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  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    Sean_F said:

    So far Lucy Allan, Boris Johnson, John Whittingdale, Charles Elphicke have switched to support the WA. Any others?

    Are you getting that information from their Twitter feed?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    Time to start threatening expulsions if they don't come into line.
  • SlackbladderSlackbladder Posts: 9,773
    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1110983859007639552

    This is exposing the pragmatists and the hard core of the ERG.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395

    Just going on 5Live

    +1
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    I’ve been a few times.

    But not to the extremes of the time zones.
    I have and it's completely crap. Daylight at really odd times.
    So why don't local businesses and schools etc. just start and finish an hour earlier, or later?
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    IanB2 said:

    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sandpit said:

    tlg86 said:

    Sandpit said:

    Oh, and as others have said, a load of bollocks from the EU in the last couple of days on internet content and car regulations, doing a good job of reminding a lot of people why they voted to leave in the first place.

    And, the European Parliament voted to ban either BST or GMT from 2022 this week, so we’ll have to decide which one we have to keep and the clocks won’t go back/forth anymore.

    Off the back of a public consultation of which 70% of the responses were from Germany, as I understand it, and I personally wasn’t even aware of.
    Yes that's a load of crap. Personally I hope we keep daylight savings time. GMT suits us in the winter and BST suits us in the summer.

    The less northerly a nation the less of a reason there is for daylight savings, so of course it makes sense that Germany is different to the UK or Scandinavia. American can cope with some states having daylight savings and others not, this is the sort of total BS that should be decided by nations and has nothing to do with CE marks or anything else the EU should be getting involved in.
    If it were up to me, I'd add half an hour to both GMT and BST and I'd put the clocks forward on the first Sunday in March rather than the last.
    can we fix easter while we're at it? first sunday in april perhaps.
    Easter’s easy, the dates are fixed years in advance.

    Try living in a Muslim country, where they need to actually see the new moon to confirm the date - which leads to people finding out at 9pm or thereabouts whether the holiday is on the next day or the day after...
    Eh ? The lunar cycles don't change much !
    The weather can.

    I'm more interested in the loony cycles going on in the Commons right now.

    Has anyone worked out what happens if the Commons comes to its senses and the Lords vote it down? Or does it only have to pass one house?
    What's "it"?
    The Withdrawal Agreement. That's doubly embarrassing as I have just smeared much red ink all over Year 10's books where they start answers with the word 'It's...'
    If the Lords votes down the WAIB they'd be risking no deal. Not going to happen.
    They don't get a vote. The best they can do, I believe, is make suggestions.
    They'd get a vote on the WAIB (Withdrawal Agreement Implementation Bill).
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    All that Jinping about between time zones is tiresome though.

    If we keep GMT (i.e. this funny thing called real time) and the EU impose a different time zone, won't that create a hard border in Ireland?
    GMT is real time on (and only on) the Greenwich meridian; so for instance in real real time, 9 pm at Greenwich is 9.05 in Oxford.
    And 9.18 in Penzance.

    But if we move to GMT+1 then nowhere will be on the right time.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,628

    Pulpstar said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    The final holdouts
    I think that is probably Anne Marie Morris
    Andrea Jenkyns will be the final holdout.

    Curses to David Herdson for getting her elected.
    How about deselecting Jenkyns and ...

    ... David Herdson MP ?
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2019
    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868
    IanB2 said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    I’ve been a few times.

    But not to the extremes of the time zones.
    I have and it's completely crap. Daylight at really odd times.
    So why don't local businesses and schools etc. just start and finish an hour earlier, or later?
    It's China, they don't have local decisions.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    NEVER! NEVER! NEVER! :D
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218

    Pulpstar said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    The final holdouts
    I think that is probably Anne Marie Morris
    Andrea Jenkyns will be the final holdout.

    Curses to David Herdson for getting her elected.
    Anne Marie Morris voted against the Brady amendment, that's what I'm going off.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    Drutt said:

    I don't even think there was a market on it, but did anyone have money on Corbyn seeing off two Con PMs?

    Lay Corbyn for next PM, if you want to bet on him facing a third Tory PM as LotO.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    AndyJS said:

    Just going on 5Live

    +1
    Aargh. I put it on for OGH and I now have the nauseating witterings of Nadine Dorries to wade through...
  • If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    How many time zones does the US and Canada have?
    Canadians are weird. Some of them speak French as a first language.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Pulpstar said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    The final holdouts
    I think that is probably Anne Marie Morris
    Andrea Jenkyns will be the final holdout.

    Curses to David Herdson for getting her elected.
    Anne Marie Trevalyn will be final holdout.

    But Ed Balls would have been a holdout too so why does Jenkyns matter?
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    ydoethur said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    All that Jinping about between time zones is tiresome though.

    If we keep GMT (i.e. this funny thing called real time) and the EU impose a different time zone, won't that create a hard border in Ireland?
    GMT is real time on (and only on) the Greenwich meridian; so for instance in real real time, 9 pm at Greenwich is 9.05 in Oxford.
    And 9.18 in Penzance.

    But if we move to GMT+1 then nowhere will be on the right time.
    Tough. The present system waits till things are getting miserable in late October, and then makes it much worse, and waits till the evenings are brightening up so much that it doesn't really matter before changing back.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Pulpstar said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    The final holdouts
    I think that is probably Anne Marie Morris
    Andrea Jenkyns will be the final holdout.

    Curses to David Herdson for getting her elected.
    Anne Marie Morris voted against the Brady amendment, that's what I'm going off.
    Sorry that's who I meant.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,628

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1110983859007639552

    This is exposing the pragmatists and the hard core of the ERG.

    The ERG pragmatists switched on MV2.
    The ERG posturers are switching now.
    The ERG nutters will never switch.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    According to @samcoatestimes some of the ERG don't believe the PM's promise.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    The final holdouts
    It looks like it's all panning out like the Guardian projected earlier: the likes of Jacob Rees-Mogg flipping, but 15 holdouts from the ERG along with the DUP, resulting in the deal failing by 42 votes:

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2019/mar/27/can-you-get-mays-deal-through-meaningful-vote-3
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    edited March 2019
    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    All that Jinping about between time zones is tiresome though.

    If we keep GMT (i.e. this funny thing called real time) and the EU impose a different time zone, won't that create a hard border in Ireland?
    GMT is real time on (and only on) the Greenwich meridian; so for instance in real real time, 9 pm at Greenwich is 9.05 in Oxford.
    And 9.18 in Penzance.

    But if we move to GMT+1 then nowhere will be on the right time.
    Tough. The present system waits till things are getting miserable in late October, and then makes it much worse, and waits till the evenings are brightening up so much that it doesn't really matter before changing back.
    Yup. It really says as much about the inadequacies of a UK-wide time as an EU-wide time would.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    How many time zones does the US and Canada have?
    Canadians are weird. Some of them speak French as a first language.
    But at least none of them campaigned for Andrea Jenkyns.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    He is storming out as he knows it is over.

    The deal passes on Friday.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Pulpstar said:

    I'd like permanent summer time !

    Why do you think @rcs1000 moved to SoCal and lost his passport?

    😂
  • OmniumOmnium Posts: 10,780
    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    dr_spyn said:
    Have I ever mentioned I tipped Hunt, Lidington, and Hancock at 100/1?
    A firm of solicitors has never held office.
    Lloyd George, Roberts and Co. says hello.
    Ah so that's the firm you've been using for the work on the accidental scrambling of your name. Have you considered that the ostensible partners haven't been seen since the 1920s? I realise that there's precedent in slow progress, but Jarndice aside you may want to consider the state of affairs. I realise this may be unwelcome news, but you may die before the wise posts you've made on PB are correctly attributed to yourself.
    I must have been busy today, because that makes no sense at all and I haven't touched a drop of alcohol (unless somebody's been monkeying with my tap).

    Would you mind explaining?
    Sorry. Just nonsense. However as an explanation - you have an unpronouncable PB moniker. One might imagine that you'd had your real name stolen and rearranged. Thus you might need a lawyer. Jarndice vs Janrdice is the fictional worlds most famous lawyerly thing. My theme was of course influenced by Kafka.
    Right. OK. That sort of makes sense.

    The only thing I would say is that my moniker is nothing to do with my name, and is in fact a real phrase spelled phonetically.

    I will admit it is a real phrase spelled phonetically in Welsh, but that doesn't make it unpronounceable.
    Just nonsense as I said. There's sometimes an attraction in spinning out daft stories and seeing if anyone is with you at the end. I guess I'll refund your ride, but I'd hope not to see you in the complaints queue.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    edited March 2019
    Nadine Dorries really is peculiar, isn't she? And yet even she's not backing Boris for leader...
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293

    And what about Bercow ? There are still multiple obstacles in the way.

    Can't someone lock Bercow in the loo for a few hours on Friday morning and get Lynsey in the chair? :D
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
  • Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    ydoethur said:

    MaxPB said:

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    If you'd been to China you wouldn't say that, it's completely stupid in some parts.
    All that Jinping about between time zones is tiresome though.

    If we keep GMT (i.e. this funny thing called real time) and the EU impose a different time zone, won't that create a hard border in Ireland?
    GMT is real time on (and only on) the Greenwich meridian; so for instance in real real time, 9 pm at Greenwich is 9.05 in Oxford.
    And 9.18 in Penzance.

    But if we move to GMT+1 then nowhere will be on the right time.
    Tough. The present system waits till things are getting miserable in late October, and then makes it much worse, and waits till the evenings are brightening up so much that it doesn't really matter before changing back.
    GMT, then move to an 8 - 4 working day. Job done.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Paper ballots in the HoC? What has the world come to....
  • IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Its the DUP. Dogma is all they have.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,293
    edited March 2019
    ydoethur said:

    Nadine Dorries really is peculiar, isn't she? And yet even she's not backing Boris for leader...

    Nadine started switching before most of the ERG.

    Where Nadine leads everyone else follows. :D
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183
    edited March 2019
    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312
    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    I believe there's still negotiating to be done.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    dr_spyn said:
    Have I ever mentioned I tipped Hunt, Lidington, and Hancock at 100/1?
    A firm of solicitors has never held office.
    Lloyd George, Roberts and Co. says hello.
    Ah so that's the firm you've been using for the work on the accidental scrambling of your name. Have you considered that the ostensible partners haven't been seen since the 1920s? I realise that there's precedent in slow progress, but Jarndice aside you may want to consider the state of affairs. I realise this may be unwelcome news, but you may die before the wise posts you've made on PB are correctly attributed to yourself.
    I must have been busy today, because that makes no sense at all and I haven't touched a drop of alcohol (unless somebody's been monkeying with my tap).

    Would you mind explaining?
    Sorry. Just nonsense. However as an explanation - you have an unpronouncable PB moniker. One might imagine that you'd had your real name stolen and rearranged. Thus you might need a lawyer. Jarndice vs Janrdice is the fictional worlds most famous lawyerly thing. My theme was of course influenced by Kafka.
    Right. OK. That sort of makes sense.

    The only thing I would say is that my moniker is nothing to do with my name, and is in fact a real phrase spelled phonetically.

    I will admit it is a real phrase spelled phonetically in Welsh, but that doesn't make it unpronounceable.
    Always assumed it was "Why do either?".
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Does it matter? At this stage the why seems unimportant.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,725

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Look at united Ireland polling under different Brexit scenarios and it’s pretty clear what they’re holding out for.
  • Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    dixiedean said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    dr_spyn said:
    Have I ever mentioned I tipped Hunt, Lidington, and Hancock at 100/1?
    A firm of solicitors has never held office.
    Lloyd George, Roberts and Co. says hello.
    Ah so that's the firm you've been using for the work on the accidental scrambling of your name. Have you considered that the ostensible partners haven't been seen since the 1920s? I realise that there's precedent in slow progress, but Jarndice aside you may want to consider the state of affairs. I realise this may be unwelcome news, but you may die before the wise posts you've made on PB are correctly attributed to yourself.
    I must have been busy today, because that makes no sense at all and I haven't touched a drop of alcohol (unless somebody's been monkeying with my tap).

    Would you mind explaining?
    Sorry. Just nonsense. However as an explanation - you have an unpronouncable PB moniker. One might imagine that you'd had your real name stolen and rearranged. Thus you might need a lawyer. Jarndice vs Janrdice is the fictional worlds most famous lawyerly thing. My theme was of course influenced by Kafka.
    Right. OK. That sort of makes sense.

    The only thing I would say is that my moniker is nothing to do with my name, and is in fact a real phrase spelled phonetically.

    I will admit it is a real phrase spelled phonetically in Welsh, but that doesn't make it unpronounceable.
    Always assumed it was "Why do either?".
    I had it down as Welsh for "the doctor", in a Dr Whoish sort of way.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    edited March 2019

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1110983859007639552

    This is exposing the pragmatists and the hard core of the ERG.

    The ERG pragmatists switched on MV2.
    The ERG posturers are switching now.
    The ERG nutters will never switch.
    They'll switch. Friday is Brexit day they are not going to risk Parliament taking control on Monday again and vote against Brexit on Brexit day. It's over.

    I know these things go down to the last hour but that is literally happening now. If the result is announced at 10pm on Friday then at the literal last hour the deal is passed.

    It's almost poetic.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,218
    Tonight is the night Steve Baker took back control of the ERG
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    It's just the sort of cynical politicking that the public abhors. I agree with Anna Soubry who's saying precisely this on Channel 4 News at the moment.
  • Is there some point at which the number of ERG holdouts is few enough to whip?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    Pulpstar said:

    Tonight is the night Steve Baker took back control of the ERG

    Baker has his fan club on Twitter comparing him to Churchill.

    Given the size of his ego, that will win over everything else.
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,888

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    How many time zones does the US and Canada have?
    Canadians are weird. Some of them speak French as a first language.
    Only 21% of them. 57% speak the Queen's as a first language, and 16% claim equal proficiency in both.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Does it matter? At this stage the why seems unimportant.
    It does because their votes need to be unlocked, if they can.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Yes, fighting a GE on "let's leave the customs union" will be a sure fire winner.
  • I'm imagining some cross between 1990's House of Cards and a healing session at a Quakers' meeting house.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497

    https://twitter.com/SkyNewsBreak/status/1110983859007639552

    This is exposing the pragmatists and the hard core of the ERG.

    The ERG pragmatists switched on MV2.
    The ERG posturers are switching now.
    The ERG nutters will never switch.

    That’s a good summary.
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    ydoethur said:

    AndyJS said:

    Just going on 5Live

    +1
    Aargh. I put it on for OGH and I now have the nauseating witterings of Nadine Dorries to wade through...
    I missed him too.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183
    edited March 2019
    May will abstain on the indicative votes tonight as will Tory whips

    https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-47725529
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    Sandpit said:

    Drutt said:

    I don't even think there was a market on it, but did anyone have money on Corbyn seeing off two Con PMs?

    Lay Corbyn for next PM, if you want to bet on him facing a third Tory PM as LotO.
    I get that (it works out about 1.14), but who would have thought in late 2015 that he would see off Cameron and the next Con PM after that?

    Anyway, HoC due back.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426
    Ishmael_Z said:

    dixiedean said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    dr_spyn said:
    Have I ever mentioned I tipped Hunt, Lidington, and Hancock at 100/1?
    A firm of solicitors has never held office.
    Lloyd George, Roberts and Co. says hello.
    Ah so that's the firm you've been using for the work on the accidental scrambling of your name. Have you considered that the ostensible partners haven't been seen since the 1920s? I realise that there's precedent in slow progress, but Jarndice aside you may want to consider the state of affairs. I realise this may be unwelcome news, but you may die before the wise posts you've made on PB are correctly attributed to yourself.
    I must have been busy today, because that makes no sense at all and I haven't touched a drop of alcohol (unless somebody's been monkeying with my tap).

    Would you mind explaining?
    Sorry. Just nonsense. However as an explanation - you have an unpronouncable PB moniker. One might imagine that you'd had your real name stolen and rearranged. Thus you might need a lawyer. Jarndice vs Janrdice is the fictional worlds most famous lawyerly thing. My theme was of course influenced by Kafka.
    Right. OK. That sort of makes sense.

    The only thing I would say is that my moniker is nothing to do with my name, and is in fact a real phrase spelled phonetically.

    I will admit it is a real phrase spelled phonetically in Welsh, but that doesn't make it unpronounceable.
    Always assumed it was "Why do either?".
    I had it down as Welsh for "the doctor", in a Dr Whoish sort of way.
    Give the man an amusing animal stamp. That is indeed what it means.

    For those in doubt, in English phonetics it's pronounced uh DOY theer.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Debate resumes on the extension regulations.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    Ishmael_Z said:

    dixiedean said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    ydoethur said:

    Omnium said:

    dr_spyn said:
    Have I ever mentioned I tipped Hunt, Lidington, and Hancock at 100/1?
    A firm of solicitors has never held office.
    Lloyd George, Roberts and Co. says hello.
    Ah so that's the firm you've been using for the work on the accidental scrambling of your name. Have you considered that the ostensible partners haven't been seen since the 1920s? I realise that there's precedent in slow progress, but Jarndice aside you may want to consider the state of affairs. I realise this may be unwelcome news, but you may die before the wise posts you've made on PB are correctly attributed to yourself.
    I must have been busy today, because that makes no sense at all and I haven't touched a drop of alcohol (unless somebody's been monkeying with my tap).

    Would you mind explaining?
    Sorry. Just nonsense. However as an explanation - you have an unpronouncable PB moniker. One might imagine that you'd had your real name stolen and rearranged. Thus you might need a lawyer. Jarndice vs Janrdice is the fictional worlds most famous lawyerly thing. My theme was of course influenced by Kafka.
    Right. OK. That sort of makes sense.

    The only thing I would say is that my moniker is nothing to do with my name, and is in fact a real phrase spelled phonetically.

    I will admit it is a real phrase spelled phonetically in Welsh, but that doesn't make it unpronounceable.
    Always assumed it was "Why do either?".
    I had it down as Welsh for "the doctor", in a Dr Whoish sort of way.
    One up on me. I never twigged it was Welsh. Which is bleeding obvious I now see...
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Ave it Brexit opinion!

    Theresa = acting with dignity, doing the best for the country as per usual

    CON = most members ok, some (k)nobs
    Mogg = knob
    LAB = unfit to govern
    SNP = makes LAB look like serious party
    TIG and LD = :lol:
    Corbyn = *
    Bercow = **
  • ReggieCideReggieCide Posts: 4,312

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Perhaps they want to be the ones wot won it for the sake of the UK
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,426

    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Does it matter? At this stage the why seems unimportant.
    It does because their votes need to be unlocked, if they can.
    But they can't. So it doesn't.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,167
    edited March 2019
    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Hmm. An interesting suggestion, and quite possible, I think.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Yes, fighting a GE on "let's leave the customs union" will be a sure fire winner.
    Well it will for Tories, Corbyn as PM guarantees staying permanently in a Customs Union
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 51,888

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    In Xinjiang, two time standards, namely, Beijing Time and Xinjiang Time, are used in parallel.[4][5]
    Xinjiang Time, also known as Ürümqi Time (Chinese: 乌鲁木齐时间; pinyin: Wūlǔmùqí Shíjiān), is set due to its geographical location in the westernmost part of the country.[9] The time offset is UTC+06:00, which is two hours behind Beijing, and is shared with neighbouring Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan.
    [..]
    The coexistence of two timezones within the same region causes some confusion among the local population, especially when inter-racial communication occurs. When a time is mentioned in conversation between Han and Uyghur, it is necessary to either explicitly make clear whether the time is in Xinjiang Time or Beijing Time, or convert the time according to the ethnicity of the other party.[13][14][15] The double time standard is particularly observable in Xinjiang Television, which schedules its Chinese channel according to Beijing time and its Uyghur and Kazakh channels according to Xinjiang time. [16]
    Regardless, Beijing Time users in Xinjiang usually schedule their daily activities two hours later than those who live in eastern China. As such, stores and offices in Xinjiang are commonly open from 10am to 7pm Beijing Time, which equals 8am to 5pm in Ürümqi Time.[17] This is known as the work/rest time in Xinjiang.[18]
    In most areas of Xinjiang, the opening time of local authorities is additionally modified by shifting the morning session 30–60 minutes backward and the afternoon session 30 minutes forward to extend the lunch break for 60–90 minutes, so as to avoid the intense heat during noon time in the area during summer.[12]


    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Time_in_China#Xinjiang
  • Ave_itAve_it Posts: 2,411
    Good to see Mogg talking knob as per usual
  • blueblueblueblue Posts: 875
    Ave_it said:

    Ave it Brexit opinion!

    Theresa = acting with dignity, doing the best for the country as per usual

    CON = most members ok, some (k)nobs
    Mogg = knob
    LAB = unfit to govern
    SNP = makes LAB look like serious party
    TIG and LD = :lol:
    Corbyn = *
    Bercow = **

    Ave_it = spot on as usual!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Moreover, May has just basically promised a Brexiteer to negotiate a trade deal...
  • AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited March 2019
    "May spielt jetzt ihre letzte Karte – den eigenen Job"

    https://www.welt.de
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183
    edited March 2019

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    And so the international law v UK law difference of view emerges, with ERG keen to probe what happens if the regulations don't pass.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,936
    Ave_it said:

    Good to see Mogg talking knob as per usual

    Good to see you are still around, Ave_it!
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,414
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    It's just the sort of cynical politicking that the public abhors. I agree with Anna Soubry who's saying precisely this on Channel 4 News at the moment.
    Indeed. All we've heard for months and months is what a crap deal this is. Now May has gone...it isn't.
    Of course it is more complex, but you could not blame the casual observer from thinking that.
  • RobinWiggsRobinWiggs Posts: 621
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    For a completely unrelated £1bn, I would imagine the DUP might abstain along with a few of the remaining ERG purists. That should see it home.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    If every Tory MP last time had backed the Deal it would have passed.

    If she's still a few short May should do a Maastricht Major and call it a confidence vote with withdrawal of the whip for any who vote against.

    Will cost her a few Labour Leavers but put the DUP on the spot.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    edited March 2019
    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    IanB2 said:

    Claire Ellicott
    @ClaireEllicott1
    Steve Baker storms out and says 'no comment' when asked about the deal. An angry-looking Mark Francois shouts 'no'

    They will never, ever, surrender.

    When they need to rebel against the ERG's own whip they truly have reached the end of the road.
    Commentator on Beeb claiming TMay still 25-30 short, even with a rump of ERG switchers.
    That’s about right.

    I can’t work out if the DUP are holding out for money and UK Government divergence assurances, or if they’re just being utterly dogmatic.
    Does it matter? At this stage the why seems unimportant.
    It does because their votes need to be unlocked, if they can.
    But they can't. So it doesn't.
    Well, we don’t know. That’s what I’m saying.

    There were straws in the wind that was precisely what they were looking for over the weekend.

    May may just simply being her stubborn and tone-deaf best.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Yes, fighting a GE on "let's leave the customs union" will be a sure fire winner.
    Well it will for Tories, Corbyn as PM guarantees staying permanently in a Customs Union
    If the Tories call another snap GE and the reason has anything to do with Brexit, I expect they will be in for another surprise.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,868

    Is there some point at which the number of ERG holdouts is few enough to whip?

    I think we're already there.
  • DruttDrutt Posts: 1,124
    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871
    Labour enjoying pointing out to the Tories that making such a fuss to put the leaving date into legislation wasn't actually such a bright idea.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    For a completely unrelated £1bn, I would imagine the DUP might abstain along with a few of the remaining ERG purists. That should see it home.
    For an unrelated billion and a face saving gesture they may even vote for. But the ERG got its pound of flesh tonight, the DUP will not switch until they've got theirs.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,497
    AndyJS said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    It's just the sort of cynical politicking that the public abhors. I agree with Anna Soubry who's saying precisely this on Channel 4 News at the moment.

    Indeed, but unfortunately politics has a small p as well as a big P.

    And she’s not immune to it herself.
  • Philip_ThompsonPhilip_Thompson Posts: 65,826
    Drutt said:

    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.

    It's over.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    For a completely unrelated £1bn, I would imagine the DUP might abstain along with a few of the remaining ERG purists. That should see it home.
    As long as the backstop remains even £1 trillion will not concert the DUP
  • JohnLilburneJohnLilburne Posts: 6,261

    If China can cope with one time zone then so should the EU.

    Russian Railways has only just stopped the practice of quoting all arrival and departure times, wherever they may be, in Moscow time. Which is making planning an itinerary for a trip next year much easier (or maybe only slightly easier, it's still a bloody long way from Kazań to Yekaterinburg for example)
  • oxfordsimonoxfordsimon Posts: 5,842
    I wonder whether there will be any hanging chads tonight
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    If every Tory MP last time had backed the Deal it would have passed.

    If she's still a few short May should do a Maastricht Major and call it a confidence vote with withdrawal of the whip for any who vote against.

    Will cost her a few Labour Leavers but put the DUP on the spot.
    The DUP would likely still vote against and for VONC in those circumstances
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    edited March 2019

    Drutt said:

    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.

    It's over.
    Looks like a good time to bet against it to me. The votes just don’t look to be there yet. There are still too many staunch holdouts.
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    I'm finding myself conflicted. Part of me wants revoke in that I voted remain and think that was still correct but realising revoke is morally indefensible without a second referendum and another referendum could be very destructive. The funny thing is I then prefer May's deal to the softer Brexit approaches. I think in a GE anything softer than May would unravel because you would get some of the advantages of membership, most of the the disadvantages but crucially no political representation.
  • eekeek Posts: 28,406

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Hmm. An interesting suggestion, and quite possible, I think.
    Given a general election like that I would hold my nose and vote Labour - rather than abstaining and letting labour win my constituency by default.
  • NormNorm Posts: 1,251
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Yes, fighting a GE on "let's leave the customs union" will be a sure fire winner.
    Well it will for Tories, Corbyn as PM guarantees staying permanently in a Customs Union
    If the Tories call another snap GE and the reason has anything to do with Brexit, I expect they will be in for another surprise.
    Indeed. The Tory nut job (e.g Bone) and crypto kipper (e.g Jenkyns) alliance suffer from the illusion the public treat a GE as a vote exclusively on Europe. They don't.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,725

    Drutt said:

    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.

    It's over.
    Looks like a good time to bet against it to me. The votes just don’t look to be there yet. There are still too many staunch holdouts.
    Does the bet still win if it passes with an amendment for a second referendum?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,871

    HYUFD said:

    HYUFD said:

    Given the DUP and about 20 Tory MPs are still refusing to back the Deal and the Deal still does not have at least 20 Labour MPs backing it has May just made a unicorn resignation proposal?

    Who might swing from Labour without a whip?

    Who else is sympathetic?

    I can’t think of anyone.
    Which means even if every Tory MP voted for the Deal the Deal would still be narrowly defeated if no more Labour MPs switch to back the Deal and the DUP still votes against the Deal
    If every Tory MP last time had backed the Deal it would have passed.

    If she's still a few short May should do a Maastricht Major and call it a confidence vote with withdrawal of the whip for any who vote against.

    Will cost her a few Labour Leavers but put the DUP on the spot.
    She still needs oppostion members to balance off the Tory remainers. The various reasons why this is less likely now are obvious.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,631
    edited March 2019
    HYUFD said:
    Deal Y/N in a referendum would make AV seem like a wildly popular voting system by comparison
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Drutt said:

    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.

    It's over.
    Looks like a good time to bet against it to me. The votes just don’t look to be there yet. There are still too many staunch holdouts.
    Does the bet still win if it passes with an amendment for a second referendum?
    Each bookie’s terms need checking individually.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,183
    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    IanB2 said:

    HYUFD said:

    AndyJS said:

    I'm still wondering: how does Theresa May standing down make the Deal any better than it was before?

    It has won over Boris, IDS, Burns, Rees-Mogg etc for the Deal which gives it a chance but it will probably still fall just short. If as expected SM and or customs union then wins the indicative votes tonight and MV3 fails May could well call a general election on a platform of giving her a majority for her Deal or BINO with PM Corbyn and the SNP
    Yes, fighting a GE on "let's leave the customs union" will be a sure fire winner.
    Well it will for Tories, Corbyn as PM guarantees staying permanently in a Customs Union
    If the Tories call another snap GE and the reason has anything to do with Brexit, I expect they will be in for another surprise.
    As I said before I would expect sadly a repeat of February 1974, May like Heath says 'who governs Britain' the public says 'Not You'. Though like Feb 1974 it would be very close, remember Heath won the popular vote and a majority in England even if Wilson won most seats across the UK.

    I would then expect Corbyn to become PM on a platform of negotiating Single Market and Customs Union BINO with the EU propped up by the SNP while Boris wins the Tory leadership on a hard Brexit platform after May resigns and Boris then becomes Leader of the Opposition
  • NorthofStokeNorthofStoke Posts: 1,758
    Public perception of May's deal has been battered by the contradictory and often dishonest attacks from ERG and Labour.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,163
    Drutt said:

    CROSSOVER KLAXON.

    MV3 to pass is now odds on, at least at WmHills. Evs or thereabouts elsewhere.

    I won't believe it until the Act itself is passed, given how hopes have been repeatedly dashed.
This discussion has been closed.