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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Raab out – Stewart the big gainer

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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    edited June 2019
    Boris commits to deliver Brexit by 31st October as a final line
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,884
    dr_spyn said:

    Artist said:

    Does Boris have a Muslim Great-Grandfather?

    Wiki biography here.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Kemal

    Died horribly in 1922.
    On 4 November 1922, Kemal was kidnapped from a barber shop at Tokatliyan Hotel in Istanbul, and was carried to the Asiatic side of the city by a motor boat en route to Ankara for a trial on charges of treason. On 6 November 1922, the party was intercepted at İzmit by General Nureddin Pasha, then the Commander of the First Army, which was aligned with Mustafa Kemal Pasha.

    Kemal was attacked and lynched by a mob set up by Nureddin with sticks, stones and knives, and hanged from a tree. His head was smashed by cudgels and he was stoned to death. As described by Nureddin personally to Riza Nur, who with Ismet Inönü was on his way to Lausanne to negotiate peace with the Allies, "his blood-covered body was subsequently hanged with an epitaph across his chest which read, 'Artun Kemal'". This bestowal of a fictitious Armenian name administered a final indignity to the victim.[14] He was considered a Quisling.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 42,237
    Danny565 said:

    Christ, he's honestly worse than Trump.

    Oink Oink.
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,239
    Hunt: "No general election until we've delivered Brexit."

    I hadn't realised he was actually advocating a Thousand-Year Reich.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    Now to watch Love Island. Thank god.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    So who lost the debate?

    We did.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,773

    Well I sadly think that's 'peak' Rory.... Boris set for PM, and god help us
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,814
    I think we can all agree, what a crappy format.
  • Gove better than Sunday. The Saj more impressive.

    Hunt too bland for me. Stewart didn't really turn up.

    Johnson god awful, so I expect him to win comfortably.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    TGOHF said:

    Maitless compares Rory to Greta whatsherface

    He doesn’t look that old.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Roger said:

    You have to ignore what they're saying because it's crap but the only one I find a bit likeable is the very bland Jeremy Hunt

    I worry that if we had an official portrait of him one's eyes would slide over it without even realising there was a person in the frame.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    Gove and Javid probably the winners, neutral for Hunt, small bad for Boris but enough to make him PM, not good enough from Rory (said as a fan)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,884
    "Thank god for that!" - my mum when the end music came on :lol:
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    Jonathan said:

    So who lost the debate?

    We did.

    Rory did worst expectations wise, Saj, Hunt and Boris all did OK, Gove had the most interesting policy ideas I thought and was the most articulate
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    HYUFD said:

    Gove promises a detailed plan for the very poorest and to deliver growth and to send Corbyn 'the discredited Marxist back into the bin of history where you belong'

    Seems more obsessed with Jezza than me
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869
    Hunt has probably done the best from a poor field, but being sensible and measured won’t win many Tory hearts. Rory would have done better head to head with Johnson.

    All of Johnson’s weaknesses were there on display for those willing to look, but the sad reality is that he won’t have lost many votes over that performance.

    BJ has got landed with one unwelcome commitment thanks to Javid’s fast footwork. It will be interesting to see how he avoids pressure to bring in an independent inquiry into Tory racism.
  • CiceroCicero Posts: 3,084
    HYUFD said:

    Cicero said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Clear divisions emerging here, Boris and Saj both committing to leave on October 31st and to continue to prepare for No Deal even if aiming for a Deal and orderly Brexit.

    Gove and Hunt prepared to extend a little more to get a Deal but will leave with No Deal as a last resort.

    Rory says he would take No Deal off the table, Hunt says that means he would be willing to 'Stop Brexit'

    Maybe a different version being broadcast here but on my tv Boris did not commit to leave by October 31st, used virtually the same words as May did about March 31st.
    He did at the very beginning
    Boris Johnson is the first to answer the first question. He says: "We must come out on the 31 October, otherwise we face a catastrophic loss of confidence in politics.

    Exactly what May said about March, without actually saying he would definitely no deal on October 31. Listening to him he is not going to no deal, which is a relief.
    He will have held a referendum in NI on the backstop by then
    Do you ever think before you post. How can the legislation for a NI referendum pass tge HOC by the 31st October
    As a general election will be won by then too
    Crikey. You’re full of yourself this evening.

    You do realise that you’re taking an awful lot for granted here, including the electorate. They don’t like that.
    The majority of the electorate voted Leave, Boris will deliver that, it is diehard Remainers who have contempt for the electorate
    The country has changed its mind, and if you take us out with no deal then you will be destroyed as a political force for a generation. Even with a deal the Tories are going to be eviscerated. Even if by some miracle Rory get into the play off v Boris, it is Tory diversity: which Eton/Balliol Oxford man will win...?
    NO, the country has not changed its mind, which is why on the latest YouGov the Brexit Party would overtake the Tories and the BP and Tories and DUP combined would have a Commons majority with Farage PM.

    Boris will unite the Tories behind delivering Brexit Deal or No Deal and the BP will fade while the Labour party rips itself apart over EUref 2 and continues to see a flood of Remainers to the LDs and Greens
    Its the way you tell 'em. 4th in the polls. What flotsam and jetsam is the UKs answer to Trump going to be leading by the year end? Farage? Wow, I guess you share the Tory taste for strong drugs.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    That was dreadful

    My take. Hunt most prime ministerial, Javid strong in parts, Gove excitable, Boris being Boris but no slip ups, Rory was to me very disappointing

    Looks like Boris v Hunt to me
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468

    HYUFD said:

    Gove promises a detailed plan for the very poorest and to deliver growth and to send Corbyn 'the discredited Marxist back into the bin of history where you belong'

    Seems more obsessed with Jezza than me
    :D:D
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    They were all appalling tonight. They were better last week.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    That's an hour of your life you won't get back.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    TGOHF said:

    Maitless compares Rory to Greta whatsherface

    He doesn’t look that old.
    He looks both old and young at the same time somehow.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    kle4 said:

    IanB2 said:

    Boris now trashing HY’s confident predictions of intending to go straight to the country

    In fairness of course he won't make that official plan A. It's a question of how quickly his plan A gets ruled out and he then has to consider it.
    Of course, Boris said only a week ago we must be prepared for an election and if the Commons refuses to deliver Brexit his commitment to Brexit by Oct 31st means a general election it will have to be
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,712
    Betfair:

    Boris - Strong and stable
    Rory - Out
    Hunt - In
    Gove - In
    Javid - No chance anyway
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    isam said:

    The betting would suggest Gove and Hunt have performed better than Stewart

    Really not sure it mattered much - the key electorate is the MPs for now.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,900
    HYUFD said:

    No, diehard Remainers like you determined to stop Brexit by all means possible are about to face a PM who will take you on and deliver Brexit whether you like it or not

    I've not watched the debate as I've been catching up on Ascot which is perhaps even more quintessentially British then the Conservative Party.

    Boris has nailed his proverbials to the mast - rightly, he has reasoned the Conservative Party is dying a slow death as long as we remain trapped in this limbo state of leaving or not leaving. The longer it goes on, the more certain the supplanting of the Conservatives by Farage and TBP becomes.

    It's quite easy for us to leave on 31/10 - in the end, doing nothing will get us there. The EU negotiates with the Government not Parliament - the moment will come IF the EU offers another extension. If Boris as PM refuses will he be challenged by the Party and what will he do then?

    If the EU refuse another extension, it makes life so much easier but that's not a given at this time.

    It's quite clear Farage and TBP aren't going to disappear with Johnson in Downing Street and battle will be joined for the leaver soul while Labour also procrastinates to the benefit of LD and Green.

    I'm to be convinced Johnson can take the Conservative Party out of the EU without a WA. There seem too many convinced the economic price of leaving without a WA would be too high and not worth the risk even at the risk of splitting the Party by not delivering Brexit. They could yet challenge the new PM and force them to a Confidence vote.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491
    Recovered some of betting bedwetting of earlier today by backing Hunt at 32 earlier and laying him off again at 19 which has helped a bit.
  • dodradedodrade Posts: 597
    edited June 2019
    nichomar said:

    More Boris bollocks the situation is different than when brown took over

    Why didn't he just say because of the FTP Act the PM can no longer unilaterally call an election?
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    Gove and Javid probably the winners, neutral for Hunt, small bad for Boris but enough to make him PM, not good enough from Rory (said as a fan)

    Hunt and Gove did well. Rory disappointed. Couldn't get time to develop his points.

    Emily Maitless was just beyond awful. Absolutely shocking.
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    Can anybody say they were impressed with any of the candidates?
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,298
    Maitlis definitely got better as she went on.
    I actually could ha e watched another half an hour, it wasn't boring
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    Shame on the BBC; not one question from the north of England.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069

    That was dreadful

    My take. Hunt most prime ministerial, Javid strong in parts, Gove excitable, Boris being Boris but no slip ups, Rory was to me very disappointing

    Looks like Boris v Hunt to me

    Agree... Boris tho was v wobbly with our muslim friend... So many hostages to fortune he's created from his blatherings
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    JackW said:

    Scores On The Doors :

    Javid -7 - Assured performance
    Rory - 6 - Some good points but not a polished performance
    Gove - 5.5 - Good on detail but tends to gabble. The stare was back.
    Hunt - 5 - Patchy. Flat early on. Improved.
    Boris - 4 - Weaknesses clearly on show.

    Format didn't help any candidate.

    I’d mark Hunt up a point and Javid down a half but yours was my take too. Certainly Rorymania did not meet anything like expectations and he has to be vulnerable tomorrow.

    But all were mediocre and the chairing was truly abysmal.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    AndyJS said:

    That's an hour of your life you won't get back.

    I'm sure one of the candidates will claim they can renegotiate with father time to give it back to you, just believe in it hard enough.
  • MysticroseMysticrose Posts: 4,688
    What an awful debate.

    Boris came out of it badly.

    Rory just seems to be in the wrong party. I now think he'll be voted out tomorrow or Thursday.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,624
    edited June 2019
    I thought the Saj was the best or rather the most like a normal human being.

    Apart from him I'm not sure I'd want to have a pint with any of the others.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    TudorRose said:

    Shame on the BBC; not one question from the north of England.

    What do you mean? They had the man from Oxford...


    :)
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Hunt: "No general election until we've delivered Brexit."

    I hadn't realised he was actually advocating a Thousand-Year Reich.

    That was my reaction to Rory saying no election until we’ve regained trust and shown we care about this country!
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,676
    Javid -0 - Shit
    Rory - 0.5 - Slightly less shit than the others but still shit
    Gove - 0 - Shit obssessed with Corbyn
    Hunt - 0 - C***
    Boris - minus infinity - Shittest of a shit bunch.
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    edited June 2019
    Very naïve question at the end and none of them pulled him up on it.
    This needs to be taught in schools and made more widely known - The UK Prime Minister no longer has the power to 'Call' an early General Election.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    Boris won because he didn’t screw up.

    Hunt performed best. He looks like the challenger.

    Saj looks like the next leader

    Rory flunked. It was fun while it lasted.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    What an awful debate.

    Boris came out of it badly.

    Rory just seems to be in the wrong party. I now think he'll be voted out tomorrow or Thursday.

    He needed The Saj to not make the cut, or a standout performance if he did - from the sounds of even some fans of his, doesn't seem like he managed the latter.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    I thought the Saj was the best or rather the most like a normal human being.

    Yes, Saj overperformed, Rory underperformed.

    Saj also committed to Brexit by the end of October and to no further extension so will pick up some Raab backers I expect and could stay in tomorrow.

    I think Rory now goes out tomorrow unless Hunt and Gove leak backers, he will not pick up any Raab voters and Hunt and Gove did well enough tonight to avoid that
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,468
    DeClare said:

    Very naïve question at the end and none of them pulled him up on it.
    This needs to be taught in and made more widely known - The UK Prime Minister no longer has the power to 'Call' an early General Election.

    They do in reality though. No opposition could realistically not vote for one.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited June 2019
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,298
    The one thing they were all happy to rule out was a general election.
    Yet that feels like the only way Brexit can get through.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,683
    Boris it is then?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    Cicero said:

    HYUFD said:

    Cicero said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Clear divisions emerging here, Boris and Saj both committing to leave on October 31st and to continue to prepare for No Deal even if aiming for a Deal and orderly Brexit.

    Gove and Hunt prepared to extend a little more to get a Deal but will leave with No Deal as a last resort.

    Rory says he would take No Deal off the table, Hunt says that means he would be willing to 'Stop Brexit'

    Maybe a different version being broadcast here but on my tv Boris did not commit to leave by October 31st, used virtually the same words as May did about March 31st.
    He did at the very beginning
    Boris Johnson is the first to answer the first question. He says: "We must come out on the 31 October, otherwise we face a catastrophic loss of confidence in politics.

    Exactly what May said about March, without actually saying he would definitely no deal on October 31. Listening to him he is not going to no deal, which is a relief.
    He will have held a referendum in NI on the backstop by then
    Do you ever think before you post. How can the legislation for a NI referendum pass tge HOC by the 31st October
    As a general election will be won by then too
    Crikey. You’re full of yourself this evening.

    You do realise that you’re taking an awful lot for granted here, including the electorate. They don’t like that.
    The majority of the electorate voted Leave, Boris will deliver that, it is diehard Remainers who have contempt for the electorate
    The country has changed its mind, and if you take us out with no deal then you will be destroyed as a political force for a xford man will win...?
    NO, the country has not changed its mind, which is why on the latest YouGov the Brexit Party would overtake the Tories and the BP and Tories and DUP combined would have a Commons majority with Farage PM.

    Boris will unite the Tories behind delivering Brexit Deal or No Deal and the BP will fade while the Labour party rips itself apart over EUref 2 and continues to see a flood of Remainers to the LDs and Greens
    Its the way you tell 'em. 4th in the polls. What flotsam and jetsam is the UKs answer to Trump going to be leading by the year end? Farage? Wow, I guess you share the Tory taste for strong drugs.
    Farage already leads the latest YouGov poll
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Boris it is then?

    Nothing has changed.
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483

    TudorRose said:

    Shame on the BBC; not one question from the north of England.

    What do you mean? They had the man from Oxford...


    :)
    Isn't Scotland north of England?
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited June 2019
    Stewart came across like it was his job to critique the others rather than put forward his own vision. He still spoke the most sense on some issues though.

    Boris was poor, absolutely no ability to think on his feet or divert away from his pre-prepared lines. Gove the best out of the three in the middle battling to be the 'reasonable' one. Hunt tries too hard on this aspect.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    Gove better than Sunday. The Saj more impressive.

    Hunt too bland for me. Stewart didn't really turn up.

    Johnson god awful, so I expect him to win comfortably.

    Stewart a bit better than that otherwise I agree.
  • edmundintokyoedmundintokyo Posts: 17,708
    Jonathan said:

    RH1992 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Questioner thanks Jeremy and says Rory ignored his question

    He didn't though, he just said that now is not the time for tax cuts and he's right.

    I think the BBC have took the debate format and sucked all of the life out of it. Maitlis has been especially poor.
    Shoot the messenger. The product is piss poor.
    End the license fee. End the license fee.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
  • oldpoliticsoldpolitics Posts: 455
    Don't lay Rory after the 2nd ballot, I said to myself, wait until the Twitterati are gushing over how liberal he was in the debate and he drifts in a bit further, I said. D'oh.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited June 2019
    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    Scores On The Doors :

    Javid -7 - Assured performance
    Rory - 6 - Some good points but not a polished performance
    Gove - 5.5 - Good on detail but tends to gabble. The stare was back.
    Hunt - 5 - Patchy. Flat early on. Improved.
    Boris - 4 - Weaknesses clearly on show.

    Format didn't help any candidate.

    I’d mark Hunt up a point and Javid down a half but yours was my take too. Certainly Rorymania did not meet anything like expectations and he has to be vulnerable tomorrow.

    But all were mediocre and the chairing was truly abysmal.
    Hunt's performances on Sunday and tonight must frustrate his supporters. He seems to be like a football forward who floats in and out of games. Scores the odd goal but doesn't track back to help the team. Little wonder he's struggling to get clear blue water for second place.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    stodge said:

    HYUFD said:

    No, diehard Remainers like you determined to stop Brexit by all means possible are about to face a PM who will take you on and deliver Brexit whether you like it or not

    I've not watched the debate as I've been catching up on Ascot which is perhaps even more quintessentially British then the Conservative Party.

    Boris has nailed his proverbials to the mast - rightly, he has reasoned the Conservative Party is dying a slow death as long as we remain trapped in this limbo state of leaving or not leaving. The longer it goes on, the more certain the supplanting of the Conservatives by Farage and TBP becomes.

    It's quite easy for us to leave on 31/10 - in the end, doing nothing will get us there. The EU negotiates with the Government not Parliament - the moment will come IF the EU offers another extension. If Boris as PM refuses will he be challenged by the Party and what will he do then?

    If the EU refuse another extension, it makes life so much easier but that's not a given at this time.

    It's quite clear Farage and TBP aren't going to disappear with Johnson in Downing Street and battle will be joined for the leaver soul while Labour also procrastinates to the benefit of LD and Green.

    I'm to be convinced Johnson can take the Conservative Party out of the EU without a WA. There seem too many convinced the economic price of leaving without a WA would be too high and not worth the risk even at the risk of splitting the Party by not delivering Brexit. They could yet challenge the new PM and force them to a Confidence vote.
    If Boris does not deliver Brexit by the end of October I agree we are heading for a Farage Premiership with the BP largest party in another hung parliament
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,798
    Stewart was impressive for trying to maintain some kind of link to reality, but he still comes across like he's on his gap year.
    Javid came across well, spoke with passion and his absence of Oxford Union polish is a positive not a negative for me. No surprise he is a big believer in supply side Voodoo economics, though, millionaire investment bankers usually are.
    Hunt is so dull. If he was one of three films you watched on a long haul flight, he would be the one you couldn't remember watching.
    Gove - just something yeuch about him, sorry.
    Johnson underwhelming, clearly going for the safety first approach. What is his thing about women though, he could barely acknowledge Maitless's existence.
    Of course I am not a Tory, I think they are all awful, but Javid and Stewart seem clearly the best choices for the Tory party. Of course neither of them stand a chance.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    Stewart very obviously couldn't believe what morons they all were. And boy were they morons
  • state_go_awaystate_go_away Posts: 5,816
    edited June 2019
    Boris- a bit too safe and subdued. He should remember he is liked by the GBP and especially the tory faithful because he is a little eccentric and unguarded in his humour.
    Hunt - solid as expected. He is safe but boring
    Gove - Not a great debater in the TV sense . A good orator at times . Showed tonight . Maybe his natural politeness go tin the way tonight and he got brushed aside.
    Saj - Ok in the sense that if it was a job interview for a role to act as a normal British bloke he would have go the job. Not sure any gravitas came through.
    Rory - Well its a theory that spouting left wing views especially about taxation will win a tory leadership contest but it seems err brave.

    Winner - probably the labour party sadly - Boris is right that blue on blue is not good . Hunt was ok the rest below par.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
    There was no offer or bet made, just a statement to illustrate you are a diehard centre left anti Tory voter
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Javid -0 - Shit
    Rory - 0.5 - Slightly less shit than the others but still shit
    Gove - 0 - Shit obssessed with Corbyn
    Hunt - 0 - C***
    Boris - minus infinity - Shittest of a shit bunch.

    Oh dear .... you certainly have a bad case of the shits.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    DeClare said:

    TudorRose said:

    Shame on the BBC; not one question from the north of England.

    What do you mean? They had the man from Oxford...


    :)
    Isn't Scotland north of England?
    That was the token teenager.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,491

    Don't lay Rory after the 2nd ballot, I said to myself, wait until the Twitterati are gushing over how liberal he was in the debate and he drifts in a bit further, I said. D'oh.

    We've all been guilty of that.

    He might drift in again overnight.
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,914

    That was dreadful

    My take. Hunt most prime ministerial, Javid strong in parts, Gove excitable, Boris being Boris but no slip ups, Rory was to me very disappointing

    Looks like Boris v Hunt to me

    There's a lesson there for Jeremy. Don't be dreary. Think Blair circa 1997-2005 or even Cameron 2010-2012.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156

    I thought the Saj was the best or rather the most like a normal human being.

    Apart from him I'm not sure I'd want to have a pint with any of the others.

    Saj also committed not to extend further and to deliver Brexit Deal or No Deal, now the non Boris candidate for hard Leavers after Raab's exit
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,865

    Javid -0 - Shit
    Rory - 0.5 - Slightly less shit than the others but still shit
    Gove - 0 - Shit obssessed with Corbyn
    Hunt - 0 - C***
    Boris - minus infinity - Shittest of a shit bunch.

    So you're a maybe then?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869

    Boris- a bit too safe and subdued. He should remember he is liked by the GBP and especially the tory faithful because he is a little eccentric and unguarded in his humour.
    Hunt - solid as expected. He is safe but boring
    Gove - Not a great debater in the TV sense . A good orator at times . Showed tonight . Maybe his natural politeness go tin the way tonight and he got brushed aside.
    Saj - Ok in the sense that if it was a job interview for a role to act as a normal British bloke he would have go the job. Not sure any gravitas came through.
    Rory - Well its a theory that spouting left wing views especially about taxation will win a tory leadership contest but it seems err brave.

    Winner - probably the labour party sadly - Boris is right that blue on blue is not good . Hunt was ok the rest below par.

    The first point could be quite important. Boris as PM could be Boris without even the compensating ability to entertain.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    Roger said:

    That was dreadful

    My take. Hunt most prime ministerial, Javid strong in parts, Gove excitable, Boris being Boris but no slip ups, Rory was to me very disappointing

    Looks like Boris v Hunt to me

    There's a lesson there for Jeremy. Don't be dreary. Think Blair circa 1997-2005 or even Cameron 2010-2012.
    Hunt is Mitt Romney not Blair or Cameron, too establishment businessman and shifty
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    Boris it is then?

    The pb consensus is that before we buy any of them, we'd like another look at Theresa May.
  • PaulMPaulM Posts: 613
    When it goes to the members is there any provision for a write-in vote ?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869

    Don't lay Rory after the 2nd ballot, I said to myself, wait until the Twitterati are gushing over how liberal he was in the debate and he drifts in a bit further, I said. D'oh.

    We've all been guilty of that.

    He might drift in again overnight.

    In the sense of washing up on the beach?
  • nichomarnichomar Posts: 7,483
    This is actually getting beyond a joke what are we wasting time deciding which turd is better than the last turd in relation to saving a morally bankrupt Tory party rather than getting on with sorting out the uk problems. They don’t have to deliver brexit they need to have the courage to say there are more important things in life.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,156
    nichomar said:

    This is actually getting beyond a joke what are we wasting time deciding which turd is better than the last turd in relation to saving a morally bankrupt Tory party rather than getting on with sorting out the uk problems. They don’t have to deliver brexit they need to have the courage to say there are more important things in life.

    They do have to deliver Brexit otherwise it will be PM Farage on the latest poll and he will do it for them
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    JackW said:

    JohnO said:

    JackW said:

    Scores On The Doors :

    Javid -7 - Assured performance
    Rory - 6 - Some good points but not a polished performance
    Gove - 5.5 - Good on detail but tends to gabble. The stare was back.
    Hunt - 5 - Patchy. Flat early on. Improved.
    Boris - 4 - Weaknesses clearly on show.

    Format didn't help any candidate.

    I’d mark Hunt up a point and Javid down a half but yours was my take too. Certainly Rorymania did not meet anything like expectations and he has to be vulnerable tomorrow.

    But all were mediocre and the chairing was truly abysmal.
    Hunt's performances on Sunday and tonight must frustrate his supporters. He seems to be like a football forward who floats in and out of games. Scores the odd goal but doesn't track back to help the team. Little wonder he's struggling to get clear blue water for second place.
    Yes, perfect analogy. But I think after tonight’s performance he is somewhat more likely to be the challenger. He will lose heavily to Johnson with the members. Rory’s only consolation prize will be a venomous ‘I told you so’, sometime in early October when Johnson proposes MV4 (after the EU says FU) or loses a vote of confidence.
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Rory Hunt and Gove triple cross over soon.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318

    Boris- a bit too safe and subdued. He should remember he is liked by the GBP and especially the tory faithful because he is a little eccentric and unguarded in his humour.
    Hunt - solid as expected. He is safe but boring
    Gove - Not a great debater in the TV sense . A good orator at times . Showed tonight . Maybe his natural politeness go tin the way tonight and he got brushed aside.
    Saj - Ok in the sense that if it was a job interview for a role to act as a normal British bloke he would have go the job. Not sure any gravitas came through.
    Rory - Well its a theory that spouting left wing views especially about taxation will win a tory leadership contest but it seems err brave.

    Winner - probably the labour party sadly - Boris is right that blue on blue is not good . Hunt was ok the rest below par.

    There is nothing left-wing about saying that we can't spend money we don't have. In fact, it used to be a rather Conservative position.

    Rory stands for sound finances. The others were competing to spend money like it was going out of fashion. That is ceding ground to Labour.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869
    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    This is actually getting beyond a joke what are we wasting time deciding which turd is better than the last turd in relation to saving a morally bankrupt Tory party rather than getting on with sorting out the uk problems. They don’t have to deliver brexit they need to have the courage to say there are more important things in life.

    They do have to deliver Brexit otherwise it will be PM Farage on the latest poll and he will do it for them
    Lol @ PM Farage.

    There is the minor detail of winning a seat first.

    You truly are clueless.
  • TudorRoseTudorRose Posts: 1,683
    PaulM said:

    When it goes to the members is there any provision for a write-in vote ?

    You mean so they can write 'Farage'?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
    There was no offer or bet made, just a statement to illustrate you are a diehard centre left anti Tory voter
    Spoilsport. I’ve no skin in this. Before tonight as an opponent I was worried about Saj and Rory. Tonight I worry less.

    Saj is too raw, but will be a force one day.
    Rory is not a Tory.
    Hunt’s best hope is to pull of a Major style sensible approach. Not sure he can do it.

    Boris is unfit for the job.

  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,751

    Javid -0 - Shit
    Rory - 0.5 - Slightly less shit than the others but still shit
    Gove - 0 - Shit obssessed with Corbyn
    Hunt - 0 - C***
    Boris - minus infinity - Shittest of a shit bunch.

    Are those scores out of ten, or ...?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Rory's gone walkies... 22 from 10.5 pre debate

    Those who thought he did well should get involved
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    edited June 2019

    Boris it is then?

    Yes, he's now a certainty for the big two and will get at least 75% of the membership vote,
    He only has to still be alive and out of jail and he will be invited to the palace in four weeks time.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    The good news tonight is that disaster will not feature again

    The next tv debates will be between the final two and much the better for it as long as Maitlis is not involved
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Stewart has moved from 10/1 to 22/1 over the last 90 minutes.

    https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/politics/market/1.125574963
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    TOPPING said:

    Stewart very obviously couldn't believe what morons they all were. And boy were they morons

    So is Stewart in the wrong party?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    Gove in attacking Jeremy Corbyn every time made it look as if he was not interested in the questions but was sticking to his script. Now, that might be true of all of them but Gove made it too obvious.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,869
    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
    There was no offer or bet made, just a statement to illustrate you are a diehard centre left anti Tory voter
    Spoilsport. I’ve no skin in this. Before tonight as an opponent I was worried about Saj and Rory. Tonight I worry less.

    Saj is too raw, but will be a force one day.
    Rory is not a Tory.
    Hunt’s best hope is to pull of a Major style sensible approach. Not sure he can do it.

    Boris is unfit for the job.

    If only Hunt had spent the last fortnight travelling round Britain’s market squares with a soapbox, speaking to ordinary people. That he hasn’t says it all.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
    Sounds more like a bribe tbh :-)
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,534
    Feels intrusive to comment, but Javid was quite impressive (the Islamophobia investigation coup was neatly done) and Hunt and Gove both sounded serious and intelligent. Johnson was really keen not to offer hostages to fortune and almost succeeded, but he looked shifty and that October 31 commitment looks very shaky now that Raab is conveniently out of the way (Farage will pounce on that), and the tax cut for higher earners has turned into a vague aspiration. Stewart looked like a trainee.

  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    The last poll had the Tories on 17%. It'll be interesting to see what the next one shows.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    HYUFD said:

    Jonathan said:

    Well PB Tories, on the basis of tonight your party is fucked. Which would be ok, if our country wasn’t going to be fucked too.

    Darn. Here was I hoping you'd say the Tory leadership candidates had blown you away.
    Given Jonathan would not vote Tory if he was given £1 million to do so I think we can take his opinion of the debate as being just a tiny bit biased
    Mike are you arbitrating bets? HYUFD has just made me a compelling offer.
    There was no offer or bet made, just a statement to illustrate you are a diehard centre left anti Tory voter
    Hunt’s best hope is to pull of a Major style sensible approach. Not sure he can do it.

    Not a question of if he has it in him, but whether the selectorate is amenable to such a candidate in any way.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318
    TOPPING said:

    Stewart very obviously couldn't believe what morons they all were. And boy were they morons

    Yes. I think he will likely go out now because he is clever and perhaps is not as good as he ought to be at hiding that he thinks the others are not thinking straight and honestly about the issues. That will not get him votes from MPs stupider than him.

    Also he looked somehow uncomfortable - physically - and I don't think the format suited him. He wanted to have a proper debate and there was a lot of noise, from the others, from Maitlis trying to intervene and being ignored and no point was allowed to be explored. So he came across as weirder than normal.

    Certainly he was much much better last night in the flesh - both in speaking and in responding to questions - than he was tonight.

    I still think, though, that he is the most thoughtful and honest candidate of all of them. And perhaps it is best for him not be leader now with the hospital pass of Brexit to deal with. Let others make a mess of it and then come back later.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992

    TOPPING said:

    Stewart very obviously couldn't believe what morons they all were. And boy were they morons

    So is Stewart in the wrong party?
    Him and me both.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    TudorRose said:

    PaulM said:

    When it goes to the members is there any provision for a write-in vote ?

    You mean so they can write 'Farage'?
    I think they'd just write BREXIT instead, but essentially that would be counted as for Farage.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,133
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    nichomar said:

    This is actually getting beyond a joke what are we wasting time deciding which turd is better than the last turd in relation to saving a morally bankrupt Tory party rather than getting on with sorting out the uk problems. They don’t have to deliver brexit they need to have the courage to say there are more important things in life.

    They do have to deliver Brexit otherwise it will be PM Farage on the latest poll and he will do it for them
    Lol @ PM Farage.

    There is the minor detail of winning a seat first.

    You truly are clueless.
    Hyufd is not clueless, just besotted with his own views and parrots loads of nonsense but,to be fair, he does add to the amusement
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Javid -0 - Shit
    Rory - 0.5 - Slightly less shit than the others but still shit
    Gove - 0 - Shit obssessed with Corbyn
    Hunt - 0 - C***
    Boris - minus infinity - Shittest of a shit bunch.

    I didn't watch but I hazard a guess you are being less than impartial lol
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    The good news tonight is that disaster will not feature again

    The next tv debates will be between the final two and much the better for it as long as Maitlis is not involved

    We can differ on Maitless, and the public asking questions became a bit tiresome -- you can see why Corbyn has largely dropped it from PMQs -- but what on earth was the set designer thinking?
This discussion has been closed.