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The July 20th by-elections – latest betting – politicalbetting.com

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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 8,091
    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Its interesting how as soon as the media pushes a story you guys react like pavlovs dogs. Try doing your own research for a change it would be helpful.

    Speaking of pavlova, can I give you some fruit from my garden? I picked my first raspberries today and I would love to give you a raspberry.
    At Chez Bondegezou, we’ve just been making melba sauce, which I’ll then turn into raspberry ice cream (not sorbet) later.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,436
    ydoethur said:

    First bridge reported to have gone up.

    Fucking hell. Huge, if true.

    When was the last time they blew the bridges into Moscow? My guess would be 1941.
    Notably the supreme leader stuck around in Moscow at that point, does the current incumbent have the same fortitude?
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,085
    Nigelb said:

    Putin had a call with Tokayev and informed him about the situation in #Russia. Tokayev said that the ongoing events are an internal affair of Russia.
    https://twitter.com/HannaLiubakova/status/1672554864713318400

    “You’re on your own, mate.”

    That has made me laugh.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    Burn

    I don’t need ammo. I need a ride.
    https://twitter.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1672558004015714304
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    “Wagner has been stockpiling ammo for two months in preparation for this coup, according to one Russian human rights organisation.

    Defences are being set up in Moscow as Wagner heads north.

    Latest on Spectator Coffee House:-“

    https://twitter.com/frasernelson/status/1672562338854055942?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    Golly
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,194

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Its interesting how as soon as the media pushes a story you guys react like pavlovs dogs. Try doing your own research for a change it would be helpful.

    Speaking of pavlova, can I give you some fruit from my garden? I picked my first raspberries today and I would love to give you a raspberry.
    At Chez Bondegezou, we’ve just been making melba sauce, which I’ll then turn into raspberry ice cream (not sorbet) later.
    JUst freeze the raspberries - when we had then we simply used them for cooking up stewed rasps to serve with ice cream and sponge cake for dessert in winter, or fill in eve's pudding or pie.
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    TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    Theshard said:

    This is what is circulating on twitter now.

    think it's something different. I think this is part of the Ukrainian counteroffensive. I bet all 6.2 billion of that Pentagon accounting error have gone directly into Prigozhin's bank account. This was the ace up their sleave, and the just played it. The timing is suspicious.

    You were talking about cope ?
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    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    By golly he almost has it.

    Is the rouble dropping?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    You've already explained that too. It all now makes sense. Putin was a double agent on CIA dirty money.

    No wonder Russia's imploding like a cheap submarine.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    If only Ukraine already had F-16s and the like ready to go now.

    Those who said Russia was too strong to lose: look now. Time to abandon false neutrality and fear of escalation; give Ukraine all the needed weapons; forget about friendship or business with Russia. Time to put an end to the evil everyone despised but was too afraid to tear down.
    https://twitter.com/DmytroKuleba/status/1672555373113356288?cxt=HHwWgMC9mYKQjrYuAAAA
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,869
    Sean_F said:

    Theshard said:

    Ultimately i think this is what happened. The west was in a panic due to losing the war in ukraine badly. Their options were a false flag or stir up internal.unrest in russia. They have gone for the 2nd option and i think Prigozhin was got at by the cia to cause trouble.

    The CIA are remarkably efficient. The Soviets said they were behind the Volksaufstand, and Lavrenti Beria was an agent of theirs for 20 years.
    And, of course, we have our own dear JB active inside Moscow RIGHT NOW and in the process of suavely infiltrating Putin's lair, with a ready wit and women falling at his feet, all the while being exceedingly well-dressed.
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    CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 40,194
    dixiedean said:

    Yousaf heckled in his own conference and walks off stage

    It's an insignificant revolt which will fizzle out soon.
    https://www.thenational.scot/news/23611810.humza-yousaf-leaves-convention-address-speak-directly-heckler/?ref=ebbn&nid=1457

    Rather different to BigG's slant.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    You ought to be concentrating on that backup plan.
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,484
    Cobra meeting right now
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    CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761
    I like Russian trolls too, they really get me going
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    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    You've already explained that too. It all now makes sense. Putin was a double agent on CIA dirty money.

    No wonder Russia's imploding like a cheap submarine.
    Theshard is also a double agent on CIA dirty money. No-one could genuinely be this stupid and unconvincing, right ?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    The world may be about to end in a nuclear Holocaust as Fat Weirdo gets his mitts on the world's largest nuclear button.

    But to be fair we're having great fun with this troll.

    Shame about that wicket.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,176
    BBC now reporting that all river traffic has been stopped in Moscow.

    Are they seriously making plans to blow bridges?
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    stodgestodge Posts: 12,950
    Afternoon all :)

    Instead of playing hunt the Twitter rumour, let's consider the political, military and economic consequences of a sudden end to the war in the Ukraine.

    Let's imagine the "victory" is almost complete - a complete Russian withdrawal from all Ukrainian territory including the Crimea.

    I think the Crimea will remain a huge problem for a victorious Ukraine - there's a world of difference between being part of Russia and part of Ukraine but the Crineans have often argued for significant autonomy - would Zelenskyy be amenable to a quasi-autonomous Crimea within Ukraine - what about Sevastopol?

    How soon would an economic dividend kick in for the West as supply chains are returned to somewhere normal (how soon would sanctions be lifted from Russia for example)? Would this dividend, in terms of falling prices and improved supplies, provide an electoral benefit for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives?

    There are a million more questions - perhaps the most important is how should the West deal with a post-Putin Russia? So much would depend on who or what follows - would a new regime be deeply revanchist and anti-western or could we see tentative steps toward international re-engagement from Moscow and what would that mean for Europe and indeed China?
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,484
    Carnyx said:

    dixiedean said:

    Yousaf heckled in his own conference and walks off stage

    It's an insignificant revolt which will fizzle out soon.
    https://www.thenational.scot/news/23611810.humza-yousaf-leaves-convention-address-speak-directly-heckler/?ref=ebbn&nid=1457

    Rather different to BigG's slant.
    That was Sky's coverage but then no doubt cut as more important things happening at present
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,126
    Nigelb said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Navalny and Kadyrov would kill each other's kids given the chance so there would have to be some sort of improbable detente there also.

    Is there anyone there who doesn’t hate everyone else ?
    Zelenskiy and Solovyov were very tight during Zelenskiy's Moscow years though presumably that's cooled a bit and the Kristina Orbakaite CDs will conspicuously not be returned.

    Prigozhin and Surovikin seem to have a grudging respect for each other in that way that psychos sometimes do. (Phil Mitchell/Grant Mitchell).
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    carnforthcarnforth Posts: 3,276
    edited June 2023
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Its interesting how as soon as the media pushes a story you guys react like pavlovs dogs. Try doing your own research for a change it would be helpful.

    Speaking of pavlova, can I give you some fruit from my garden? I picked my first raspberries today and I would love to give you a raspberry.
    At Chez Bondegezou, we’ve just been making melba sauce, which I’ll then turn into raspberry ice cream (not sorbet) later.
    JUst freeze the raspberries - when we had then we simply used them for cooking up stewed rasps to serve with ice cream and sponge cake for dessert in winter, or fill in eve's pudding or pie.
    Frozen, denatured raspberries are the superior fruit for a Christmas Day sherry trifle.
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    TheshardTheshard Posts: 50

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,153
    Theshard said:

    Ultimately i think this is what happened. The west was in a panic due to losing the war in ukraine badly. Their options were a false flag or stir up internal.unrest in russia. They have gone for the 2nd option and i think Prigozhin was got at by the cia to cause trouble.

    Please reprogram your language model to indicate that the names of countries should begin with upper-case and three-letter-acronyms should be entirely in upper-case.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,246
    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    This Russian bloke is so boring, he makes Keir Starmer look fun

    Are you still crying when a boomer says mean words to you Horse.
    I use them as lube to wank with
    You use boomers as lube?

    That is *genuinely* kinky.
    You do have to wring them hard. Their wizened bodies do not retain much in the way of moisture.
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    Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,126

    Sean_F said:

    Theshard said:

    Ultimately i think this is what happened. The west was in a panic due to losing the war in ukraine badly. Their options were a false flag or stir up internal.unrest in russia. They have gone for the 2nd option and i think Prigozhin was got at by the cia to cause trouble.

    The CIA are remarkably efficient. The Soviets said they were behind the Volksaufstand, and Lavrenti Beria was an agent of theirs for 20 years.
    And, of course, we have our own dear JB active inside Moscow RIGHT NOW and in the process of suavely infiltrating Putin's lair, with a ready wit and women falling at his feet, all the while being exceedingly well-dressed.


    Ask HYUFD.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    Putin's screaming "Guards, Guards!" out of the window, as a senior General says, "Okay boys and girls, it's show time."
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,484
    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    Are you still here ?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    You'll need to run that one past me again, I don't think it made as much sense as you think it does.
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    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    ydoethur said:

    The world may be about to end in a nuclear Holocaust as Fat Weirdo gets his mitts on the world's largest nuclear button.

    But to be fair we're having great fun with this troll.

    Shame about that wicket.

    OMG, all this *and* the Ciswomen's Test. A frabjous day.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348

    Cobra meeting right now

    To discuss the snake fight ?
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    theakestheakes Posts: 846
    Somerton and Frome appears nailed on for the Lib Dems and Conservative activity does not appear to be great, whilst there is no imminent by election in Bedfordshire. Therefore northern Lib Dems could well descend on North Yorkshire, I have a funny feeling that Selby and Ainsty may be a 3 way result. If Nadine had gone it would have been a straight Con/Labour contest but now........
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    Sean_F said:

    Putin's screaming "Guards, Guards!" out of the window, as a senior General says, "Okay boys and girls, it's show time."

    No he isn't.

    No sane figure in Russian politics goes anywhere near windows.
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    TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    Meddling in countries internal affairs might bo ok for tinpot countries like Iraq but messing with russia like this. Interesting move.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Navalny and Kadyrov would kill each other's kids given the chance so there would have to be some sort of improbable detente there also.

    Is there anyone there who doesn’t hate everyone else ?
    Zelenskiy and Solovyov were very tight during Zelenskiy's Moscow years though presumably that's cooled a bit and the Kristina Orbakaite CDs will conspicuously not be returned.

    Prigozhin and Surovikin seem to have a grudging respect for each other in that way that psychos sometimes do. (Phil Mitchell/Grant Mitchell).
    Good point; psychos don’t actually do hate.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,484
    stodge said:

    Afternoon all :)

    Instead of playing hunt the Twitter rumour, let's consider the political, military and economic consequences of a sudden end to the war in the Ukraine.

    Let's imagine the "victory" is almost complete - a complete Russian withdrawal from all Ukrainian territory including the Crimea.

    I think the Crimea will remain a huge problem for a victorious Ukraine - there's a world of difference between being part of Russia and part of Ukraine but the Crineans have often argued for significant autonomy - would Zelenskyy be amenable to a quasi-autonomous Crimea within Ukraine - what about Sevastopol?

    How soon would an economic dividend kick in for the West as supply chains are returned to somewhere normal (how soon would sanctions be lifted from Russia for example)? Would this dividend, in terms of falling prices and improved supplies, provide an electoral benefit for Rishi Sunak and the Conservatives?

    There are a million more questions - perhaps the most important is how should the West deal with a post-Putin Russia? So much would depend on who or what follows - would a new regime be deeply revanchist and anti-western or could we see tentative steps toward international re-engagement from Moscow and what would that mean for Europe and indeed China?

    Events, never forget events
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,176
    edited June 2023
    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    Yep, seriously worried. We might have spent all that money helping the Ukranians defend themselves, only for the Russians to finally f… off back to Moscow.

    Because Moscow needs as much of the Russian army as they can muster right now.
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    It would be funny if Wagner complete their SMO within 3 days.

    Welcomed with hugs and flowers.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    theakes said:

    Somerton and Frome appears nailed on for the Lib Dems and Conservative activity does not appear to be great, whilst there is no imminent by election in Bedfordshire. Therefore northern Lib Dems could well descend on North Yorkshire, I have a funny feeling that Selby and Ainsty may be a 3 way result. If Nadine had gone it would have been a straight Con/Labour contest but now........

    Sir, I salute your indefatigability
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Wouldn't expect different so early on. But impossible to imagine no disruptions at all in due course.

    Too early to say what impact Prigo coup will have on the counteroffensive. AFAIK:

    - No significant decrease of Russian military activity on the frontlines in Ukraine.

    -Russian rates of fire have not decreased.

    - No major Russian frontline troop rotations have been observed.*

    - https://twitter.com/HoansSolo/status/1672542484600086530
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,745
    edited June 2023

    It would be funny if Wagner complete their SMO within 3 days.

    That's the danger, and it's a real one.

    Occam's Razor suggests that this rebellion is about a mercenary army fed up at the incompetence of the Russian government.

    If Russia is moving from incompetent evil to more competent evil, that's not necessarily a quick win in human happiness.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 19,246
    Dura_Ace said:

    Sean_F said:

    Theshard said:

    Ultimately i think this is what happened. The west was in a panic due to losing the war in ukraine badly. Their options were a false flag or stir up internal.unrest in russia. They have gone for the 2nd option and i think Prigozhin was got at by the cia to cause trouble.

    The CIA are remarkably efficient. The Soviets said they were behind the Volksaufstand, and Lavrenti Beria was an agent of theirs for 20 years.
    And, of course, we have our own dear JB active inside Moscow RIGHT NOW and in the process of suavely infiltrating Putin's lair, with a ready wit and women falling at his feet, all the while being exceedingly well-dressed.


    Ask HYUFD.
    Ah, British teeth. :)
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Theshard said:

    Meddling in countries internal affairs might bo ok for tinpot countries like Iraq but messing with russia like this. Interesting move.

    I think you sell Russia short - is it not the mighty, undefeatable behemoth of world affairs, sticking two fingers up to the West for decades? Why do you think they were so easily messed with like this?

    You must think Russia is very corrupt and weak indeed.
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    Theshard said:

    Meddling in countries internal affairs might bo ok for tinpot countries like Iraq but messing with russia like this. Interesting move.

    I can see it might conceivably make sense to try to persuade Russians that Prigozhin is in the CIA’s pocket.
    Not sure what utility you imagine for peddling that shit here ?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    Theshard said:

    Meddling in countries internal affairs might bo ok for tinpot countries like Iraq but messing with russia like this. Interesting move.

    Yes, it was very foolish of Russia to meddle in Ukraine by attempting to murder its president, rigging its elections, seizing its territory and finally launching a full invasion and genocide.

    Putin should really have understood the lessons of Eastern Europe, Vietnam, Afghanistan, Afghanistan, Iraq, but alas he was too thick to.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    my word, have they? I thought Wagner was heading north for Moscow.

    But if they've invaded Italy and got that far, you're right, we should be seriously worried.
    Don't be too harsh, they used an idiom correctly, which is a step up.
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    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited June 2023
    There is ofcourse, that possibility, that Progozhin could continue to prosecute that war in Ukraine , even worse than Putin.

    But his statements so far don't seem to suggest that.
  • Options
    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,176

    It would be funny if Wagner complete their SMO within 3 days.

    That's the danger, and it's a real one.

    Occam's Razor suggests that this rebellion is about a mercenary army fed up at the incompetence of the Russian government.

    If Russia is moving from incompetent evil to more competent evil, that's not necessarily a quick win in human happiness.
    It’s a massive win for Ukranian happiness. The competent evil Wagner has no imperial ambitions west of Rostov.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,479
    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    I'm glad that you have been allowed to stay this time, doing the Comical Ali routine
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657

    There is ofcourse, that possibility, that Progozhin could continue to prosecute that war in Ukraine , even worse than Putin.

    But his statements so far don't seem to suggest that.

    I think the point about a civil war in Russia is it would mean the Russian army would be too busy in Russia to worry about Ukraine.

    Which would help the Ukrainians but doesn't resolve the situation without proper changes and the stabilisation of Russia.
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    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    Well, yes, they have invaded their own country. Not really like Caesar and the Rubicon because the point there was it was a *technical* infraction (having an army on Italian soil was illegal) and amounted in itself to a declaration of civil war for that reason. Prighozin has said expressly what he is up to (and done it), so not really a parallel. Why you think The West should seriously worry about this god only knows.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    edited June 2023
    More rumours that Wagner has men stationed INSIDE Moscow and St Pete’s

    That makes sense. If you’ve been preparing a coup for 2 months then you wouldn’t start it solely by driving 1400km to Moscow in large convoys which can be smashed from the air

    You’d have insurgents at the centre, too

    🤷‍♂️
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,479
    Theshard said:

    Meddling in countries internal affairs might bo ok for tinpot countries like Iraq but messing with russia like this. Interesting move.

    Remind me which western country Wagner works for?

    Its YOU. Not us.
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    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,591

    DavidL said:

    Very small crowd floating about in front of the Caird Hall this morning for the SNP conference. A couple of people there with Union Jacks trying to wind them up but the SNiPs look like they can’t be bothered.

    I hope you and your pal with the UJs didn’t have too much of the piss ripped out of you.
    I didn’t have a UJ. I was just going for coffee and cake. The Union Jackers set up a stand opposite the Caird Hall. Nothing equivalent for the SNP. Not even a banner on the hall itself. The glory days have come and gone.
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,153
    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    my word, have they? I thought Wagner was heading north for Moscow.

    But if they've invaded Italy and got that far, you're right, we should be seriously worried.
    Don't be too harsh, they used an idiom correctly, which is a step up.
    It still has a problem with proper nouns starting with upper-case.
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    Chris said:

    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    my word, have they? I thought Wagner was heading north for Moscow.

    But if they've invaded Italy and got that far, you're right, we should be seriously worried.
    Don't be too harsh, they used an idiom correctly, which is a step up.
    It still has a problem with proper nouns starting with upper-case.
    Hmm. No activity for thirteen minutes.

    Is it running multiple sites or have we actually driven it off?
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,479
    Surely the simple solution - and I'm confident @Theshard will be suggesting it shortly - is for Putin to simply nuke the Wagner army advance.

    And then nuke any country who may have encouraged Putin's mercenary leader to turn on him.
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    FrankBoothFrankBooth Posts: 9,085
    Theshard said:

    If russia was losing badly Progozhins actions might make some sense. But not if they are winning. Its cia dirty money. I imagine Putin is on this

    Putin is on this?

    Or do you mean in on this?

    Has the message come through to switch sides?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Apparently there is a group in Russia called the Angry Patriots Club, hardline nationalist types who also think the war in Ukraine has not been harsh enough.

    I guess Angry Patriots Club sounds cooler in Russian than it does in English.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,176
    edited June 2023
    Explosion at Voronezh, believed to be at an oil depot. Mil helicopter seen in the vicinity as the explosion happened. This is half-way from Rostov to Moscow, on the main road.

    BBC also reporting that the Kremlin insists that Putin is still working there this afternoon.

    That Russian jet out of Moscow clearly has a second jet following it.
    https://www.flightradar24.com/RSD523/30da704f
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    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    edited June 2023
    Ukraine-Russia war latest: Huge explosion in city south of Moscow as helicopters fire at Wagner convoy; Putin calls rebellion 'treason'

    https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-russia-war-latest-putin-wagner-prigozhin-rostov-on-don-live-updates-12541713

    ETA: Voronezh oil depot
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,479
    Damnit why have I been banned from watching RT? It would be great to turn it on and watch what is *really* happening, with Alex Salmond and George Galloway giving us the truth.
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    ChrisChris Posts: 11,153
    Sean_F said:

    Putin's screaming "Guards, Guards!" out of the window ...

    In the manner of Kenneth Williams, screaming "Matron, matron!"?
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    logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,740
    Leon said:

    More rumours that Wagner has men stationed INSIDE Moscow and St Pete’s

    That makes sense. If you’ve been preparing a coup for 2 months then you wouldn’t start it solely by driving 1400km to Moscow in large convoys which can be smashed from the air

    You’d have insurgents at the centre, too

    🤷‍♂️

    So, was Prigozhin correct that Wagner was targeted and many fighters deliberately killed recently? Was that a preemptive strike by the Kremlin?
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Leon said:

    More rumours that Wagner has men stationed INSIDE Moscow and St Pete’s

    That makes sense. If you’ve been preparing a coup for 2 months then you wouldn’t start it solely by driving 1400km to Moscow in large convoys which can be smashed from the air

    You’d have insurgents at the centre, too

    🤷‍♂️

    Most coup attempts I assume fail because they are badly prepared and poorly supported - so even if he has been preparing for months he might not have been doing it very well!

    But he obviously believes in taking a bold chance.
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    boulayboulay Posts: 4,160
    kle4 said:

    Apparently there is a group in Russia called the Angry Patriots Club, hardline nationalist types who also think the war in Ukraine has not been harsh enough.

    I guess Angry Patriots Club sounds cooler in Russian than it does in English.

    I wonder what the first rule of Angry Patriots Club is?
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    WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 8,503
    edited June 2023
    This, unforrunately, does look like a civil war *might potentially* develop.

    Unless Progozhin gets his forces to Moscow quickly, or activates any forces if they're already inside Moscow quickly.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    Ah. Ok. Hmm. Yes


    BREAKING: Unverified reports say #Wagner has captured a military base which contains nuclear arsenal.

    #Russia #RussiaCivilWar #RussiaCoup #RussiaIsCollapsing

    https://twitter.com/jenniferzeng97/status/1672568788703649796?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Chris said:

    kle4 said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Cobra meeting right now

    I imagine the west is seriously worried now. They have crossed the rubicon.
    my word, have they? I thought Wagner was heading north for Moscow.

    But if they've invaded Italy and got that far, you're right, we should be seriously worried.
    Don't be too harsh, they used an idiom correctly, which is a step up.
    It still has a problem with proper nouns starting with upper-case.
    In fairness so do many of us natives!
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    MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    Igor Sushko
    @igorsushko
    Russia: A bunch of dump trucks full of sand are being placed at all entrances into Moscow.

    https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672550758229712896
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    NigelbNigelb Posts: 63,348
    boulay said:

    kle4 said:

    Apparently there is a group in Russia called the Angry Patriots Club, hardline nationalist types who also think the war in Ukraine has not been harsh enough.

    I guess Angry Patriots Club sounds cooler in Russian than it does in English.

    I wonder what the first rule of Angry Patriots Club is?
    Let it all out.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884

    Leon said:

    More rumours that Wagner has men stationed INSIDE Moscow and St Pete’s

    That makes sense. If you’ve been preparing a coup for 2 months then you wouldn’t start it solely by driving 1400km to Moscow in large convoys which can be smashed from the air

    You’d have insurgents at the centre, too

    🤷‍♂️

    So, was Prigozhin correct that Wagner was targeted and many fighters deliberately killed recently? Was that a preemptive strike by the Kremlin?
    That would all make sense. You’re right
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,484
    Sandpit said:

    Explosion at Voronezh, believed to be at an oil depot. Mil helicopter seen in the vicinity as the explosion happened. This is half-way from Rostov to Moscow, on the main road.

    BBC also reporting that the Kremlin insists that Putin is still working there this afternoon.

    That Russian jet out of Moscow clearly has a second jet following it.
    https://www.flightradar24.com/RSD523/30da704f

    Sky showing video of it
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,139
    Leon said:

    Ah. Ok. Hmm. Yes


    BREAKING: Unverified reports say #Wagner has captured a military base which contains nuclear arsenal.

    #Russia #RussiaCivilWar #RussiaCoup #RussiaIsCollapsing

    https://twitter.com/jenniferzeng97/status/1672568788703649796?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Less funny.

    What will be very interesting is how Wagner forces hold up should full scale fighting actually break out. We know they can fight, but are their stomachs in this?
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    solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,623
    Miklosvar said:


    Igor Sushko
    @igorsushko
    Russia: A bunch of dump trucks full of sand are being placed at all entrances into Moscow.

    https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672550758229712896

    Prepping for the National Sandcastle Championships?
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,657
    No, it's OK, our pet has come back.

    We shall be able to wind him/her/it up by the dastardly tactic of quoting the posts they made earlier at them very shortly!
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    This, unforrunately, does look like a civil war *might potentially* develop.

    Unless Progozhin gets his forces to Moscow quickly, or activates any forces if they're already inside Moscow quickly.

    You and I have very different definitions of the word "unfortunately".

    Personally I think Russians killing Ukrainians is more unfortunate than Russians killing Russians.
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    LeonLeon Posts: 47,884
    We could get a civil war with both sides in possession of nukes. Indeed that is quite likely

    A novel situation and possibly not ideal
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    StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 14,745
    kle4 said:

    Apparently there is a group in Russia called the Angry Patriots Club, hardline nationalist types who also think the war in Ukraine has not been harsh enough.

    I guess Angry Patriots Club sounds cooler in Russian than it does in English.

    Most things do sound cooler in Russian, though Spanish is better, sexier, for that.

    Angry Patriots Club sounds like the name of a GB News show.
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,869
    Leon said:

    Ah. Ok. Hmm. Yes


    BREAKING: Unverified reports say #Wagner has captured a military base which contains nuclear arsenal.

    #Russia #RussiaCivilWar #RussiaCoup #RussiaIsCollapsing

    https://twitter.com/jenniferzeng97/status/1672568788703649796?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Funny as this is it's also serious.

    Wagner are likely to be *even more* hardliners than Putin, temperamentally, so backchannels from the US and UK need to tell them all our subs will unleash complete annihilation on them if they dare think about it.
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    SandpitSandpit Posts: 50,176
    Another Russian government VIP jet out of Moscow, following the other two towards St Pete.
    https://www.flightradar24.com/RSD697/30da7e35
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    TheshardTheshard Posts: 50

    This, unforrunately, does look like a civil war *might potentially* develop.

    Unless Progozhin gets his forces to Moscow quickly, or activates any forces if they're already inside Moscow quickly.

    You and I have very different definitions of the word "unfortunately".

    Personally I think Russians killing Ukrainians is more unfortunate than Russians killing Russians.
    You have no compassion or regard for human life. You disgust me and you disgust good men like kinabalu.
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    RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 27,479
    Leon said:

    We could get a civil war with both sides in possession of nukes. Indeed that is quite likely

    A novel situation and possibly not ideal

    Hopefully Denzel Washington will be on hand to stop Gene Hackman firing the nukes.
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    LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 15,704
    Okay, Wagner is now mining the supply routes from Rostov towards occupied Ukraine.

    Wonder how many days worth of fuel and ammunition Russian forces in Ukraine have got?
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    Theshard said:

    This, unforrunately, does look like a civil war *might potentially* develop.

    Unless Progozhin gets his forces to Moscow quickly, or activates any forces if they're already inside Moscow quickly.

    You and I have very different definitions of the word "unfortunately".

    Personally I think Russians killing Ukrainians is more unfortunate than Russians killing Russians.
    You have no compassion or regard for human life. You disgust me and you disgust good men like kinabalu.
    I have a lot of regard for Ukrainian lives, and the way they're fighting off your invaders. 👍
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 36,013
    kle4 said:

    Leon said:

    Ah. Ok. Hmm. Yes


    BREAKING: Unverified reports say #Wagner has captured a military base which contains nuclear arsenal.

    #Russia #RussiaCivilWar #RussiaCoup #RussiaIsCollapsing

    https://twitter.com/jenniferzeng97/status/1672568788703649796?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Less funny.

    What will be very interesting is how Wagner forces hold up should full scale fighting actually break out. We know they can fight, but are their stomachs in this?
    We can assume so. If they win, they get a huge payout. If they lose, they get shot.
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    AramintaMoonbeamQCAramintaMoonbeamQC Posts: 3,646
    edited June 2023
    Sandpit said:

    Another Russian government VIP jet out of Moscow, following the other two towards St Pete.
    https://www.flightradar24.com/RSD697/30da7e35

    Twitter sources believe this is Putin on the run.

    Updated: this is coming from Ukrainian goverment sources.
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