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The exit poll brings bad news for the MRPs and the SNP – politicalbetting.com
The exit poll brings bad news for the MRPs and the SNP – politicalbetting.com
Looks like those MRPs were wrong. pic.twitter.com/i8O0su9jA1
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Perfect results as far as I’m concerned.
I’m glad this isn’t an extinction for the Conservatives. They need to hold the centre-right.
A superb-looking result for Labour. LibDems brilliant too.
This is my eve of poll forecast. I voted LD.
Lab 424
Con127
LD 49
SNP 22
Gr 2
PC 3
REF 2
OTH 3
NI 18
Turnout 61%
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iFyVLRnJG_7HD1BrN6BQMzU_n2Vl-BjJEIz5H3qq6XA/edit?gid=0#gid=0
So that gives my base case as follows:
Lab 38%, Cons 27%, Reform 10%, LibDems 14%, Green 5%.
Baxtering gives a 188-seat Lab majority which is not too shabby.
Cons party seats 121, Lab 419 which I have backed.
Happy with that.
Most of my bets were over 100 Con seats.
Cons aren't wiped out which is good imo.
I didn't believe Reform would deliver, I'll lose a bit on Reform seat numbers.
That said... there are going to be a *lot* of very close results. So, going to be a very interesting evening.
They're still shit, Putinist nobodies.
Well done. You’ve been saying it for a while.
Channel 5 coverage already looking the best.
(((Dan Hodges)))
@DPJHodges
Key takeaway from that is Nigel Farage is the new leader of the British Right.
(possible)
It doesn't work like that.
https://x.com/LukeTryl/status/1808501142856360199?t=uB8-NK9p_-vj5CeJLkg6yw&s=19
Efficient af
It's looking horribly like I've LOST my vote - incredibly - to @Sandpit and the Tories will gain a seat, however I need to know if I've lost to @TimS
Scotland could be spectacular. This is an emphatic rejection of two incumbent administrations, not just one.
xx
Fifth largest party if the exit poll is right.
We will, however, be seeing more of Farage
Can we lock it in and then have fun watching the individual results ?
Also note that if REF are above the one or two seat range, there will likely be a lot of close Con/Ref contests, and that could tip either way.
Labour 37%
Con 25%
Reform 19%
LD 12%
Green 5%
Or one caravan?
Four figure winning night for me if they get less than 12,877,000 votes
There will be a list of the 13 most likely seats, but I don't think that's ever shared?
At least Galloway is gone.
Hunt: 19%
Mordaunt: 25%
Rees-Mogg: 47%
Who was the last Chancellor to lose their seat?