politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » It is looking like 1992 Redux

We are now predicting a Conservative MAJORITY of 3. Finishing with 327 – with a winning post now of 324 @itvnews
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First!0
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Hell YES. We are officially "ALLLLRRIIIGGGHHHTTTT"0
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Con hold Selby & Ainsty0
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Galloway gone0
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Looks like the SW likes Cameroonian Toryism even more than the regular stuff - if they keep that up, no way back for the LDs there perhaps.0
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Galloway GAWN !0
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Helen Grant has comfortably retained Maidstone despite speculation she was toast.0
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Pollsters still not cracked the shy tory problem it seems.0
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How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?0
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Galloway trounced.0
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Galloway looks ill.0
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Galloway out!
He can come down and split the leftist vote in London in 2016!0 -
Helen Grant wins in Maidstone with great ease, despite the hype.0
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If it's 1992 I'm looking forward for 5 years of Tory collective suicide over Europe, sleaze scandals and financial crisis till 1997 comes.0
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The one bit of good news!!Brom said:Galloway gone
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My 1,000-2,000 majority prediction for the blues in Torbay was not too far off the mark. 3,286 in the end.0
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pleeaassseee can we be the second party of Scotland. That'd be utterly delicious end to the night (that, and getting a freakin majority!)0
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People's republic of Bradford west. What a shithole0
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@Andy_JS Thanks for all your hard work since I discovered this site.AndyJS said:
LDs fifth in Totnes:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/constituencies/E140010010 -
Hell Yeah!!!!0
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1983 - The longest suicide note in history
2015 - The largest tombstone in history0 -
Well Galloway's out, that's a good result at least.0
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I'm about to doze off, please dear Allah, let me be up for Reckless Balls0
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10 pollsters actually.SimonStClare said:How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
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Philip_Thompson said:
1983 - The longest suicide note in history
2015 - The largest tombstone in history0 -
Good. He is a loathsome man.Brom said:
Galloway gone
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Galloway out. Only Balls to go now..???0
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Con HOLD Dartford0
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1992 started out pre-poll 'Labour win'. I got home from the opera to 'Exit polls say Con biggest, minority govt'. Woke to 'Con Maj'......
Galloway losing one of the best results.....I wonder if he will have the most ungracious concession speech.....0 -
I don't dare look at my twitter timeline....0
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And the same happened today. Insane!CarlottaVance said:1992 started out pre-poll 'Labour win'. I got home from the opera to 'Exit polls say Con biggest, minority govt'. Woke to 'Con Maj'......
Galloway losing one of the best results.....I wonder if he will have the most ungracious concession speech.....0 -
At the least he can run in Tower Hamlets, there's an opening.Life_ina_market_town said:Galloway out!
He can come down and split the leftist vote in London in 2016!0 -
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!SimonStClare said:How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
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Morgan with EASE0
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@LucyMPowell: Pleased and honoured to be re-elected as MP for Manchester Central. But clearly big disappointments for us elsewhere.
Yes!0 -
Check out IOS' posts from Tue/Wed..currystar said:
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!SimonStClare said:How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
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Bercow a goner?0
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Confirmed Barwell has held Croydon0
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Lab hold Wakefield0
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Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan0
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Con hold Colne Valley0
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They really are.currystar said:
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!SimonStClare said:How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
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I praise the professionalism of LD former MPs able to not just shout 'Fecking hell, that was even worse than we thought!' at a camera.0
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Con hold Colne Valley0
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Just woken up, my book is deeply disappointed by Mundell holding. Any word on BRS?0
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Nicky Morgan in Loughborough by nearly 10,000.0
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Story of the night...swings to Tories in seats where all the talk was how big the swing to Labour would be.Plato said:Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan
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92 Redux. Well that worked out well for the Tories.0
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What are the last LD seats left to declare?
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Builders coming in at 7.30. Really want 40 winks. Can't miss the ultimate tabloid headline, Cant miss the trouncing of the TPDTheScreamingEagles said:I'm about to doze off, please dear Allah, let me be up for Reckless Balls
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LD GAIN NEWARK!0
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Yellow Peril Gain Newark.0
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"We are now predicting a Conservative MAJORITY of 3. Finishing with 327 - with a winning post now of 324" - err, doesn't that mean a Con Maj of 6? Amazing how few people can grasp this basic maths ...0
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Con already +17 would give 324
(BBC goes from 2010 result - so Clacton is a loss).
Must surely be several more gains to come.0 -
Surely Newark flash is a mistake0
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LOL. Intern getting mixed up perhaps.TheScreamingEagles said:
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Con GAIN Portsmouth from LDs0
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Lib Dems GAIN GAIN GAIN Newark from Cons0
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Assuming the BBC make the election programme iPlayer-able, I must go back and watch all the sneering comments from Lab and Lib Dem talking heads about the exit poll at the start of the programme, just to give myself a good laugh.0
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Sky saying LDs gain Newark
Shurrrly.....0 -
Surely not, unless Cameron is some sort of wizard?SunnyJim said:Bercow a goner?
Perhaps she is actually great MP for Manchester, but there's one who deserves to have been defeated if she's anything like her media ineptness in her own seat.Scott_P said:@LucyMPowell: Pleased and honoured to be re-elected as MP for Manchester Central. But clearly big disappointments for us elsewhere.
Yes!
In hindsight, perhaps I was a little too sure of a Lab plurality, I see that now.currystar said:
I have been reviewing them. Some of them are priceless!SimonStClare said:How could seven pollsters and the last 600 threads got it so wrong?
Gods, we're going to have really pleased, swaggering SNP MPs on our screens from now until independence is declared, aren't we?0 -
They got 1,000 in the by-election????KentRising said:Lib Dems GAIN GAIN GAIN Newark from Cons
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BBC Weather: I can help - we are heading to the sunlit uplands..0
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Lies!foxinsoxuk said:
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Not from people working the seats, Loughborough was in the bag from way out.FrancisUrquhart said:
Story of the night...swings to Tories in seats where all the talk was how big the swing to Labour would be.Plato said:Con hold Loughborough inc maj for Nicky Morgan
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@Messina2012: Things US&UK have in common: completely broken public polling & re-electing their strong leaders.0
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Con HOLD HOLD HOLD Newark ;-)0
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How did that happen?TheScreamingEagles said:
From 2.6% last year to victory?0 -
Sky showing Con Hold Newark.0
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Con hold Newark, and Kingswood0
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CORRECTION CON HOLD NEWARK0
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Sky has changed it to CON hold.0
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lol.Speedy said:
That was funny.0 -
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kippers still without an MP not an ex Conservative MP.0
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I remember Ross Perot being given several states at one point in the BBC's 1992 US presidential election coverage because someone pressed the wrong button. I suspect something similar here.RodCrosby said:Sky saying LDs gain Newark
Shurrrly.....0 -
Come on Balls decision...I have stuff to do....0
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LOL0
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After 450+ results, can't believe some people thought Newark had really gone Lib Dem...
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@skyelections: Full election result for #Newark http://t.co/4WAK6i5kAV #GE2015 http://t.co/3iGdXP9Y9s0
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Someone needs to go to bed!TheScreamingEagles said:CORRECTION CON HOLD NEWARK
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So pollsters got the vote shares right, but UNS is completely broken?0
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Did Helmer stand again? (in another seat)Scott_P said:@skyelections: Full election result for #Newark http://t.co/4WAK6i5kAV #GE2015 http://t.co/3iGdXP9Y9s
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So going back after Newark, how many LD left to declare?0
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Alan Duncun returned0
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Kelner was saying it'll end up CON+7Slackbladder said:So pollsters got the vote shares right, but UNS is completely broken?
Only ICM came close (a few weeks out)
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Corby goes from Lab to Con..0
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YayAndreaParma_82 said:Alan Duncun returned
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Con HOLD Portsmouth N, and Rutland & Melton0
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Anyone watching BBC, I've been following SKY all night - how depressed are they?0