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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters TV Show: Looking at The White House

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  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726
    FF43 said:

    The membership fee for the EU is completely irrelevant to the argument of whether we should be in the EU or not. If you are opposed to membership even £1 is too much, but the amount is not your reason to leave. If you are in favour, the cost is what it is - not insignificant but as a small percentage of the total budget what you expect for that sort of thing. The cost would only come into play if you see the EU as a nice to have, but not especially important - like our membership of the World Tourism Organisation. I don't imagine there are very many people in that camp.

    I know people don't rationalise in that logical way. Nevertheless, I doubt the cost of membership is that salient. At most it will be "and another thing". I was surprised that Leave led on this as their key argument, mentioning it four times in their one pager.

    I disagree. If it were £1 or £100 or even £1,000,000 then you would have a point. The amount is insignificant. But when you are taking about £15 billion a year that is a substantial amount of money which can be put to better use.

    It also perverts our own funding of services and causes because the money we do get back usually has a requirement for matched funding and the decision on where it is spent is not our own. As a result the Government can end up spending even more money in areas it doesn't necessarily agree with or face claims it is rejecting 'EU money'.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    fitalass said:

    Seriously? Wow! That is up there with some of the tin foil hat conspiracies so beloved of the Cybernats during Indy Ref campaign.

    I never thought I would see the day, but some of the Brexiteers have made the Nats look sensible and balanced by comparison

    Extraordinary
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112
    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    The question is who does the Graun speak to or for these days?

    The Corbynistas think it has betrayed the true way while the soft left have been sent packing by the Corbynistas..

    Not sure who is there to get out the soft left Remain vote. @SouthamObserver any thoughts?
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Scott_P said:

    @JGForsyth: I am now certain that @sarahwollaston will be defecting from Vote Leave tomorrow

    To where is the question...
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Scott_P said:

    John_M said:

    I just hope the bickering will die down reasonably quickly, otherwise I shall have to forsake PB, which is one of my minor pleasures, and thus, a small shame.

    On this point I agree entirely, and commend your reasonable approach
    Can I just second that.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    TOPPING said:

    The question is who does the Graun speak to or for these days?

    Anti-Faragists
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Sean_F said:

    tlg86 said:

    I actually think that Vote Leave are justified in using the gross figure, but I can certainly see the objections to it.

    What I can't understand is, why would that make someone decide to switch sides (if that is what she is going to do)?

    I can't see an objection that holds water.

    If you were to ask me how much tax I pay, I'd give you the gross figure, not the figure minus the value of services I receive in return.
    Net of rebate is the correct figure to use.
    Agreed. I have never for the life of me been able to work out why Leave went with the amount including he rebate when using the gross without the rebate is entirely justified and would still equal £288 million a week. It is a bullet proof figure and still sounds like a vast amount of money.
    Precisely the point. Anything that eats your opposition saying 'but it's only 280m a week' is helpful.

    If you can get the opposition and the media to do your campaigning for you even when they are trying to attack you, you're not losing.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    TOPPING said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    The question is who does the Graun speak to or for these days?

    The Corbynistas think it has betrayed the true way while the soft left have been sent packing by the Corbynistas..

    Not sure who is there to get out the soft left Remain vote. @SouthamObserver any thoughts?
    Publicly schooled socialists and their circle?
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Scott_P said:

    @JGForsyth: I am now certain that @sarahwollaston will be defecting from Vote Leave tomorrow

    To where is the question...

    She would be crazy to go over to Remain.

    You never go full Remain.

  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,045
    @bbcmartynoates Both sides are treating the public as fools in this ugly #EUref campaign. My @timesredbox piece https://t.co/9AeCRIFBJY

    Was what Wollaston wrote recently. Not sure a defection to remain makes much sense?
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    That's going to get the WWC voters going isn't it. Don't vote for Farage and higher wages, vote for the chancellor who has been mean and divisive in government for years....
  • VapidBilgeVapidBilge Posts: 412


    Vote Leave arguing amongst themselves whether it is £350m or £200m seems really poor...

    ... for Remain who look bad (either way) while this is in the news.

    You do have a point, but it also makes Leave look innumerate.
    Innumerate?

    Take a look at the Tories' immigration commitment; makes Leave look like financial accountants.
  • Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 32,726

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    And now you have taken on the mantle of TPD yourself. How the mighty have fallen.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    You never go full Remain.

    :)
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    Yes, politics can be a brutal game. I think Balls got the bigger cheer at the party I was at that morning, but thinking back Reckless was the one we were most happy to see shoved off the green benches on his fat sorry arse.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150
    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    And now you have taken on the mantle of TPD yourself. How the mighty have fallen.
    I was never mighty.

    Well maybe high and mighty
  • perdixperdix Posts: 1,806
    PlatoSaid said:

    LauraK
    Osborne now claiming immigration down to tens of thousands was an 'ambition' - it was a manifesto commitment

    Yes, if you read the Conservative Manifesto for 2015 it actually says:

    "We will;
    keep our ambition of delivering annual net migration in the tens of thousands, ...."


  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,112


    Vote Leave arguing amongst themselves whether it is £350m or £200m seems really poor...

    ... for Remain who look bad (either way) while this is in the news.

    You do have a point, but it also makes Leave look innumerate.
    Innumerate?

    Take a look at the Tories' immigration commitment; makes Leave look like financial accountants.
    Exxon's accountants perhaps. I am first in the line to criticise the duplicitous tens of thousands pledge but that was duplicitous and this is politics. Worse than that is to look incompetent.

  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Scott_P said:

    @JGForsyth: I am now certain that @sarahwollaston will be defecting from Vote Leave tomorrow

    To where is the question...

    She would be crazy to go over to Remain.

    You never go full Remain.

    Well quite... That would look odd.

    Meanwhile, the EU prevents bear attacks...

    https://twitter.com/Stronger_ln/status/727468326570610688
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    perdix said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    LauraK
    Osborne now claiming immigration down to tens of thousands was an 'ambition' - it was a manifesto commitment

    Yes, if you read the Conservative Manifesto for 2015 it actually says:

    "We will;
    keep our ambition of delivering annual net migration in the tens of thousands, ...."


    But they missed out the following sentence '....but do nothing to actually achieve it, base a large part of our economic plan on increased migration and state that we want Turkey to join the EU'.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    No, it doesn't. I haven't and won't embrace any such thing, even if it exists outside someone's head.

    What is said on Twitter is someone's personal view and worth not a lot. I really don't understand why you re-post so many such opinions on here. In my twitter feed I regularly get stuff from someone who calls themself CatFoodBreath and posts about Squeaky Toy Smackdown, Elephants in the Hallway, and other cat like activities. They have the same relevance in forming my opinion as the stuff you re-post.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    Yes, politics can be a brutal game. I think Balls got the bigger cheer at the party I was at that morning, but thinking back Reckless was the one we were most happy to see shoved off the green benches on his fat sorry arse.
    I know someone who was at Matthew Parker Street on election night, he said the biggest cheers of the night were the following

    1) Reckless losing
    2) Cable losing
    3) Nuneaton result
    4) Ed Balls losing
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    There were a couple of "Nigel Farage's Little England" from DC at PMQs today. It's obviously a focus grouped line that NF is unpopular with swing voters, and Remain think that if they push the line it might stop a few waverers from voting Leave. Expect to hear it every day for the next fortnight.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    It's why Vote Leave have distanced themselves from Farage to give themselves plausible deniability...

    We will see how that works out. Farage will appeal to some Boris and Gove can't and vice versa.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    perdix said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    LauraK
    Osborne now claiming immigration down to tens of thousands was an 'ambition' - it was a manifesto commitment

    Yes, if you read the Conservative Manifesto for 2015 it actually says:

    "We will;
    keep our ambition of delivering annual net migration in the tens of thousands, ...."


    Well, in fairness they've met that. Thirty three tens of thousands. Ish.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    Yes, politics can be a brutal game. I think Balls got the bigger cheer at the party I was at that morning, but thinking back Reckless was the one we were most happy to see shoved off the green benches on his fat sorry arse.
    I know someone who was at Matthew Parker Street on election night, he said the biggest cheers of the night were the following

    1) Reckless losing
    2) Cable losing
    3) Nuneaton result
    4) Ed Balls losing
    Counterfactual - Balls led Labour Party might be 20 points ahead in the polls right now.
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    That's great to hear.

    My concern is that while we will win areas on 60%, Remain will win inner North London and part of Scotland by 70%. We need to win in far more local authorities to make up the difference.

    Lincolnshire should deliver...
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    Well enough.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    LauraK
    Osborne also said, 'immigration is not on the ballot paper' - think rather a lot of voters, and certainly Vote Leave, would beg to differ
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    What is said on Twitter is someone's personal view and worth not a lot.

    It's a link to the Guardian review of the Osborne interview...
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear
  • RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    Well enough.
    Come on, don't be a snide tease like TSE! Spill...

  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    interesting to see if the Sarah Wollaston announcement, whatever it is, plays in the debate tomorrow night
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    There were a couple of "Nigel Farage's Little England" from DC at PMQs today. It's obviously a focus grouped line that NF is unpopular with swing voters, and Remain think that if they push the line it might stop a few waverers from voting Leave. Expect to hear it every day for the next fortnight.
    Be interesting if other leading remainers use their own version and increase the narrative that leave is represented by Farage and his not so popular views
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Sean_F said:

    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),

    That's why UKIP won so many seats and Cameron didn't get a majority.

    Oh, wait...
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    Scott_P said:

    What is said on Twitter is someone's personal view and worth not a lot.

    It's a link to the Guardian review of the Osborne interview...
    Looks awfully much like a tweet to me.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    edited June 2016

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    Yes, politics can be a brutal game. I think Balls got the bigger cheer at the party I was at that morning, but thinking back Reckless was the one we were most happy to see shoved off the green benches on his fat sorry arse.
    I know someone who was at Matthew Parker Street on election night, he said the biggest cheers of the night were the following

    1) Reckless losing
    2) Cable losing
    3) Nuneaton result
    4) Ed Balls losing
    That's about right. I remember Reckless, Cable, Farage and Balls all being within an hour, at around 09:30 Dubai time and a dozen beers into the long night. The Nuneaton result was when we realised the majority was on, and everyone, like on here, hit Betfair to undo the 1/8 and 1/10 we all had on NOM!! Happy days!
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    There were a couple of "Nigel Farage's Little England" from DC at PMQs today. It's obviously a focus grouped line that NF is unpopular with swing voters, and Remain think that if they push the line it might stop a few waverers from voting Leave. Expect to hear it every day for the next fortnight.
    Calling at least half your voters, members and activists Little Englanders is beyond self destructive.

    I'm beyond stunned TBH
  • FregglesFreggles Posts: 3,486
    Just watched the Osborne car crash interview.

    It wasn't that bad. Better than Cameron last night.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    Scott_P said:

    @JGForsyth: I am now certain that @sarahwollaston will be defecting from Vote Leave tomorrow

    To where is the question...

    She would be crazy to go over to Remain.

    You never go full Remain.

    Well quite... That would look odd.

    Meanwhile, the EU prevents bear attacks...

    https://twitter.com/Stronger_ln/status/727468326570610688
    I am sure I did something similar with wardrobe monsters a couple of weeks ago.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),
    Not the undecideds in this referendum
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Really? Well he's got form for that....

    "Why should we believe you, a here today gone tomorrow minister" and off he went..

    Robin Day was good!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432
    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Sandpit said:

    Ooh, a possible defection. Not sure how this works for a referendum though, she's been quite forthright about her Leave views, contrary to her party's leadership - if she turns up tomorrow morning going on about "Nigel Farage's Little England" she'll just look stupid.

    I'm quite happy to give lessons to Leavers on how to deal with defectors.

    I was the model of restraint and rationality when Mark Reckless defected to UKIP.
    LOL. That TPD, we remember!

    Favourite moment last May, Reckless or Balls?
    Reckless. I've always kinda like Ed Balls on some levels.

    Shows how brutal politics is. On May 7th last year at 9.59pm Ed Balls was thinking he might be Chancellor of the Exchequer in the morning. turns out he ended up being unemployed in the morning.
    Yes, politics can be a brutal game. I think Balls got the bigger cheer at the party I was at that morning, but thinking back Reckless was the one we were most happy to see shoved off the green benches on his fat sorry arse.
    I know someone who was at Matthew Parker Street on election night, he said the biggest cheers of the night were the following

    1) Reckless losing
    2) Cable losing
    3) Nuneaton result
    4) Ed Balls losing
    That's about right. I remember Reckless, Cable, Farage and Balls all being within an hour, at around 09:30 Dubai time and a dozen beers into the long night. The Nuneaton result was when we realised the majority was on, and everyone, like on here, hit Betfair to undo the 1/8 and 1/10 we all had on NOM!! Happy days!
    Ironically they thought the biggest cheer would be Farage losing, but everyone was too knackered by then.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 120,432

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence Secretary during the Falklands War.

    A here today, gone tomorrow story.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence minister before and during Falklands War.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503

    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),
    Not the undecideds in this referendum
    My best guess is the undecideds will look to Boris, not Farage. I don't think this tactic will work. Let's see.
  • PeterCPeterC Posts: 1,275
    edited June 2016
    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    That's great to hear.

    My concern is that while we will win areas on 60%, Remain will win inner North London and part of Scotland by 70%. We need to win in far more local authorities to make up the difference.

    Lincolnshire should deliver...
    London as a whole was 57/43 in today's poll. Nothing special. Lincolnshire is interesting: now one of the most eurosceptic counties, in 1975 it returned one of the highest YES votes, at 75%.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    RoyalBlue said:

    Sean_F said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    Well enough.
    Come on, don't be a snide tease like TSE! Spill...

    On current polling, I think Leave will win 52% in Luton.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @thhamilton: Massive comedown for "Thatcher minister"* not even to be named in a headline about his own resignation.

    *John Nott https://t.co/cthf3B5moa
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 64,150

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence Secretary during the Falklands War.

    A here today, gone tomorrow story.
    Yes I do remember him - I was just being 'cheeky'
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247
    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    Christ. As a leaver I could see him far enough, I really could. Other than Heath's sulk record what does he have to aim for exactly?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,628
    Osborne interview Pt. 1 online. Back shortly.

    https://youtu.be/Q9kZR7EPv7g
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Scott_P said:

    @thhamilton: Massive comedown for "Thatcher minister"* not even to be named in a headline about his own resignation.

    *John Nott https://t.co/cthf3B5moa

    Harsh. I knew who he was... and where the Falklands were before they were invaded.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    PlatoSaid said:

    Sandpit said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    There were a couple of "Nigel Farage's Little England" from DC at PMQs today. It's obviously a focus grouped line that NF is unpopular with swing voters, and Remain think that if they push the line it might stop a few waverers from voting Leave. Expect to hear it every day for the next fortnight.
    Calling at least half your voters, members and activists Little Englanders is beyond self destructive.

    I'm beyond stunned TBH
    Too many beyonds dear Plato :). I agree it's daft, but they clearly think we have nowhere else to go. For that to be correct, they must be counting on Corbyn staying on until 2020. So, Labour, you know what you need to do - get cracking.

  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited June 2016
    DavidL said:

    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    Christ. As a leaver I could see him far enough, I really could. Other than Heath's sulk record what does he have to aim for exactly?
    Davies, not Davis. The latter is the sulky one.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),
    Not the undecideds in this referendum
    My best guess is the undecideds will look to Boris, not Farage. I don't think this tactic will work. Let's see.
    Quick drop in: it shows precisely why Vote Leave (well, Cummings) went absolutely mental over the ITV debate.

    They had a point.
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,428
    TOPPING said:


    Vote Leave arguing amongst themselves whether it is £350m or £200m seems really poor...

    ... for Remain who look bad (either way) while this is in the news.

    You do have a point, but it also makes Leave look innumerate.
    Innumerate?

    Take a look at the Tories' immigration commitment; makes Leave look like financial accountants.
    Exxon's accountants perhaps. I am first in the line to criticise the duplicitous tens of thousands pledge but that was duplicitous and this is politics. Worse than that is to look incompetent.

    Interestingly, Gove was on TV a few days ago saying that it would be tens of thousands of immigrants after Brexit, which is just as duplicitous. Unlike Cameron he won't be called out on it until after we Brexit, if we do. Cameron has a big immigration problem. Remain has a big Cameron problem in that he seems to be fronting the thing single-handedly. Therefore Remain has a Cameron-sized immigration problem.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    DavidL said:

    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    Christ. As a leaver I could see him far enough, I really could. Other than Heath's sulk record what does he have to aim for exactly?
    You might be thinking of David Davis.
  • VapidBilgeVapidBilge Posts: 412
    PlatoSaid said:

    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.

    Blimey.

    While Remain focus on personal attacks, Leave are busy taking Remain's claims to pieces.

    Remain do realise this isn't an election and Farage won't be on the ballot?
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    edited June 2016

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    And Farage always the gift that keeps giving, just keeps on delivering for Remain... Farage wants to bring down the whole EU project, imagine the economic & security chaos that would create as Putin waits patiently on the sidelines of Europe. But then, isn't Farage is an admirer of Putin?

    Twitter
    Nigel Farage Verified account
    @Nigel_Farage
    I hope on June 23rd it is not just Independence Day for the UK, I hope it brings an end to the entire EU project.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    Sean_F said:

    tlg86 said:

    I actually think that Vote Leave are justified in using the gross figure, but I can certainly see the objections to it.

    What I can't understand is, why would that make someone decide to switch sides (if that is what she is going to do)?

    I can't see an objection that holds water.

    If you were to ask me how much tax I pay, I'd give you the gross figure, not the figure minus the value of services I receive in return.
    Net of rebate is the correct figure to use.
    Agreed. I have never for the life of me been able to work out why Leave went with the amount including he rebate when using the gross without the rebate is entirely justified and would still equal £288 million a week. It is a bullet proof figure and still sounds like a vast amount of money.
    Agreed. Stupid. But then consistency is always an overrated virtue.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247
    John_M said:

    DavidL said:

    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    Christ. As a leaver I could see him far enough, I really could. Other than Heath's sulk record what does he have to aim for exactly?
    Davies, not Davis. The latter is the sulky one.
    Woops. Apologies.
  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,387
    So will Wollaston be joining Labour Leave in the morning?

    Welcome aboard Doc!

    Meanwhile, I guess George Osborne didn't make Airfix models as a boy, otherwise he might know that wings are a fairly fundamental part of an aeroplane.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    edited June 2016
    ...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,862

    PlatoSaid said:

    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.

    Blimey.

    While Remain focus on personal attacks, Leave are busy taking Remain's claims to pieces.

    Remain do realise this isn't an election and Farage won't be on the ballot?
    Plenty of people acting like Cameron is on the ballot, given the non-EU things that are brought up around him in this debate. Which given Leave do have the best arguments, shows no one can help going personal.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    SeanT said:

    This is all about the white working classes, and lower middle classes,

    Good job these guys are here to stick up for them...

    http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/leave-campaign-leaders-presenting-themselves-as-champions-of-the-people-now-that-really-is-scary-a7068926.html
  • FF43FF43 Posts: 17,428

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence Secretary during the Falklands War.

    A here today, gone tomorrow story.
    Gone thirty years later, it seems.
  • John_MJohn_M Posts: 7,503
    edited June 2016
    DavidL said:

    Sean_F said:

    tlg86 said:

    I actually think that Vote Leave are justified in using the gross figure, but I can certainly see the objections to it.

    What I can't understand is, why would that make someone decide to switch sides (if that is what she is going to do)?

    I can't see an objection that holds water.

    If you were to ask me how much tax I pay, I'd give you the gross figure, not the figure minus the value of services I receive in return.
    Net of rebate is the correct figure to use.
    Agreed. I have never for the life of me been able to work out why Leave went with the amount including he rebate when using the gross without the rebate is entirely justified and would still equal £288 million a week. It is a bullet proof figure and still sounds like a vast amount of money.
    Agreed. Stupid. But then consistency is always an overrated virtue.
    "A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds."

    Wise words, and, translated into Latin, my suggested motto for SeanT's CoA when he is finally ennobled for services to Literature.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited June 2016
    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,312

    So will Wollaston be joining Labour Leave in the morning?

    Welcome aboard Doc!

    Now that would be a story!
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,451
    Am about to watch Osbornes interview - Will post my completely neutral and unbiased opinion shortly... :smiley:
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    I despair of my party leader (and fellow BNC alumnus). Stop making so many enemies - some of us need this party longer than you do!

    Clark talks about Nott quite a lot in his diaries.

    AC would if alive, I imagine, be going mental at the state of the leadership to every journo he could.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    So will Wollaston be joining Labour Leave in the morning?

    Welcome aboard Doc!

    Meanwhile, I guess George Osborne didn't make Airfix models as a boy, otherwise he might know that wings are a fairly fundamental part of an aeroplane.

    Too busy studying Machiavelli, the Prince. Which is an extremely underrated book which frequently had me laughing out loud with its cynicism and insights into human nature.
  • viewcodeviewcode Posts: 22,816

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence Secretary during the Falklands War.
    And if memory serves, one of the three Privy Councilors that authorised the assemblage and despatch of the Task Force.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756
    Scott_P said:

    Sean_F said:

    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),

    That's why UKIP won so many seats and Cameron didn't get a majority.

    Oh, wait...
    That was then, this is now. Tony Blair was once widely admired. Now, not so much.

    Cameron's ratings have gone down the pan since this campaign started.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,158
    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.

    Blimey.

    While Remain focus on personal attacks, Leave are busy taking Remain's claims to pieces.

    Remain do realise this isn't an election and Farage won't be on the ballot?
    Plenty of people acting like Cameron is on the ballot, given the non-EU things that are brought up around him in this debate. Which given Leave do have the best arguments, shows no one can help going personal.
    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.

    Blimey.

    While Remain focus on personal attacks, Leave are busy taking Remain's claims to pieces.

    Remain do realise this isn't an election and Farage won't be on the ballot?
    Plenty of people acting like Cameron is on the ballot, given the non-EU things that are brought up around him in this debate. Which given Leave do have the best arguments, shows no one can help going personal.
    Didn't need to be like this. Cameron could have risen above the fray and would likely have won 55 - 45. Project fear and an unpopular leadership has given the momentum to Leave.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247

    DavidL said:

    John_M said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    John_M said:

    Sean_F said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Whilst you could argue Sarah Wollaston is a principled politician, she is being pretty thin-skinned over this. I notice she hasn't criticised any of the Remain figures, so it will be interesting to see what this is really all about.

    Leave are on course for the mother of all shellackings, and no one wants to be associated with a defeat that would rival Zama?

    I think the realistic thing is she's a very deeply principled politician, who causes her own side as much grief as she does her opponents.

    I suspect she'll campaign on her for Leave, and not used any of the Vote Leave lines.

    She didn't like the NHS line, and I get the feeling she's not happy with the focus on Turkey
    Gonna tell us how tonight went on the doorsteps? Cat got your tongue?
    If tonight's voters are representative of England, then England will vote Remain.
    Pathetically evasive.

    Remain are frit!
    You won't get a honest open answer from TSE.

    His role is to advocate and push Remain.
    He gets some sort of kick out of sticking two fingers up at right wing voters.
    I'm a right wing voter and have been since I was 18. I've been advocating right wing policies since then. I would never stick two fingers up to any voters (well maybe BNP voters, when they weren't looking)

    How's campaigning going down in your part of the world?
    I can report that the Wye Valley is a pretty solid 'Leave', which will surprise precisely no one.
    What's pretty solid? Over 60%?
    Easily. It helps that our local MP (David Davies) is a long standing BOOer - he was returned with an increased majority last election. We seem to quite like him round here, and why not? He's a good bloke, works hard.
    Christ. As a leaver I could see him far enough, I really could. Other than Heath's sulk record what does he have to aim for exactly?
    You might be thinking of David Davis.
    I try not to but you are right.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 61,261
    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    And made a fool of herself. Her words will be thrown back at her, mercilessly. This is TPD behaviour.

    As luck would have it, if you can call it luck, John Nott quitting should cancel this out to some extent.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @KennyFarq: Osborne much more effective tonight for the Remain cause than Cameron was yesterday. More passion, more emotion. Much more convincing.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,862
    PlatoSaid said:

    LauraK
    Osborne now claiming immigration down to tens of thousands was an 'ambition' - it was a manifesto commitment

    Infuriating for many Tories though it may be, and a silly thing to say (though given how unachievable it was, I suppose it was the least worst option vs saying it was a lie), isn't that strictly speaking a true statement from Osborne? Manifesto commitments are merely ambitions, and parties can and do ignore them or outright do the opposite of them all the time. They then have to try to explain why things have changed so much they can't do it, or it was a mistake to include it, or whatever. I'm not saying Osborne's explanation is justification for including the promise in the first place if it was unobtainable, or excuse enough for not achieving it, but without seeing the exact quote, I feel like in literal terms (though not in terms which will not help him) he's correct.
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,838
    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    Pretty devastating critique of the leave campaign. Sarah getting the buyers remorse in early. As opposed to a few million who will have it in 10 months time if leave wins.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @PickardJE: Osborne on many of his own Tory colleagues: "Sadly Nigel Farage and his vision of Britain has taken over the Leave campaign."
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    Doesn't keep up to date then does she? The Vote Leave campaign have been saying (for around a week) that they would spend £100 million a week on health...
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Sean_F said:

    Scott_P said:

    @GdnPolitics: Voting to leave the EU means embracing Farage's 'mean and divisive' vision of UK https://t.co/j8bRNbOqVq

    This is now Remain's campaign message and in particular DC and GO. Must be result of focus group but if sticks will not be good for leave
    Problem is people prefer Farage to DC or GO (or rather, dislike less),
    At the last GE, the electorate definitely preferred Cameron and Osborne over Farage to run the country.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    And made a fool of herself. Her words will be thrown back at her, mercilessly. This is TPD behaviour.

    As luck would have it, if you can call it luck, John Nott quitting should cancel this out to some extent.
    Rather amusingly she argues for the use of open and honest data.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @elliotttimes: Chair of health select committee says her balanced view is that NHS better off in EU - full piece in @thetimes

    This is not a story that will be buried by the resignation of someone who left 30 years ago
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,756

    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    And made a fool of herself. Her words will be thrown back at her, mercilessly. This is TPD behaviour.

    As luck would have it, if you can call it luck, John Nott quitting should cancel this out to some extent.
    Does that she was saying things she didn't believe in, a few days ago?
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,045

    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    And made a fool of herself. Her words will be thrown back at her, mercilessly. This is TPD behaviour.

    As luck would have it, if you can call it luck, John Nott quitting should cancel this out to some extent.
    Very odd. She was evidently quite a staunch eurosceptic and yet decided to somehow defect from one campaign telling fibs to another campaign telling fibs.
  • BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    viewcode said:

    Sir John Nott has quit the Tory Party over Cameron's project fear

    Who !!!
    Defence Secretary during the Falklands War.
    And if memory serves, one of the three Privy Councilors that authorised the assemblage and despatch of the Task Force.
    Given his job it would have been odd if he wasn't.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,247
    Pity, I thought Sarah Wollaston could go a long way. It is not as if there are not plenty of people on both sides, but particularly Leave who have made it clear that they do not agree with everything that leave spokesmen have said.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    The Vote Leave campaign have been saying (for around a week) that they would spend £100 million a week on health...

    Still says £350m on the bus, and the leaflets.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,862
    edited June 2016
    Mortimer said:

    kle4 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    As Remain desperately try to change the subject

    Harry Cole
    Home Office said last week they cannot provide numbers on how many jobseekers have been kicked out after six months, despite Osborne claim.

    Blimey.

    While Remain focus on personal attacks, Leave are busy taking Remain's claims to pieces.

    Remain do realise this isn't an election and Farage won't be on the ballot?
    Plenty of people acting like Cameron is on the ballot, given the non-EU things that are brought up around him in this debate. Which given Leave do have the best arguments, shows no one can help going personal.
    Didn't need to be like this. Cameron could have risen above the fray and would likely have won 55 - 45. Project fear and an unpopular leadership has given the momentum to Leave.
    Many people feel that is so. It may be right. I was merely observing that it isn't only Remain going personal, even if people feel they have been bigger offenders.
    Scott_P said:

    She's done it

    Tory MP Sarah Wollaston has quit the campaign to leave the EU and will vote for Remain instead, she told the BBC.

    Dr Wollaston, who is chairman of the health select committee, said Vote Leave's claim that Brexit would free up £350m for the NHS "simply isn't true".

    She told the BBC's Laura Kuenssberg that she did not feel "comfortable" being part of the campaign.


    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-36485464

    Curious. The claims of VoteLeave may well have been untrue, but if she thought leaving the EU was a good idea, surely even if she was unwilling to being part of their campaign she would not switch to remain over incorrect claims - incorrect claims presumably don't invalidate the reasons she wanted to leave?

    That'd be like A Tory cabinet minister switching to Labour during the GE because Osborne deliberately confused debt and deficit to score a point against Labour.
  • JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    In all fairness, very few people will have even heard of Dr Sarah Nott or Sir John Wollaston.
This discussion has been closed.