My God that is enourmous turnout. There is a traffic jam to the polling station.
A couple of polling stations are talking of staying open past 8pm. At one point there was a 2 mile traffic jam trying to get to a polling station in Merrimack.
This link works for anyone who wants to watch CNN online - the best US channel for election nights for my money.
Dude am I am right in thinking that you are the Election Game fella? If so muchos thanks and kudos. Its been fun. You seem to have been busy recently so hope everything is ok with you. Any news on a 2016 game (or have i been a fool and missed it?)
It's that part of election night where anoraks like us argue over a handful of votes because we don't have the patience to wait a few minutes for more representative samples.
It's that part of election night where anoraks like us argue over a handful of votes because we don't have the patience to wait a few minutes for more representative samples.
Lol. Very true. But where's that effing exit poll?
It's that part of election night where anoraks like us argue over a handful of votes because we don't have the patience to wait a few minutes for more representative samples.
:-)
Kasich has now moved into 2nd place and I think that is where he will stay.
Donald Trump 2,044 votes (--) 40.0% John Kasich 624 votes (-1,420) 12.2% Jeb Bush 592 votes (-1,452) 11.6% Ted Cruz 560 votes (-1,484) 11.0% Marco Rubio 507 votes (-1,537) 9.9% Chris Christie 427 votes (-1,617) 8.4%
If Bush does pull a second, the collective PB wisdom that it isn't possible to lay too much Bush might be called into question....
As I've said before, "collective PB wisdom" isn't really very good, it's a very coarse sieve. The *best* we can do is predict who will come first in a contest: things like size of lead or who will come third are way beyond us.
It's that part of election night where anoraks like us argue over a handful of votes because we don't have the patience to wait a few minutes for more representative samples.
Lol. Very true. But where's that effing exit poll?
"Voting extended at some polling stations The weather and huge turnout have led to some polling stations reportedly extending their voting hours until 8pm ET."
"Voting extended at some polling stations The weather and huge turnout have led to some polling stations reportedly extending their voting hours until 8pm ET."
Not quite extending their hours per se. Rather those who are in line by close of the polls will be allowed to vote, whether they are inside or outside the hall, even if they are in line in their cars to get into the parking lot. They are putting police cruisers at the end of the traffic lines on the 8 o'clock hour to mark who can and can't vote
"Voting extended at some polling stations The weather and huge turnout have led to some polling stations reportedly extending their voting hours until 8pm ET."
This link works for anyone who wants to watch CNN online - the best US channel for election nights for my money.
Dude am I am right in thinking that you are the Election Game fella? If so muchos thanks and kudos. Its been fun. You seem to have been busy recently so hope everything is ok with you. Any news on a 2016 game (or have i been a fool and missed it?)
Hey yes it is me.... I will be making an official announcement in due course but the Game is suspended for now. It was amazing following 38 countries but just became too much. Apologies to all and I'll be updating everyone in due course, just very busy with year-end/audit at work right now. But still following US 2016, the Irish election, Spanish government formation etc. Thanks for your compliments and glad you enjoyed it, much appreciated! All good with me otherwise. Sorry the 2015 season fizzled out - Canada, Argentina, Spain etc would all have made fantastic games. I'll still be keeping an eye on all the countries that we did in the Game.
"Voting extended at some polling stations The weather and huge turnout have led to some polling stations reportedly extending their voting hours until 8pm ET."
Not quite extending their hours per se. Rather those who are in line by close of the polls will be allowed to vote, whether they are inside or outside the hall, even if they are in line in their cars to get into the parking lot. They are putting police cruisers at the end of the traffic lines on the 8 o'clock hour to mark who can and can't vote
I think they've changed the law in this country now, so that anyone in the queue at 10pm can vote even if they're outside the polling station. Previously you had to be actually inside the building at 10pm.
This link works for anyone who wants to watch CNN online - the best US channel for election nights for my money.
Dude am I am right in thinking that you are the Election Game fella? If so muchos thanks and kudos. Its been fun. You seem to have been busy recently so hope everything is ok with you. Any news on a 2016 game (or have i been a fool and missed it?)
Hey yes it is me.... I will be making an official announcement in due course but the Game is suspended for now. It was amazing following 38 countries but just became too much. Apologies to all and I'll be updating everyone in due course, just very busy with year-end/audit at work right now. But still following US 2016, the Irish election, Spanish government formation etc. Thanks for your compliments and glad you enjoyed it, much appreciated! All good with me otherwise.
No worries at all. Was just worried about you TBH. Was a great idea and if you need any help let me know as would love to chip in. Really appreciate your efforts so thank you. (Rob C)
"They'll be singing in the streets of Richmond, Virginia tonight"
I think we can all agree; It is a terrrrrrible night for the Tories.....
Somewhere Paddy Ashdown is saying "I'll eat my hat if Jim doesn't get 3 digits tonight"
I just don't understand why he isn't included with others.
Reminds me of my school batting scores - I was behind extras for every single match of every season.
School boy error. I was the same then I moved to Peru (back in the UK now) and so despite being shite at cricket am an International Cricketer for Peru - Oh Yes!!!
Ah thanks Rob C, really appreciate. The thing is, there's just so much involved, even for a simple game like say the NH primary. It's suspended for now, but not saying it will never come back. Right now though it's nice being able to follow everything without having to do games. Hope all is good with you!
Ah thanks Rob C, really appreciate. The thing is, there's just so much involved, even for a simple game like say the NH primary. It's suspended for now, but not saying it will never come back. Right now though it's nice being able to follow everything without having to do games. Hope all is good with you!
Great to see you making a guest appearance on PB.com DC .... don't be a stranger.
Not sure I agree with the idea that Jeb! is the "big winner" of tonight. Sure, it looks like he'll beat the recent abysmal expectations, but New Hampshire is about as Jeb-friendly a state as you can get (bar PERHAPS Florida), so only coming 3rd still hardly indicates he's going to seriously challenge for the nomination.
Ah thanks Rob C, really appreciate. The thing is, there's just so much involved, even for a simple game like say the NH primary. It's suspended for now, but not saying it will never come back. Right now though it's nice being able to follow everything without having to do games. Hope all is good with you!
I'm sorry to hear about the ElectionGame. It was good fun playing.
Rubio could win a lot of establishment goodwill by dropping out at this point. He's probably the only candidate who will get another shot at the nomination in the future so it would make sense for him.
Comments
* Trump is going to win the NH primary for R
* Sanders is going to win the NH primary for D
* There is nothing here you didn't know yesterday.
I met him during the Tawana Brawley shenanigan. His involvement was disgraceful. I knew her mother, who cleaned my office at the time.
Lebanon Ward 2 Bush 44.4% 100 votes, Trump 0.
Trump 55
Bush 10
Cruz 9
Rubio 9
Kasich 6
Christie 6
Sanders 61
Hillary 38
Chris Christie.
Donald Trump 1,429 votes (--) 40.2%
Jeb Bush 438 votes (-991) 12.3%
John Kasich 404 votes (-1,025) 11.4%
Ted Cruz 394 votes (-1,035) 11.1%
Marco Rubio 337 votes (-1,092) 9.5%
Chris Christie 327 votes (-1,102) 9.2%
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/
Kasich higher, Cruz lower. But trivial untypical sample.
Are your name and the pic of Richard Wagner a none too subtle reference to Wotan?
Rubio 3-3.2
Trump 2.9-3.0
Cruz 6.6-7.0
Bush 11-12
Kasich 19.5-23
Christie 55-80
Donald Trump 1,818 votes (--) 39.1%
John Kasich 624 votes (-1,194) 13.4%
Ted Cruz 560 votes (-1,258) 12.1%
Jeb Bush 517 votes (-1,301) 11.1%
Marco Rubio 438 votes (-1,380) 9.4%
Chris Christie 389 votes (-1,429) 8.4%
Carly Fiorina 143 votes (-1,675) 3.1%
Ben Carson 96 votes (-1,722) 2.1%
Other 59 votes (-1,759) 1.3%
Jim Gilmore 0 votes (-1,818)
Trump 40
Cruz 12
Bush 12
Kasich 11
Rubio 10
Christie 9
It's changing again.
Kasich has now moved into 2nd place and I think that is where he will stay.
Donald Trump 2,044 votes (--) 40.0%
John Kasich 624 votes (-1,420) 12.2%
Jeb Bush 592 votes (-1,452) 11.6%
Ted Cruz 560 votes (-1,484) 11.0%
Marco Rubio 507 votes (-1,537) 9.9%
Chris Christie 427 votes (-1,617) 8.4%
John Kasich 938 votes (-1,237) 15.2%
Jeb Bush 776 votes (-1,399) 12.6%
Ted Cruz 757 votes (-1,418) 12.3%
Marco Rubio 596 votes (-1,579) 9.7%
Chris Christie 517 votes (-1,658) 8.4%
Carly Fiorina 196 votes (-1,979) 3.2%
Ben Carson 150 votes (-2,025) 2.4%
Other 67 votes (-2,108) 1.1%
Jim Gilmore 0 votes (-2,175) 0.0%
2.0% Precincts Reporting
4,515 Votes
Trump 743.13
Cruz 786.11
Bush -1221.03
Kasich 1861.83
C Christie -582.36
I *think* I'm making money (Christie is +1500 POTUS)
jIm Gilmore - 0 votes
http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/02/2016_new_hampshire_primary_va.html
Cruz 104
Trump 665
Bush -733
Christie -716
Kasich a small - I think
Trump 42
Cruz 11
Kasich 11
Rubio 9
Bush 9
Sanders 57
Hillary 39
?
Trump and Rubio have exchanged places on Betfair again for the GOP nomination.
We're heading for the pre-Iowa status.
Trump: 27%
Bush: 17%
Cruz: 13%
Rubio: 13%
(via NBC exit poll)
Donald Trump 2,524 votes (--) 34.1%
John Kasich 1,184 votes (-1,340) 16.0%
Jeb Bush 955 votes (-1,569) 12.9%
Ted Cruz 882 votes (-1,642) 11.9%
Marco Rubio 743 votes (-1,781) 10.1%
Chris Christie 592 votes (-1,932) 8.0%
Carly Fiorina 231 votes (-2,293) 3.1%
Ben Carson 179 votes (-2,345) 2.4%
Other 98 votes (-2,426) 1.3%
Jim Gilmore 3 votes (-2,521) 0.0%
2.6% Precincts Reporting
14,232 Votes
Donald Trump 2,898 votes (--) 31.3%
John Kasich 1,684 votes (-1,214) 18.2%
Jeb Bush 1,157 votes (-1,741) 12.5%
Ted Cruz 1,097 votes (-1,801) 11.9%
Marco Rubio 886 votes (-2,012) 9.6%
Chris Christie 792 votes (-2,106) 8.6%
Carly Fiorina 422 votes (-2,476) 4.6%
Ben Carson 215 votes (-2,683) 2.3%
Other 98 votes (-2,800) 1.1%
Jim Gilmore 5 votes (-2,893) 0.1%
3.0% Precincts Reporting
16,931 Votes
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/
BIG night for JG.
The weather and huge turnout have led to some polling stations reportedly extending their voting hours until 8pm ET."
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/us-election/12149402/new-hampshire-primary-donald-trump-bernie-sanders-live.html
Trump 34
Kasich 15
Bush 12
Cruz 10
Rubio 10
Christie 9
Will Christie beat Rubio for 5th?
Donald Trump 5,963 votes (--) 31.9%
John Kasich 3,383 votes (-2,580) 18.1%
Jeb Bush 2,364 votes (-3,599) 12.6%
Ted Cruz 2,015 votes (-3,948) 10.8%
Marco Rubio 1,927 votes (-4,036) 10.3%
Chris Christie 1,465 votes (-4,498) 7.8%
Carly Fiorina 865 votes (-5,098) 4.6%
Ben Carson 450 votes (-5,513) 2.4%
Other 263 votes (-5,700) 1.4%
Jim Gilmore 6 votes (-5,957) 0.0%
3.3% Precincts Reporting
17,286 Votes
Why isn't he Jack Bush? You'd think that would be much more voter friendly......
Donald Trump 5,963 votes (--) 31.9%
John Kasich 3,383 votes (-2,580) 18.1%
Jeb Bush 2,364 votes (-3,599) 12.6%
Ted Cruz 2,015 votes (-3,948) 10.8%
Marco Rubio 1,927 votes (-4,036) 10.3%
Chris Christie 1,465 votes (-4,498) 7.8%
Carly Fiorina 865 votes (-5,098) 4.6%
Ben Carson 450 votes (-5,513) 2.4%
Other 263 votes (-5,700) 1.4%
Jim Gilmore 6 votes (-5,957) 0.0%
8.3% Precincts Reporting
18,701 Votes
Reminds me of my school batting scores - I was behind extras for every single match of every season.
http://www.decisiondeskhq.com/
Bernie Sanders 11,697 votes (--) 57.6%
Hillary Clinton 8,461 votes (-3,236) 41.7%
Other 132 votes (-11,565) 0.7%
8.6% Precincts Reporting
21,110 Votes
I see Mark Reckless has lost Rochester (well Rochester 3)
Trump and Sanders win N.H.
Kasich: 3,413
Bush: 2,375
Cruz 2,024
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107664938
Rubio in danger of falling behind Sanders on the US president page:
https://www.betfair.com/exchange/plus/#/politics/market/1.107373419
On Dem side they are projecting Sanders the winner, with 9% in he is on 52%, Clinton on 41%
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nh/Rep
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/states/nh/Dem