But clearly big disappointments for us elsewhere.

Yes!

RobD · May 2015

currystar said:

SimonStClare said:
How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!

Check out IOS' posts from Tue/Wed..

SunnyJim · May 2015

Bercow a goner?

Brom · May 2015

Confirmed Barwell has held Croydon

AndreaParma_82 · May 2015

Lab hold Wakefield

Plato · May 2015

Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan

RobD · May 2015

SunnyJim said:
Bercow a goner?

Holy hell, that can't be happening?

Plato · May 2015

Con hold Colne Valley

Purseybear · May 2015

currystar said:

SimonStClare said:
How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!

They really are.

kle4 · May 2015

I praise the professionalism of LD former MPs able to not just shout 'Fecking hell, that was even worse than we thought!' at a camera.

TheScreamingEagles · May 2015

Con hold Colne Valley

Alistair · May 2015

Just woken up, my book is deeply disappointed by Mundell holding. Any word on BRS?

Sandpit · May 2015

Nicky Morgan in Loughborough by nearly 10,000.

FrancisUrquhart · May 2015

Plato said:
Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan

Story of the night...swings to Tories in seats where all the talk was how big the swing to Labour would be.

Jonathan · May 2015

92 Redux. Well that worked out well for the Tories.

Speedy · May 2015

What are the last LD seats left to declare?

tlg86 · May 2015

RobD said:

SunnyJim said:
Bercow a goner?
Holy hell, that can't be happening?

I think he means in terms of still being speaker.

Mortimer · May 2015

TheScreamingEagles said:
I'm about to doze off, please dear Allah, let me be up for Reckless Balls

Builders coming in at 7.30. Really want 40 winks. Can't miss the ultimate tabloid headline, Cant miss the trouncing of the TPD

TheScreamingEagles · May 2015

Whut?

https://twitter.com/skyelections/status/596542803053805568

Speedy · May 2015

LD GAIN NEWARK!

Sandpit · May 2015

SunnyJim said:
Bercow a goner?

Where are you hearing this??

RobD · May 2015

tlg86 said:

RobD said:

SunnyJim said:
Bercow a goner?
Holy hell, that can't be happening?
I think he means in terms of still being speaker.

LOL okay. Must calm down.

Life_ina_market_town · May 2015

Yellow Peril Gain Newark.

Fishing · May 2015

"We are now predicting a Conservative MAJORITY of 3. Finishing with 327 - with a winning post now of 324" - err, doesn't that mean a Con Maj of 6? Amazing how few people can grasp this basic maths ...

MikeL · May 2015

Con already +17 would give 324

(BBC goes from 2010 result - so Clacton is a loss).

Must surely be several more gains to come.

AndreaParma_82 · May 2015

Surely Newark flash is a mistake

foxinsoxuk · May 2015

Plato said:
Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan

Lib Dem Gain Newark!!

Who saw that coming?

RobD · May 2015

Speedy said:
LD GAIN NEWARK!

HOW??

MP_SE · May 2015

TheScreamingEagles said:
Whut?

https://twitter.com/skyelections/status/596542803053805568

LOL. Intern getting mixed up perhaps.

Plato · May 2015

Con GAIN Portsmouth from LDs

KentRising · May 2015

Lib Dems GAIN GAIN GAIN Newark from Cons

numbertwelve · May 2015

Assuming the BBC make the election programme iPlayer-able, I must go back and watch all the sneering comments from Lab and Lib Dem talking heads about the exit poll at the start of the programme, just to give myself a good laugh.

RodCrosby · May 2015

Sky saying LDs gain Newark

Shurrrly.....

kle4 · May 2015

SunnyJim said:
Bercow a goner?

Surely not, unless Cameron is some sort of wizard?

Scott_P said:
@LucyMPowell: Pleased and honoured to be re-elected as MP for Manchester Central. But clearly big disappointments for us elsewhere.

Yes!

Perhaps she is actually great MP for Manchester, but there's one who deserves to have been defeated if she's anything like her media ineptness in her own seat.

currystar said:

SimonStClare said:
How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!

In hindsight, perhaps I was a little too sure of a Lab plurality, I see that now.

Gods, we're going to have really pleased, swaggering SNP MPs on our screens from now until independence is declared, aren't we?

RobD · May 2015

KentRising said:
Lib Dems GAIN GAIN GAIN Newark from Cons

They got 1,000 in the by-election????

TOPPING · May 2015

BBC Weather: I can help - we are heading to the sunlit uplands..

Brom · May 2015

foxinsoxuk said:

Plato said:
Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan
Lib Dem Gain Newark!!

Who saw that coming?

Lies!

macisback · May 2015

FrancisUrquhart said:

Plato said:
Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan
Story of the night...swings to Tories in seats where all the talk was how big the swing to Labour would be.

Not from people working the seats, Loughborough was in the bag from way out.

TGOHF · May 2015

@Messina2012: Things US&UK have in common: completely broken public polling & re-electing their strong leaders.

KentRising · May 2015

Con HOLD HOLD HOLD Newark ;-)

Speedy · May 2015

TheScreamingEagles said:
Whut?

https://twitter.com/skyelections/status/596542803053805568

How did that happen?
From 2.6% last year to victory?

Sandpit · May 2015

Sky showing Con Hold Newark.

Plato · May 2015

Con hold Newark, and Kingswood

TheScreamingEagles · May 2015

CORRECTION CON HOLD NEWARK

Mortimer · May 2015

RodCrosby said:
Sky saying LDs gain Newark

Shurrrly.....

Cannot be, surely. They only scraped 1000 votes in the by election.....

Speedy · May 2015

Sky has changed it to CON hold.

Pong · May 2015

Speedy said:

TheScreamingEagles said:
Whut?

https://twitter.com/skyelections/status/596542803053805568
How did that happen?
From 2.6% last year to victory?

lol.

That was funny.

TGOHF · May 2015

kippers still without an MP not an ex Conservative MP.

old_labour · May 2015

I loathe this nitwit on twitter

https://twitter.com/dhothersall?lang=en-gb

david_herdson · May 2015

RodCrosby said:
Sky saying LDs gain Newark

Shurrrly.....

I remember Ross Perot being given several states at one point in the BBC's 1992 US presidential election coverage because someone pressed the wrong button. I suspect something similar here.

FrancisUrquhart · May 2015

Come on Balls decision...I have stuff to do....

Philip_Thompson · May 2015

LOL

JonCisBack · May 2015

After 450+ results, can't believe some people thought Newark had really gone Lib Dem...

Scott_P · May 2015

@skyelections: Full election result for #Newark http://t.co/4WAK6i5kAV #GE2015 http://t.co/3iGdXP9Y9s

MP_SE · May 2015

Please God no:

https://twitter.com/MirrorPolitics/status/596454770900107265

foxinsoxuk · May 2015

TheScreamingEagles said:
CORRECTION CON HOLD NEWARK

Someone needs to go to bed!

RobD · May 2015

Scott_P said:
@skyelections: Full election result for #Newark http://t.co/4WAK6i5kAV #GE2015 http://t.co/3iGdXP9Y9s

Did Helmer stand again? (in another seat)

Slackbladder · May 2015

So pollsters got the vote shares right, but UNS is completely broken?

Speedy · May 2015

So going back after Newark, how many LD left to declare?

AndreaParma_82 · May 2015

Alan Duncun returned

RobD · May 2015

Slackbladder said:
So pollsters got the vote shares right, but UNS is completely broken?

Kelner was saying it'll end up CON+7

Only ICM came close (a few weeks out)

volcanopete · May 2015

Corby goes from Lab to Con..

TheScreamingEagles · May 2015

AndreaParma_82 said:
Alan Duncun returned

Yay

Plato · May 2015

Con HOLD Portsmouth N, and Rutland & Melton

SimonStClare · May 2015

Anyone watching BBC, I've been following SKY all night - how depressed are they?

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