politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » On the betting markets a no deal Brexit moves from a 37% chanc
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Or We are not amused Rail.rpjs said:
I wonder at what point will the Queen discretely convey to TfL “Thanks but no thanks, you can just call it Crossrail again”?Sunil_Prasannan said:Crossrail… must have Crossrail...
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very drollEndillion said:0 -
AIUI the only reason why Fermanagh and Tyrone were included in Norn Iron in the first place was that Carson et al. concluded that just four counties wouldn’t be a viable statelet, so I don’t see how one or two would be.HYUFD said:
That is up to loyalists, if there is a majority in Antrim for UDI so be itTheuniondivvie said:
Does punting the idea of Loyalist armed UDI of a Prod enclave in the event of reunification count as leaving it correctly entirely up to the people of NI?HYUFD said:
Yet 36% of Britons want NI to stay in the UK to only 19% who want it to Leave and join the Republic even if 36% would leave it correctly entirely up to the people of NIwilliamglenn said:0 -
To be fair to Cameron, he’s been pretty much invisible since he stepped down. I imagine his memior’s publication has been somewhat delayed by not wishing to make life any more difficult for the Brexit negotiations that it has been already.rural_voter said:0 -
Lib Dem.Pulpstar said:
One question about that, how do youI answer the "How did you vote in the last election" question on the surveys ?TheScreamingEagles said:Can I just say it is FAKE NEWS that my vote swap helped Lee Rowley gain his seat in 2017.
FFS first Andrea Jenkyns now Lee Rowley.0 -
Console yourself with the thought that since he won by more than 1, you really didn't.TheScreamingEagles said:Can I just say it is FAKE NEWS that my vote swap helped Lee Rowley gain his seat in 2017.
FFS first Andrea Jenkyns now Lee Rowley.
Your genial and convincing doorstep manner probably swung thousands for Andrea, however...0 -
Would he really want to publish, everyone seeing what an utter mess has arisen from the cockup that finished his career?Sandpit said:
To be fair to Cameron, he’s been pretty much invisible since he stepped down. I imagine his memior’s publication has been somewhat delayed by not wishing to make life any more difficult for the Brexit negotiations that it has been already.rural_voter said:0 -
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends0 -
Really? We could have a referendumCharles said:
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends0 -
The establishment is more than politicians - it includes bishops, the BBC etcTOPPING said:
Suppose JRM et al won and implemented whatever flavour of Brexit their tiny, warped, idiotic, moronic brains wanted. Why would that not then be the establishment status quo?isam said:
Politicians on the whole are part of the elite establishment, it’s not worth trying to play that card really. It’s the voters that disagreed with the establishment status quo.OnlyLivingBoy said:
Thank God we have been released from the grip of the Establishment by a ragged-trousered army of Old Etonians and their billionaire hedge fund paymasters.isam said:
Not much, but the symbolism of no longer being a member of the EU would at least be a start, and make it easier to gradually release ourselves from it in the future.
It also makes it impossible for the establishment to forget that over 50% of voters disagreed with them on something they held dear & presumed was the will of the nation.0 -
Already taken by Vince Cable unfortunately, in his capacity as successor to Ming the Merciless.dixiedean said:
Is Zorgon the Earthshaker, Master of all I Survey available?Endillion said:
It's just personal preference, expressed when they're sworn in:viewcode said:
Are they privy councillors or chairs of select committees? Would that explain it?Nigel_Foremain said:
How come Rees Mogg is MR Jacob Rees Mogg, and Steve Baker is MR Steve Baker, whereas the others simply have their names? Maybe it is how Rees Mogg and Baker announce themselves. A now deceased relative of mine always said that a gentleman never refers to himself as "Mr". This is obviously a piece of snobbish old-fashioned-ry that has passed by the monocle mutineer.williamglenn said:Nicky Morgan is serious about trying to win the ERG vote in the leadership contest.
https://twitter.com/DamianGreen/status/1113394935686946817
https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/elections-and-voting/swearingin/#jump-link-4
After shaking the Speaker’s hand, the MP goes behind the Speaker’s Chair, where staff will take a signature for recognition purposes and ask how the MP wishes to be known in House documents.0 -
I see that Labour is now purging members for their PB posts.
I await the 2am knock on the door from two men in leather overcoats...0 -
That’s cheered me right up.dixiedean said:
Console yourself with the thought that since he won by more than 1, you really didn't.TheScreamingEagles said:Can I just say it is FAKE NEWS that my vote swap helped Lee Rowley gain his seat in 2017.
FFS first Andrea Jenkyns now Lee Rowley.
Your genial and convincing doorstep manner probably swung thousands for Andrea, however...
At least I’ve never voted/campaign for Private Francois.0 -
On the basis that he’s rumoured to have already been paid a £2n advance for them, probably yes!IanB2 said:
Would he really want to publish, everyone seeing what an utter mess has arisen from the cockup that finished his career?Sandpit said:
To be fair to Cameron, he’s been pretty much invisible since he stepped down. I imagine his memior’s publication has been somewhat delayed by not wishing to make life any more difficult for the Brexit negotiations that it has been already.rural_voter said:0 -
Now that Malaysia is gone, what is significant about their location? If they are an ally, in what way have they contributed to our foreign policy objectives? I think the idea of Britain projecting military power so close to the PRC is unthinkable.Charles said:
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends
If we still need a jungle warfare school, couldn’t we build one in Brazil instead? I’m sure Bolsonaro would be keen, and Brazil has slightly more geopolitical significance than Brunei.0 -
Absolutely. And I can't see JRM getting rid of any of the bishops any time soon. The BBC maybe...Charles said:
The establishment is more than politicians - it includes bishops, the BBC etcTOPPING said:
Suppose JRM et al won and implemented whatever flavour of Brexit their tiny, warped, idiotic, moronic brains wanted. Why would that not then be the establishment status quo?isam said:
Politicians on the whole are part of the elite establishment, it’s not worth trying to play that card really. It’s the voters that disagreed with the establishment status quo.OnlyLivingBoy said:
Thank God we have been released from the grip of the Establishment by a ragged-trousered army of Old Etonians and their billionaire hedge fund paymasters.isam said:
Not much, but the symbolism of no longer being a member of the EU would at least be a start, and make it easier to gradually release ourselves from it in the future.
It also makes it impossible for the establishment to forget that over 50% of voters disagreed with them on something they held dear & presumed was the will of the nation.0 -
Not to mention the difficulty of coming up with a convincing justification for the disastrous mess he left behind him that will stand up to historical scrutiny.Sandpit said:
To be fair to Cameron, he’s been pretty much invisible since he stepped down. I imagine his memior’s publication has been somewhat delayed by not wishing to make life any more difficult for the Brexit negotiations that it has been already.rural_voter said:
I very much doubt the book will ever appear.0 -
When is a meeting not a meetingmalcolmg said:
Your arse , it is a meeting only , no formal talks have ever taken place with Scottish Government or will with these cretins.Scrapheap_as_was said:
He tried to get out of that by saying it's not formal talks, the surprised face of the lady next to him when TMay said she was meeting with the FM rather gives the lie to that...Freggles said:Absolute howler from Blackford, asking why Scotland is being ignored - PM responds that she is meeting the First Ministers for Scotland and Wales today
When Malcs mate doesnt know about it0 -
But is JRM in favour of disenstablishmentarianism? He is a Roman Catholic.TOPPING said:
Absolutely. And I can't see JRM getting rid of any of the bishops any time soon. The BBC maybe...Charles said:
The establishment is more than politicians - it includes bishops, the BBC etcTOPPING said:
Suppose JRM et al won and implemented whatever flavour of Brexit their tiny, warped, idiotic, moronic brains wanted. Why would that not then be the establishment status quo?isam said:
Politicians on the whole are part of the elite establishment, it’s not worth trying to play that card really. It’s the voters that disagreed with the establishment status quo.OnlyLivingBoy said:
Thank God we have been released from the grip of the Establishment by a ragged-trousered army of Old Etonians and their billionaire hedge fund paymasters.isam said:
Not much, but the symbolism of no longer being a member of the EU would at least be a start, and make it easier to gradually release ourselves from it in the future.
It also makes it impossible for the establishment to forget that over 50% of voters disagreed with them on something they held dear & presumed was the will of the nation.0 -
Hang on. Rule Book 2018. Chapter 2 Para 1 Clause 4 is about reasons they can exclude you. They relate to:SouthamObserver said:Hilariously, I am being investigated by the Labour party for an article and a post I made here on Political Betting. I could end up being expelled from a party of which I am no longer a member. maybe they think I'm Jewish!!
https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1113392278876360705
A. Running against the party or nominating someone who runs against us
B. Supporting a non-affiliated other party or unit
C. A candidate not standing under the official Labour logo / description
D. Convicts.
Based on what they have sent you, WHAT THE ACTUAL FUCK are they on about?
Wankers.0 -
More pertinently, Brunei provides lots of money to lots of professional people in the UK.RoyalBlue said:
Now that Malaysia is gone, what is significant about their location? If they are an ally, in what way have they contributed to our foreign policy objectives? I think the idea of Britain projecting military power so close to the PRC is unthinkable.Charles said:
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends
If we still need a jungle warfare school, couldn’t we build one in Brazil instead? I’m sure Bolsonaro would be keen, and Brazil has slightly more geopolitical significance than Brunei.0 -
Report them to the Vegan Activists.....SandyRentool said:I see that Labour is now purging members for their PB posts.
I await the 2am knock on the door from two men in leather overcoats...0 -
I will accept realpolitik arguments for Saudi Arabia, but not for some irrelevant statelet.Sean_F said:
More pertinently, Brunei provides lots of money to lots of professional people in the UK.RoyalBlue said:
Now that Malaysia is gone, what is significant about their location? If they are an ally, in what way have they contributed to our foreign policy objectives? I think the idea of Britain projecting military power so close to the PRC is unthinkable.Charles said:
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends
If we still need a jungle warfare school, couldn’t we build one in Brazil instead? I’m sure Bolsonaro would be keen, and Brazil has slightly more geopolitical significance than Brunei.0 -
I would love to get promoted to the House of Lords, if only to bag Lord Vader of Cheam ahead of Eddie Izzard.....Chris said:
Already taken by Vince Cable unfortunately, in his capacity as successor to Ming the Merciless.dixiedean said:
Is Zorgon the Earthshaker, Master of all I Survey available?Endillion said:
It's just personal preference, expressed when they're sworn in:viewcode said:
Are they privy councillors or chairs of select committees? Would that explain it?Nigel_Foremain said:
How come Rees Mogg is MR Jacob Rees Mogg, and Steve Baker is MR Steve Baker, whereas the others simply have their names? Maybe it is how Rees Mogg and Baker announce themselves. A now deceased relative of mine always said that a gentleman never refers to himself as "Mr". This is obviously a piece of snobbish old-fashioned-ry that has passed by the monocle mutineer.williamglenn said:Nicky Morgan is serious about trying to win the ERG vote in the leadership contest.
https://twitter.com/DamianGreen/status/1113394935686946817
https://www.parliament.uk/about/how/elections-and-voting/swearingin/#jump-link-4
After shaking the Speaker’s hand, the MP goes behind the Speaker’s Chair, where staff will take a signature for recognition purposes and ask how the MP wishes to be known in House documents.0 -
It is dated 1st April otherwise such is the wankery that one might suspect...RochdalePioneers said:
Hang on. Rule Book 2018. Chapter 2 Para 1 Clause 4 is about reasons they can exclude you. They relate to:SouthamObserver said:Hilariously, I am being investigated by the Labour party for an article and a post I made here on Political Betting. I could end up being expelled from a party of which I am no longer a member. maybe they think I'm Jewish!!
https://twitter.com/SpaJw/status/1113392278876360705
A. Running against the party or nominating someone who runs against us
B. Supporting a non-affiliated other party or unit
C. A candidate not standing under the official Labour logo / description
D. Convicts.
Based on what they have sent you, WHAT THE ACTUAL FUCK are they on about?
Wankers.0 -
That's not the view that prevails among the people who make money out of Brunei.RoyalBlue said:
I will accept realpolitik arguments for Saudi Arabia, but not for some irrelevant statelet.Sean_F said:
More pertinently, Brunei provides lots of money to lots of professional people in the UK.RoyalBlue said:
Now that Malaysia is gone, what is significant about their location? If they are an ally, in what way have they contributed to our foreign policy objectives? I think the idea of Britain projecting military power so close to the PRC is unthinkable.Charles said:
They are in a geopolitically significant location and have been long term allies of the U.K.JosiasJessop said:Can anybody think of a reason why we shouldn't, as a country, start political measures against Brunei wrt their rather medieval new laws?
There are times when 'condemnation' is not enough. Before anyone starts, I'm not talking about war, but something more than just tut-tutting.
They are unpleasant jerks but countries can’t always afford to pick their friends
If we still need a jungle warfare school, couldn’t we build one in Brazil instead? I’m sure Bolsonaro would be keen, and Brazil has slightly more geopolitical significance than Brunei.0 -
Unlikely as it would pave the way for gay marriage to occur in (at least anglican) churches.Verulamius said:
But is JRM in favour of disenstablishmentarianism? He is a Roman Catholic.TOPPING said:
Absolutely. And I can't see JRM getting rid of any of the bishops any time soon. The BBC maybe...Charles said:
The establishment is more than politicians - it includes bishops, the BBC etcTOPPING said:
Suppose JRM et al won and implemented whatever flavour of Brexit their tiny, warped, idiotic, moronic brains wanted. Why would that not then be the establishment status quo?isam said:
Politicians on the whole are part of the elite establishment, it’s not worth trying to play that card really. It’s the voters that disagreed with the establishment status quo.OnlyLivingBoy said:
Thank God we have been released from the grip of the Establishment by a ragged-trousered army of Old Etonians and their billionaire hedge fund paymasters.isam said:
Not much, but the symbolism of no longer being a member of the EU would at least be a start, and make it easier to gradually release ourselves from it in the future.
It also makes it impossible for the establishment to forget that over 50% of voters disagreed with them on something they held dear & presumed was the will of the nation.0 -
Programme Motion debate starts. Cross-party (Benn) amendment called. Other amendments not called, although Letwin says he supports votes on Monday if Brexit isn't resolved.0
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However as at present, he may bash them from time to time.TOPPING said:
Absolutely. And I can't see JRM getting rid of any of the bishops any time soon. The BBC maybe...Charles said:
The establishment is more than politicians - it includes bishops, the BBC etcTOPPING said:
Suppose JRM et al won and implemented whatever flavour of Brexit their tiny, warped, idiotic, moronic brains wanted. Why would that not then be the establishment status quo?isam said:
Politicians on the whole are part of the elite establishment, it’s not worth trying to play that card really. It’s the voters that disagreed with the establishment status quo.OnlyLivingBoy said:
Thank God we have been released from the grip of the Establishment by a ragged-trousered army of Old Etonians and their billionaire hedge fund paymasters.isam said:
Not much, but the symbolism of no longer being a member of the EU would at least be a start, and make it easier to gradually release ourselves from it in the future.
It also makes it impossible for the establishment to forget that over 50% of voters disagreed with them on something they held dear & presumed was the will of the nation.0 -
I already got reported for comments made on social media. By local "comrades" who having wandered into the party following the Messiah decided that as I do not worship His feet I - a member for the last 24 years - should go.SandyRentool said:I see that Labour is now purging members for their PB posts.
I await the 2am knock on the door from two men in leather overcoats...
Actually wrote directly to the General Secretary DEMANDING my expulsion.
Was quite funny when I put in one phone call and had it dropped into the circular file...0 -