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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively

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  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8

    I honestly have no words.

    Well one exit poll was published 20 minutes ago, but it's only for subscribers.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416

    DavidL said:

    Wanderer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Wanderer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !

    That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.

    Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.
    OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...
    Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.
    Some of these Justices should think seriously about retiring before Obama becomes even more ineffectual (we will notice when he has actually left office won't we?)
    Would Obama be able to get a confirmation through the Senate in time though? The GOP could stall until after the election and if they win then just continue stalling until it is too late.
    He's still got 11 months. But he should be working on it now.
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,617
    edited February 2016
    Pulpstar said:

    Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8

    I honestly have no words.

    There were some willing to take the 15/2 on Andy Burnham as next Labour leader on Betfair sportsbook when he was close to 65s on the exchange

    (This was the Thursday evening before the Saturday Corbyn was announced as Labour leader)

    There are some clueless/deluded punters out there.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    Pulpstar said:

    Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8

    I honestly have no words.

    "The market can stay irrational for a lot longer than than you can remain solvent".

    Guy called JM Keynes. What did he know about gambling?
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=2467#.VrpZ1_l97IU
  • Options
    DavidL said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8

    I honestly have no words.

    "The market can stay irrational for a lot longer than than you can remain solvent".

    Guy called JM Keynes. What did he know about gambling?
    This is a time-limited market so Mr K may be wrong on this occasion.
  • Options
    Sarah Wollaston declares for Leave

    PM’s threadbare EU deal means we are better off Out

    The rhetoric is being ramped up by those who want to stay in

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/columnists/article4686865.ece
  • Options

    Sarah Wollaston declares for Leave

    PM’s threadbare EU deal means we are better off Out

    The rhetoric is being ramped up by those who want to stay in

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/columnists/article4686865.ece

    She's a good catch for Leave. Independent-minded, articulate and not obviously mad.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=2467#.VrpZ1_l97IU
    And the effects are there for all to see. Talk show host, post watershed, yeah I can see that. POTUS?? You have got to be kidding.
  • Options
    tysontyson Posts: 6,051
    edited February 2016
    That said... didn't we all agree with Trump? I'm a liberal lefty and I would sincerely hope that we do a hell of a lot more than waterboard Isis terrorists once captured. I don't want to know about it, but I really do hope we that go as far as we need to go...
    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
  • Options
    SeanT said:
    Congrats. I hope you're going to be one of those Hollywood moguls who insists on the casting couch.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416

    Sarah Wollaston declares for Leave

    PM’s threadbare EU deal means we are better off Out

    The rhetoric is being ramped up by those who want to stay in

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/columnists/article4686865.ece

    She's a good catch for Leave. Independent-minded, articulate and not obviously mad.
    https://www.google.co.uk/#q=so+lonely
  • Options
    DavidL said:

    DavidL said:

    Wanderer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Wanderer said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !

    That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.

    Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.
    OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...
    Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.
    Some of these Justices should think seriously about retiring before Obama becomes even more ineffectual (we will notice when he has actually left office won't we?)
    Would Obama be able to get a confirmation through the Senate in time though? The GOP could stall until after the election and if they win then just continue stalling until it is too late.
    He's still got 11 months. But he should be working on it now.
    He's got 11 months in an election year. No chance, time is out for that sort of thing already. Maybe if the Democrats controlled the Senate but even then the GOP could likely stall long enough. But with a Republican Senate? More chance of Corbyn being PM than a liberal being confirmed by a GOP senate in an election year.
  • Options
    SeanT said:
    Christ, you're going to be even more unbearably smug now

    Congratulations!
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,464
    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    'Twas ever thus:

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nz_-KNNl-no
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    SeanT said:
    SK Tremayne must be happy.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416

    DavidL said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8

    I honestly have no words.

    "The market can stay irrational for a lot longer than than you can remain solvent".

    Guy called JM Keynes. What did he know about gambling?
    This is a time-limited market so Mr K may be wrong on this occasion.
    Never. One of my heroes.

    On reflection on quite a short list of them.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    SeanT said:
    Wow. Well done.

    Will you remember us when you are in the realms of the superrich?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Whens a poll out ?
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:
    SK Tremayne must be happy.
    Still a long way from being actually made, let alone being a hit movie. But nice. V nice. Can't deny it. This book just goes on and on.
    Did you have a sense when you were writing it that it was "the one"?
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016
    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=2467#.VrpZ1_l97IU
    And the effects are there for all to see. Talk show host, post watershed, yeah I can see that. POTUS?? You have got to be kidding.
    Hey they elected this man to be President too, and in much more dangerous times:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVd5xiA8_QY

    And this one:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcRU3Jl4XYQ
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    ydoethur said:

    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    'Twas ever thus:

    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nz_-KNNl-no
    My parents used to play that on reel to reel back in the 60s. I used to get put out of the room before the Vatican Rag came on.
  • Options
    tysontyson Posts: 6,051
    edited February 2016
    You remind me of my brother- desperate for recognition. All a bit sad and pathetic really. Maybe a few extra hours therapy could help.

    Better stick to your racist posting, and trying to keep the UK free of Blacks and Arabs. More your schtick.
    SeanT said:
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    In most american cities it's full of dangerous toxic chemicals:

    http://water.usgs.gov/nawqa/trace/arsenic/
    http://www.nrdc.org/water/drinking/arsenic/map.asp
    http://www.usgs.gov/newsroom/article.asp?ID=2467#.VrpZ1_l97IU
    And the effects are there for all to see. Talk show host, post watershed, yeah I can see that. POTUS?? You have got to be kidding.
    Hey they elected this man to be President too, and in much more dangerous times:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LVd5xiA8_QY

    And this one:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mcRU3Jl4XYQ
    Ronald Reagan was actually an excellent President. First ever with a degree in economics don't you know? GW Bush...that's a toughie.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    DavidL said:

    Alistair said:
    Not great for the guy near the big red button is it?
    As an American journalist said, he's not great in a crisis and his first act would be to rip up the deal with Iran - creating a massive crisis.
  • Options
    The latest Trump tweet

    ISIS is making big threats today - no respect for U.S.A. or our "leader" - If I win it will be a very different story,with very fast results
  • Options

    Sarah Wollaston declares for Leave

    PM’s threadbare EU deal means we are better off Out

    The rhetoric is being ramped up by those who want to stay in

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/opinion/columnists/article4686865.ece

    She's a good catch for Leave. Independent-minded, articulate and not obviously mad.
    Doesn't wear a striped blazer either.
  • Options
    tyson said:

    In terms of political characters there is Alan Clarke and then there is the rest.
    AC combines the charisma of B Clinton, the sex appeal of Kennedy, the intellect of (E) Powell, the jaw of Ike, the style of Jagger, the sense of humour of Richard Pryor, the joie de vivre of Depardieu..... Everything about AC was fun.


    Mortimer said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    Reading AC's diaries again at the moment - he makes a fantastic point that at the beginning of a term of govt, ministerial organisation, rather than communication/messaging, is more important. I'm guessing that is why Hunt and Gove were in their positions in the beginning of terms.
    You know Tyson, there are times when I wonder how my old mucker ever ended up as a leftie!
  • Options

    The latest Trump tweet

    ISIS is making big threats today - no respect for U.S.A. or our "leader" - If I win it will be a very different story,with very fast results

    What has they threaten to do?
  • Options
    Anybody understand this 'pledge' business on delegates? According to Frontloading blog Cruz has a pledge from Virginia taking his tally to 9.

    http://frontloading.blogspot.co.uk/p/2016-republican.html
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited February 2016

    Anybody understand this 'pledge' business on delegates? According to Frontloading blog Cruz has a pledge from Virginia taking his tally to 9.

    http://frontloading.blogspot.co.uk/p/2016-republican.html

    Maybe it's a superdelegate (an elected party official) that has endorsed him.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    If Bush wins New Hampshire...
  • Options
    Alistair said:
    The most shocking part for me was that Cruz is only a few months older than Rubio.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956
    I think I am being dim

    Why would Rubio rip up the Iran deal?
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    tyson said:

    That said... didn't we all agree with Trump? I'm a liberal lefty and I would sincerely hope that we do a hell of a lot more than waterboard Isis terrorists once captured. I don't want to know about it, but I really do hope we that go as far as we need to go...

    DavidL said:

    Speedy said:

    tyson said:

    Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.

    Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.

    Pulpstar said:

    Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorA

    Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
    So it validates some of your thoughts.
    This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?
    No.

    Torture is unacceptable. I can just about live with killing them remotely by drone. But to torture them when in our custody and no longer dangerous does us more damage than them. I really believe that.

    God, I'm wet sometimes.
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    A lot of people will be poorer.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
  • Options

    Alistair said:
    The most shocking part for me was that Cruz is only a few months older than Rubio.
    One of my POTUS bets looks ill after reading this. Time to lay, especially if he burns out tonight.
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,009
    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085

    Alistair said:
    The most shocking part for me was that Cruz is only a few months older than Rubio.
    One of my POTUS bets looks ill after reading this. Time to lay, especially if he burns out tonight.
    I sold almost all my Rubio within 15 minutes of the debate starting in Saturday night
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Mortimer said:

    I think I am being dim

    Why would Rubio rip up the Iran deal?

    He's opposed to it because ... I don't know, even the statement on his own site doesn't really make it clear.

    https://marcorubio.com/news/marco-rubio-statement-on-obamas-dangerous-iran-deal/
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,005
    SeanT said:

    Pulpstar said:

    SeanT said:
    SK Tremayne must be happy.
    Still a long way from being actually made, let alone being a hit movie. But nice. V nice. Can't deny it. This book just goes on and on.
    If you don't mind me asking, what are overall sales figures?

    And how many sales of a novel make a best-seller?
  • Options
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    Depends if you have the capital I guess.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    Depends if you have the capital I guess.
    Depends if the outsiders lose :D
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    Time value of money. Tying up £1,000 to make £10 in six months is a money loser because money costs me more than 2% per year.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    rcs1000 said:

    Alistair said:
    The most shocking part for me was that Cruz is only a few months older than Rubio.
    One of my POTUS bets looks ill after reading this. Time to lay, especially if he burns out tonight.
    I sold almost all my Rubio within 15 minutes of the debate starting in Saturday night
    I sold all and then today I decided he is toast so am now 2xTheField red on him.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Which website has the err exit poll ?
  • Options
    Speedy said:

    Anybody understand this 'pledge' business on delegates? According to Frontloading blog Cruz has a pledge from Virginia taking his tally to 9.

    http://frontloading.blogspot.co.uk/p/2016-republican.html

    Maybe it's a superdelegate (an elected party official) that has endorsed him.
    Something like that. There's an explanation right at the bottom of the blog page:

    1/9/16: Morton Blackwell -- national committeeman from Virginia -- endorses Ted Cruz. The Republican Party of Virginia rules explicitly leave the three automatic delegates -- including Mr. Blackwell -- unbound. The RNC, however, is considering the party delegates bound, but with little guidance as to how to treat delegates left unbound by state rules. One interpretation is that a pledged like Mr. Blackwell's binds him to Cruz (though perhaps not indefinitely).
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Here we go with the exit polls.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    SeanT said:

    Earlier today I read a fascinating plan for the "rewilding" of a bleak, sterile, agarian landscape. It involved thick copses, new hedgerows, strips of broadleaf woodland - perfect habitats for buzzards, weasels, hedgehogs, now able to live in harmony with farmers.

    The authors?

    The Nazi Party, planning their settlement of conquered Poland, in 1940.

    And your point?
  • Options
    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,617
    edited February 2016
    So prediction time, I go sit in my cinema seat at midnight, my phone gets switched off at midnight.

    The film ends at 02:10 and I'll switch my phone back on.

    How will be the biggest gainer and loser on Betfair GOP nominee market in those two hours and ten mins?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    Holy crap
  • Options
    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited February 2016
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    Time value of money. Tying up £1,000 to make £10 in six months is a money loser because money costs me more than 2% per year.
    My strategy is to bet large amounts on near certainties, at generous odds around evens. Obama, Corbyn, etc.

    Chasing small amounts over long periods just isn't worth my time.

    I can get 10%+ from other investments elsewhere.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
  • Options
    OllyTOllyT Posts: 4,924
    Christ another thread turning into a SeanT promo fiesta, the guy clearly has absolutely no shame Do PB get some sort of rake off from his book sales?
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    NO TELL US
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    Godamnit, share the flipping exit poll.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    NO TELL US
    Bugger. Me neither.
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    No. Where???
  • Options
    AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    NO TELL US
    Bugger. Me neither.
    Dear Mods, please introduce negative rep button
  • Options
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    Where is it?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    edited February 2016
    EXIT POLL: Never gonna give you up: 30 Never gonna let you down: 17 Never gonna run around: 15 Deserting you: 0.5
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,416
    LOL.. Very good RCS. Got us all going.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,036
    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    Were did you saw that?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,009
    rcs1000 said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    Time value of money. Tying up £1,000 to make £10 in six months is a money loser because money costs me more than 2% per year.
    Oh I meant short term bets generally, you didn't say you meant long term
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,009
    edited February 2016
    SeanT said:

    Earlier today I read a fascinating plan for the "rewilding" of a bleak, sterile, agarian landscape. It involved thick copses, new hedgerows, strips of broadleaf woodland - perfect habitats for buzzards, weasels, hedgehogs, now able to live in harmony with farmers.

    The authors?

    The Nazi Party, planning their settlement of conquered Poland, in 1940.

    Sounds like "The EU: Outside vs Inside" by D.Cameron
  • Options
    DavidL said:

    LOL.. Very good RCS. Got us all going.

    Ha. Bloody ha ha. Some of us have money on this.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Speedy said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    Were did you saw that?
    Twitter somewhere.
  • Options
    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,464
    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Pulpstar said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Holy crap

    What is it
    Have you seen the exit???
    NO TELL US
    Bugger. Me neither.
    I am clearly easily amused. I haven't stopped laughing since Master Smithson posted that!

    I think it was the way everyone else got so excited...
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Why is CNN's site such a mess
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    Seriously?
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,009
    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    CNN has eaten their exit poll, they has a timer that ended 7 minutes ago and now they changed it to "soon".
  • Options
    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Small gain, huge disaster if you fuck up
  • Options
    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Pulpstar said:

    Speedy said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    Were did you saw that?
    Twitter somewhere.
    I saw it too hours ago, my first impression was that it was fake.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    I thoght Hillary value at 13 so put a couple of quid on.
  • Options
    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Running remote but crushing risks for immediate small scale gains.
  • Options
    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited February 2016
    isam said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
    Surely it must mean taking a big risk for little potential reward, so yes, you're right.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    isam said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
    Someone laid my 3000/1 £1 ew on LCFC winning the league. That is picking up pennies in front of a bulldozer!
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004

    isam said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
    Someone laid my 3000/1 £1 ew on LCFC winning the league. That is picking up pennies in front of a bulldozer!
    The vardozer.
  • Options

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    I thoght Hillary value at 13 so put a couple of quid on.
    Someone disagrees with you I'm afraid - she's now at 40.
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085
    SeanT said:

    rcs1000 said:

    SeanT said:

    Earlier today I read a fascinating plan for the "rewilding" of a bleak, sterile, agarian landscape. It involved thick copses, new hedgerows, strips of broadleaf woodland - perfect habitats for buzzards, weasels, hedgehogs, now able to live in harmony with farmers.

    The authors?

    The Nazi Party, planning their settlement of conquered Poland, in 1940.

    And your point?
    That they combined the most benign Green Party policies (of which I thoroughly approve, as it happens) with a calm desire for brutal genocide.

    The political mind is much more complex than some basic left-right spectrum. We easily forget this.

    Shit Sean, you're developing nuance.
  • Options
    PongPong Posts: 4,693
    edited February 2016

    isam said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
    Someone laid my 3000/1 £1 ew on LCFC winning the league. That is picking up pennies in front of a bulldozer!
    Not if you lay that bet 6000 times and only pay out once.

    Most of the long-odds laying on betfair is done by people who understand statistics and have large bankrolls.

    Those who don't, learn their lesson pretty quickly.
  • Options

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    I thoght Hillary value at 13 so put a couple of quid on.
    FYI you can lay Sanders @ 1.03 giving much better odds (or you could yesterday, anyway)
  • Options
    Robert Smithson: you cock.
  • Options
    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,956

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    I thoght Hillary value at 13 so put a couple of quid on.
    Someone disagrees with you I'm afraid - she's now at 40.
    Is she really 3% down on an exit?

    That's MoE, surely?
  • Options
    Speedy said:

    CNN has eaten their exit poll, they has a timer that ended 7 minutes ago and now they changed it to "soon".

    Are they allowed an Exit yet?. There's 2 hours of voting
  • Options
    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,085

    Robert Smithson: you cock.

    Sadly Casino Royale has been banned.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,036

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Running remote but crushing risks for immediate small scale gains.
    So (for example) placing £1000 on "Conservative most seats" five hours after the 2015 GE exit poll at odds of 1.01, risking £1000 for a profit of £10, would be characterised as "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer"?

    Good to know, thank you.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 76,004
    Pong said:

    isam said:

    viewcode said:

    isam said:

    rcs1000 said:

    Speedy said:

    rcs1000 said:

    If Bush wins New Hampshire...

    You know the drill, trampoline time for betting markets.
    I'm not big on "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer", so I never lay outsiders. It's just a stupid way of tying up capital.
    Strange, the most successful gambling traders I know, who dominate Betfair, consider that easy money
    For all those of us of very little brain, can you tell me what "picking up pennies in front of the bulldozer" means please?
    Roberts phrase, but I am supposing it means laying big outsiders
    Someone laid my 3000/1 £1 ew on LCFC winning the league. That is picking up pennies in front of a bulldozer!
    Not if you lay that bet 6000 times and only pay out once.
    We'll all be very old in the year 7000 AD.
  • Options
    NBC Politics @NBCPolitics
    Exit Poll: Independents Split Between GOP, Democratic Primaries nbcnews.to/20Jm8Aq

    @ABCPolitics Nearly half of GOP primary voters in exit poll results say they only decided in last few days #NHPrimary

    Democratic primary voters that identify as Independents are down by 5% from 2008. #NHPrimary
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    Pulpstar said:

    Sanders 51 Clinton 48, but noone cares about that one.

    I thoght Hillary value at 13 so put a couple of quid on.
    FYI you can lay Sanders @ 1.03 giving much better odds (or you could yesterday, anyway)
    It went on a week or two back. But good point.
  • Options
    Blake Gober @blakegober
    CNN Exit Poll- 2/3rd of Late Deciders said debate impacted their vote greatly cnn.com/2016/02/09/pol… #FITN
  • Options
    SeanT said:

    Earlier today I read a fascinating plan for the "rewilding" of a bleak, sterile, agarian landscape. It involved thick copses, new hedgerows, strips of broadleaf woodland - perfect habitats for buzzards, weasels, hedgehogs, now able to live in harmony with farmers.

    The authors?

    The Nazi Party, planning their settlement of conquered Poland, in 1940.

    Just read "Look Who's Back", a satirical novel about modern life and the mass media told through the eyes of Hitler who has just woken up to find himself in modern Germany. Amusing in parts, if disappointing overall.
    Hitler turns out to be a big fan of the Green Party.
This discussion has been closed.