politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Get ready for Boris’s big day to see CON resignations and the

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  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317
    2 to 1!
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    2:1
  • WhisperingOracle
    WhisperingOracle Posts: 10,470

    All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Boris 66.3%
  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317
    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    Buffoon has it.

    Not for long surely.
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251
    Well, that's me not voting Conservative.
    Boris must be the most unsuited person for the job ever. An entertainer wiith zero substance.
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    I'm surprised there weren't more spoilt papers. High turnout.
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    That’s a lower margin than everyone had predicted.
  • Sunil_Prasannan
    Sunil_Prasannan Posts: 55,080
    2:1 victory for Boris - least surprising result ever :)
  • Mysticrose
    Mysticrose Posts: 4,688


    All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.

    Yes absolutely
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,814
    66.3% for Boris, Hunt did very well in the campaign.
  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Boris 66.3%

    Two thirds vs one third, basically.
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Only for a couple of months.
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
  • GIN1138
    GIN1138 Posts: 22,938
    Go Boris!!!!! :D
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092
    Johnson has difficulty keeping a straight face while thanking May.
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822
    Pulpstar said:

    66.3% for Boris, Hunt did very well in the campaign.

    Unfortunately not well enough.
  • Big_G_NorthWales
    Big_G_NorthWales Posts: 66,238
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Really !!
  • Barnesian
    Barnesian Posts: 9,221
    edited July 2019
    Chris said:

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
    66.4% share for Johnson

    EDIT 66.39%
  • Beibheirli_C
    Beibheirli_C Posts: 8,192

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Yep. Jumped the gun there. Standard of journalism not high.
  • MarqueeMark
    MarqueeMark Posts: 55,459
    Chris said:

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    That's nearly two to one ;)
    It was never in doubt.....

    Not this site's finest few weeks.
  • Flanner
    Flanner Posts: 437

    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Really !!
    Where to?
  • Scrapheap_as_was
    Scrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    I'm surprised there weren't more spoilt papers. High turnout.

    Was going to but in the end thought ABB more important to vote for.

    I'm not tearing up my card yet though as it might be needed again before long!
  • Richard_Nabavi
    Richard_Nabavi Posts: 30,822

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
    No, it's going in tomorrow, it's a joint letter with my wife and she hasn't signed it yet.
  • Mysticrose
    Mysticrose Posts: 4,688
    edited July 2019
    Now Boris waffling. Total drivel. Normally dresses this up in flowery language to pull the wool over the eyes of star-struck acolytes but even that's absent.

    Turning off. It's complete bollocks.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    In the name of God ...
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    So in the end a comfortable 2 to 1 win for Boris over Jeremy Hunt.

    Now over to Boris to beat Corbyn and deliver Brexit
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    True to form, Boris is either busking this victory speech or scribbled it whilst in the back of the car....
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Ugh, he's such a tosser.
  • SouthamObserver
    SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    So, 13% of Tory members are vaguely sane.
  • Mysticrose
    Mysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Is this the worst leadership victory speech in history?
  • Roger
    Roger Posts: 20,744
    What a twat. I think I'm going to vomit.
  • Stark_Dawning
    Stark_Dawning Posts: 10,202
    I wonder if Boris has a surprise or two up his sleeve - 'Actually, bugger October. We're leaving the EU now.' That would be dramatic.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,814
    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317
    Dude. FFS.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    And don't come back!
  • tpfkar
    tpfkar Posts: 1,578
    Let's hope the product is better than the packaging. I'm no fan but we really need him to be bigger than he looks.

    I reckon Jo Swinson DID get more votes than Jeremy Hunt - just!
  • Sandpit
    Sandpit Posts: 56,045
    HYUFD said:

    So in the end a comfortable 2 to 1 win for Boris over Jeremy Hunt.

    Now over to Boris to beat Corbyn and deliver Brexit

    Fair play to yourself, you spotted Johnson before the rest of us. Hope you managed to profit from your enthusiasm for the eventual winner.
  • We're in trouble, aren't we?
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    I don't get it, are there really people who find him funny/entertaining??
  • Nigelb
    Nigelb Posts: 79,358
    Interesting intervention from the EU Commissioner for food health & safety:

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/commissioners/2014-2019/andriukaitis/blog/boris-you-are-wrong_en

    The programme also left one infamous quote: ‘Boris, ti ne prav’ (‘Boris, you are wrong’)!

    It is a different Boris, of course, but there was something in the way of doing politics that was similar: many unrealistic promises, ignoring economic rationales and rational decisions...
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    What an utter utter arsehole.
  • OllyT
    OllyT Posts: 5,050
    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Agreed, the sooner the better. End of the month?
  • kle4
    kle4 Posts: 99,113
    BBC referring to boris as the new PM. Come on bbc, it's not quite that yet.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    The Die has been cast.
  • Andrew
    Andrew Posts: 2,900
    Roger said:

    What a twat. I think I'm going to vomit.

    Ditto. And I'm nowhere you on the political spectrum either.
  • Slackbladder
    Slackbladder Posts: 9,800
    Well we're utterly f**ked....
  • GIN1138
    GIN1138 Posts: 22,938
    OllyT said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Go Boris!!!!! :D

    Agreed, the sooner the better. End of the month?
    :D
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....
  • Mysticrose
    Mysticrose Posts: 4,688
    Danny565 said:

    I don't get it, are there really people who find him funny/entertaining??

    God only knows but this is absolutely dreadful. Even Ed Milliband gave a better one.
  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317

    I wonder if Boris has a surprise or two up his sleeve - 'Actually, bugger October. We're leaving the EU now.' That would be dramatic.

    Only surprise was he kept it short. Probably wise as he had nowt to say.
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    Was that @HYUFD there in the crowd reaching out for a snog?
  • Mysticrose
    Mysticrose Posts: 4,688

    We're in trouble, aren't we?

    :)

    Reminds me of Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy.
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.
  • WhisperingOracle
    WhisperingOracle Posts: 10,470
    edited July 2019


    All felt a bit like a cheerful end-of-year Rotary Club lunch in Surrey, with prizes given out for the raffle, and everyone sent off for the summer.

    Yes absolutely
    But with a rousing and slightly over-hopeful speech from the in-house "energy bunny" for donations for the next year.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
  • Dura_Ace
    Dura_Ace Posts: 14,645
    This is what it sounds like when doves cry.
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    509 soiled ballot papers? Probably not surprising given the age of the tory membership
  • Tabman
    Tabman Posts: 1,046
    JackW said:

    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.

    What gave you that impression Jack?
  • surbiton19
    surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    What did the ConHome poll say, HYUFD ? In numbers or percentages.
  • TOPPING
    TOPPING Posts: 44,060
    HYUFD said:

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
    Your man won. I am happy for you that you are on the winning side.
  • Pulpstar
    Pulpstar Posts: 79,814
    Betting point to note for the future, Betfair has suspended the Theresa May Exit date market as of now.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156

    dixiedean said:

    Boris is the 77 th PM says R5L...

    Not yet he isn't.
    Are you waiting for the Queen to finish the job before your letter goes in?
    No, it's going in tomorrow, it's a joint letter with my wife and she hasn't signed it yet.
    A big step Richard, and I'm sure one that you have not taken lightly.

    Let's see how may others do likewise.
  • DavidL
    DavidL Posts: 55,867
    Do we take it from that that Hunt is going to keep a serious job after all?
  • glw
    glw Posts: 10,463

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Sky News - Gauke has resigned
  • not_on_fire
    not_on_fire Posts: 4,451
    May's premiership is going to to seem like a golden age of competence and achievement in six months' time, in a similar way to how Corbyn has made Ed MIlliband look like one of Labour's greatest ever leaders.
  • glw
    glw Posts: 10,463
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092
    HYUFD said:

    Jeremy Hunt....is a losing bet.

    No new shoes for TSE.

    TSE now owes me a pound I will donate to PBfunds
    I'm surprised you don't bet more given how strong your confidence level is in your predictions
  • edmundintokyo
    edmundintokyo Posts: 17,735
    Chris said:


    509 soilt papers

    This is an astonishingly low number, I can only conclude when somebody drew a penis they counted that as a vote for Boris
  • Roger
    Roger Posts: 20,744
    TOPPING said:

    Was that @HYUFD there in the crowd reaching out for a snog?

    Congratulations to HYUFD. He predicted this catastrophe over two years ago and despite a lot of criticism stuck by his guns.

    It really wasn't predictable, So well done!
  • surbiton19
    surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    edited July 2019
    https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1153623798362648576

    From DUD to DUDE. No wonder he needed to add a letter to Energise.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092
    glw said:

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
    Which are your favourite non-Brexit lib dem policies?
  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317
    Gauke resigns.
  • DecrepitJohnL
    DecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    DavidL said:

    Do we take it from that that Hunt is going to keep a serious job after all?

    Probably. Boris needs to keep his opponents in the tent. Somewhere there is an article by Hague about the constraints of balancing different wings, not all of which are obvious.
  • surbiton19
    surbiton19 Posts: 1,469
    JackW said:

    Sky News - Gauke has resigned

    Part of the Gaukward squad now !
  • rottenborough
    rottenborough Posts: 66,867
    BF have paid up.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059
  • Casino_Royale
    Casino_Royale Posts: 63,687
    Pulpstar said:

    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

    Johnson +£396.86
    Hunt +£24.50

    Everything else all safely green.

    On Betfair...

    But, I have £182 losing bets with the bookies made over the last 2 years, but one of them was a +£1,600 payout with SkyBet as I backed Hunt when he was at 100/1 and 60/1 some time ago.
  • SouthamObserver
    SouthamObserver Posts: 40,054
    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.
  • Bob__Sykes
    Bob__Sykes Posts: 1,179
    glw said:

    I'm sat at home laughing along but deep down I'm thinking I have probably just become a Lib Dem without actually wanting to....

    I disagree with the Lib Dems on a lot of things, including Brexit, but they appear to be the last vaguely sensible party standing.
    Will we need to buy sandals? :-)
  • JackW
    JackW Posts: 14,787
    Tabman said:

    JackW said:

    I think some in the audience are starting to realize what they've done.

    What gave you that impression Jack?
    The vaguely less than North Korean reception. It's like many in the hall had the sugar rush and then Boris began speaking. Odd .... mind you it was an odd speech - sounded unscripted, off the cuff and a little stale.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092

    Pulpstar said:

    Final Betfair totals for me (Leader market)
    Boris Johnson
    £179.95

    Jeremy Hunt
    -£32.90

    Michael Gove
    £52.82

    Sajid Javid
    £328.32

    Andrea Leadsom
    -£1,656.10

    Field
    £195.32

    Johnson +£396.86
    Hunt +£24.50

    Everything else all safely green.

    On Betfair...

    But, I have £182 losing bets with the bookies made over the last 2 years, but one of them was a +£1,600 payout with SkyBet as I backed Hunt when he was at 100/1 and 60/1 some time ago.
    Nice. I wish I had this skill with trading bets. At the moment I just look for value, I rarely have any feel for when I should get in or out.
  • SandyRentool
    SandyRentool Posts: 23,156
    In an undisclosed location, the ERG are currently singing "Tomorrow Belongs to Me"
  • Danny565
    Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    YouGov Live Poll

    1. Boris Johnson has been announced as the new leader of the Conservative party. Which of the following best reflects your reaction to Boris Johnson becoming leader?
    Delighted 7%
    Pleased 19%
    Disappointed 6%
    Dismayed 52%
    Don't really mind either way 12%
    Don't know 4%
  • dixiedean
    dixiedean Posts: 30,317
    The Young Tory on R5L not great. "This sends a clear message to the rest of the country. Boris is the man and we need to unite behind him."
    With respect, I resile.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    Nah, if he starts to fail he'll be attacked from the right as not being a true believer. It'll ring true too, because of his two letters and because everyone knows Boris only really believes in Boris' career.
  • Chris
    Chris Posts: 12,059

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    I think (nearly) two to one means the Tory party unequivocally owns what's going to happen.
  • HYUFD
    HYUFD Posts: 128,924
    edited July 2019

    I am pleased Johnson will be PM. I want him to appoint No Deal backers only to his Cabinet. I want the English nationalist, hard right to unequivocally own everything that happens from here. That is the quickest route to their final, humiliating defeat.

    One thing us for certain, failure to commit to deliver Brexit will guarantee defeat, Boris at least gives the Tories a chance now
  • JosiasJessop
    JosiasJessop Posts: 46,251

    159,320 votes
    87.4% turnout.
    509 soilt papers
    Hunt 46,656
    BJ: 92,153

    509 soiled ballot papers? Probably not surprising given the age of the tory membership
    :blush:
    You try typing the results quickly.
    Though if I were being forced to vote for Boris, I'd probably wipe my hairy arse with it first.
  • FrancisUrquhart
    FrancisUrquhart Posts: 85,742
    edited July 2019
    This doesn't look good for the Ashes...

    England fast bowler James Anderson has been ruled out of his side's Ashes warm-up Test against Ireland at Lord's. Fast bowlers Mark Wood and Jofra Archer have side strains and were not named in the squad for the Ireland game, which starts on Wednesday.

    Wood is unlikely to be fit before the fourth Ashes Test, which starts on 4 September, while England hope Archer could be available for the second Test, starting on 14 August.

    https://www.bbc.com/sport/cricket/49082928

    Broad, Woakes and Curran medium fast deliveries aren't exactly going to worry the convicts.
  • Stereotomy
    Stereotomy Posts: 4,092

    This doesn't look good for the Ashes...

    England fast bowler James Anderson has been ruled out of his side's Ashes warm-up Test against Ireland at Lord's. Fast bowlers Mark Wood and Jofra Archer have side strains and were not named in the squad for the Ireland game, which starts on Wednesday.

    Wood is unlikely to be fit before the fourth Ashes Test, which starts on 4 September, while England hope Archer could be available for the second Test, starting on 14 August.

    https://www.bbc.com/sport/cricket/49082928

    Broad, Woakes and Curran medium fast deliveries aren't exactly going to worry the convicts.

    Christ, there's more cricket? Haven't we had enough?
This discussion has been closed.