Categories
Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden moves to 93% chance on Betfair after walloping Bernie in
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Biden moves to 93% chance on Betfair after walloping Bernie in Michigan – a state won by Sanders at WH2016
Overnight we have seen another terrible night for Bernie Sanders in the latest range of state primaries. The biggest was Michigan which was taken by Sandesr against Hillary Clinton four years ago and was the first big indicator that all was not well well in the Clinton campaign. Trump then went on to take Michigan by a whisker in the general election itself.
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
On COVID-19, part of the problem the government has is that, even if the right thing to do is wait, they are going to come under pressure to go early as most people will think "surely we need to act earlier than they did in Italy and other places?"
Edit: no.
https://twitter.com/pklinkne/status/1237548891286851584?s=20
I think he should probably use the historic opportunity to make a huge health rallying-call at the debate on Sunday and then bow out.
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/north-dakota
Sanders also leads in Washington state 32.7% to 32.5% for Biden with 69% in
https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/washington
Morning Top Team - betting post.
For anyone who cares and who missed it last night and thinks they will still be alive to spend any winnings.
Rich Ricci told me yesterday that Chacun Pour Soi was going to win the Champion Chase.
DYOR, etc
Cash out, and lay Trump.
IMO & FWIW.
(or have a punt on Topping's tip....)
Biden might also have to pick Warren as his VP candidate to get 'progressives' especially younger Democrats who went for Sanders on board
Sounds like she doesn’t know how she caught it, either.
Did she go skiing?
Local angle on sympathy tweet.
Nadine is the perfect illustration of why that would have been good advice.
Maybe a little more empathy and less politics.
Her 84 year old mother is showing symptons apparently
The virus appears to hit those with certain medical conditions the hardest - what are they and how could they lead to complications?"
(£)
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/health-fitness/body/underlying-health-conditions-affect-cope-coronavirus/?li_source=LI&li_medium=li-recommendation-widget
There's a lot of anger against Biden by the Bernie Bro's and fellow travellers however.
https://twitter.com/RoryStewartUK/status/1237653400159952896?s=20
She’s medically trained (was a nurse before Parliament) so would know the correct procedures.
I wonder if she met the doctor who was in the news yesterday?
Con 50
Lab 29
LD 11
My shout-outs would go to @Pulpstar @Sandpit and @rcs1000 whose insights into the US elections (something I don't know much about other than what I personally read online) have been invaluable.
However, I'm far too focused on self-identifying as Covid-19- immune to give up now.
I merely noted that (a) Nadine has a history of talking utter bollocks; (b) queries how she picked it up.
There are untrained experts on twitter that provide their insights & knowledge for free.
I read it as loading the cannons.
What a phoney war this is.
Well, Trump certainly agrees with that.
Kantar GE voting intention
Con: 50%
Lab: 29%
LDem: 11%
SNP: 4%
Grn: 2%
Brx: 1%
Furthermore, I would assume stopping now is a bit too late to help in covid 19
Michelle Obama just seems to be a fantasy. I haven't seen a single sign she's interested, she's said she has no passion for politics and hasn't been tested at all in politics - except for making one or two speeches for Barack.
It will be someone who has stood and fought in this primary season, who's suspended their campaign and is also now a prospective vice-presidential, who can now reach out and unite the party.
Elizabeth Warren would be my pick. Other runners could be Buttigieg or Klobuchar.
I'd put Al Gore before the former two first ladies.
The graph was created by someone called Tomas Pueyo, who seems to be a journalist and author, but he knows enough to create a simple model. We might as well ask SeanT & Henrietta to make the graph and get Rory to tweet it.
Rory is someone who is coming out of this badly. My opinion of him has diminished very substantially. Who would have thought he would handle this worse than Boris?
I think Boris realises how very damaging it would be to do something against the advice of his scientific and medical advisors.
And epidemiology is a mature science on which a lot of research has been done for decades, and sophisticated modelling techniques are possible. So, Boris is right to listen to his experts (who are not party political).
Do you have a link to that Kantar poll G?
But they will be a lot less willing to change their own activities and lifestyles.
I note that Harris is no longer available at 1000/1 on Betfair for president...
Response to COVID-19 in Taiwan
Big Data Analytics, New Technology, and Proactive Testing
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2762689
And as has been pointed out numerous times, the government will have been given a range of options.
Simple things like advising those with respiratory infections (Nadine) to self isolate were reasonably obvious to non experts a week ago.
Not now, he's quickly turned into yet another of the amateur internet epidemiologists who think - without evidence - that their opinion is more important that those of the Chief Medical Officer and Chief Scientist.
Politicians and journalists really need to shut up and listen to the genuine experts. As someone suggested here yesterday, the media should be sending their science or health correspondents to the government briefings, rather than the political correspondents.
Among Lab GE19 Voters:
Who do you think would make the best leader of the Labour party?
Starmer: 25
Nandy: 15
Wrong-Daily: 8
Don't Know: 52
52% "Don't Know" among Labour voters and only a quarter for the favourite - hardly a ringing endorsement!
https://mobile.twitter.com/charliearchy/status/1237561261740527616
Would any of the candidates for the Labour party leadership make you more likely to vote for the Labour party?
Starmer: 10
Nandy: 4
Wrong-Daily: 4
None of these: 62
Don't know: 21
Smoking normalizes cerebral blood flow and oxygen consumption after 12-hour abstention
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4420887/
And, yes, they have absolutely no toilet roll - he says there are people outside the store before it opens each day, and they go straight to the toilet roll aisle and within minutes whatever has been put out that day has gone. Madness.
The ultimate irony is that the poor decision-making is going to impact upon the HoC of commons first and not, as is usually the case, the wider population.
But it's coming for us all soon unless someone starts taking some positive action now.
I am calling the Nom for Joe. He IS the Dem nom. Trump v Biden in November.
Any dissenters?
Whatever, that does not excuse Rory Stewart from tweeting a bollox graph made up by a journalist & author. The person who created the graph (Tomas Pueyo) has his profile on LinkedIn, so you evaluate for yourself whether to trust it, based on his experience. He seems to be a Bay Area SeanT.
apologies if others posted link
I'm not sure Biden or even his replacement can take on the mountain of intellectual idiocy that is the US's attitude to healthcare, with it roots in the American Medical Association's adaptation to the McCarthyite period, and the idea that lack of public health, very specifically and above other similar things, is "freedom" ; which is why it's a shame Sanders will probably bow out.
Now I am so against smoking and cannot stand being near anyone smoking or vaping
During my copd health check 2 years ago the nurse commented that stopping smoking had saved my life
As has been pointed out, she has an 84 year old mother also infected.
Sympathy is in order, however much her case might illustrate missteps in government response.
You might just as well say we shouldn't comment on government economic policy.