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  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    Can't Philip just tell her enough?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    edited May 2019
    GIN1138 said:

    Can't Philip just tell her enough?

    Why should he? If people want her gone they have the power to make her go, why should she make it easier for people who are either too cowardly to be on the record, or are on the record but whose plans to do better than her involve yelling Brexit very loud?

    Funnily enough Baker and the like come off as more reasonable as they have been far more consistent about their opposition to May, perfectly open about it, and have a plan on a different direction which while it relies on bombast, is not just bombast. Contrasted with johnny come lateleys who have just opposed and leaked and have nothing but platitudes to offer.

    That said, of course she should go, because she is doing no one any good right now, but most of the rest do not deserve credit for the way they have acted, given they have either enabled her approach while not really backing her, or sniping without a plab beyond the aforementioned yelling Brexit plan.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    > @Gallowgate said:
    > Interesting that Tories are happy to rerun a vote when they didn’t like the result.

    Yes, but the result of the previous one was immediately enacted (no change), and would also have been immediately enacted if it had been the other way.

    So the comparison isn't valid.
  • kyf_100kyf_100 Posts: 4,951
    > @kle4 said:
    > Can't Philip just tell her enough?
    >
    > Why should he? If people want her gone they have the power to make her go, why should she make it easier for people who are either too cowardly to be on the record, or are on the record but whose plans to do better than her involve yelling Brexit very loud?
    >
    > Funnily enough Baker and the like come off as more reasonable as they have been far more consistent about their opposition to May, perfectly open about it, and have a plan on a different direction which while it relies on bombast, is not just bombast. Contrasted with johnny come lateleys who have just opposed and leaked and have nothing but platitudes to offer.

    The question is, why does she carry on? What obligation does she think she has to keep going? Does she think the country will fall apart without her?

    What, at this point, could possibly be her motivation for staying? She cannot concievably think she can win.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    > @MikeSmithson said:
    > https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1131248655363715078

    Is that really relevant in this case?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    > @kyf_100 said:
    > > @kle4 said:
    > > Can't Philip just tell her enough?
    > >
    > > Why should he? If people want her gone they have the power to make her go, why should she make it easier for people who are either too cowardly to be on the record, or are on the record but whose plans to do better than her involve yelling Brexit very loud?
    > >
    > > Funnily enough Baker and the like come off as more reasonable as they have been far more consistent about their opposition to May, perfectly open about it, and have a plan on a different direction which while it relies on bombast, is not just bombast. Contrasted with johnny come lateleys who have just opposed and leaked and have nothing but platitudes to offer.
    >
    > The question is, why does she carry on? What obligation does she think she has to keep going? Does she think the country will fall apart without her?
    >
    > What, at this point, could possibly be her motivation for staying? She cannot concievably think she can win.
    >

    Perhaps she’s the one that laid TSE’s Liddington bet ?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    > @Jonathan said:
    > The Tory party is mad.
    >
    > It is surely a bad move to try to unseat a PM the day before an election. Whoever resigns will get a heap of shite poured upon them when the party finally regains what little sanity it can muster.

    Both main parties are well past their sell-by date.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    I'm sort of half expecting to see live footage of May being chased, Benny Hill style, by an army of cabinet ministers, backbenchers and political journalists, as the theme tune plays.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    > @kyf_100 said:
    > > @kle4 said:
    > > Can't Philip just tell her enough?
    > >
    > > Why should he? If people want her gone they have the power to make her go, why should she make it easier for people who are either too cowardly to be on the record, or are on the record but whose plans to do better than her involve yelling Brexit very loud?
    > >
    > > Funnily enough Baker and the like come off as more reasonable as they have been far more consistent about their opposition to May, perfectly open about it, and have a plan on a different direction which while it relies on bombast, is not just bombast. Contrasted with johnny come lateleys who have just opposed and leaked and have nothing but platitudes to offer.
    >
    > The question is, why does she carry on? What obligation does she think she has to keep going? Does she think the country will fall apart without her?
    >
    > What, at this point, could possibly be her motivation for staying? She cannot concievably think she can win.
    >
    >

    -------------
    I add this paragraph

    That said, of course she should go, because she is doing no one any good right now, but most of the rest do not deserve credit for the way they have acted, given they have either enabled her approach while not really backing her, or sniping without a plab beyond the aforementioned yelling Brexit plan.

    As to her motivation I could not possibly speculate, but given the unreasonableness of many of her opponents who fail to recognise their own contributions to being in this mess (even though she lacked the leadership and skills to see us out of it), I'm frankly not surprised she is thus far making them actually carry out their threats.

    Various MPs in increasing numbers have threatened to metahphorically shoot her for the better part of a year. If it is what her MPs want, then fine, but actually pull the damn trigger.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,752
    She's starting to look more tenacious than Thatcher was. They need to make sure she can't run out and speak to any journalists. "We fight on. We fight to win."
  • glwglw Posts: 9,912

    OT feared Russian interference (though it seems a bit late to worry about it):



    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/05/22/russia-plotting-hack-european-elections-brussels-warns/

    I'm fairly sure that the GRU trolls can take a breather as far as the UK is concerned, our political class is doing more damage on their own behalf than our Russians pals could ever hope to achieve.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    > @Jonathan said:
    > > @MikeSmithson said:
    > > https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1131248655363715078
    >
    > Is this LD party policy?

    I'm not sure what makes me smile more - Mike's tweet, or the idea of a coup in the LDs. Smiling though, I am :)
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,131
    Yes it is. If you are going to mount a coup you have to control communications. If you have the current situation where people are tweeting your activities in real-time then the person you are trying to overthrow can monitor your behaviour and act accordingly. OGH was not referring to a literal corpse. At least I hope not.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    > @AndyJS said:
    > > @Jonathan said:
    > > The Tory party is mad.
    > >
    > > It is surely a bad move to try to unseat a PM the day before an election. Whoever resigns will get a heap of shite poured upon them when the party finally regains what little sanity it can muster.
    >
    > Both main parties are well past their sell-by date.

    Do you really think that? Come the next GE do you expect either Lab and Con not to be in the top two?

    The Tory party is exceptionally good at reimagining itself and in the months to come being the official opposition is a huge advantage for Labour. Both will have oxygen denied to the small/new parties and when it comes to a FPTP election, they have a huge advantage.
  • Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,683
    Will the Tories even get a single vote on Thursday? Even the loyalists may now vote for someone else if only out of compassion - force the issue and put Theresa out of her misery.
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    You've got to laugh...... The hunt for TMay thwarted for yet longer..
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,469
    Hilarious.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    > @Omnium said:
    > > @Jonathan said:
    > > > @MikeSmithson said:
    > > > https://twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/status/1131248655363715078
    > >
    > > Is this LD party policy?
    >
    > I'm not sure what makes me smile more - Mike's tweet, or the idea of a coup in the LDs. Smiling though, I am :)

    If I was cruel I would say that Vince has been doing pretty well in the role of a corpse for some time.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,238
    A couple of other thoughts; she does have a reputation to maintain as a “bloody difficult woman”... and perhaps she was telling the truth when she said ‘I’m enjoying this’ ?
  • Scrapheap_as_wasScrapheap_as_was Posts: 10,069
    > @williamglenn said:
    > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21

    Tee hee.. Buy shares in ramipril producers ...
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    > @williamglenn said:
    > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21
    Time for the 2019 committee to be formed?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    > @williamglenn said:
    > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21

    Isn't this entirely sensible (I know that sense is out of fashion). Why do coup plotters what to carry the can for the bad result? Surely keep May in place so that she can?
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810

    You've got to laugh...... The hunt for TMay thwarted for yet longer..

    Tessa is going NOWHERE!

    This is absolutely hilarious.
  • ExiledInScotlandExiledInScotland Posts: 1,529
    > @AndyJS said:
    > > @Jonathan said:
    > > The Tory party is mad.
    > >
    > > It is surely a bad move to try to unseat a PM the day before an election. Whoever resigns will get a heap of shite poured upon them when the party finally regains what little sanity it can muster.
    >
    > Both main parties are well past their sell-by date.

    I think there is some truth in this.

    The Tories were the party of business, patrician policies and social conservatism - they don't seem like that any more.

    Labour were the party for the underdog, redistribution and national ownership - but their heartlands are still as poor as ever and their front bench are as entitled as the Tories.

    I'd have leaders like Maggie and Wilson rather than Cameron and Blair any day.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,490
    It's so undignified! You can only smile.
  • glwglw Posts: 9,912
    Jonathan said:

    > @williamglenn said:

    >





    Isn't this entirely sensible (I know that sense is out of fashion). Why do coup plotters what to carry the can for the bad result? Surely keep May in place so that she can?
    May has more sense than the idiots who think it is a good idea to change leader less than 24 hours before a vote.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    > @williamglenn said:
    > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21
    -----------------------------------
    I'm curious what they really expected here - it's too late to repair any damage to the party vote, so what good would May literally going tonight do? It can wait until the weekend.
    ---------------------------------
    @Jonathan said:
    Do you really think that? Come the next GE do you expect either Lab and Con not to be in the top two?
    ---------------------------------
    I am mostly sure the Tories will, but I've never had as much thought they might not, even if the chance is only, say, 10-20%. They are irreperably damaged and split, they cannot bring together their disparate factions, it's impossible. They could implode. They probably will,if not to destruction, but it's not impossible to imagine now.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    Bloody stubborn woman.....
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    > @OblitusSumMe said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21
    > Time for the 2019 committee to be formed?

    Why go to all that trouble. A 2022 committee will be far better and easier to arrange. It'll just be about choosing the 4 or 5 best from the dozen or so MPs.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Thank goodness not all bloodsports have been outlawed.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    > @Jonathan said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21
    >
    > Isn't this entirely sensible (I know that sense is out of fashion). Why do coup plotters what to carry the can for the bad result? Surely keep May in place so that she can?

    -------------------
    She still would have, but as you suggest what sense is it that she not carry it a little more easily.

    It rather proves the point that yes, May is a disaster, but she is also at the head of an entire gaggle of disasters.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    > @glw said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    >
    > > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632
    >
    >
    >
    >
    >
    > Isn't this entirely sensible (I know that sense is out of fashion). Why do coup plotters what to carry the can for the bad result? Surely keep May in place so that she can?
    >
    > May has more sense than the idiots who think it is a good idea to change leader less than 24 hours before a vote.

    To be honest, I think their campaign has reached the point where any publicity is good publicity.
  • GallowgateGallowgate Posts: 19,469
    Natural Party of Government :D
  • _Anazina__Anazina_ Posts: 1,810
    kle4 said:

    > @williamglenn said:

    >



    -----------------------------------

    I'm curious what they really expected here - it's too late to repair any damage to the party vote, so what good would May literally going tonight do? It can wait until the weekend.

    ---------------------------------

    @Jonathan said:

    Do you really think that? Come the next GE do you expect either Lab and Con not to be in the top two?

    ---------------------------------

    I am mostly sure the Tories will, but I've never had as much thought they might not, even if the chance is only, say, 10-20%. They are irreperably damaged and split, they cannot bring together their disparate factions, it's impossible. They could implode. They probably will,if not to destruction, but it's not impossible to imagine now.
    Graham Brady Old Lady really is a figure of fun – a man with too many teeth, and too few brain cells.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Why not being on the record? It's not like others are so shy about being very clear she must go. So the pointless words of a coward.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    The 1922 are the committee who cried wolf.
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    In terms of optics I imagine natural Tories who haven't yet voted by post are going to be even less impressed because of this.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,720
    Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.

    https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1131251270717718528?s=21
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    She can't lead, and they can't plot. It's beyond a shambles now.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,752
    You can just see what's going to happen, can't you? The Tories melt down tomorrow, with the Brexit Party triumphant. The Tory MPs panic wildly and stampede into No Deal. And the aftermath of that obliterates what's left.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.



    My gods, another comment that proves that, disagree with him about no deal and how good it would be all we may want, Baker actually is more sensible than a great many other Tory MPs, having both a plan on what to do next and noticing that there are other things going on which make things tonight difficult.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited May 2019

    Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.

    But they deliberately aren't campaigning so how can it be a difficult time?
  • ExiledInScotlandExiledInScotland Posts: 1,529
    So the 1922 doing nothing means that Nigel Farage gets all the publicity next week (and the momentum heading to Peterborough). Also the fact that they cannot control the narrative either way can only hurt the party at the polls tomorrow. Sigh.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    RH1992 said:

    In terms of optics I imagine natural Tories who haven't yet voted by post are going to be even less impressed because of this.

    Yes, that core vote is going to be very very low now, why would even loyal Tories bother to turnout?
    Chris said:

    You can just see what's going to happen, can't you? The Tories melt down tomorrow, with the Brexit Party triumphant. The Tory MPs panic wildly and stampede into No Deal. And the aftermath of that obliterates what's left.

    It is very transparent, particularly as the more cowardly have already panicked and surrended to Farage and called for a deal with the Brexit Party (rather than, you know, try to Brexit and see if that has an effect). The reaction of Tory remainers and soft Brexiteers will be very interesting. Any to join Boles? There can be no place for a remainer in the Tory party very soon.
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    What the hell are the Tories who are keeping May in power right now playing at ?
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > She can't lead, and they can't plot. It's beyond a shambles now.

    None of this has been a plot though. Even JRM and his merry men were not conspiring to do evil deeds. It's just been that many, many people don't agree. Theresa May has clearly not been plotted against in any serious way, because its clear that any plot would have been better.

    I think there have been mini-plots - Davis and Patterson arsing about forming treaties with the mayors of US hamlets for example. Ok, not much of a plot, but we're dealing with Davis and Patterson.

    Grayling may have plotted too. Unfortunately modern science is not equipped to register such small effects.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    > @williamglenn said:
    > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21


    I thought "campaigning" was outlawed on the day of the poll?
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,992
    RH1992 said:

    In terms of optics I imagine natural Tories who haven't yet voted by post are going to be even less impressed because of this.

    As a Cons Remainer (yes folks a shock to hear I know) I pondered this and am still pondering. It would feel ok to vote LD but I will likely vote Cons.

    Why?

    Although there are loons in the party they are not (yet) running it. It would be different and a no-brainer if a loon was actually in charge.

    A vote for the Cons says I support the current leadership and their Brexit strategy. Might it say I support the loons? No I don't think so. The loon supporters have already fucked off to TBP.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    > @GIN1138 said:
    > > @williamglenn said:
    > > https://twitter.com/nicholaswatt/status/1131250170031685632?s=21
    >
    >
    > I thought "campaigning" was outlawed on the day of the poll?

    That's just television stuff. You can still pound the pavement.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,492
    I’ve already laid off my Lidington.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited May 2019
    What is fv on the Tories winning tmrw?

    599/1 a lay? Someone wants £20

  • ExiledInScotlandExiledInScotland Posts: 1,529
    > @JohnO said:
    > I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    I feel your pain
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,217
    edited May 2019
    The Tories seem to have stabilised around 12 %
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 53,870
    > @El_Capitano said:
    > FPT: > @Richard_Nabavi said:
    >
    > > Are Mrs May and Rory Stewart "sensible Tories" ?
    >
    > >
    >
    > > Rory certainly. Mrs May is very sensible in her political positioning, but not in her assessment of whether her positioning can be implemented in parliament as things now stand.
    >
    >
    >
    > I think her problem is in the execution and in the persuasion of others to follow her.
    >
    >
    >
    > More suited to the backroom than front of house.
    >
    > "The execution of others"?
    >
    > The parallels with Game of Thrones are getting stronger by the minute.

    What a really crap ending?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    I’ve already laid off my Lidington.

    That reads so very nicely
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Pulpstar said:

    What the hell are the Tories who are keeping May in power right now playing at ?

    They cannot agree on who should replace her, even temporarily.

    Seriously, we know someone like Lidington will anger vast numbers of them, and any ones with an actual chance the job permanently won't one one of their rivals taking over either, so who? The joke answer is Clarke, but most of them would not accept him either.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > The Tories seem to have stabilised around 12 %

    Did you ever think that you would utter those words?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,492
    JohnO said:

    I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    With you on all of that.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Pulpstar said:

    The Tories seem to have stabilised around 12 %

    How so? They have been polls of them lower than that, and there's the messes of the last few days to consider. 10% would be a triumph, relatively speaking.
  • noneoftheabovenoneoftheabove Posts: 22,847
    Do people see May staying as an MP? Feels difficult with the way she has been treated by her "party". Another by election coming? Another reduction in the majority?
  • DeClareDeClare Posts: 483
    None of the last five people to take over as Prime Minister mid-term, Lord Home, Jim Callaghan, John Major, Gordon Brown and Theresa May herself, have called an immediate General Election in the same year.

    Nowadays the PM no longer has the power to 'call' one, they have to take place every 5 years unless MPs themselves want an earlier one.

    Opposition MPs don't have much to lose but why would government MPs vote for an early election when they are behind in the opinion polls?
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,737
    Kantar seems a little more cautious on the BP, and rather optomistic on Labour.

    https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/1131249186798747654?s=19
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,492
    Pulpstar said:

    She can't lead, and they can't plot. It's beyond a shambles now.

    They might just want to retain her as the scapegoat.

    She might not go until Monday.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,710
    > @Casino_Royale said:
    > I’ve already laid off my Lidington.

    I can't keep up with all these modern euphemisms.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    > @Casino_Royale said:
    > I’ve already laid off my Lidington.

    I’ve laid off some of mine. I fancy that the prices will shorten again further before the week is out.

    He is part of my trinity of major moneymakers on the next PM market, together with Jacob Rees-Mogg and Jeremy Corbyn. Gawd bless that unlikely trio.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,135
    edited May 2019
    > @kle4 said:
    > Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.
    >
    >
    >
    > https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1131251270717718528
    >
    >
    >
    > My gods, another comment that proves that, disagree with him about no deal and how good it would be all we may want, Baker actually is more sensible than a great many other Tory MPs, having both a plan on what to do next and noticing that there are other things going on which make things tonight difficult.

    I think all this chaos is co-ordinated to keep us checking in on the site every few minutes

    Personally I think it is very sad to see TM hunkering down, refusing to meet cabinet ministers, and in denial that she is in the end days. If she wants to retain her dignity and respect, on Friday (post the EU vote) she must invite the leadership election to commence immediately.

    Indeed anything else is madness and she will be forced out. I do not want to see that happen to her. TM has faced the most extraordinary amount of abuse and misogyny including from her own mps like the ghastly Francois actually indicating a violent end by slitting her throat.

    It is just totally unacceptable. TM has tried to resolve the intractable and no amount of abuse will alter the fact not one other politician could have resolved this unending deadlock
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    > @Luckyguy1983 said:
    > It's so undignified! You can only smile.

    Utterly pitiful.

    She's going to have to be prised, fingertip by fingertip out of her Downing St bunker...
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,675
    > @JohnO said:
    > I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    Can't you knock a few heads together and come up with someone a little more sensible than Raab C Brexit or Boris 'the ego' Johnson?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    Do people see May staying as an MP? Feels difficult with the way she has been treated by her "party". Another by election coming? Another reduction in the majority?

    I hope she sticks around. It will be rough, but if things go even further to shit, or we Remain, and I were her, I'd want to be there to tell them.
    DeClare said:

    None of the last five people to take over as Prime Minister mid-term, Lord Home, Jim Callaghan, John Major, Gordon Brown and Theresa May herself, have called an immediate General Election in the same year.



    Nowadays the PM no longer has the power to 'call' one, they have to take place every 5 years unless MPs themselves want an earlier one.



    Opposition MPs don't have much to lose but why would government MPs vote for an early election when they are behind in the opinion polls?

    For some reason many of them seem to think taking a firm no deal position will see them rewarded massively by the public.
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    > @AlastairMeeks said:
    > > @Casino_Royale said:
    > > I’ve already laid off my Lidington.
    >
    > I’ve laid off some of mine. I fancy that the prices will shorten again further before the week is out.
    >
    > He is part of my trinity of major moneymakers on the next PM market, together with Jacob Rees-Mogg and Jeremy Corbyn. Gawd bless that unlikely trio.

    Surely you've indulged in the free money that has been David Millband too?

    (Easily my best result from the clown-spotter)
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    > @kle4 said:

    > Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.

    >

    >

    >

    >



    >

    >

    >

    > My gods, another comment that proves that, disagree with him about no deal and how good it would be all we may want, Baker actually is more sensible than a great many other Tory MPs, having both a plan on what to do next and noticing that there are other things going on which make things tonight difficult.



    I think all this chaos is co-ordinated to keep us checking in on the site every few minutes



    Personally I think it is very sad to see TM hunkering down, refusing to meet cabinet ministers, and in denial that she is in the end days. If she wants to retain her dignity and respect, on Friday (post the EU vote) she must invite the leadership election to commence immediately.



    Indeed anything else is madness and she will be forced out. I do not want to see that happen to her. TM has faced the most extraordinary amount of abuse and misogyny including from her own mps like the ghastly Francois actually indicating a violent end by slitting her throat.



    It is just totally unacceptable. TM has tried to resolve the intractable and no amount of abuse will alter the fact not one other politician could have resolved this unending deadlock
    Yes she must invite the leadership contest to commence immediately. But who to be PM? You know the MPs willnot want her in post while they have their contest.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    > @Omnium said:
    > > @AlastairMeeks said:
    > > > @Casino_Royale said:
    > > > I’ve already laid off my Lidington.
    > >
    > > I’ve laid off some of mine. I fancy that the prices will shorten again further before the week is out.
    > >
    > > He is part of my trinity of major moneymakers on the next PM market, together with Jacob Rees-Mogg and Jeremy Corbyn. Gawd bless that unlikely trio.
    >
    > Surely you've indulged in the free money that has been David Millband too?
    >
    > (Easily my best result from the clown-spotter)

    Oh yes, and Nigel Farage too recently. But they are next tier down for me.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,737
    > @DeClare said:
    > None of the last five people to take over as Prime Minister mid-term, Lord Home, Jim Callaghan, John Major, Gordon Brown and Theresa May herself, have called an immediate General Election in the same year.
    >
    > Nowadays the PM no longer has the power to 'call' one, they have to take place every 5 years unless MPs themselves want an earlier one.
    >
    > Opposition MPs don't have much to lose but why would government MPs vote for an early election when they are behind in the opinion polls?

    Of those, I think only Callaghan didn't have a majority.

    Interesting too that all lost seats and 3/5 their government at the subsequent GE.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    It will actually be a big disappointment if the LDs don't get second - it feels deserved, but the late surge may have just been too late.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,683
    JohnO said:

    I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    So you're voting to help Dan Hannan retain his seat?

    I feel your conflicted loyalties.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    edited May 2019
    Tomorrow is voting day also in the Netherlands for Euro elections.

    Ireland vote on Friday

    Saturday: Slovakia, Malta and Latvia

    Czech Republic vote on Friday and Saturday

    Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyane, Saint-Barhélémy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre et-Miquelon and Polynésie Française also vote on Saturday.

    Remaining countries vote on Sunday
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Incidentally, Jacob Rees-Mogg was last matched for next PM at 310. Where is the Moggmentum of last year?
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,135
    > @kle4 said:
    > > @kle4 said:
    >
    > > Steve Baker notices there’s an election happening.
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > https://twitter.com/paulwaugh/status/1131251270717718528
    >
    >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > >
    >
    > > My gods, another comment that proves that, disagree with him about no deal and how good it would be all we may want, Baker actually is more sensible than a great many other Tory MPs, having both a plan on what to do next and noticing that there are other things going on which make things tonight difficult.
    >
    >
    >
    > I think all this chaos is co-ordinated to keep us checking in on the site every few minutes
    >
    >
    >
    > Personally I think it is very sad to see TM hunkering down, refusing to meet cabinet ministers, and in denial that she is in the end days. If she wants to retain her dignity and respect, on Friday (post the EU vote) she must invite the leadership election to commence immediately.
    >
    >
    >
    > Indeed anything else is madness and she will be forced out. I do not want to see that happen to her. TM has faced the most extraordinary amount of abuse and misogyny including from her own mps like the ghastly Francois actually indicating a violent end by slitting her throat.
    >
    >
    >
    > It is just totally unacceptable. TM has tried to resolve the intractable and no amount of abuse will alter the fact not one other politician could have resolved this unending deadlock
    >
    > Yes she must invite the leadership contest to commence immediately. But who to be PM? You know the MPs willnot want her in post while they have their contest.

    As caretaker PM I think most would see it as a fair compromise.
  • VerulamiusVerulamius Posts: 1,543
    kle4 said:

    It will actually be a big disappointment if the LDs don't get second - it feels deserved, but the late surge may have just been too late.

    Depends on the proportion of postal votes?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > Tomorrow is voting day also in the Netherlands for Euro elections.
    >
    > Ireland vote on Friday
    >
    > Saturday: Slovakia, Malta and Latvia
    >
    > Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyane, Saint-Barhélémy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre et-Miquelon and Polynésie Française also vote on Saturday.
    >
    > Remaining countries vote on Sunday
    >
    >

    Do the final polls close on Sunday at 9pm British time or 10pm?
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    > @Jonathan said:
    > > @JohnO said:
    > > I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.
    >
    > Can't you knock a few heads together and come up with someone a little more sensible than Raab C Brexit or Boris 'the ego' Johnson?

    Oh, the Baker, Bridgen, Francois, Jenkyns crowd will have won. Hate it, but there you go. The Flint, Nancy, Cooper, Benn mob on your side played for high stakes in their hope that scuppering the flawed May deal would lead to revoke or a referendum. It won’t. They should have looked beyond narrow advantage and realised that the best is usually the enemy of the good. But they didn’t. And serves them right.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    Italy polls close at 11PM local time which is 10pm for you


    > @AndyJS said:
    > > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > > Tomorrow is voting day also in the Netherlands for Euro elections.
    > >
    > > Ireland vote on Friday
    > >
    > > Saturday: Slovakia, Malta and Latvia
    > >
    > > Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyane, Saint-Barhélémy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre et-Miquelon and Polynésie Française also vote on Saturday.
    > >
    > > Remaining countries vote on Sunday
    > >
    > >
    >
    > Do the final polls close on Sunday at 9pm British time or 10pm?
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    > @solarflare said:
    > I'm sort of half expecting to see live footage of May being chased, Benny Hill style, by an army of cabinet ministers, backbenchers and political journalists, as the theme tune plays.

    With Garage running in the other direction being chased with people with milkshakes.
  • nunuonenunuone Posts: 1,138
    > @nunuone said:
    > > @solarflare said:
    > > I'm sort of half expecting to see live footage of May being chased, Benny Hill style, by an army of cabinet ministers, backbenchers and political journalists, as the theme tune plays.
    >
    > With Garage running in the other direction being chased with people with milkshakes.

    Damn, that should be Farage.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,176
    > @JohnO said:
    > > @Jonathan said:
    > > > @JohnO said:
    > > > I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.
    > >
    > > Can't you knock a few heads together and come up with someone a little more sensible than Raab C Brexit or Boris 'the ego' Johnson?
    >
    > Oh, the Baker, Bridgen, Francois, Jenkyns crowd will have won. Hate it, but there you go. The Flint, Nancy, Cooper, Benn mob on your side played for high stakes in their hope that scuppering the flawed May deal would lead to revoke or a referendum. It won’t. They should have looked beyond narrow advantage and realised that the best is usually the enemy of the good. But they didn’t. And serves them right.

    Flint backed the deal, but your point is right.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited May 2019
    > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > Italy polls close at 11PM local time which is 10pm for you
    >
    >
    > > @AndyJS said:
    > > > @AndreaParma_82 said:
    > > > Tomorrow is voting day also in the Netherlands for Euro elections.
    > > >
    > > > Ireland vote on Friday
    > > >
    > > > Saturday: Slovakia, Malta and Latvia
    > > >
    > > > Guadeloupe, Martinique, Guyane, Saint-Barhélémy, Saint-Martin, Saint-Pierre et-Miquelon and Polynésie Française also vote on Saturday.
    > > >
    > > > Remaining countries vote on Sunday
    > > >
    > > >
    > >
    > > Do the final polls close on Sunday at 9pm British time or 10pm?
    >
    >

    Thanks, that explains why we have to wait until 10pm to start counting the votes. I think it's earlier in most countries (close of polling).
  • ExiledInScotlandExiledInScotland Posts: 1,529
    So what on earth will we have to witter on about tomorrow. Is there going to be a thread on voting systems?
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163


    As caretaker PM I think most would see it as a fair compromise.

    I disagree. The Tory party are a bunch of Corbynesque fanatics - the last thing most of them want is a compromise, fair or not.

    Nevertheless, I feel a dilemma. While I now think we should remain, I did very much back the deal and this might be the chance to register support for that outcome at an election. But that would mean rewarding the pathetic shower that is the Tory party. On the other hand the LDs might be able to sneak a second seat if I back them, but they have been quite extremist for a long time on Brexit, and should I reward that? CUK deserve something for boldness but don't seem to offer anything, a vote Labour would be fine but they seem somewhat confused about just how remainy or not they are. BXP and UKIp have at least attempted to get my vote through leaflets but, er, no, no thanks.

    So I think I might boil it down to the final two and toss a coin.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,135
    > @nunuone said:
    > > @solarflare said:
    > > I'm sort of half expecting to see live footage of May being chased, Benny Hill style, by an army of cabinet ministers, backbenchers and political journalists, as the theme tune plays.
    >
    > With Garage running in the other direction being chased with people with milkshakes.

    Garage !!!!!
  • MauveMauve Posts: 129
    Great timing by Heidi, as ever. Offering to leave as ChUK leader on the same day as part 94 of the Tory leadership coup and British Steel collapsing.

    Also, amusing quite from the Channel 4 reporter "I'm outside number 10 and Theresa May is still the Prime Minister"
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163

    So what on earth will we have to witter on about tomorrow. Is there going to be a thread on voting systems?

    Only if we are very good. Surely it should be nothing but an examination of the merits and flaws of d'hondt.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,492
    JohnO said:

    > @Jonathan said:

    > > @JohnO said:

    > > I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    >

    > Can't you knock a few heads together and come up with someone a little more sensible than Raab C Brexit or Boris 'the ego' Johnson?



    Oh, the Baker, Bridgen, Francois, Jenkyns crowd will have won. Hate it, but there you go. The Flint, Nancy, Cooper, Benn mob on your side played for high stakes in their hope that scuppering the flawed May deal would lead to revoke or a referendum. It won’t. They should have looked beyond narrow advantage and realised that the best is usually the enemy of the good. But they didn’t. And serves them right.

    Exactly. Except not Flint. She’s been sensible throughout.

    It’s Labour who have also been instrumental in shooting this down, and are doing it even now.

    As far as I can tell May is giving them everything they wanted and they are *still* opposing it wholeheartedly.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,318
    JohnO said:

    I strongly supported May’s deal and will vote Conservative tomorrow. But I’ll shed few tears should the BP outperform expectations and poll towards 40%. She’s got to go and I just can’t see any alternative to Johnson or Raab becoming leader and the U.K. slouching to a No Deal Brexit. It’ll probably end in tears (who knows) but it’s the course I now feel we have to tread.

    Why the hell should the country suffer to satisfy the loons in the Tory party and a party which has no MPs in Parliament and whose leader has failed in all his attempts at becoming an MP?

    The way Tories regularly conflate what is in their interests with what is in the country’s interests is despicable. Drive your own bus over a cliff if you must. But stop including the rest of us in your “we”.
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    > @Pulpstar said:
    > She can't lead, and they can't plot. It's beyond a shambles now.

    An unstoppable farce meets an immovable object
This discussion has been closed.