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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Michael Gove’s very big night out

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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    TOPPING said:

    I would say this, but I don't think Michael Gove is doing very well.

    He isn't but the audience are clapping Gove all the same.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    TOPPING said:

    I would say this, but I don't think Michael Gove is doing very well.

    Yes, correct, you would say that regardless.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    Faisal, rightly, is going to hold on to the 33m people issue.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    The audience are rooting for Gove here.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 61,058

    Gove faith in the British people - Faisal 'blind faith' - didn't think Faisal could be better than last night but he is

    What a surprise.

    Least objective poster on here.
    You cannot be enjoying this
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    TOPPING said:

    I would say this, but I don't think Michael Gove is doing very well.

    I agree, sadly.

    Faisal is also more forensic than last night. Gove struggling to substantiate.
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,981

    Omnium said:

    Roger said:

    Soz if this has already been posted - a Labour case for Leave from Maurice Glasman:

    http://labourlist.org/2016/06/why-should-labour-support-the-european-union-the-case-for-out/

    Sound advice to my fellow Labourites.

    On topic - I have no view on who should be the next Tory leader and hence PM, other than to say #Priti4Leader

    No Labourite who I would take seriously could vote 'Leave' knowing it might result in pro hanging Priti Patel becoming leader.
    She might be pro-hanging, but she would remain in a tiny minority in Westminster.
    Even if I was totally opposed to capital punishment (which I'm not) then I can't imagine that it could be the dominant issue when considering politicians views. An unfair death of a criminal is something that one could balance with other benefits. We'd all trade the poor criminal's life for a million children spared starvation for example. I'd probably trade my own life for that.

    We mainly don't have a death penalty because people are uncomfortable drawing the line. That's totally sensible, but I think its wrong to get terribly preachy on the issue. We all generally value our own lives over every other (Family stuff excepted).
    I am opposed to capital punishment. But, I wouldn't oppose a referendum on it if the people called for one.

    I would campaign on the "No" side. Vehemently.

    But, if I lost, I'd accept the result and work out how best to moderate or campaign for its repeal again in future.
    Yes. I guess the question is really about the degree to which if it was part of our system that it would worry you. I'd not be happy, but I wouldn't consider it high on my list of things to change.

    I certainly don't want to get into this debate, but abortion laws are far more significant in their impact than the laws on capital punishment for example. Perhaps other laws are more important still.

    If Priti Patel or any other politician has repugnent views on capital punishment then that really doesn't matter. It just informs your judgement as to that person.

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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Faisal is barely letting Gove get a word in now.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303

    Gove faith in the British people - Faisal 'blind faith' - didn't think Faisal could be better than last night but he is

    What a surprise.

    Least objective poster on here.
    You cannot be enjoying this
    I'm not. But you are ridiculously one-sided and bias.

    I will ignore you from now on.
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    RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    Faisal really is awful. You want to thump him.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Pivot to immigration Michael...
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Yorkshire in trouble at 29-2 off 3.1
    Lancashire looking good!
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 61,058

    Gove faith in the British people - Faisal 'blind faith' - didn't think Faisal could be better than last night but he is

    What a surprise.

    Least objective poster on here.
    You cannot be enjoying this
    I'm not. But you are ridiculously one-sided and bias.

    I will ignore you from now on.
    Really hitting a nerve then - this is a car crash and to be honest I am very surprised he is so poor and unprepared
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    Of course if I was a Leaver, I would wonder why my campaign didn't think that £160m/week was not sufficient to worry people without all this palaver.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Faisal far too aggressive now and showing partisan colours.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    I wonder if Vote Leave went for the £350m figure as a distraction? This seems a silly thing to be arguing about.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Post Truth Politics
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,762

    slade said:

    I haven't seen this published here yet - a survey of Political Studies Association members has said that Remain will win comfortably. Among academics ( of which I was one) 87% thought they would win, among pollsters it was 92% and among journalists it was 97%!

    Lol!
    This is the group-think madness that is feeding into Remain complacency imho.
    Mass confirmation bias.

    It just goes to show the very clever are no more accurate or insightful than us mugs. They can just deploy more sophisticated explanations.

    There's a lesson there.
    Um. The clever are more accurate and/or insightful than the stupid: that's kinda the definition. (For the avoidance of doubt I am not calling you stupid nor a mug, nor implying it)

    The academics, pollsters and journalists are not trying to predict the election, they are competing with other APJs for prestige amongst their peers, money and - for those with a taste for fame - places on Newsnight. The point is not to be right, the point is to publish. By that standard they are enormously successful and enjoy a life involving little danger in a pleasant climate with engrossing labour and long life expectancies. If their lives depended on it I assure you they would become very good at predicting very quickly.

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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Go for it man. He has been sneering all night.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 61,058

    Faisal far too aggressive now and showing partisan colours.

    So he was soft on DC yesterday then
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303

    Gove faith in the British people - Faisal 'blind faith' - didn't think Faisal could be better than last night but he is

    What a surprise.

    Least objective poster on here.
    You cannot be enjoying this
    I'm not. But you are ridiculously one-sided and bias.

    I will ignore you from now on.
    Really hitting a nerve then - this is a car crash and to be honest I am very surprised he is so poor and unprepared
    No.. I agree Gove isn't performing how i thought.

    But I could have written your posts before it started.

    I have credibility and perspective. You have neither.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,306

    Faisal far too aggressive now and showing partisan colours.

    Yeah, telling him who he can and can't quote...
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    I don't think Gove going after the journalist messenger is a good look, either.
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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    TOPPING said:

    Of course if I was a Leaver, I would wonder why my campaign didn't think that £160m/week was not sufficient to worry people without all this palaver.

    There is always a problem that you if you have to explain, you aren't winning.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,306
    Third time "Lord High Chancellor".. ridiculous.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    edited June 2016
    Finger wagging is not a good look on anyone, most especially a presenter.

    F. Islam is awful.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Mortimer said:

    Go for it man. He has been sneering all night.

    He certainly has. All this anti-Kipper and Trump stuff is really poor.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    The difference between tonight and yesterday is that this is becoming a ding-dong between Gove and Islam. Perhaps some of that is down to Islam. But regardless, a top politician should manage to avoid that.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    edited June 2016
    Great answer - I'd chuck in the PM and Chancellor to lose their jobs too.

    And FCUK JP Morgan.
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    Gove faith in the British people - Faisal 'blind faith' - didn't think Faisal could be better than last night but he is

    What a surprise.

    Least objective poster on here.
    You cannot be enjoying this
    I'm not. But you are ridiculously one-sided and bias.

    I will ignore you from now on.
    Really hitting a nerve then - this is a car crash and to be honest I am very surprised he is so poor and unprepared
    Give over. I'm relying on a commentary here about Gove interview as Im watching thi cricket . Please stop it
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    73 members of the european parliament. Good job Mr. Gove.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Gove gets a good hit in on MEPs losing their jobs.
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    RoyalBlueRoyalBlue Posts: 3,223
    I could listen to Michael Gove all night. He is head and shoulders above Cameron.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303

    Faisal far too aggressive now and showing partisan colours.

    So he was soft on DC yesterday then
    I think he was more deferential, yes.

    I also thought DC was very polished.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Gove should keep talking over him. He has a deeper voice.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Mortimer said:

    Go for it man. He has been sneering all night.

    Faisal is overplaying his hand.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    OOOOOOH! Faisal just looked like a complete numpty!
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Gove is simply quicker on his feet than Islam is.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Faisal downright rude there.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    Gove again having a go at the journalist.

    Frankly, that is disappointing to say the least.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    Faisal overreached himself there.
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    RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,004
    What the hell is wrong with Faisal?!
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    Faisal is on fire!
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    The problem is that Gove is clearly shocked at how aggressive this is and is so polite himself he is struggling to respond.

    Ah, Gove gets another hit back on Faisal.
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,981
    Faisal Islam ruining his career.
    Gove making his.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    tlg86 said:

    OOOOOOH! Faisal just looked like a complete numpty!

    That was very funny. Faisal keeps going way over the top. This is about what I expected from him. He wasn't a third as aggressive last night.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Mortimer said:

    Gove should keep talking over him. He has a deeper voice.

    Yes, Islam sounds shrill in comparison.
    He's got a habit of going up an octave to make a point.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Islam wants to be Paxman but is more sneering than Joey Essex.

    WHEN WILL PEOPLE LEARN THAN SMIRKING PUTS PEOPLE OFF
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Gove is getting better.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    TOPPING said:

    Gove again having a go at the journalist.

    Frankly, that is disappointing to say the least.

    And Faisal bit. Most people know interviewers play devil's advocate - Islam should have just kept asking the question. Instead he just looked evasive and the audience didn't like it.
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    tlg86 said:

    I wonder if Vote Leave went for the £350m figure as a distraction? This seems a silly thing to be arguing about.

    It is perfectly valid - some of it comes back in EU grants - with various strings attached - but the EU decides who gets it.

    A UK government could cut those recipients off without a penny and give it to NHS or tax cuts. In fact I'm surprised there has been so little shroud waving by current grant recipients to this effect.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Well, speaking as a floating voter in the referendum... I think Gove is coming across terribly.

    Just as belligerent as Cameron last night, and he's coming close to some of the more frothing criticisms of some of the more unhinged Eurosceptics (the EU might well be incompetent and chronically inefficient, but nobody believes it's an intentionally evil "job-killing machine").
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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @Casino_Royale

    'Faisal is overplaying his hand.'


    Trying to hard to be a smart arse and getting trashed by Gove.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,097
    "Thank-you Lord High Chancellor"

    chortle
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Really unimpressed with the childish name calling antics "Lord High Chancellor".
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    edited June 2016

    tlg86 said:

    I wonder if Vote Leave went for the £350m figure as a distraction? This seems a silly thing to be arguing about.

    It is perfectly valid - some of it comes back in EU grants - with various strings attached - but the EU decides who gets it.

    A UK government could cut those recipients off without a penny and give it to NHS or tax cuts. In fact I'm surprised there has been so little shroud waving by current grant recipients to this effect.
    Faisal was careful about that. As we all know, some of the £350m is taken off the gross amount at source and doesn't leave the country.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Very strong ending by Gove there on the EU elites never admitting they get anything wrong.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    Strong finish but that was properly challenging.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    Do we think Islam asked Gove for permissions to call him Lord High Chancellor?
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    JamesMJamesM Posts: 221
    Wobbly start but solid end. Faisal Islam was poor. Shouty, interrupting, his points made little coherence at times and couldn't cope with Gove actually having a greater memory of Faisal Islam's points last night than he did.

    More interesting was Leave are going on elites vs. the people big time.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 49,227
    Gove said 'they've watched the Euro collapse', but it hasn't, has it?
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    SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 21,287
    PlatoSaid said:

    Really unimpressed with the childish name calling antics "Lord High Chancellor".

    That was the fourth time - getting pathetic now.
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    VapidBilgeVapidBilge Posts: 412
    Danny565 said:

    Well, speaking as a floating voter in the referendum... I think Gove is coming across terribly.

    Just as belligerent as Cameron last night, and he's coming close to some of the more frothing criticisms of some of the more unhinged Eurosceptics (the EU might well be incompetent and chronically inefficient, but nobody believes it's an intentionally evil "job-killing machine").

    The high youth unemployment rates in Spain, Greece, etc. say different.

    Also, I remember the unemployment generated by the ERM in this country.
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    hunchmanhunchman Posts: 2,591
    Very good performance from Gove in the interview part. Will he be as good with the audience?
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    MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,460
    O/T. I'm a bit late to this party but please let it be Gove
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    OK, the TOPPING verdict.

    The key hit was that there is no credible ally in supporting Leave and rather than articulate a vision other than "Freedom", which is nebulous at best, no coherent vision of what Leave wants.
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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Jonathan said:

    "Thank-you Lord High Chancellor"

    chortle

    That is bizarre. Technically the head of what ever the DTI is called these days is the "President of the board of trade"

    Would he keep calling Sajid Javid "Mr President"?

    That said, it does mystify me that the leavers seem surprised by the questions they are asked.

    Gove was backed by the audience which seems firmly leave, however that will not swing voters.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    PlatoSaid said:

    Really unimpressed with the childish name calling antics "Lord High Chancellor".

    Once was fair enough, especially to someone supposedly standing up for the common man but he overdid it.
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Iain Martin ‏@iainmartin1 7m7 minutes ago
    Gove is winning this. @SkyNews

    Toby YoungVerified account ‏@toadmeister 7m7 minutes ago
    Gove has @faisalislam on the ropes. Great TV. #InOrOut

    Andrew NeilVerified account ‏@afneil 8m8 minutes ago
    Gove has turned on Faisal.

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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944

    Gove said 'they've watched the Euro collapse', but it hasn't, has it?

    It feels like it if you're Greek, Italian of Spanish.
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    tlg86 said:

    I wonder if Vote Leave went for the £350m figure as a distraction? This seems a silly thing to be arguing about.

    It is perfectly valid - some of it comes back in EU grants - with various strings attached - but the EU decides who gets it.

    A UK government could cut those recipients off without a penny and give it to NHS or tax cuts. In fact I'm surprised there has been so little shroud waving by current grant recipients to this effect.
    It's not valid at all. £350 million per week is what the UK would pay if we didn't have the rebate. In fact, the UK only pays about £250 million per week, and that's before you even start to consider what comes back. It is simply absurd to keep using the £350 million figure.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,306
    PlatoSaid said:

    Really unimpressed with the childish name calling antics "Lord High Chancellor".

    Four times as well. Worth a little chuckle the first time, but totally unnecessary the second time onwards.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    DavidL said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Really unimpressed with the childish name calling antics "Lord High Chancellor".

    Once was fair enough, especially to someone supposedly standing up for the common man but he overdid it.
    But he could equally have called him Secretary of State for Justice if he was being formal.
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    JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,097
    Just realised where I've seen Michael Gove before.

    https://youtu.be/xSp5QwKRwqM
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited June 2016

    Danny565 said:

    Well, speaking as a floating voter in the referendum... I think Gove is coming across terribly.

    Just as belligerent as Cameron last night, and he's coming close to some of the more frothing criticisms of some of the more unhinged Eurosceptics (the EU might well be incompetent and chronically inefficient, but nobody believes it's an intentionally evil "job-killing machine").

    The high youth unemployment rates in Spain, Greece, etc. say different.

    Also, I remember the unemployment generated by the ERM in this country.
    The unemployment in Spain and Greece is caused by the farcical incompetence of the Eurocrats, and the fundamental flaws in trying to cram all sorts of different types of economy into one currency -- they are not intentionally trying to make people's lives misery.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018

    tlg86 said:

    I wonder if Vote Leave went for the £350m figure as a distraction? This seems a silly thing to be arguing about.

    It is perfectly valid - some of it comes back in EU grants - with various strings attached - but the EU decides who gets it.

    A UK government could cut those recipients off without a penny and give it to NHS or tax cuts. In fact I'm surprised there has been so little shroud waving by current grant recipients to this effect.
    It's not valid at all. £350 million per week is what the UK would pay if we didn't have the rebate. In fact, the UK only pays about £250 million per week, and that's before you even start to consider what comes back. It is simply absurd to keep using the £350 million figure.
    Only. Chortle.
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    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    RoyalBlue said:

    Faisal really is awful. You want to thump him.

    Are you serious?

    You want to thump Faisal Islam?
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    SeanT said:

    Gove looked shell-shocked at the start, like he was expecting a Socratic exchange of ideas

    Once he realised it was a fistfight he got much better

    It felt like a street fight. Hopefully some people will think that he got a tougher time than the PM.
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Yorkshire fighting back.

    GO(ve) White Rose County.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Gove is doing quite well so far in the audience Q & A
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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    chestnut said:

    Iain Martin ‏@iainmartin1 7m7 minutes ago
    Gove is winning this. @SkyNews

    Toby YoungVerified account ‏@toadmeister 7m7 minutes ago
    Gove has @faisalislam on the ropes. Great TV. #InOrOut

    Andrew NeilVerified account ‏@afneil 8m8 minutes ago
    Gove has turned on Faisal.

    What side was that interview on? Clearly I was watching the wrong one.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    SeanT said:

    Gove looked shell-shocked at the start, like he was expecting a Socratic exchange of ideas

    Once he realised it was a fistfight he got much better

    Spot on
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    weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Pong said:

    RoyalBlue said:

    Faisal really is awful. You want to thump him.

    Are you serious?

    You want to thump Faisal Islam?
    Conservative MEP wanted people to 'get' Nigel Farrage - seems a fair exchange.
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    ThreeQuidderThreeQuidder Posts: 6,133
    Meanwhile, over in the darts, there's a player with a sponsor's patch on his shirt for davidicke.com.
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    GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    Bairstow isn't happy. Can't work out why he's out.
    Yorks 69-3 and it's 136 to win off 73
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,018
    Remain must be really chuffed. REALLY CHUFFED that we keep hearing how much sodding money we keep sending each week to Europe.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Meanwhile, over in the darts, there's a player with a sponsor's patch on his shirt for davidicke.com.

    :lol:
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    edited June 2016
    Gove getting better vs audience.

    In style. Not substance, of course, but style is all isn't it.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,523
    Part of me thinks that Leave made a big mistake going for the gross figure, but another part of me thinks it might have been calculated. Every time some says it's only £9.8bn I think that might be a win for Leave.
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    BenedictWhiteBenedictWhite Posts: 1,944
    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Well, speaking as a floating voter in the referendum... I think Gove is coming across terribly.

    Just as belligerent as Cameron last night, and he's coming close to some of the more frothing criticisms of some of the more unhinged Eurosceptics (the EU might well be incompetent and chronically inefficient, but nobody believes it's an intentionally evil "job-killing machine").

    The high youth unemployment rates in Spain, Greece, etc. say different.

    Also, I remember the unemployment generated by the ERM in this country.
    The unemployment in Spain and Greece is caused by the farcical incompetence of the Eurocrats, and the fundamental flaws in trying to cram all sorts of different types of economy into one currency -- they are not intentionally trying to make people's lives misery.
    They were told this would be the effect in 1989 by HMG.

    They said, we know but we'll do it anyway.

    Your call.
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    FF43FF43 Posts: 16,127
    I think the problem for Gove is that this was his opportunity to demonstrate to the doubtful that Leave know what they are doing. It wasn't so much a bad interview as a missed opportunity.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    He is really hitting his straps now.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    Gove coming across with real passion here
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited June 2016
    DavidL said:

    He is really hitting his straps now.

    He's handling the lady in blue re immigration very well.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 57,303
    I'm actually starting to see Gove as a potential PM here
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    Gove at his most convincing on immigration. That will of course delight and distress voters depending on their persuasion. There's no doubt, it will be immigration wot wins it.
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    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited June 2016
    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Well, speaking as a floating voter in the referendum... I think Gove is coming across terribly.

    Just as belligerent as Cameron last night, and he's coming close to some of the more frothing criticisms of some of the more unhinged Eurosceptics (the EU might well be incompetent and chronically inefficient, but nobody believes it's an intentionally evil "job-killing machine").

    The high youth unemployment rates in Spain, Greece, etc. say different.

    Also, I remember the unemployment generated by the ERM in this country.
    The unemployment in Spain and Greece is caused by the farcical incompetence of the Eurocrats, and the fundamental flaws in trying to cram all sorts of different types of economy into one currency -- they are not intentionally trying to make people's lives misery.
    They might not have started that way Danny but they are doing it now.

    They are so determined to push integration that they will impose pension cuts, wage cuts, higher taxes and labour market reform.

    How many more years are they going to push the Greeks?
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    I'm actually starting to see Gove as a potential PM here

    He's handling the Q&As very well.
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,928
    I think the thing is that he can wrap members of the public round his little finger. Less so those who have done some research.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 52,080
    PlatoSaid said:

    DavidL said:

    He is really hitting his straps now.

    He's handling the lady in blue re immigration very well.
    Yes that was an excellent answer. The economic plan answer not so much.
This discussion has been closed.