Birmingham going Leave ? Then it is OVER !!! 2 years of recession coming.
Yes, would be over then, think will call it a night. Well, we now join Norway and Switzerland outside the EU and neither are doing too badly even if we face some short-term pain. Goodnight
Free movement of people when Immigration won it for Leave ?
Switzerland don't have free movement.. We need to find a way to ensure we don't - for that is clearly what people want
Switzerland does have free movement. That's why in airports you have signs saying EU/EEA/Switzerland.
Exactly as that Leave.EU poll said then? Was it Survation who did it for them? If so I hope Mike pulls them out and stands them on a pedestal. Chapeau.
If Blair has called this referendum any time between 1997 and 2003 he would have won with about 70%.
The fault, such as it is, must lie with the intervening years of Iraq (on Labour), expenses (on both parties) and the economy (largely on the Tories), in some admixture. Given the strong Labour leave result and the similar pattern across the democratic world, I am inferring that it is #3.
Pound has just started to level off - is that it? Or are there still some deluded traders thinking Remain can win?
The pound and the FTSE are going to be going mental over the next *waves hands*. It'll take a fair while for the markets to wrap their heads around this. It's all down to the BoE, ECB and the CoE in the short term. If they mishandle it, big trouble. If they do their jobs, not so much.
Hmmm. We have a long period of uncertainty ahead of us. There's not much chance that anyone can prevent that.
Dumfries in. Every single local authority area in Scotland voted remain. This will put huge pressure on Nicola to act.
Shetland voted Leave but if Scotland goes so be it, England and Wales have made their decision for Leave, Scotland for Remain, no point preserving a Union now broken
Birmingham going Leave ? Then it is OVER !!! 2 years of recession coming.
Yes, would be over then, think will call it a night. Well, we now join Norway and Switzerland outside the EU and neither are doing too badly even if we face some short-term pain. Goodnight
Free movement of people when Immigration won it for Leave ?
Switzerland don't have free movement.. We need to find a way to ensure we don't - for that is clearly what people want
Switzerland does have free movement. That's why in airports you have signs saying EU/EEA/Switzerland.
Can we make an estimate of the likely overall vote share for remain/leave? Is there still any chance of a 10% margin of victory? How sure can we be that leave will win by approx 5% now?
Theory - Cameron has spent the campaign getting big business and organisations to endorse remain. The majority of people, especially outside the SE, work for small / medium enterprises who complain the most about eu redtape & stupid regs.
Corbyn hasn't been kept in by support from the traditional Labour voters who went Out. He's been kept in by support from London members and Three Quidders and Trafe Union leaders. They will blame Corbyn for this. He looks very vulnerable to me.
This is the best chance for a coup that Labour MPs will ever likely have, Corbyn's indifference in this referendum will have annoyed Labour's strongly Pro EU membership. The high chance of an imminent election and possible right wing Tory opponents could also focus minds.
I guess a lot of the market panic is because of the complacency that Remain were going to win. Presumably it will calm down a bit when people realise the roof isn't falling in. Some people are going to make a big killing.
Comments
Isn't this beyond incredible?!
http://tinyurl.com/jj29g8q
The M3, M4 and M40 corridors have the most Remain areas outside of London and Scotland.
He can stay on, but an apology for things said in the heat of battle would be a wise bit of humility.
Yes!
I guarantee within months there will be a massive swing back as the recession tears through jobs, mortgages and pension plans. A disaster.
Also, TNS and Opinium have won bragging rights.
You guys break it, you own it.
Remain: 223,451 (49.6%)
Leave: 227,251 (50.4%)
Stop paying the brainwashing tax, and they'll be gone very soon...
A simple colour gradient would give us 1000x more insight. Why make it a binary 50/50 per area?
Whoever designed that graphic can't do data.
My own experience over last few weeks campaigning for Remain in Notts is that this was no surprise.
If anything sums up the arrogance of the remain camp then that is it!
Incredible.
P.S. Yet again, some pollsters will look damn stupid!
IN, in from 100 to 80 on BF...
I've never made so much money off politics and I didn't stake a bean till yesterday.