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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively be over
As we saw after last week’s Iowa caucuses this stage in the White House race everything is all about expectations. So although Cruz won last week all the attention went on Rubio who did a fair bit better than expected.
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He has the dough, the ego and the votes to plough on. His opponents are mostly pygmies, jostling for 15% of the vote each...
FourthFifth(?) like Bush/Rubio/Kasich/Christie.I still think - in a divided field - Trump edges it for now. He's less disliked by the base than Bush/Kasich who'd be the only other ones to benefit.
Cruz really does seem an acquired taste.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NhRc_Depzw
Why? And how much did it cost them?
It's embarrassing.
Current Google Trends in NH using candidate names:
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
6:48 PM - 9 Feb 2016
Based on the above, Kasich looks good value to win Ladbrokes New Hampshire Primary "without Trump" bet currently on offer at odds of 5/4.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/presidential-election/2016-presidential-election-winner/216136503/
DYOR
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
that is the result, Kasich will find it tough in South Carolina I think, and it'd be a poor result for Rubio and Bush too.
Cruz might be happiest medium term with the above tbh.
Not sure Google trends is the best way to work out the polling mind.....
You're one of the most objective and self aware posters on here.
Anyway, I mostly agree with you re; Bloomberg.
The talk about a possible bid certainly buys the guy some additional influence he wouldn't otherwise have - I can see no incentive for him to quash the speculation.
For now.
Are you lot serious - were they any good as an Iowa predictor ?
@NickPalmer I've managed to get a bit longer for on Kasich myself today but I wasn't using Google Trends
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...
Saw your post thread before last and thought it very good and very true. I will certainly put it to good use.
Serves you right if you vote Remain.
https://t.co/A3hKlaWoK2
There's real injustice in the world, he should focus on that.
"My guess is that there’s a difference between Kasich doing pretty well and doing really well. If Kasich replicates Jon Huntsman’s 17 percent of the vote from four years ago, he might be a good story for a few days but not have much impact beyond that. If he gets to 20 percent or more of the vote, however, finishing well ahead of the other “establishment lane” candidates and even threatening to win here, that’s a different story."
West Ham lead Liverpool in downtown Newham
I said hello to Nick Clegg at Waterloo Station - he was meeting a couple of old friends and didn't seem to have a care in the world.
I might lay him more
This democracy stuff is overrated.
Result, Trump and Sanders lose N.H.
I don't expect him to win or come second, and for his price to start to drift on Betfair apres NH ski.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xBX0Z1MkDyQ
Even if he gets the republican nomination, he will be laughed at all the way to defeat.
Especially when the Labour Party is in its current state.
Before a blink of an eye I'm going to be dribbling, sat in a care home in Abingdon, wearing pads and talking shyte.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_Braman
At least we know Trump is self funding and Cruz/Hilary are in the pocket of Golden Sacks.
How many people know about Norman Braman or his motives !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.
NH 08 was my first political bet; and a massive loser. Went for Obama at dreadful odds at about 8pm. And then went to the college Bar and thence to Bed, to sleep the sleep of the righteous. Only to wake to the today programme announcing Hilary's victory!
You see normally one can be a lefty democrat voter but not registered as a democrat, independents can vote both ways in primaries.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.
Why? You think he'll nuke Iran?
Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
So it validates some of your thoughts.
But voting wont end for another 2 hours at least.
AC combines the charisma of B Clinton, the sex appeal of Kennedy, the intellect of (E) Powell, the jaw of Ike, the style of Jagger, the sense of humour of Richard Pryor, the joie de vivre of Depardieu..... Everything about AC was fun.
I honestly have no words.