Today Johnson is king of the hill, fortune has shone brightly on him. He dared and he won. However his tomcat morality and profligate spending from the public purse will see that change, maybe next week, next month, next year or next decade, but fall he will and like no Prime Minister before him.
That 40% seems kind of low given that it is probably only going to go down as the details of the deal are better understood and the initial relief dissipates.
40% gives a Tory landslide with the Remain vote split, even 30% likely means Tories most seats again
What's your view on the general election now?
40% for the Boris Deal compared to 25% for May's Deal is great for Boris and his chances of a Tory majority
And it's giving exactly the same message as the last two:
Biden 23% Warren 23% Buttigieg 16% Sanders 13%
Buttigieg is on the way up, Warren is still rising but but not at a great rate, and Biden and Sanders are slipping.
Ah rebe that far off time when Biden was polling at 50% and some on here were proclaiming it was completely 100% definetly going to be Biden and we were idiots for suggesting it would be anyone else.
If wonder what hyufenned to them?
I said Biden was the best choice to beat Trump, I have also said for months the Democrats will now pick Warren and Trump will be re elected
Following my policy on betting transparency, please be advised that I have today staked £250 with PaddyPower on "No Deal in 2019" at 4/1. #BigBoyPants
This is an insurance bet: it is not intended to win (I hope it doesn't!), it is intended to compensate for the outcome.
As you know, I wish to preserve my wealth (it's very small, don't worry) against a currency crash. My method is to open up non-sterling currency accounts and move money into it, but that proved problematic (transfer costs, online banking failures, sterling has risen). Since an insurance policy shouldn't need an insurance policy of its own, I started to look for alternatives. This is one of them.
A £250 bet at 4/1 wins £1000. If the currency crashes 20%, then £5000 is only worth £4000: a loss of £1000. So we can see that the £250 bet at 4/1 preserves the value of the £5000. No muss, no fuss, and the losses are capped at £250 instead of £1000.
Thank you to all who took part in the discussion last night about which bet was the best for this.
Comments
Today Johnson is king of the hill, fortune has shone brightly on him. He dared and he won. However his tomcat morality and profligate spending from the public purse will see that change, maybe next week, next month, next year or next decade, but fall he will and like no Prime Minister before him.
Following my policy on betting transparency, please be advised that I have today staked £250 with PaddyPower on "No Deal in 2019" at 4/1. #BigBoyPants
This is an insurance bet: it is not intended to win (I hope it doesn't!), it is intended to compensate for the outcome.
As you know, I wish to preserve my wealth (it's very small, don't worry) against a currency crash. My method is to open up non-sterling currency accounts and move money into it, but that proved problematic (transfer costs, online banking failures, sterling has risen). Since an insurance policy shouldn't need an insurance policy of its own, I started to look for alternatives. This is one of them.
A £250 bet at 4/1 wins £1000. If the currency crashes 20%, then £5000 is only worth £4000: a loss of £1000. So we can see that the £250 bet at 4/1 preserves the value of the £5000. No muss, no fuss, and the losses are capped at £250 instead of £1000.
Thank you to all who took part in the discussion last night about which bet was the best for this.