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The exit poll brings bad news for the MRPs and the SNP – politicalbetting.com

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  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,568
    BatteryCorrectHorse said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    BatteryCorrectHorse said:

    FrancisUrquhart said:

    BatteryCorrectHorse said:

    We seem to be saying the Labour lead is soft because the Lib Dems are about to get their best result since 2005 despite being a party that everyone knew was going to put Labour in power :/

    I can see the myths starting to build.

    You seem permanently unhappy. Your team have just won. Shouldn't you be at least a bit happy?
    I hit 21 off 17, I had a great night.

    They aren't "my team", I've voted Tory before, perhaps you'd like to get my vote back one day?
    I am not a Tory. I say your team, because you have been very vocal in support of Labour over the past few elections.
    I stand by that - but as I said, I have voted Tory before and would do so again. I am a younger voter, the kind of voter the Tories used to win. Shall we discuss how to get these voters back?
    You just need to be a lot older.
  • CatManCatMan Posts: 3,019
    edited July 4
    THIS THREAD HAS RELEASED AN EXIT POLL
  • TazTaz Posts: 13,604
    rottenborough said:

    CarlottaVance said:

    TheScreamingEagles said:

    YOU CAN FIND HOW EACH SEAT WILL GO ACCORDING TO THE EXIT POLL HERE

    https://news.sky.com/story/exit-poll-what-is-the-forecast-election-result-in-my-constituency-13163180

    Useful tool - for example it has Angus as TCTC - Con Gain 57%/SNP Hold 42%
    Excellent tool
    Made by SKS’s Dad ?
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,212
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    turbotubbs said:

    Gravitation said:

    https://x.com/tomhfh/status/1808978888107712916/photo/1

    Popular vote estimates from GB News:

    Lab 36.1% (+3.2)
    Con 25.8% (-18.9)
    Ref 17.2% (+15.2)
    Lib 9.4% (-2.5)
    Gre 6.1% (+3.4)
    SNP 2.6%

    If that’s the case then Starmer really is a lucky general. 36.1% and a majority over 150?
    But it means the lead is soft. A good Tory leader could make a huge dent in that majority in 2029/30.
    The devil will be in just what people think constitutes a "good" Tory leader.
    The thing that strikes me about the share of the vote stats quoted above is that the conservative/reform share significantly exceeds the Labour share, so the conservative failure could well be in their pandering to 'centrism'.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,863
    Scott_xP said:

    SandyRentool said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't pronounce Houghton either.

    Geordies and Mackems can't agree how to pronounce it.
    The Geordies pronounce it correctly. The Mackems are idiots
    You've always been my favourite poster!
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,845
    Andy_JS said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Andy_JS said:

    eristdoof said:

    I can't believe that Orpington is predicted to go Labour. Totally gobsmacked.

    I'm even more gobsmacked by Old Bexley going Labour, Ted Heath's old seat.
    And Rosindell's Romford!
    You're joking. That could be a Portillo moment (if only for anoraks who know who Rosindell is).
    Wasn't Rosindell the chap who always enjoyed campaigning with a bulldog kitted out in a Union Jack ?

    Very Brexit.
  • DopermeanDopermean Posts: 269
    Andy_JS said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Andy_JS said:

    eristdoof said:

    I can't believe that Orpington is predicted to go Labour. Totally gobsmacked.

    I'm even more gobsmacked by Old Bexley going Labour, Ted Heath's old seat.
    And Rosindell's Romford!
    You're joking. That could be a Portillo moment (if only for anoraks who know who Rosindell is).
    He's the MP no one could mention for a year.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,705
    numbertwelve said:

    Feels like there still could be some surprises to come. Exit poll probably broadly right but could be quite important what happens in the close races.

    I may be wrong, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we see Labour and LDs underperforming it slightly and Tories and SNP overperforming slightly. But it’s just a hunch.

    Looking at the percentages on the seat polls I suspect the libdem total may rise.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,226
    DavidL said:

    Kinnock has got so old.

    He's older than Joe Biden.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 118,517

    NEW THREAD

  • AlsoLeiAlsoLei Posts: 1,415
    Pulpstar said:

    Corbyn TCTC

    Corbyn and Labour have been swapping back and forth repeatedly over the past hour on Betfair...
    Currently Corbyn at 1.73, Labour on 2.0 - but they were the other way round just a couple of minutes ago
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,448
    FrancisUrquhart said:

    DavidL said:

    Kinnock has got so old.

    He is 82....
    So he could run for POTUS?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,139
    If the Exit Poll is right I should be between £650-£800 up depending on if Corbyn wins and Mordaunt wins.

    Can't remember if I bet on Dorset West for the LDs or not. Hope I did.
  • bigglesbiggles Posts: 5,631
    “Nigel Farage is having a meal”. Lol. Of 10 pints.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 31,357
    Can Lab get an extra 5 seats to take their majority above Blair's 179 in 1997?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 16,910
    biggles said:

    Tweedledee said:

    SeaShantyIrish2 said:

    dixiedean said:

    Can't pronounce Houghton either.

    Is is "Ho-tun" or "Huff-tun"?

    Or none of the above?
    There's 3 Claughtons in Lancashire and they are Clayton Clawton and Cluffton respectively.
    Don’t get me started on “belvoir” in Leicestershire. You have to know it’s pronounced “beaver”. You can’t work it out.
    Wolfardisworthy waves, as does Happisborough.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,092

    New Thread

This discussion has been closed.