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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Granny storming the barricades
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Granny storming the barricades
You know the drill. It’s a scenario which has played out many times in countries around the world, sometimes peaceably, sometimes with much violence: the old elite is overthrown, an iconoclastic movement tears down the old structures and grabs power. Regimes and institutions which looked as though they would last for ever are suddenly overthrown, with breath-taking speed.
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There's something to be said for this, as the EU needs to make some changes and the UK is never very helpful when it needs to change.
And if the Scots don't want to be part of that future, then they're welcome to bugger off.
"Moderate" Labour MPs are going to need a much better rationale for launching a coup than just not wanting to admit to themselves that they misjudged the public mood on the EU.
No doubt some of the oldies who made this possible were just anti-immigration nuts. However, many older folk that I met on the campaign trail had thought about the decision carefully and were voting Leave for good reasons to do with restoring our democracy. Frankly I'm glad they did.
Which is a shame, as we need to get going on something now given the construction times. Personally I'd prefer BI as I think it's more futureproof, but the time to start that was three years ago, not now. Heathrow can be delivered quicker and (hopefully) cheaper.
Or is that so last week?
And another when it has still tried to get you to upgrade for the umpteenth time that said "Will you just fuck off and LEAVE ME ALONE. NO, I DO NOT WANT TO UPGRADE."
Every foggy morning currently costs billions in lost income for the country, as LHR is so far over capacity that the air traffic controllers squeeze the planes closer together in good weather than anywhere else in the world.
Is it not the case that for one reason or another being pro-EU is simply regarded as being fashionable/the "norm" for a generation that is, frankly, highly impressionable.
I find the present 18-24 generation to be incredibly dull when it comes to politics - they've somehow been placated / made docile... an effect of technology somehow?
My first chance to comment on the last 24 tumultuous hours. I had an early presentation so went to bed at 11 expecting REMAIN to have prevailed by say 52-48 as per YouGov so my reaction this morning was one of surprise to say the least.
Yet it seems the sky hasn't fallen in thus far - the FTSE lost some of the week's earlier froth but is still well above where it was as far back as last Friday and, as expected, there were contingency plans aplenty from the Bank of England.
Cameron, of course, acknowledged the result by not acknowledging it. We can't leave until the Conservative Party dictates when we leave - Cameron and his discredited bunch will hang round all summer like a bad smell while the majority non-Conservative population will have to endure a ludicrous popularity contest - cue endless Sky debates, town hall meetings and the like.
The Conservatives make take some comfort in not being alone in their misery - for Labour Brexit threatens renewed factionalism, for UKIP, the threat is existential and for the LDs, the rejection of a central plank of their raison d'etre is no less a crisis.
Newham voted REMAIN by a much smaller majority than the local Labour party might have expected reflecting undercurrents not visible in local and general election campaigns where there is little practical alternative to the Party.
Apart from Cisco traders going nuts about the dollar rate, she said her office of 18sh year olds is split 50/50. She didn't vote because she couldn't decide.
So unless you are prepared to accept that pollsters have got this spot on I don't accept the 75/25 split. I know 1 under 25 remainer and many times more than that leaver.
By all means have it informed by expert opinion but no more than that.
Also there are some articles on how to stop the upgrade.
I'm a smug Apple user myself. [sniff]
I think there's something to be said for the idea that young people who've grown up in a democracy find it hard to imagine that their democratic privileges could ever be nullified.
Those who've seen their democratic privileges being gradually whittled away are less complacent.
http://ultimateoutsider.com/downloads/
PM me if you need more info, I deal with this crap for a day job.
Yeah I know that feeling and the first time I was given the choice since 17 years old some 42 years I had to vote leave.
Deal with it like I and many of us had to then which we did with respect for the democratic process and just got on with it. Something you Remainers cannot do. FFF I saw on a previous thread one poster considered that 52/48 was the matter not settled.
As was stated at the first referendum that's democracy for you.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-36608269
Stick it up your juncker!!!
Now, who voted most for Remain?"
Newham is the least agnostic area in the whole country if memory serves but it'smore diverse than Tower Hamlets and though UKIP has never prospered here, there are strong wwc enclaves in Beckton and Silvertown. I thought it might be 55-45 for REMAIN but I was wrong and turnout was much higher than I expected.
Go to Start>Settings>Update and Security>Recovery.
http://www.howtogeek.com/220723/how-to-uninstall-windows-10-and-downgrade-to-windows-7-or-8.1/
When you've "downgraded" then install the 'GWX Control panel' app referenced in my post below to stop the messages.
PM me if you need more details.
The Forecasters Forecaster Martin Armstrong on the money again:
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/international-news/europes-current-economy/the-british-pound-the-aftermath-of-brexit/
Look how his model pointed to the peak of the EU in 2004. Since then in the Euro they ripped up the Maastricht deficit criteria (remember that?), they ripped up the no bail out clause for Greece, couldn't get a budget signed off for goodness knows how many years......lets face it PB europhiliacs your EU wet dreams of ever closer union are in RUINS.
As I've said before, we've been round this racetrack before with the Roman Empire, Charlemagne, Napoleon and Hitler. Why anyone remotely expected a different outcome at the 5th time heaven only knows. Our incapacity as a human race to learn the lessons from history never ceases to amaze me.
Mind you, I owned the place by predicting the percentage of the result nationally at 3 (and locally as well though it was the reverse) and so had a happy bunch of mostly kippers to work with. None of my Labour friends turned up but very few Tories. One for them (Ahem... Nick) and 2 others for my side though not all night.
This I think is the problem. The electorate are frankly too thick to get it right.... No wonder they (the electorate) hate the political classes.
To be fair once I corrected some of their view on calamity, how people who are concerned about immigration are not waycists we did get on OK. though. Bet many of them hate me though.
People have voted for both Remain and Leave for some frankly incomprehensible reasons. I'm already at the stage where I just don't want to know, it allows me to continue to hold some kind of regard for my fellow humans.
Hopefully more political fun from that.
But, hey, we still voted yesterday in your interest, despite you somehow daring to vote and differently,
The sooner our generation is gone the better. I'm sure you will agree on that at least.
Somehow its lyrics seemed rather apt.
Barring a few minutes for particular highlights I kept the TV off to avoid being irritated by campbell and the other so called expert talking heads.
Instead I reclined on a sofa with a sofa tuned to politicalbetting vanilla on a smartphone and refreshed when I ran out of posts to read.
It kept me bang up to date and informed, far better than any news channel ticker or pundits.
Thank you.
If the oldies outnumber the young they may have grounds to complain. If not, tough, get out and vote
http://www.standard.co.uk/showbiz/celebrity-news/damon-albarn-on-brexit-at-glastonbury-democracy-has-failed-us-a3280526.html
Leave have won but they have certainly not gained an emphatic mandate.
They need to find good and experienced local councillors for Parliamentary seats, not some jumped up young Islingtonite SpAd from Head Office, who doesn't have anything in common with their constituents.
https://companycheck.co.uk/company/SC163703/ABRAXA-LIMITED/directors-secretaries
Yes you've seen it right a Malcolm Leslie Rifkind and John Chilcot.
Mr Chilcot is not an independent figure like the establishment would wish you to believe. As such he is a deeply ineligible figure to stand at the head of a genuinely independent report.
He has had rather nice little run recently, all urbane and whatnot.
Crafty wee s**t.
Business Correspondent. Talking about a greek style meltdown, worst this and worst that...
He and Osborne also misunderstood why they won in 2015. They thought it was "the economy stupid" that won it, and therefore tried to repeat it in the Referendum -- in reality, it was identity politics ("stop the Jocks and the benefit scroungers taking your money") that won it for them in 2015, and it was Leave that ran that kind of line this time.
I think it's good we've got a weekend coming up to allow everyone to get some sleep and get their emotions under control...
Also if house prices halve buy to let landlords go bust and lose not just their rented out houses but their family home and end up in a damp bedsit which teaches them that being antisocial greedy speculators can have negative consequences. Meanwhile young couples buy the ex rented houses at a knockdown price and are better off because the mortgage payments are less than the payments to the greedy landlord were and unlike the greedy landlord who did the miniumum maintenance they take pride in and look after their house so improving the housing stock and by reflection the local area.