WH2020: The spreads latest and tonight’s PB election zoom gathering – politicalbetting.com

MaxPB

Florida results coming in on the NYT map.

Mortimer

HYUFD said:

Trump projected to have won Indiana with 64% of the vote currently

Thats up bigly, isnt it??

MikeL

Every FL County has swung to Biden but caution - it may be early vote

Foxy

TheWhiteRabbit said:

Looks to me like +3 Biden, -2 Trump in Indiana

How can you tell without the breakdown between early and on the day?

Have any counties fully reported yet?

Sunil_Prasannan

CorrectHorseBattery said:

Biden wins Vermont

"The first transport is away!"

RochdalePioneers

GIN1138 said:

MikeSmithson said:

This is my first US election since I became a teetotaller

It's OK CorrectHorseBattery is drinking for both of you!

For all of us by the sounds of it

CorrectHorseBattery

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323778256684879872

Cyclefree

RobD said:

CarlottaVance said:

Some good news for pubs:

https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1323766600802197511?s=20

Is that a U-turn? They didn't change anything from what was initially announced.

Yes it is. The original guidance issued on Sunday said that no takeaway alcohol sales would be allowed.

lockhimup

Nigelb said:

Anyone get on Texas @ 4 ?

4.1 but not much

Sunil_Prasannan

MarqueeMark said:

Casino_Royale said:

This shit is better than sex.

Then you aren't doing this shit right.....

"He's behind you!"

guybrush

edmundintokyo said:

Dramatic pundit voice:

"CNN now projects President Trump will win"

"...Indiana"

Glad it wasn't just me, nearly had a beer-keyboard moment

Endillion

Good morning all. Why are CNN describing "rounding to the nearest 1%" as though it's as hard as quantum physics?

RobD

Cyclefree said:

RobD said:

CarlottaVance said:

Some good news for pubs:

https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1323766600802197511?s=20

Is that a U-turn? They didn't change anything from what was initially announced.

Yes it is. The original guidance issued on Sunday said that no takeaway alcohol sales would be allowed.

Thanks, I hadn't appreciated anything was released prior to the announcement in Parliament.

Gallowgate

Reminder of Trafalgar's predictions.

Georgia
Trump 50%
Biden 43%

North Carolina
Trump 49%
Biden 47%

Florida
Trump 50%
Biden 47%

Ohio
Trump 49%
Biden 44%

Pennsylvania
Trump 48%
Biden 46%

Michigan
Trump 48%
Biden 46%

Nevada
Biden 49%
Trump 47%

Arizona
Trump 49%
Biden 46%

Minnesota
Biden 48%
Trump 45%

Wisconsin
Biden 48%
Trump 47%

Louisiana
Trump 54%
Biden 36%

Missouri
Trump 52%
Biden 41%

Texas
Trump 49%
Biden 43%

CorrectHorseBattery

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323778619697700864

Mortimer

Cyclefree said:

RobD said:

CarlottaVance said:

Some good news for pubs:

https://twitter.com/guardiannews/status/1323766600802197511?s=20

Is that a U-turn? They didn't change anything from what was initially announced.

Yes it is. The original guidance issued on Sunday said that no takeaway alcohol sales would be allowed.

Spoke to my MP about this, btw. Quite a bit of traction on twitter about it. Pleased the u-turn happened.

TheWhiteRabbit

Foxy said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

Looks to me like +3 Biden, -2 Trump in Indiana

How can you tell without the breakdown between early and on the day?

Have any counties fully reported yet?

If you take counties with high early voting, this does not leave much room

HYUFD

https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1323748552934391812?s=20

rcs1000

Pinellas Biden +8, 75% reported.

HYUFD

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323778619697700864?s=20

dixiedean

Pinellas looking good for Joe.

rottenborough

NYTimes saying KY is Trump.

HYUFD

https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1323778739126358017?s=20

edmundintokyo

Endillion said:

Good morning all. Why are CNN describing "rounding to the nearest 1%" as though it's as hard as quantum physics?

The whole "we are so clever" tone while spouting out-of-context bullshit is infuriating.

Biden needs to find common ground with the MAGA people, set fire to the news networks

Anabobazina

How long before Pinella etc finish their count?

CorrectHorseBattery

Floria for Biden!!

Mysticrose

Pinellas County FL looking very interesting.

RobD

CorrectHorseBattery said:

Floria for Biden!!

Careful now, no one has called it!

Casino_Royale

Looks like Florida might have swung enough for Biden to take it..

But very early.

rottenborough

licia Parlapiano, in Washington 7m ago

In Florida, early voting and counted mail ballots, which are likely to be stronger for Democrats, are expected by 8:30 p.m. ET.

MrEd

rcs1000 said:

Pinellas Biden +8, 75% reported.

Christ, that does look good for Biden.

Depends on the other 25%

sarissa

Philip_Thompson said:

bigjohnowls said:

Casino_Royale said:

Just realised Freeview doesn't have any US channels on it. Please tell me BBC coverage won't be complete shite?

'Sake.

339 CNN

Is that an Electoral College projection? 😜

And I’m on Trump < 200 ..they really know how to ratchet up the tension😥

dixiedean

rottenborough said:

NYTimes saying KY is Trump.

Remarkable that that needs mentioning tbh.

Mysticrose

Watch the Florida trends. Biden is still a buy at 310 ECVs. If he does take Florida that has to be attainable.

Beibheirli_C

CorrectHorseBattery said:

WHOEVER MARKED MY POST OFF TOPIC

It was marked by somebody called "CorrectHorseBattery". Maybe you should have a word with him.

HYUFD

Florida 13% in Trump 53% Biden 46%

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/results/state/florida/president?iid=politics_election_ticker

Endillion

edmundintokyo said:

Endillion said:

Good morning all. Why are CNN describing "rounding to the nearest 1%" as though it's as hard as quantum physics?

The whole "we are so clever" tone while spouting out-of-context bullshit is infuriating.

Biden needs to find common ground with the MAGA people, set fire to the news networks

I'm finding the abbreviation of Indiana to be even more infuriating.

"TRUMP WINS IN;" ... in where???

MikeL

Always caution the % reported - it's not necessarily % of total vote

CorrectHorseBattery

Beibheirli_C said:

CorrectHorseBattery said:

WHOEVER MARKED MY POST OFF TOPIC

It was marked by somebody called "CorrectHorseBattery". Maybe you should have a word with him.

Thanks honeyyy

paulyork64

florida now a coin toss with 365

TheScreamingEagles

NEW THREAD

FrancisUrquhart

Big Don is going to be sent to the showers early.

Richard_Tyndall

I don't understand the BBC results map.

They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.

Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district.

Mysticrose

Big swing to Biden in Hillsborough County

sarissa

Mortimer said:

If Florida results look good for Biden, I have a Woodford to open and sip before retiring. If not, well, it could be a long one....

I have an 18 year old Glenmorangie waiting to join you....

Andy_JS

Florida: both candidates on 1.3 million votes.

MaxPB

CorrectHorseBattery said:

Floria for Biden!!

Please don't post this kind of stuff tonight unless it's a verified early call. Some of us have a significant amount of money riding on this.

Anabobazina

CROSSOVER IN FL on Betfair.

Andy_JS

Richard_Tyndall said:

I don't understand the BBC results map.

They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.

Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district.

The exit polls must show an overwhelming victory for the candidate in question.

Foxy

TheWhiteRabbit said:

Foxy said:

TheWhiteRabbit said:

Looks to me like +3 Biden, -2 Trump in Indiana

How can you tell without the breakdown between early and on the day?

Have any counties fully reported yet?

If you take counties with high early voting, this does not leave much room

I get it, though some counties such as 86% in are barely changed, others quite different.

Not sure that I can see through the murk yet.

Wulfrun_Phil

Pasco County, Florida
est 79% of vote in: Trump 130,278, Biden 101,252
2016 was with 100%: Trump 142,101, Clinton 90,142

Let's ASSUME an extreme and unplausibly favourable scenario for Trump, that the other 21% breaks 3:1 to Trump. i.e. Trump 46,159, Biden 15,386
2020 total would then be Trump 176,437, Biden 116,638

Even then that's a significant swing to Biden. I think Trump's toast.

Richard_Tyndall

Andy_JS said:

Richard_Tyndall said:

I don't understand the BBC results map.

They are showing that so far 11% of the votes in Indiana have been counted but they are already showing it as a Trump win.

Similarly with a lot of the Congressional seats in various states where they show less than 10% of the vote counted but already say who has won the district.

The exit polls must show an overwhelming victory for the candidate in question.

Cheers Andy. Its a bit misleading of them to be honest.

Benpointer

Mysticrose said:

Big swing to Biden in Hillsborough County

Please can you post state too if posting a county name?

(I got Hillsborough is FL)

Mal557

Biden up in Pinellas County, FL by 7.5% with just under 80% of the vote in, Trump sneaked it in 2016 by 1% or so

Casino_Royale

How wokeness threw the polls off

https://unherd.com/2020/11/meet-the-shy-trumpers/