politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The GE2019 polling race: The pollsters ranked by the CON lead
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You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.0 -
We don't have a history of actively segregating the population based on race that has had far reaching consequences still felt todayAndy_JS said:I voted in a village hall at about 4pm, and for the first time didn't even take my polling card with me. Amazing how lax we are about ID in this country. In the United States you can't even buy a local train ticket without showing ID.
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You sound like you'd prefer that over a Tory losing his job.bigjohnowls said:
Tory Hold Berger out of a jobGabs3 said:https://www.twitter.com/lucianaberger/status/1205097181486747648
Of course they want to go out their way to ensure the Jew doesn't get elected...1 -
Hopefully not!Mexicanpete said:
Oh my goodness don't mention Patrick Gordon Walker! Parachuting Boris into a safe seat might not work too well.ydoethur said:
Alec Douglas Home was not a member of either house for a few weeks in 1963.Mysticrose said:
I don't think you can have an unelected PM? Don't they have to be a Member of Parliament? Of Commons or Lords? Maybe they would elevate him quickly to the House of Lords.Brom said:
He would stay as PM I guess and someone would step down in a safe seatAndrew said:
Hell yeah. Would be fun to see who they then picked as PM.numbertwelve said:I could really be on board with Boris losing his seat but Tory overall majority.
However, I suspect the tory party would ditch him very fast.
All fun but fanciful at this stage.
Patrick Gordon Walker was Foreign Secretary for four months in 1964-65 but not a member of either house.
But if he loses his seat he’ll be defenestrated faster than you say ‘you’ve buggered up the autocue you mophaired oaf.’0 -
Shame it wasn't within Philip Davies' earshot. Dreadful man.SandyRentool said:OK, time for my polling station story. Arrived 6.15ish with the rest of the after work commuter crowd. And crowd is the right word for it. There were at least 15 queueing when I arrived and 20 by the time I left. That must count as "brisk" in anyone's book.
The most exciting part was that the desks and booths were in reverse formation from last time.
Oh, and Wor Lass told me to stop slagging off Philip Davies within earshot of the other voters as we were stood in the queue.0 -
Lib Dems are out knocking up in Kew tonight - now, at 8:30 - one of their safest wards of their 'nailed on' gain of Richmond Park and Kew.0
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It was originally Tweeted out by a Labour person.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.0 -
Well, yes. We have two thoroughly unreliable sources of news giving the same information. One of them has links to Fascist groups and he other is owned by Lord Rothermere...CorrectHorseBattery said:
Just like the Daily Mail that has been posted here then?ydoethur said:
It is however Skwawkbox, who is infamous for his dishonesty and total fabrications.FrancisUrquhart said:
If it is close in Crewe, Tories aren't getting a majority.CorrectHorseBattery said:twitter.com/skwawkbox/status/1205220464274092042
Kind of chimes in0 -
Still to vote. Still to decide.0
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If it is Shopped, I'll quite happily withdraw. The scary thing is it seems believable for her.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.0 -
Nope.ydoethur said:
Presumably if London is resisting the Tory tide Jon Cruddas is safe in Dagenham?speedy2 said:
If it's the inverse of 2017 and seats that voted less than 60% Remain swing towards the Conservatives then Dagenham should be a Conservative gain because it's a Leave seat if I'm correct.0 -
Truro/Falmouth now 4-1 dropping by the minute. Ruth gripper (lib dem) stood down and no incumbent.0
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Universal National Swing has well and truly joined the dodos.0
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https://www.instagram.com/p/B58DqnrAAXG/Philip_Thompson said:
It was originally Tweeted out by a Labour person.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.
Here's the same photo. It's a fake.0 -
Here's the same photo, not photoshopped, from her Instagram.saddened said:
If it is Shopped, I'll quite happily withdraw. The scary thing is it seems believable for her.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.
You're saying she posted two of the same photo?
https://www.instagram.com/p/B58DqnrAAXG/0 -
Wasn't it like this on the campus in 2017 though? Depends how things have changed elsewhere in Canterbury.LucyJones said:Good evening, PBers.
Thought I'd add my voting experience to the mix.
Voted at around noon in Sevenoaks. The only person in the polling station, and squinting at the list of electors, looked like very few names crossed off by that point - perhaps 10% at a guess. Still, it's a Tory safe seat, so not of any significance.
Daughter voted in Canterbury today - she's at Kent University. It was quiet-ish in her polling station with a single Labour teller. On the campus, however, students were queueing up to vote and mostly going on about voting Labour, as you'd expect. So probably little chance of Anna Firth taking the seat, in line with the YouGov MRP.0 -
NEW FRED!!0
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He wouldPhilip_Thompson said:
You sound like you'd prefer that over a Tory losing his job.bigjohnowls said:
Tory Hold Berger out of a jobGabs3 said:https://www.twitter.com/lucianaberger/status/1205097181486747648
Of course they want to go out their way to ensure the Jew doesn't get elected...0 -
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This one? What twatsCorrectHorseBattery said:
https://www.instagram.com/p/B58DqnrAAXG/Philip_Thompson said:
It was originally Tweeted out by a Labour person.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.
Here's the same photo. It's a fake.0 -
Con Maj 1.390
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So, if BJ loses will he likely get appointed to the Lords before he forces a friendly Tory MP in a safe seat into retirement (perhaps going back to his old constituency)?0
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You may well be right, but the wildly confident predictions of some of you PB Tories just demonstrates a positive mental attitude. I like that!.speedy2 said:
Nope.ydoethur said:
Presumably if London is resisting the Tory tide Jon Cruddas is safe in Dagenham?speedy2 said:
If it's the inverse of 2017 and seats that voted less than 60% Remain swing towards the Conservatives then Dagenham should be a Conservative gain because it's a Leave seat if I'm correct.0 -
You’ve done over 2000 posts in short order. Shit sometimes sticks to the wall if you throw enough.CorrectHorseBattery said:I predicted those five seats in London swapping earlier, I am feeling more confident now.
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I'm off until the exit poll.
A reminder here is my swingometer that you can print off and use in your own home:
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The shoes might be photoshoped for the lolz. But not how ill she looks.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.0 -
Can I remind you what happened the night of the Referendum? Even into the early hours.Andy_JS said:0 -
Yes. We disovered how many angry Bexiteers had come out to vote.Mysticrose said:
Can I remind you what happened the night of the Referendum? Even into the early hours.Andy_JS said:
That what you mean?0 -
It isn't a Photoshop. The alleged rebuttal uses a different picture, and the odd shoes appear in more than one piccie.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.
You shouldn't believe all these rebuttals you get off the internet :-)
https://www.ladbible.com/news/uk-mp-diane-abbott-photographed-wearing-two-odd-shoes-201912120 -
None of these silly little tweets mean anything. Labour may or may not be struggling in Crewe, or in Wrexham, or in Hull, or in any number of other places. We just don't know. It's all noise to fill the howling void whilst people twiddle their thumbs waiting nervously for the results. That's all.FrancisUrquhart said:
If it is close in Crewe, Tories aren't getting a majority.CorrectHorseBattery said:twitter.com/skwawkbox/status/1205220464274092042
Kind of chimes in0 -
If you get there in time. I think at least you will know who you are not voting for.Jonathan said:Still to vote. Still to decide.
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NEW THREAD
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Marcus01 said:
Lib Dems are out knocking up in Kew tonight - now, at 8:30 - one of their safest wards of their 'nailed on' gain of Richmond Park and Kew.
That’s because that’s what you do you can’t move every activist by order from high command you might just do it between adjacent council wards but it’s not normal.0 -
Nope, my betting position hasn’t changed for two weeks. I’m betting on 60 majority, but with insurance lower. A few individual seat bets that I’ve topped up as odds allowed.moonshine said:Any of you players changed your betting views yet? Robert still going for Boris to win bigly?
But I’m a fun bettor only.
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Something just happened?
Con maj just backed in to sub 1.4 and Labour under 206.5 has collapsed in.
Edit: And a spike up in GBP/USD at the same time.0 -
I know that is not true in Don Valley. No idea about other twospeedy2 said:0 -
If it is a photoshop it’s remarkably good given that her scarf is tied differently in the second.CorrectHorseBattery said:
Here's the same photo, not photoshopped, from her Instagram.saddened said:
If it is Shopped, I'll quite happily withdraw. The scary thing is it seems believable for her.CorrectHorseBattery said:
You know that's a fake photo right? It's a photoshop.saddened said:
Speaking of the fragrant Dianne, this is the first mention of her during this campaign that I've seen. Seriously WTFydoethur said:
Diane Abbott losing her seat would be very funny though and probably would indicate that the result is sub-optimal for the Labour Party.ozymandias said:
I know. It was a wind-up. And CHB didn’t notice.DeClare said:
You probably mean Stoke-on-Trent.ozymandias said:
Stoke Newington.CorrectHorseBattery said:Can somebody remind me of a typical Leave seat to look out for early on, which will give an indication of how the Tories are doing?
Stoke Newington is part of the Hackney North constituency in London, Dianne Abbot is the MP.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7784881/Starting-wrong-foot-Labours-Diane-Abbott-appears-rushed-ODD-shoes.html
Like I said, the Daily Mail makes up lies but because it's pro-Tory it gets a pass.
You're saying she posted two of the same photo?
https://www.instagram.com/p/B58DqnrAAXG/0 -
Were you paying at a ticket window with a non-US card? Sounds like they were just double-checking your ID against your card (I've had to show ID to use a non-Swedish card in a Stockholm department store, so it's not just the US).Andy_JS said:
I can assure you that you do not need to show ID to buy tickets on NYC area rail including Metro-North, the Long Island Railroad and New Jersey Transit. Quite a while since I last used the T (Massachusetts Bay Transportation Authority) commuter rail but no need to show ID then either.0 -
Sources (twitter journalists) Tories leading in Dagenham, Putney, Chingford, Wimbledon.
Diverting resources to Battersea from Putney.
Bishop Auckland is a ‘cast iron gain’. Rother Valley, Derby North, Bolsover and Bassetlaw will go blue.
West Midlands - tough fight in Birmingham northfield and two Coventry seats.
Labour - Paul sweeney looks doomed in Glasgow northeast.
Watford, Battersea, Uxbridge, Chingford, Enfield Finchley and Kensington are where they still are canvassing.
Morecambe, High Peak, Pudsey, Grimsby vote holding up well.
Stroud looks bad for labour due to split vote.0 -
Off to buy popcorn.
More healthy than crisps.
Incidentally OT - if anyone is planning to hire any power tools, scaffold towers etc, at Christmas you get great deals and often the extra days free.0 -
Amber Valley. Had a Conservative leaflet delivered sometime between 3:10PM and 7:00PM. Not unusual for this to happen on the day, it has happened before. Seems a bit pointless though, Nigel Mills will likely increase his majority to 5 figures. I had already voted in any case0
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No i would prefer the Tories to losePhilip_Thompson said:
You sound like you'd prefer that over a Tory losing his job.bigjohnowls said:
Tory Hold Berger out of a jobGabs3 said:https://www.twitter.com/lucianaberger/status/1205097181486747648
Of course they want to go out their way to ensure the Jew doesn't get elected...0 -
BONG minus 1 hour!0
