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The July 20th by-elections – latest betting – politicalbetting.com

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  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Of all the the specimens of misplaced self importance on here, the idea that the Russian state is going to sick a series of Olgino trolls on to this musty corner of the internet is the most risible. The chances of *insert vapid username* not being some random or even PB grown troublemaker looking for validation are minuscule.

    No, it’s not self importance. I am near certain we have had actual Russian bots on here. They have certain tells and techniques. You can see them elsewhere - on other forums

    And I believe @rcs1000 can sometimes identify them by the IP address or email addy

    However, in this particular case the botting is so lame I dunno
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    darkage said:

    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Google maps is telling me about 7.5 hours from Voronezh to Moscow.
    Fastest route avoids road closure in E115.

    If Putin commands the air (looks like he does) then the convoys will be obliterated before they get anywhere near Moscow. Wagner surely have a plan for this. Insurrection at air bases? Aircraft of their own?
    Who knows ?
    It’s basically a battle of confidence at this point. If enough of the regular army stays loyal and fights, it’s over; if they don’t, it’s over for Putin.

    Wagner’s social media game is definitely superior. It’s not impossible for it to be the first military coup where that’s decisive.
    As I recall from previous discussions bombing these convoys from the air is not possible because the precision isn't good enough. That is why the traffic jam in to Kiev last year wasn't just bombed from the air.
    Seems unlikely.
    If you have enough kit, carpeting a road isn’t hard.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,802
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    stodge said:

    MaxPB said:

    Theshard said:

    superiority and the ability to discover and destroy enemy troop concentrations and supply depots får behind the frontline. Good Russian reconnaissance makes strategic, and often even tactical, surprise nearly impossible. Russia also have a clear advantage in artillery. Russian air superiority and good reconnaissance makes Ukrainian attacks very hard. Especially since there are enormous amounts of mines everywhere. The UkrAF also seems to lack good Air Defence at the frontline. Russian losses of aircrafts has been very low. When Ukrainian ground units attack they must attack through mine fields since they can't demine them in advance due to Russian fire control. Ukrainian forces can't concentrate in huge numbers since they will be discovered in advance if they do that. The Ukrainians have to rush through the minefields with limited resources and hope that their follow up reinforcements don't get to mauled by Russian air power and artillery. If the Ukrainian forces are strong enough RuAF retreat and their old positions become an artillery trap. After a while the newly captured Ukrainian position is transformed to a moon landscape and Russian forces counterattack. Mostly they succeeds in recapturing lost territory and the Ukrainians withdraw. Sometimes Ukrainian units hold on to newly captured positions and move the frontline one or two kilometers, but to a high price. During these 19 days Ukraine has fought an uphill battle, which seemed doomed from the start. The result is probably clearly higher casualties among the Ukrainians, than by the Russian side. This means that UkrAF becomes weaker in comparison to the RuAF. That's one goal not achieved. If the other goals where successful you could accept normal losses, but that's not the case. Ukrainian territorial gains, both on the Southern and Eastern fronts has been minimal and nothing indicates that will change. That in combination with high losses, especially losses on video, destroys all possibility of a propaganda victory. Now Ukraine must try to hide the failed counteroffensive by denying it's existence and downplaying the losses. Ukraine and its supporters still dominate western media so they might have some success there. But doubts will grow even in the west, that the war is winnable and worth spending huge resources on.

    RusGPT not brilliant is it.
    About as good as some incoherent drivel this morning, clearly produced by AI, claiming 20% of public sector workers did nothing and could be sacked without there being any difference to public services.
    What do we do today that we didn't do in 2015 that requires 1m more people to be employed by the state? I'm not suggesting we go to 1980s level of staffing, just back to 2015.
    Where on earth are we employing 1 million more people - got a link? Because in no sector that I can think of are numbers higher?

    Local government fewer
    Nhs reliant on agency staff
    Schools cutting staff to cover energy and other costs?
    Social care needing even more agency staff..
    Just going by the ONS report on public sector employment.
  • Yeah well fuck you haters, I am able to spend my time in the company with beautiful women.

    Logged into the wrong account? Are you trying to say you're theshard, or are you just wanting the attention he's getting?
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931

    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    stodge said:

    MaxPB said:

    Theshard said:

    superiority and the ability to discover and destroy enemy troop concentrations and supply depots får behind the frontline. Good Russian reconnaissance makes strategic, and often even tactical, surprise nearly impossible. Russia also have a clear advantage in artillery. Russian air superiority and good reconnaissance makes Ukrainian attacks very hard. Especially since there are enormous amounts of mines everywhere. The UkrAF also seems to lack good Air Defence at the frontline. Russian losses of aircrafts has been very low. When Ukrainian ground units attack they must attack through mine fields since they can't demine them in advance due to Russian fire control. Ukrainian forces can't concentrate in huge numbers since they will be discovered in advance if they do that. The Ukrainians have to rush through the minefields with limited resources and hope that their follow up reinforcements don't get to mauled by Russian air power and artillery. If the Ukrainian forces are strong enough RuAF retreat and their old positions become an artillery trap. After a while the newly captured Ukrainian position is transformed to a moon landscape and Russian forces counterattack. Mostly they succeeds in recapturing lost territory and the Ukrainians withdraw. Sometimes Ukrainian units hold on to newly captured positions and move the frontline one or two kilometers, but to a high price. During these 19 days Ukraine has fought an uphill battle, which seemed doomed from the start. The result is probably clearly higher casualties among the Ukrainians, than by the Russian side. This means that UkrAF becomes weaker in comparison to the RuAF. That's one goal not achieved. If the other goals where successful you could accept normal losses, but that's not the case. Ukrainian territorial gains, both on the Southern and Eastern fronts has been minimal and nothing indicates that will change. That in combination with high losses, especially losses on video, destroys all possibility of a propaganda victory. Now Ukraine must try to hide the failed counteroffensive by denying it's existence and downplaying the losses. Ukraine and its supporters still dominate western media so they might have some success there. But doubts will grow even in the west, that the war is winnable and worth spending huge resources on.

    RusGPT not brilliant is it.
    About as good as some incoherent drivel this morning, clearly produced by AI, claiming 20% of public sector workers did nothing and could be sacked without there being any difference to public services.
    What do we do today that we didn't do in 2015 that requires 1m more people to be employed by the state? I'm not suggesting we go to 1980s level of staffing, just back to 2015.
    Where on earth are we employing 1 million more people - got a link? Because in no sector that I can think of are numbers higher?

    Local government fewer
    Nhs reliant on agency staff
    Schools cutting staff to cover energy and other costs?
    Social care needing even more agency staff..
    Public Sector Employment by Sector; Central Gov; UK; HC; SA; Thousands

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/publicsectorpersonnel/timeseries/g6nq/pse

    Looks like 800k more than 2015, 1 million more than 2012.
    That’s a lot of SPADs.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Nigelb said:

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    One is never too old to enjoy the company of beautiful women, surely ?
    Well, I think in the case of The Shard,he would enjoy it, and was just feeling wistful that it wasn't happening because he has to earn a bare (sic) living trying to troll Internet forums.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    kle4 said:

    I agree its absurd someone would pay others to waste time on a blog

    I didn't even realise it was a career path. I feel cheated.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    boulay said:

    Nigelb said:

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    One is never too old to enjoy the company of beautiful women, surely ?
    Berlusconi is.
    Not a regular poster these days, though.
  • StuartinromfordStuartinromford Posts: 17,218
    eek said:

    MaxPB said:

    stodge said:

    MaxPB said:

    Theshard said:

    superiority and the ability to discover and destroy enemy troop concentrations and supply depots får behind the frontline. Good Russian reconnaissance makes strategic, and often even tactical, surprise nearly impossible. Russia also have a clear advantage in artillery. Russian air superiority and good reconnaissance makes Ukrainian attacks very hard. Especially since there are enormous amounts of mines everywhere. The UkrAF also seems to lack good Air Defence at the frontline. Russian losses of aircrafts has been very low. When Ukrainian ground units attack they must attack through mine fields since they can't demine them in advance due to Russian fire control. Ukrainian forces can't concentrate in huge numbers since they will be discovered in advance if they do that. The Ukrainians have to rush through the minefields with limited resources and hope that their follow up reinforcements don't get to mauled by Russian air power and artillery. If the Ukrainian forces are strong enough RuAF retreat and their old positions become an artillery trap. After a while the newly captured Ukrainian position is transformed to a moon landscape and Russian forces counterattack. Mostly they succeeds in recapturing lost territory and the Ukrainians withdraw. Sometimes Ukrainian units hold on to newly captured positions and move the frontline one or two kilometers, but to a high price. During these 19 days Ukraine has fought an uphill battle, which seemed doomed from the start. The result is probably clearly higher casualties among the Ukrainians, than by the Russian side. This means that UkrAF becomes weaker in comparison to the RuAF. That's one goal not achieved. If the other goals where successful you could accept normal losses, but that's not the case. Ukrainian territorial gains, both on the Southern and Eastern fronts has been minimal and nothing indicates that will change. That in combination with high losses, especially losses on video, destroys all possibility of a propaganda victory. Now Ukraine must try to hide the failed counteroffensive by denying it's existence and downplaying the losses. Ukraine and its supporters still dominate western media so they might have some success there. But doubts will grow even in the west, that the war is winnable and worth spending huge resources on.

    RusGPT not brilliant is it.
    About as good as some incoherent drivel this morning, clearly produced by AI, claiming 20% of public sector workers did nothing and could be sacked without there being any difference to public services.
    What do we do today that we didn't do in 2015 that requires 1m more people to be employed by the state? I'm not suggesting we go to 1980s level of staffing, just back to 2015.
    Where on earth are we employing 1 million more people - got a link? Because in no sector that I can think of are numbers higher?

    Local government fewer
    Nhs reliant on agency staff
    Schools cutting staff to cover energy and other costs?
    Social care needing even more agency staff..
    It's plausible that some of them are here:

    Numbers spiked again from mid-2020 and there are currently around 99,000 more officials than in mid-2016. Some of this further increase will have been due to the Covid pandemic but most will now be required by Brexit. Brexit seems to have required the recruitment of approaching 100,000 officials - a great deal more than the c.60,000 employed by 'Brussels' to carry out all centralised EU functions. Assuming a cost/head of £40k to include salaries, accommodation, employers' pension contributions & NIC, etc., Brexit appears to cost approaching £4 billion pa in staff costs alone.


    https://www.civilservant.org.uk/information-numbers.html
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401

    Yeah well fuck you haters, I am able to spend my time in the company with beautiful women.

    I spend all week in the company of beautiful women at work.
    Fortunately it's the weekend.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855

    Yeah well fuck you haters, I am able to spend my time in the company with beautiful women.

    Time in the company? Me too, until #metoo.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw
  • CorrectHorseBatCorrectHorseBat Posts: 1,761

    Yeah well fuck you haters, I am able to spend my time in the company with beautiful women.

    Logged into the wrong account? Are you trying to say you're theshard, or are you just wanting the attention he's getting?
    I am thirsty for those beautiful women he gets
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083

    Sandpit said:

    Damnit why have I been banned from watching RT? It would be great to turn it on and watch what is *really* happening, with Alex Salmond and George Galloway giving us the truth.

    It’s still there, even if no-one is watching…
    https://www.rt.com/on-air/
    Thanks! I am watching! "WAGNER MUTINY" is their strapline.

    UPDATE - they are confirming that Putin is absolutely winning, seizing all of the assets of the evil Wagner. Huzzah!
    I assume it one of those situations where it is no big deal and all is in hand, yet also the West is behind it and this is a terrible outrage. Like how they talk about sending Leopard 2's being a tremndous escalation the West will rue, but also it's nothing because mighty Russian tanks eat those for breakfast.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Why St Petersburg? Where would he go from there? Kaliningrad and make a redoubt?
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    It should be the standard copypasta for everyone who flounces.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,553
    Theshard said:

    I saw a photo of rcs the other day and thought theres the face of a man whos wife married him for money.

    What's the atmosphere like in Moscow?
  • Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Back to where he was born, and was traumatised as a child by the rats in his doorway.

    Maybe he has more support there.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    That'd be insane! What possible way could he spin that?
  • TheshardTheshard Posts: 50

    Yeah well fuck you haters, I am able to spend my time in the company with beautiful women.

    Logged into the wrong account? Are you trying to say you're theshard, or are you just wanting the attention he's getting?
    Hes saying hes a young virile man unlike someone like you. Wheres your viagra mate.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Back to where he was born, and was traumatised as a child by the rats in his doorway.

    Maybe he has more support there.
    Well, if the rats are nearly to Moscow...
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,421
    Andy_JS said:

    Theshard said:

    I saw a photo of rcs the other day and thought theres the face of a man whos wife married him for money.

    What's the atmosphere like in Moscow?
    He probably can't answer, because he's pegging it onto the plane for the flight to St. Petersburg.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Why St Petersburg? Where would he go from there? Kaliningrad and make a redoubt?
    It’s his birthplace and hometown and very much Putin Central. If he wants absolute loyalty that’s where he’ll find it

    Of course, thus rumour of him flying there could be total crap. If he has done it, then he is in deep trouble because it looks seriously weak and frit
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,133
    edited June 2023
    The attacks from the air don't seem very concerted.

    It doesn't seem that Putin has much support, to me.
  • TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    The person recording this video comments the Wagner PMC convoy keeps moving like this past her for more than 30 minutes already. In Voronezh, toward Moscow.
    https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672559033906270213
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Why St Petersburg? Where would he go from there? Kaliningrad and make a redoubt?
    It’s his birthplace and hometown and very much Putin Central. If he wants absolute loyalty that’s where he’ll find it

    Of course, thus rumour of him flying there could be total crap. If he has done it, then he is in deep trouble because it looks seriously weak and frit
    I wonder if Rishi Sunak is advising him?
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Disappointing he's not going to singlehandedly defend Moscow half-naked on horseback.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
  • TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
  • stodgestodge Posts: 13,874
    MaxPB said:

    stodge said:

    MaxPB said:

    Theshard said:

    superiority and the ability to discover and destroy enemy troop concentrations and supply depots får behind the frontline. Good Russian reconnaissance makes strategic, and often even tactical, surprise nearly impossible. Russia also have a clear advantage in artillery. Russian air superiority and good reconnaissance makes Ukrainian attacks very hard. Especially since there are enormous amounts of mines everywhere. The UkrAF also seems to lack good Air Defence at the frontline. Russian losses of aircrafts has been very low. When Ukrainian ground units attack they must attack through mine fields since they can't demine them in advance due to Russian fire control. Ukrainian forces can't concentrate in huge numbers since they will be discovered in advance if they do that. The Ukrainians have to rush through the minefields with limited resources and hope that their follow up reinforcements don't get to mauled by Russian air power and artillery. If the Ukrainian forces are strong enough RuAF retreat and their old positions become an artillery trap. After a while the newly captured Ukrainian position is transformed to a moon landscape and Russian forces counterattack. Mostly they succeeds in recapturing lost territory and the Ukrainians withdraw. Sometimes Ukrainian units hold on to newly captured positions and move the frontline one or two kilometers, but to a high price. During these 19 days Ukraine has fought an uphill battle, which seemed doomed from the start. The result is probably clearly higher casualties among the Ukrainians, than by the Russian side. This means that UkrAF becomes weaker in comparison to the RuAF. That's one goal not achieved. If the other goals where successful you could accept normal losses, but that's not the case. Ukrainian territorial gains, both on the Southern and Eastern fronts has been minimal and nothing indicates that will change. That in combination with high losses, especially losses on video, destroys all possibility of a propaganda victory. Now Ukraine must try to hide the failed counteroffensive by denying it's existence and downplaying the losses. Ukraine and its supporters still dominate western media so they might have some success there. But doubts will grow even in the west, that the war is winnable and worth spending huge resources on.

    RusGPT not brilliant is it.
    About as good as some incoherent drivel this morning, clearly produced by AI, claiming 20% of public sector workers did nothing and could be sacked without there being any difference to public services.
    What do we do today that we didn't do in 2015 that requires 1m more people to be employed by the state? I'm not suggesting we go to 1980s level of staffing, just back to 2015.
    Unfortunately the term "public sector" is doing a lot of heavy lifting.

    It's easy to generalise and claim everyone paid by the State is a public sector worker but you'd then have to look at who funds what and how?

    I can't speak for central Government - presuambly including the Police, NHS, Armed Forces as well as what are called "civil servants". In local Government, the numbers employed are DOWN by nearly a million since 2010. Local councils have lost a third of their pre-Coalition work force and if you want to know what happened to austerity, it didn't impact council services directly but council wage bills in terms of jobs lost.

    It was the employed local Government work force who took the brunt of austerity - the Coalition couldn't or wouldn't cut Services. The modern incarnation of the Conservative Party is if anything more two-faced about local services - on the one hand it wants them run efficiently but on the other the level of Ministerial interference in the provision of those services is unprecedented.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,561
    Nigelb said:

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    One is never too old to enjoy the company of beautiful women, surely ?
    Does the price get cheaper as you get older?

    Just asking for a friend....
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714

    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    The Russian regime army has started to target random civilian cars in Voronezh. It is hell.
    https://twitter.com/Tendar/status/1672548978502815744
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    edited June 2023
    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain

    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    You know what? I believe you.
  • MiklosvarMiklosvar Posts: 1,855
    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    😆

    In fact I bought her outright at one stage. I eventually got bored of her, und Isolde.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    No, no, don't be silly. Turkmenistan's are far better.

    Borat told us so.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,748
    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Unwise for large language models to attempt humour. It's a very human thing.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,991

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Disappointing he's not going to singlehandedly defend Moscow half-naked on horseback.
    Couldn't he challenge the chef to a MMA cage fight for title of leader of Russia?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,253
    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Theshard said:

    That shoot-down sounds more worrying, if that's right, because as i understand it Voronezh is nearer Moscow than Ukraine.

    Let's hope for a more peaceful transfer of power, because in a country as vast and well-armed as Russia, even with thugs like Progozhin, that would be preferable.

    A transfer of power is ideal yes, but a few dead scorpions along the way isn't the worst thing in the world to undermine any potential for continued war effort afterwards.

    Especially if its valuable military hardware that is destroyed, with no dead Ukrainians on either side of the conflict.
    It depends, though, because the dynamics of these thing can be very hard to control once they get underway.

    It could be either a very quick palace coup, or a long and bloody civil conflict. To be honest I think those two options are the most likely.
    Win/win either way then.

    A quick palace coup is great, get rid of Putin.

    A long and bloody civil conflict is great. Russians fighting Russians is infinitely better than Russians fighting Ukrainians.
    Really i think you guys are getting too excited by this. I imagine this will all be over by the end of the weekend.
    Welcome. The Questions -

    1) is pineapple on pizza a war crime?

    Please get some new material.
    Kiwi fruit.
    Might give a chap a nasty flashback to some real sharp Kiwi fruit….
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    Here we go!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    Whoops.

    If that has indeed happened I think our bot was actually right. This will be finished by Monday.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Haha, because they are chlamydia infested skanks. Not surprise someone so lacking in manhood as yourself has to pay for sex. They probably give a discount because of your premature eruption.

    Slava Ukraini!
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931
    Nigelb said:

    boulay said:

    Nigelb said:

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    One is never too old to enjoy the company of beautiful women, surely ?
    Berlusconi is.
    Not a regular poster these days, though.
    Or even a poster boy!
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,133
    edited June 2023
    Lipetsk seems to about 50 or 60 miles north of Voronezh.

    They're still moving quite steadily, and definitely not being destroyed by aircraft, on any major scale, anyway.

  • Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    Believable actually.

    POVVPWAS.
  • TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    Medvedev warned of a global catastrophe The betrayal of the founder of PMC "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin and the coming split are the path to a universal catastrophe. This was stated by Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. He called for rallying around Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent such an outcome.


  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,793

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Disappointing he's not going to singlehandedly defend Moscow half-naked on horseback.
    He's going to struggle to do that while remaining a full table length from all enemies.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,748
    edited June 2023
    Nigelb said:

    The person recording this video comments the Wagner PMC convoy keeps moving like this past her for more than 30 minutes already. In Voronezh, toward Moscow.
    https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672559033906270213

    The BBC reckons it has verified the convoy at a location in Lipetsk oblast. Unfortunately doesn't say where, but that would be between 50 and 150km north of Voronezh.

    Quite remarkable.
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,913


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    If true, then Putin was probably on one of those Planes escaping to his stronghold in St Petersburg. Will he be able to fight on from there?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    Theshard said:

    Medvedev warned of a global catastrophe The betrayal of the founder of PMC "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin and the coming split are the path to a universal catastrophe. This was stated by Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. He called for rallying around Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent such an outcome.

    Medvedev and Putin, have indeed overseen a global catastrophe.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    If true, then Putin was probably on one of those Planes escaping to his stronghold in St Petersburg. Will he be able to fight on from there?
    Plane went off the radar near one of his many homes according to twitter.
  • TheshardTheshard Posts: 50
    boulay said:

    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Good to see a young man praise his mother.
    Do you have any sense of morality or decency.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,253
    Cicero said:

    The leaders of the regime are fleeing. Putin denied entry to KZ, came to Valday to pick up Alina and kids, no one knows where he is going next. Medvedev evacuating.

    This is looking increasingly terminal.

    We should grant Putin asylum. Just so the Ben can greet him at the airport with the Scots Guards band playing “How Do You Like Me Now?”
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    edited June 2023
    Theshard said:

    boulay said:

    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Good to see a young man praise his mother.
    Do you have any sense of morality or decency.
    You were just praising the use of prostitutes - is that moral and decent, good sir?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    If true, then Putin was probably on one of those Planes escaping to his stronghold in St Petersburg. Will he be able to fight on from there?
    Didn't end well when the Tsar tried it.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    edited June 2023


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,748
    Theshard said:

    Medvedev warned of a global catastrophe The betrayal of the founder of PMC "Wagner" Yevgeny Prigozhin and the coming split are the path to a universal catastrophe. This was stated by Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation Dmitry Medvedev. He called for rallying around Russian President Vladimir Putin to prevent such an outcome.


    Sounds desperate and panic-stricken.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
    Again, the Petrograd garrison, 1917.

    Why did they mutiny?

    Because they had been told they were about to be sent to the Front.
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,553
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Why St Petersburg? Where would he go from there? Kaliningrad and make a redoubt?
    He wouldn't want to be stuck in Kaliningrad with no way to get out apart form a narrow air corridor.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,788
    Mr. Malmesbury, maybe seeing the world famous Salisbury Cathedral will give Putin some cheer.
  • boulayboulay Posts: 5,486
    Theshard said:

    boulay said:

    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Good to see a young man praise his mother.
    Do you have any sense of morality or decency.
    No. None at all. That’s why I’m able to lower myself to using your mother.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,748

    Cicero said:

    The leaders of the regime are fleeing. Putin denied entry to KZ, came to Valday to pick up Alina and kids, no one knows where he is going next. Medvedev evacuating.

    This is looking increasingly terminal.

    We should grant Putin asylum. Just so the Ben can greet him at the airport with the Scots Guards band playing “How Do You Like Me Now?”
    Would the Ride of the Valkyries be more appropriate?
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,253
    dixiedean said:

    Theshard said:

    Remember the cia will be spreading false rumours to try to destabilise the situation.

    How dashed unsporting.
    Quite. British Intelligence has first dibs on destabilising Russia.

    CIA butting in, is shooting across a fellows line. Dashed poor form. Tut tut.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,793
    Anyway, friends, look where I am:
    imaget/5020679/uploads/editor/0h/s4fpus35cci3.jpg" alt="" />


    STOCKPORT. Believe the hype.


  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Another slow news day in the Silly Season. Same every year
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070

    Nigelb said:

    Theshard said:

    Time for you guys to get your excitement elsewhere....thankfully im young and handsome enough to enjoy time with beautiful women...some of you guys not so much.

    Greatest post of all time.
    One is never too old to enjoy the company of beautiful women, surely ?
    Does the price get cheaper as you get older?

    Just asking for a friend....
    I don’t usually charge.
  • Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
    The claims are believable based on the pace the force is making its way up the M4. They're clearly not stopping to fight Russian Army units, so either the Russian Army units are scarpering and getting the hell out of dodge, or they're joining with Wagner. Either way, it doesn't bode well for Vlad.

    You couldn't get to Bristol on the M4 as fast as Wagner are travelling.
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Ivan the Terrible, Catherine the Great, Dmitry Medvedev, Vladimir Solovyov, Olga Skabeyeva, Alexei Gudoshnikov, Aleksandr Dugin, we have beaten them all.

    Vladimir Putin, can you hear me? Can you hear me? I have a message for you. Old man Biden has knocked you out of Ukraine! Your boys took a hell of a beating! Your boys took a hell of a beating!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 59,928
    Aw, in the interest of ongoing events, couldn’t we have kept him a little longer?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    So Putin has failed to match Stalin, who could have been said to be supreme leader for 24 years and five months ish.

    Putin managed twenty three and six.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
    I would imagine most soldiers do as they are told, and if their commander suddenly told them to upsticks and join a convoy to Moscow they'd do so.

    But as you note Wagner do kind of need to suggest this is happen even if (especially if) it is not - since momentum is key.

    Not Momentum, but I'm sure they are upset that Putin is having some difficulties.
  • ChrisChris Posts: 11,748


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    Believable actually.

    POVVPWAS.
    If they haven't actually switched sides, they've just waved them through on their way to Moscow with an "OK guv, nothing to do with me"!
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,253
    Sandpit said:

    Theshard said:

    This is what is circulating on twitter now.

    think it's something different. I think this is part of the Ukrainian counteroffensive. I bet all 6.2 billion of that Pentagon accounting error have gone directly into Prigozhin's bank account. This was the ace up their sleave, and the just played it. The timing is suspicious.

    11:02 AM · Jun 24, 2023

    Well, if you’re relying on a bunch on mercenaries to do your dirty work, you’re also relying on no-one giving those same mercenaries a much better offer.
    Machiavelli pointed out the obvious flaw with mercenaries (and their commanders) - their loyalty is rented, not owned.

    He did have a fair number of examples to hand, so this was hardly rocket science.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,385
    RobD said:

    Aw, in the interest of ongoing events, couldn’t we have kept him a little longer?

    He made it to three hours and fifty posts.

    Not sure whether that was because we were having so much fun or whether RCS was having a day off, but it's still an impressive record.
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,793
    Cookie said:

    Anyway, friends, look where I am:
    imaget/5020679/uploads/editor/0h/s4fpus35cci3.jpg" alt="" />


    STOCKPORT. Believe the hype.




    This is all quite ridiculously pleasant.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,991

    dixiedean said:

    Theshard said:

    Remember the cia will be spreading false rumours to try to destabilise the situation.

    How dashed unsporting.
    Quite. British Intelligence has first dibs on destabilising Russia.

    CIA butting in, is shooting across a fellows line. Dashed poor form. Tut tut.
    I notice BBC choice of expert with Christopher Steele. Thought that was an "interesting" choice.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714

    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    8m
    BREAKING:

    The Russian Army has started building machine gun positions on the south-western entrances on the ring-road to Moscow.

    It’s the expected attack direction of the Wagner Group.

    Is the Battle of Moscow about to happen?
  • logical_songlogical_song Posts: 9,913

    Cicero said:

    The leaders of the regime are fleeing. Putin denied entry to KZ, came to Valday to pick up Alina and kids, no one knows where he is going next. Medvedev evacuating.

    This is looking increasingly terminal.

    We should grant Putin asylum. Just so the Ben can greet him at the airport with the Scots Guards band playing “How Do You Like Me Now?”
    Or The Netherlands - handy for The Hague.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Aw, in the interest of ongoing events, couldn’t we have kept him a little longer?

    He made it to three hours and fifty posts.

    Not sure whether that was because we were having so much fun or whether RCS was having a day off, but it's still an impressive record.
    He even got away with a direct insult at a mod

    I kinda liked him, partly because he was so confused and crap. He went from saying it was all nothing to furiously blaming the CIA for destroying Russia - in about 90 minutes
  • WillGWillG Posts: 2,366
    Theshard said:

    boulay said:

    Theshard said:

    ydoethur said:

    Theshard said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Dont get too excited men. Go to your local crack open a beer and ogle the beautiful women. If you get lonely i know someone good who charges 300 an hour.
    That's what she tells you.

    For everyone else it's £50.
    Russian prostitutes are known as the best throughout the world.
    Good to see a young man praise his mother.
    Do you have any sense of morality or decency.
    Yes, we do. We are the British and you should NEVER HAVE FUCKED WITH US. Putin has found out what Napoleon, Wilhelm and Hitler found out before us. FUCK AROUND AND FIND OUT.

    THIS IS LITVINENKO'S REVENGE.
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714
    Be fascinating to be a fly on the wall in the Oval Office this afternoon.

  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931
    Cookie said:

    Leon said:

    They seem very certain



    BREAKING:

    Putin’s plane has left Moscow for St. Petersburg.

    Looks like he is fleeing from the advancing Wagner Group military column


    https://twitter.com/visegrad24/status/1672572459076206592?s=46&t=bulOICNH15U6kB0MwE6Lfw

    Disappointing he's not going to singlehandedly defend Moscow half-naked on horseback.
    He's going to struggle to do that while remaining a full table length from all enemies.
    Maybe he has an extra long rapier.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    Interesting that there’s a couple of bizjets going the wrong way, from St P down to Moscow.

    Will they find out when they arrive, that Moscow is about to be under siege, and they need to get the Hell out of there?
  • rottenboroughrottenborough Posts: 62,714
    Leon said:

    ydoethur said:

    RobD said:

    Aw, in the interest of ongoing events, couldn’t we have kept him a little longer?

    He made it to three hours and fifty posts.

    Not sure whether that was because we were having so much fun or whether RCS was having a day off, but it's still an impressive record.
    He even got away with a direct insult at a mod

    I kinda liked him, partly because he was so confused and crap. He went from saying it was all nothing to furiously blaming the CIA for destroying Russia - in about 90 minutes
    Probably an accurate summary of what Putin is thinking.
  • ohnotnowohnotnow Posts: 3,784

    Cicero said:

    The leaders of the regime are fleeing. Putin denied entry to KZ, came to Valday to pick up Alina and kids, no one knows where he is going next. Medvedev evacuating.

    This is looking increasingly terminal.

    We should grant Putin asylum. Just so the Ben can greet him at the airport with the Scots Guards band playing “How Do You Like Me Now?”
    I was trying to think where he could do a runner to if that's how things play out. Couldn't think of many places that would take on the hassle. N.Korea and Iran were the two that seemed faintly plausible. I couldn't picture China taking him unless it was on the hush-hush.
  • "guys are dying because you're throwing them into the meat grinder" - Prigozhin in a video Wagner just released.

    Doesn't sound like someone keen to continue this stupid war.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
    Again, the Petrograd garrison, 1917.

    Why did they mutiny?

    Because they had been told they were about to be sent to the Front.
    Once authority start to ebb, it does so very quickly.
    Why fight and die for the loser ? Far safer to sit in the barracks until it’s over - or if you’re brave and ambitious, join the rebels.

    When the alternative is possibly years more on the Ukraine front, where’s the incentive not to at least tacitly encourage the coup ?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585

    Be fascinating to be a fly on the wall in the Oval Office this afternoon.

    G7 defence ministers, have apparently just been on a conference call.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    8m
    BREAKING:

    The Russian Army has started building machine gun positions on the south-western entrances on the ring-road to Moscow.

    It’s the expected attack direction of the Wagner Group.

    Is the Battle of Moscow about to happen?

    Around midnight, apparently

    "The Russian insurgent forces are at Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, and only 320km away from Moscow. If it continues like that, they might be even before midnight in Moscow.

    #Russia #Lipetsk #Coup"

    https://twitter.com/_k_rajput/status/1672584759409623042?s=20
  • CookieCookie Posts: 13,793
    ydoethur said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    If true, then Putin was probably on one of those Planes escaping to his stronghold in St Petersburg. Will he be able to fight on from there?
    Didn't end well when the Tsar tried it.
    Well he's from St.P.
    I'm not convinced they actually like him there any more than anywhere else.
  • dixiedeandixiedean Posts: 29,401
    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    2m
    BREAKING:

    The Wagner Group has announced that most of the Russian Army units in the Lipetsk region have switched sides and joined the Wagner Group military column heading toward Moscow

    1. It is Visegrad, and they can be quite excitable if not outright mendacious

    2. Wagner Group would say this, wouldn't they?

    3. Bloody hell Ken, what if it's true??

    It does make some sense. If you're a young Russian male about to be thrown into the meat-paste-machine that is Ukraine, why not throw in your lot with Wagner, and hopefully avoid a real war altogether. It's a massive risk, but then so is fighting enraged Ukrainians with NATO weapons
    Again, the Petrograd garrison, 1917.

    Why did they mutiny?

    Because they had been told they were about to be sent to the Front.
    Once authority start to ebb, it does so very quickly.
    Why fight and die for the loser ? Far safer to sit in the barracks until it’s over - or if you’re brave and ambitious, join the rebels.

    When the alternative is possibly years more on the Ukraine front, where’s the incentive not to at least tacitly encourage the coup ?
    Course.
    If you haven't received orders then you don't have to obey.
    Whether anyone is prepared to give any is the question.
  • FairlieredFairliered Posts: 4,931
    Cookie said:

    Cookie said:

    Anyway, friends, look where I am:
    imaget/5020679/uploads/editor/0h/s4fpus35cci3.jpg" alt="" />


    STOCKPORT. Believe the hype.




    This is all quite ridiculously pleasant.
    Looks a lot nicer that some of the dumps that Leon gets posted to.
  • Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    8m
    BREAKING:

    The Russian Army has started building machine gun positions on the south-western entrances on the ring-road to Moscow.

    It’s the expected attack direction of the Wagner Group.

    Is the Battle of Moscow about to happen?

    Around midnight, apparently

    "The Russian insurgent forces are at Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, and only 320km away from Moscow. If it continues like that, they might be even before midnight in Moscow.

    #Russia #Lipetsk #Coup"

    https://twitter.com/_k_rajput/status/1672584759409623042?s=20
    The 3 day march on Kyiv didn't exactly go to plan.

    Is the march on Moscow even going to take 72 hours?
  • eekeek Posts: 28,370
    Sandpit said:

    Interesting that there’s a couple of bizjets going the wrong way, from St P down to Moscow.

    Will they find out when they arrive, that Moscow is about to be under siege, and they need to get the Hell out of there?

    Or were the planes in the wrong place so need to rapidly pick some people up..
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,083
    Leon said:


    Visegrád 24
    @visegrad24
    ·
    8m
    BREAKING:

    The Russian Army has started building machine gun positions on the south-western entrances on the ring-road to Moscow.

    It’s the expected attack direction of the Wagner Group.

    Is the Battle of Moscow about to happen?

    Around midnight, apparently

    "The Russian insurgent forces are at Yelets, Lipetsk Oblast, and only 320km away from Moscow. If it continues like that, they might be even before midnight in Moscow.

    #Russia #Lipetsk #Coup"

    https://twitter.com/_k_rajput/status/1672584759409623042?s=20
    They'll have been on the road all day, best to agree to have a kip and sort things out in the morning.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 54,585
    Russian mil transporter heading north-east out of Moscow.
    https://www.flightradar24.com/30dab3b4

    Is the St P fleet departure a red herring, and he’s actually heading to Siberia?
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