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In spite of the latest EU dealings those who think Brexit was wrong still have clear 8% lead with Yo

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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    Why should he, Pfizer may be able to use that to pump out more from their US manufacturing. They said publicly last month that the major bottleneck in the US is sourcing of raw materials and ingredients for the process. If our supplies can cover the shortage and give Pfizer the means to boost its US production allowing it to fulfill non-EU contracts with a short delay then we need to do that.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029

    The key question is whether there are enough second Pfizer doses already in the U.K. to match up with what’s been injected or another source that can compensate (e.g. US sites). If so, then presumably our Government can sit back, say nothing, and let the EU have a mardy.

    I presume from next week they won't be giving anybody Pfizer just to be on the safe side. Not great for getting the numbers up to 500k / day and hitting the mid Feb target.
    Any nonsense from the EU has come too late to derail the mid-February target. I'm quite sure that the NHS will press ahead with the Pfizer jabs - I've no idea if we have enough already onshore for all the boosters but regardless one shot is still going to be miles better than giving people nothing.

    Besides, it is nearly February already. My husband (who is shielding) has just got his appointment through for February 3rd. Best news in months.
    In a lot of ways using it all asap opens up the perfect story for Boris.

    Well Pfizer were due to deliver 3million vaccines on March 1st but the EU has blocked it - so the fact you aren't getting a second jab is the EUs fault.
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    Sandpit said:

    So they’re letting Israel off. UK, USA, UAE and a few small Asian countries though, they are screwed.

    Eagerly awaiting Joe Biden’s response...
    How many of those countries are importing any doses from EU facilities?
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    This does not stop Pfizer exporting to the UK at all. At most there is 4 day delay for paperwork.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    -------------

    "This is not an export ban. This measure would specifically target exports of COVID-19 vaccines covered by an Advance Purchase Agreement (APA) with the EU. These exports will be subject to an early notification and authorisation before they are effectively shipped outside the EU."

    -----------

    "The Commission is mindful of APAs contracted by third countries, and will endeavour to ensure that the expectations of these countries to obtain their deliveries will be met.

    We call on companies with APAs to meet their obligations to deliver on their commitments."

    -----------

    "Member States are required to set up export authorisation regimes.

    Companies request an export authorisation in the Member State where the vaccine is manufactured.

    Member States will process applications for export authorisations as soon as possible and no later than two working days after receiving all the required information.

    This period may be extended by a further two working days but only under exceptional circumstances and for duly justified reasons.

    In deciding whether to grant an export authorisation under this Regulation, Member States, together with the Commission, shall assess whether the volume of exports is not such that it poses a threat to the execution of the Advance Purchase Agreements the EU has concluded with vaccine manufacturers."
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    eek said:

    The key question is whether there are enough second Pfizer doses already in the U.K. to match up with what’s been injected or another source that can compensate (e.g. US sites). If so, then presumably our Government can sit back, say nothing, and let the EU have a mardy.

    I presume from next week they won't be giving anybody Pfizer just to be on the safe side. Not great for getting the numbers up to 500k / day and hitting the mid Feb target.
    Any nonsense from the EU has come too late to derail the mid-February target. I'm quite sure that the NHS will press ahead with the Pfizer jabs - I've no idea if we have enough already onshore for all the boosters but regardless one shot is still going to be miles better than giving people nothing.

    Besides, it is nearly February already. My husband (who is shielding) has just got his appointment through for February 3rd. Best news in months.
    In a lot of ways using it all asap opens up the perfect story for Boris.

    Well Pfizer were due to deliver 3million vaccines on March 1st but the EU has blocked it - so the fact you aren't getting a second jab is the EUs fault.
    That would be really irresponsible in public health terms. Our recourse is to speak to Pfizer and see whether we can receive doses from the US supply chain and what is necessary to make that happen.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,950
    Floater said:

    Honest question - how much of this is spite because we left?

    It was certainly said an awful lot in Brussels over the past four years, that Brexit can never be allowed to be seen as successful.
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,804
    Re Header - This seems a soft question. You're allowing into 'right' a lot of views.

    (For example leave voters that tired of the process)

    The real question is something like 'from where we are now do you think that we'll be better off or worse off being outside of the EU than within it?'

    The EU is busy digging itself into an unworthy hole anyway. It won't play well anywhere.
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    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    MaxPB said:

    Honestly, I'm genuinely quite shocked that they've gone down the export ban route. What pharmaceutical company will want to operate under these conditions in the future?

    This is the kind of stuff I expect from China, Russia, India or Trump's USA. They aren't in great company.

    We can say no more about the latter because the man has got the boot, but China, Russia and India are all enthusiastically exporting. If they're going to risk collapsing the Western alliance by bullying us then why don't they just go the whole hog and ask Putin and Xi to bail them out? It seems to be working for Viktor Orban.
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,141
    I'm tempted to call that Instant Karma.
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    MaxPB said:

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    Why should he, Pfizer may be able to use that to pump out more from their US manufacturing. They said publicly last month that the major bottleneck in the US is sourcing of raw materials and ingredients for the process. If our supplies can cover the shortage and give Pfizer the means to boost its US production allowing it to fulfill non-EU contracts with a short delay then we need to do that.
    It’s very hard not to see the US wanting to retaliate for being singled out, even if there’s no direct impact. It doesn’t tend to let trade barriers slide. The EU is opening a massive can of worms.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,950

    Sandpit said:

    So they’re letting Israel off. UK, USA, UAE and a few small Asian countries though, they are screwed.

    Eagerly awaiting Joe Biden’s response...
    How many of those countries are importing any doses from EU facilities?
    AIUI all of them. There’s only two factories, one in Belgium and one in the USA, which is still getting up to speed.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    No way - what reason would there be for them to see sense?
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    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154

    The EU's policy appears to be to kill Brits.

    Only the section of UK society that voted heavily for Brexit..... It's not like they are vindictive or anything,
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,750
    What does this mean? And where is it?

    Has a MS notified unilateral measures?

    So far, only Belgium has notified an emergency measure.


    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029
    Sandpit said:

    Floater said:

    Honest question - how much of this is spite because we left?

    It was certainly said an awful lot in Brussels over the past four years, that Brexit can never be allowed to be seen as successful.
    Looking at that list of countries that doesn't include us, it does seem (for the first time) that Brexit was the sane option.
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    Time_to_LeaveTime_to_Leave Posts: 2,547
    edited January 2021

    MaxPB said:

    Honestly, I'm genuinely quite shocked that they've gone down the export ban route. What pharmaceutical company will want to operate under these conditions in the future?

    This is the kind of stuff I expect from China, Russia, India or Trump's USA. They aren't in great company.

    We can say no more about the latter because the man has got the boot, but China, Russia and India are all enthusiastically exporting. If they're going to risk collapsing the Western alliance by bullying us then why don't they just go the whole hog and ask Putin and Xi to bail them out? It seems to be working for Viktor Orban.
    It is playing with fire on the western alliance. If I was asked to give a view, right now, on whether British troops should continue to perform their “trip wire” role on the Russian border, I think I’d say “no, bring them home”. Fortunately I’m not in charge, in this mood, because that would be the wrong thing to do.
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,620
    Floater said:

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    No way - what reason would there be for them to see sense?
    International standing - take the high road.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    Popcorn supplies unaffected, I hope?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,620
    Chris said:

    I'm tempted to call that Instant Karma.
    I asked on the last thread - is there any vaccine production that is not effected by delays, anywhere?

    Also - some of the EU related rhetoric claims no reduction in UK production. Do they believe this?
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    MaxPB said:

    This is turning even my most EUphile friends into rabid leavers.

    Blocking vaccine exports in the middle of a pandemic is just absolutely irresponsible. They want to talk about vaccine wars, well they've just fired the first shot.

    The demand within the EU for increasing autonomy from individual countries is going to become overwhelming led by the electorates
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    Floater said:

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    No way - what reason would there be for them to see sense?
    Because the only winner in our stopping the feedstock needed to make vaccine is the Covid bug. The only outcome of doing that is stopping vaccine production. Covid says "yay!" - and sets about mutating some more.

    Possible that vdL is that much of a bunny-boiler. But let's find out.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    This does not stop Pfizer exporting to the UK at all. At most there is 4 day delay for paperwork.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    -------------

    "This is not an export ban. This measure would specifically target exports of COVID-19 vaccines covered by an Advance Purchase Agreement (APA) with the EU. These exports will be subject to an early notification and authorisation before they are effectively shipped outside the EU."

    -----------

    "The Commission is mindful of APAs contracted by third countries, and will endeavour to ensure that the expectations of these countries to obtain their deliveries will be met.

    We call on companies with APAs to meet their obligations to deliver on their commitments."

    -----------

    "Member States are required to set up export authorisation regimes.

    Companies request an export authorisation in the Member State where the vaccine is manufactured.

    Member States will process applications for export authorisations as soon as possible and no later than two working days after receiving all the required information.

    This period may be extended by a further two working days but only under exceptional circumstances and for duly justified reasons.

    In deciding whether to grant an export authorisation under this Regulation, Member States, together with the Commission, shall assess whether the volume of exports is not such that it poses a threat to the execution of the Advance Purchase Agreements the EU has concluded with vaccine manufacturers."

    So what's the point of the policy then if it will have zero effect?
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029
    MaxPB said:

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
    Novavax being one that the EU are only now in the process of negotiating contracts for.
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    That EU ambassador I said we should speak to, we should expel him.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    RobD said:

    Popcorn supplies unaffected, I hope?

    Price might spike....
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    noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 20,871
    edited January 2021
    RobD said:

    This does not stop Pfizer exporting to the UK at all. At most there is 4 day delay for paperwork.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    -------------

    "This is not an export ban. This measure would specifically target exports of COVID-19 vaccines covered by an Advance Purchase Agreement (APA) with the EU. These exports will be subject to an early notification and authorisation before they are effectively shipped outside the EU."

    -----------

    "The Commission is mindful of APAs contracted by third countries, and will endeavour to ensure that the expectations of these countries to obtain their deliveries will be met.

    We call on companies with APAs to meet their obligations to deliver on their commitments."

    -----------

    "Member States are required to set up export authorisation regimes.

    Companies request an export authorisation in the Member State where the vaccine is manufactured.

    Member States will process applications for export authorisations as soon as possible and no later than two working days after receiving all the required information.

    This period may be extended by a further two working days but only under exceptional circumstances and for duly justified reasons.

    In deciding whether to grant an export authorisation under this Regulation, Member States, together with the Commission, shall assess whether the volume of exports is not such that it poses a threat to the execution of the Advance Purchase Agreements the EU has concluded with vaccine manufacturers."

    So what's the point of the policy then if it will have zero effect?
    To show they are being tough and provide internal PR cover for their mistakes. Just like the Internal Markets Bill was here. It will have negligible impact on vaccines exports either way.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
    Novavax being one that the EU are only now in the process of negotiating contracts for.
    Slowly, very slowly negotiating ........
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,950
    Question for the pharma experts - how quickly could Pfizer have a manufacturing facility up and running in the UK - with unlimited money thrown at the problem, and possibly a few machines standing idle in Belgium that could be recommissioned?
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029
    Stocky said:

    MaxPB said:

    Honestly, I'm genuinely quite shocked that they've gone down the export ban route. What pharmaceutical company will want to operate under these conditions in the future?

    This is the kind of stuff I expect from China, Russia, India or Trump's USA. They aren't in great company.

    The EU is spooked by the UK demonstrating a benefit of being outside of the EU - a benefit which is proving to be so huge.

    The EU is aware that this can only intensify calls to leave from skeptics in other countries. People in Italy and Netherlands, for instance, will be apoplectic that their vaccine supply is dependent on the machinations of the EU rather than simply being a matter of negotiation between Italy and Netherlands and the particular pharmaceutical companies.
    The thing is - it's not actually a benefit of being outside the EU.

    The EU could have applied the same logic we did but instead they argued amongst themselves for 3 months and then decided to continue penny pinching when they should have spent more money to speed things up.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    Chris said:

    I'm tempted to call that Instant Karma.
    I asked on the last thread - is there any vaccine production that is not effected by delays, anywhere?

    Also - some of the EU related rhetoric claims no reduction in UK production. Do they believe this?
    That's what's completely mental about all of this, there isn't a single company that has kept its schedules. AZ, Pfizer, Moderna and all of the Chinese/Russian ones are struggling to get up to speed. It's not as if there's some magic button that you can push to say "100x this process overnight".

    The lack of industrial expertise in the EC is really showing here.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
    Novavax being one that the EU are only now in the process of negotiating contracts for.
    We should just go in and gazzump them. For shits and giggles.
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    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy
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    The EU has turned into Michael Crawford

    https://youtu.be/VpN5KK2-Wd8
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    The list of exempted countries is utterly bizarre, since it completely destroys the pretence that this is only about 'transparency'. It can't both be true that "The Commission is concerned by the lack of transparency around the ways some companies are operating and wants to have complete information in order to ensure they fulfil their contractual commitments" and that they don't need to have any information about exports to 92 countries, including most oddly Israel, which has been getting a lot of supply.

    They really have lost their marbles. An extraordinary sight.

    Israel would lose their shit if they lost their only vaccine supply.
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029
    edited January 2021
    Sandpit said:

    Question for the pharma experts - how quickly could Pfizer have a manufacturing facility up and running in the UK - with unlimited money thrown at the problem, and possibly a few machines standing idle in Belgium that could be recommissioned?

    That would be funny - you mean there was nothing in the export ban to stop the production line being exported.

    There are going to be whole industries where as of 3pm today manufacturing in the UK has switched from being an insane option to the saner one.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    Sandpit said:

    Question for the pharma experts - how quickly could Pfizer have a manufacturing facility up and running in the UK - with unlimited money thrown at the problem, and possibly a few machines standing idle in Belgium that could be recommissioned?

    Months rather than weeks, though we do have the option of asking for a temporary licence to manufacture it in the new centre in Oxfordshire as that has mRNA capacity of 10m per month.
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    londonpubmanlondonpubman Posts: 3,228
    Total humiliation for the EU today!
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    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    The EU's policy appears to be to kill Brits.

    It's beginning to look like it - but we do need to wait and see if the member states use these powers for monitoring purposes or actually to confiscate supply.

    A scenario in which the EU both blocks export of Pfizer and demands a cut of UK vaccine production would amount to extortion.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061
    On topic, I dont expect this issue to affect perceptions long term, though there may be a spike here or in some places on the continent. The downsides of leaving overall are too apparent.

    Hopefully, though, the distraction of the Commussion will not work and people will see the downsides of remaining and the EU can seek to improve to address concerns. It's no good if members could act differently if pressured so much not to do so and the commission evades responsibilities for problems.
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    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
    Novavax being one that the EU are only now in the process of negotiating contracts for.
    We should just go in and gazzump them. For shits and giggles.
    There's only 1.3 billion doses ahead of the EU in the queue.
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    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    I wonder when the penny will drop in Berlaymont that all this will look even more stupid in a few weeks' time when the UK has continued to roll out the jabs and the EU's programme has gone backwards?

    Especially given that we've got Novavax coming and the EU can't block Moderna as it's made in Switzerland.

    I don't understand what the hell is going on in Brussels. They've all taken leave of their senses.
    Novavax being one that the EU are only now in the process of negotiating contracts for.
    We should just go in and gazzump them. For shits and giggles.
    Give them the covax email address and tell them we’ll help them along with all the other countries incapable of securing their own supply...
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    CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 59,791

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    MaxPB said:

    This is turning even my most EUphile friends into rabid leavers.

    Blocking vaccine exports in the middle of a pandemic is just absolutely irresponsible. They want to talk about vaccine wars, well they've just fired the first shot.

    Into their foot.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061
    RobD said:

    This does not stop Pfizer exporting to the UK at all. At most there is 4 day delay for paperwork.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    -------------

    "This is not an export ban. This measure would specifically target exports of COVID-19 vaccines covered by an Advance Purchase Agreement (APA) with the EU. These exports will be subject to an early notification and authorisation before they are effectively shipped outside the EU."

    -----------

    "The Commission is mindful of APAs contracted by third countries, and will endeavour to ensure that the expectations of these countries to obtain their deliveries will be met.

    We call on companies with APAs to meet their obligations to deliver on their commitments."

    -----------

    "Member States are required to set up export authorisation regimes.

    Companies request an export authorisation in the Member State where the vaccine is manufactured.

    Member States will process applications for export authorisations as soon as possible and no later than two working days after receiving all the required information.

    This period may be extended by a further two working days but only under exceptional circumstances and for duly justified reasons.

    In deciding whether to grant an export authorisation under this Regulation, Member States, together with the Commission, shall assess whether the volume of exports is not such that it poses a threat to the execution of the Advance Purchase Agreements the EU has concluded with vaccine manufacturers."

    So what's the point of the policy then if it will have zero effect?
    It looks like something?
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    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump's America First makes more sense.
    Quite possibly the best put down I have seen in ages :smiley:
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    not_on_firenot_on_fire Posts: 4,341

    MaxPB said:

    This is turning even my most EUphile friends into rabid leavers.

    Blocking vaccine exports in the middle of a pandemic is just absolutely irresponsible. They want to talk about vaccine wars, well they've just fired the first shot.

    Into their foot.
    Into their arm, surely?
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    EndillionEndillion Posts: 4,976
    Sandpit said:

    Floater said:

    Honest question - how much of this is spite because we left?

    It was certainly said an awful lot in Brussels over the past four years, that Brexit can never be allowed to be seen as successful.
    Yes, but is that spite or self-preservation? It was notable how much anti-EU sentiment fell off while the Brexit negotiations were ongoing, and fairly clear that was at least a secondary goal of the EU position.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump had better baseball caps?
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    As the Covid Wars commence, has anybody noticed that Scott_P hasn't been retweeting from the front? I hope he hasn't copped a stray shell.

    It seems to be hard sourcing a tweet in support of this clusterfuck....
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    edited January 2021

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump's America First makes more sense.
    Yes, Trump's America first didn't institute export bans to countries it relied on for imports to make those products!

    It's literally the most stupid plan.

    The EU has picked up the gun, put it against its own head and said "give us what we want or we'll pull this trigger". I don't know what they are trying to achieve.
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    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,620

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
    No - this is too important. If you fuck up the complex chain of materials etc, it will take a long, long time to get it up and running again. Think a massive hit to production. For everyone.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump had better baseball caps?
    One thing this has done is confirm my holiday decision this year (if we get ot go)

    Anywhere but the EU (well, in my case North America running hot favourite :smiley: )
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    I'm trying to think of a phrase to sum up this story.

    https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1355185659678437379
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    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    MaxPB said:

    Honestly, I'm genuinely quite shocked that they've gone down the export ban route. What pharmaceutical company will want to operate under these conditions in the future?

    This is the kind of stuff I expect from China, Russia, India or Trump's USA. They aren't in great company.

    We can say no more about the latter because the man has got the boot, but China, Russia and India are all enthusiastically exporting. If they're going to risk collapsing the Western alliance by bullying us then why don't they just go the whole hog and ask Putin and Xi to bail them out? It seems to be working for Viktor Orban.
    It is playing with fire on the western alliance. If I was asked to give a view, right now, on whether British troops should continue to perform their “trip wire” role on the Russian border, I think I’d say “no, bring them home”. Fortunately I’m not in charge, in this mood, because that would be the wrong thing to do.
    It would at the moment. We must all remember that all of the EU's actions so far consist of rhetorical sabre-rattling and creating new enforcement powers on paper. They've not actually done anything yet.

    It's only if and when they choose to pick a really serious fight over this issue that the matter of withdrawing troops from Estonia and air defence from Ireland comes onto the agenda.
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    FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 3,918
    edited January 2021
    Did anyone spot that Guido managed to read most of the redacted stuff in the AZ contract?
    https://order-order.com/2021/01/29/eus-astrazeneca-redaction-cock-up/

    Ooooooooooops.

    The EU are bonkers. Worse than Trump on steroids.
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    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
    No - this is too important. If you fuck up the complex chain of materials etc, it will take a long, long time to get it up and running again. Think a massive hit to production. For everyone.
    Market forces may very well take over. If you were Pfizer (a US company remember) would you now not prioritise getting the US manufacturing site turbocharged? The EU site looks risky to me.
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    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
    No - this is too important. If you fuck up the complex chain of materials etc, it will take a long, long time to get it up and running again. Think a massive hit to production. For everyone.
    I agree. Leave mean, vindictive and petty to the EU.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,061
    When it actually happens, in line with original intentions, she's going to say it was thanks to her.
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    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
    No - this is too important. If you fuck up the complex chain of materials etc, it will take a long, long time to get it up and running again. Think a massive hit to production. For everyone.
    Really they should have thought about that then? How can the UK not retaliate with export bans in kind, with Pfizer stepping in to supply injured parties from their US manufacturing.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154

    MaxPB said:

    This is turning even my most EUphile friends into rabid leavers.

    Blocking vaccine exports in the middle of a pandemic is just absolutely irresponsible. They want to talk about vaccine wars, well they've just fired the first shot.

    Into their foot.
    Into their arm, surely?
    *This option is not available in EU countries*
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,078
    MaxPB said:

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump's America First makes more sense.
    Yes, Trump's America first didn't institute export bans to countries it relied on for imports to make those products!

    It's literally the most stupid plan.

    The EU has picked up the gun, put it against its own head and said "give us what we want or we'll pull this trigger". I don't know what they are trying to achieve.
    To be honest, as a Rejoiner, I didn't think anyone on the EU side would be as daft as Boris has been. 'Cos that was what Boris' UK team did!
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,950
    MaxPB said:

    Sandpit said:

    Question for the pharma experts - how quickly could Pfizer have a manufacturing facility up and running in the UK - with unlimited money thrown at the problem, and possibly a few machines standing idle in Belgium that could be recommissioned?

    Months rather than weeks, though we do have the option of asking for a temporary licence to manufacture it in the new centre in Oxfordshire as that has mRNA capacity of 10m per month.
    Oh no, not a new centre in the UK that could make 10m does per month!
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
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    Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    MaxPB said:

    Sandpit said:

    Question for the pharma experts - how quickly could Pfizer have a manufacturing facility up and running in the UK - with unlimited money thrown at the problem, and possibly a few machines standing idle in Belgium that could be recommissioned?

    Months rather than weeks, though we do have the option of asking for a temporary licence to manufacture it in the new centre in Oxfordshire as that has mRNA capacity of 10m per month.
    I thought that the Harwell facility was still under construction?

    In any event, even if this was an option and Pfizer were to agree (which, let's face it, if they were barred from fulfilling their contracts with us one assumes they would be pleased to do,) then surely it would take months to get production underway? These complex industrial processes can't be initiated just with the flick of a switch. It's why the EU is in so much trouble in the first place.
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    I cannot recall a single event uniting this forum in a way the EU trashing their brand has done

    It is remarkable and where it leaves Nicola Sturgeon and her devotion to this discredited bunch of politicians and bureaucrats is anyone guess
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    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    Initially Pfizer (or the other drug companies), but ultimately it could be the courts.
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995
    edited January 2021

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    Initially Pfizer (or the other drug companies), but ultimately it could be the courts.
    And now those authorising exports too.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    443k vaccine doses administered! Big increase.
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    On topic,

    'EU you are awful but I like you.'
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    Floater said:
    Hopefully they get that up and running quickly. I think Roche are contracted to manufacture the Moderna doses.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited January 2021
    deleted, duplicate
  • Options

    I seemed to remember Max saying that some base ingredients for the Pfizer vaccine come from the UK...this could get very messy very quickly.

    Boris can announce from his winter palace on Mount High Ground that we will not block those base ingredients.
    It is my hope that he does. He should announce

    - No plans to block export of vaccine
    - No plans to block export of materials for production of vaccine.
    No current plans.....
    No - this is too important. If you fuck up the complex chain of materials etc, it will take a long, long time to get it up and running again. Think a massive hit to production. For everyone.
    Market forces may very well take over. If you were Pfizer (a US company remember) would you now not prioritise getting the US manufacturing site turbocharged? The EU site looks risky to me.
    Someone should be speaking to them about converting a site here for their use, if long term investment in this country can be facilitated.
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    BluestBlueBluestBlue Posts: 4,556
    edited January 2021

    I'm trying to think of a phrase to sum up this story.

    https://twitter.com/MailOnline/status/1355185659678437379

    "'At least I'm less of a motherf****r than the EU' says Russian stepson"?
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    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    On topic,

    'EU you are awful but I like you.'

    Almost as bad as your shoes :wink:
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 49,950
    Endillion said:

    Sandpit said:

    Floater said:

    Honest question - how much of this is spite because we left?

    It was certainly said an awful lot in Brussels over the past four years, that Brexit can never be allowed to be seen as successful.
    Yes, but is that spite or self-preservation? It was notable how much anti-EU sentiment fell off while the Brexit negotiations were ongoing, and fairly clear that was at least a secondary goal of the EU position.
    Oh, very much so. They were definitely looking forward to problems at the ports.

    That, within a month of leaving properly, the UK a has chalked up such a massive and visible advantage, is clearly a big issue for the EU.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,405
    Morning team I'm back for a bit.

    I am super interested in the minutiae (the technicalities) of the contract.

    As people will know, my initial reaction was that the EU looked to be justified in their contention that AZN was not honouring their contract. The fact that it was signed with AZN AB I think is/was a bit tricksy by AZN.

    And a lot of hot air about it was justified, if only for internal consumption.

    Equally, they, like we, see this as an existential threat to their citizens and hence every jab could help to save a life so it is indeed a life and death matter. And they have a duty to their Member States' citizenry.

    Finally, I still can't believe that this is something they would do. We are in difficult times for everything including it seems for vaccine supply and everyone is having to adapt.

    But if they really are thinking of imposing an export ban on UK-bound vaccine stocks they can go and treble fuck themselves.
  • Options
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    Initially Pfizer (or the other drug companies), but ultimately it could be the courts.
    And now those authorising exports too.
    The UK govt doesnt seem particularly concerned. Pfizer will continue to export here.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,154
    MaxPB said:

    443k vaccine doses administered! Big increase.

    See that, Brussels? That's another 443k Brexit-voting nanas and gramps safe from Covid that is.

    How you doing?
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    eekeek Posts: 25,029
    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    We know Pfizer has production issues which means reduced supply - so you then ask who has priority over the available supply when the EU is due x million and there is only x million available in total.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,995

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    Initially Pfizer (or the other drug companies), but ultimately it could be the courts.
    And now those authorising exports too.
    The UK govt doesnt seem particularly concerned. Pfizer will continue to export here.
    Not unless some pen-pusher in Brussels says so.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    deleted, duplicate

    Are they really suggesting that the UK not export vaccines to Northern Ireland? I'm not sure I understand it properly.
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    MaxPB said:

    What is the difference between Trump's America First and the EU's vaccine policy

    Trump's America First makes more sense.
    Yes, Trump's America first didn't institute export bans to countries it relied on for imports to make those products!

    It's literally the most stupid plan.

    The EU has picked up the gun, put it against its own head and said "give us what we want or we'll pull this trigger". I don't know what they are trying to achieve.
    It can work (This clip is NSFW due to the N-word):
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Z_JOGmXpe5I
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    deleted, duplicate

    Where is the strategic thinking? They’ve really gone mad.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 62,849
    The stretched twig of intellectual credibility has melted...
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    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Does anyone who has read this policy note seriously think it bans Pfizer exporting from the EU to the UK? Calm down! Read the detail.

    https://ec.europa.eu/commission/presscorner/detail/en/qanda_21_308

    It gives them the mechanism to do exactly that.
    It only covers exports of vaccines procured by the EU, not vaccines procured by the UK manufactured in the EU.
    Who decides what vaccines are procured by the EU? That's the central issue here.
    Initially Pfizer (or the other drug companies), but ultimately it could be the courts.
    And now those authorising exports too.
    The UK govt doesnt seem particularly concerned. Pfizer will continue to export here.
    Not unless some pen-pusher in Brussels says so.
    The vaccines will still arrive. Its an annoying, rubbish and counter productive decision from the EU but its not a ban and wont escalate into a vaccine trade war. In a 2-3 months time there will be enough vaccines available that all wealthy countries can show good progress and their electorates will be happy.
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,074
    Floater said:
    Switzerland has not done well (so far) on vaccines, so this is good news.

    And, fwiw, we are going to keep seeing vaccine production increasing everywhere. The EU has gained nothing, I suspect, by its shenanigans, except to upset its partners and lower the likelihood people would want to invest in it.

    (Although, of course, the whole thing is doubly crazy, because the EU has essentially announced export restrictions... and announced that it is up member states whether to enforce them. So, they may have managed the ultimate triple own goal of pissing of an ally, reducing the likelihood people would want to invest in the future, and not actually increased the number of vaccine doses available.)
This discussion has been closed.