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Another demonstration of Tory ruthlessness – politicalbetting.com

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  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    BTW - I have just seen the utter duds Sunak has appointed; Braverman, Shapps, Cleverly and Raab in top posts.

    I will not be expecting much from this lot. Perhaps their purpose is to act as a warning to future generations?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528
    edited October 2022
    I'm slightly surprised to see people shocked that Braverman is back, this is the cost of doing business for Rishi. We all said how massively significant it was that she backed him instead of Boris, was anyone really that naïve that they thought it was a freebie?

    Politics is a messy business and sometimes getting down in the mud is the only way to win. Rishi showed he was a grown up rather than playing student politics by getting political enemies like SB on side. Is it ideal? Obviously not, but the alternative is Boris bringing back Priti or SB for HS. SB was the kingmaker, this was her price.
  • Eabhal said:

    MattW said:

    Looking at the piccies, I see a military uniform I don't recognise. Can anyone help?



    It looks very @TSE , especially the white leather boots.

    Royal Regiment of Scotland. You can tell by the kilt.
    Government tartan.

    Have a scarf with same pattern, which I'm wearing to local election office today, due to the blue!
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,238

    I think it was @Leon who commented that of course Sunak's critics are the ones who would not vote conservative

    Given that polling currently shows that as 75% of the population, I wouldn’t dismiss their opinions quite so airily.
  • numbertwelvenumbertwelve Posts: 6,772
    RH1992 said:

    Penny staying as Leader of the HoC, seems like a punishment!

    https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1584942892489244674

    Deserves more, but oh well.
  • Alistair said:

    Sorry, let's me get this straight he just put Ex-Home Secretary who Resigned in Disgrace Suella Braverman in as Home Secretary?

    Is he speed-running the "Time to Self Sabotage" achievement or what?

    "Resigned in disgrace" bit much. Resigned in way to (help) torpedo the (now ex)PM more like it.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353
    Dura_Ace said:

    MattW said:

    Looking at the piccies, I see a military uniform I don't recognise. Can anyone help?



    It looks very @TSE , especially the white leather boots.

    2A Ceremonial of Royal Regiment of Scotland. Gold aiguilette because he's an equerry.

    He's destroying Sunak (beta cuck) with that handshake.
    aiguillette
    noun
    noun: aiguillette; plural noun: aiguillettes
    an ornament on some military and naval uniforms, consisting of braided loops hanging from the shoulder and on dress uniforms ending in points that resemble pencils.

    We have our winner for word of the day.

    “ Braverman” beaten into second place.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Anything for Disgraced Former Defence Secretary Liam Fox Who Resigned in Disgrace?
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,994
    RH1992 said:

    Penny staying as Leader of the HoC, seems like a punishment!

    https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1584942892489244674

    Ouch.
  • MattWMattW Posts: 22,703
    RH1992 said:

    Penny staying as Leader of the HoC, seems like a punishment!

    https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1584942892489244674

    Who predicted that?

    (By at least 3 minutes)

  • SelebianSelebian Posts: 8,609
    Dura_Ace said:

    MattW said:

    Looking at the piccies, I see a military uniform I don't recognise. Can anyone help?



    It looks very @TSE , especially the white leather boots.

    2A Ceremonial of Royal Regiment of Scotland. Gold aiguilette because he's an equerry.

    He's destroying Sunak (beta cuck) with that handshake.
    What I'm wondering: Why is Arsene Wenger in the car with KCIII? is Charlie a gooner? Or did he get confused and think it was Starmer coming to the palace?

    image
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,753
    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    I was never particularly bothered about immigration and the point of the working holiday visa is that it's still a work permit based scheme and comes with no right to welfare for the three years and it then requires sponsorship to renew for a further three years, that's completely different to free movement, the government still has a big lever to pull on if it doesn't think it's good for the economy or a subset of workers are seeing wage deflation.
    Max you said yourself that it is virtually unlimited, in the millions, while many over stay their visas. That was what you didn't like, but are suggesting the exact same thing for the EU.

    Makes no sense.

    And if I had a penny for every time people posted on here "we love immigration we just want to be able to control it why should those from South Asia be discriminated against?" I would be 0.00000000001x as wealthy as Rishi.
    It's because Indian nationals already have a higher than average tendency to overstay their visas. Suella Braverman was, fairly, pointing that out.

    You're being purposefully obtuse because you know there's no argument to be had here. An Indian person who earns $100/m in India has a huge incentive to get the 3 year visa, overstay and work illegally until they are deported vs a European earning €1500 per month wherever they live and there are, at last count, 1.4bn Indians compared to 300m people in the EU. The pull factor is just hugely different, for most younger Europeans it will be about a cultural exchange, learning English, meeting English and other European young people, for younger Indians it will be a straight up transactional exchange until they are booted out for overstaying their visa. The proposed scheme was a rubbish idea and any trade deal with India which includes it would be a terrible idea.
    Just be logical.

    To say give all EU citizens the theoretical right to come over here in their millions after voting precisely to curtail just that right is just ridiculous.
    Not really, firstly it's a working holiday visa available to people aged 35 or younger, secondly the visa comes with no right to welfare, thirdly to renew it the person needs a sponsored job at the end of the 3 years or they have to go home. It's completely different to free movement of people. You're trying to draw an equivalence because you think it's some kind of huge gotcha moment, but it isn't and it isn't.
    There is of course an equivalence. It is allowing millions of people into the country to work. I don't imagine too many Parisian investment bankers will be coming but maybe for people from Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria it will be very tempting. Millions? Ask Nigel Farage.

    And you are happy for them to come. It isn't a gotcha moment it is a moment to show how absurd the Brexit vote was.
  • kinabalukinabalu Posts: 41,947
    edited October 2022
    For all his personal disappointment at losing cabinet status, Jacob Rees Mogg has the presence of mind and sense of humour to date his resignation letter "Saint Crispin's Day". What a remarkable man he is.
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,280
    Penny punished.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 59,994
    MaxPB said:

    I'm slightly surprised to see people shocked that Braverman is back, this is the cost of doing business for Rishi. We all said how massively significant it was that she backed him instead of Boris, was anyone really that naïve that they thought it was a freebie?

    Politics is a messy business and sometimes getting down in the mud is the only way to win. Rishi showed he was a grown up rather than playing student politics by getting political enemies like SB on side. Is it ideal? Obviously not, but the alternative is Boris bringing back Priti or SB for HS. SB was the kingmaker, this was her price.

    Mordaunt would have probably become FS had she withdrawn on Sunday and backed Sunak, tbh.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,753

    TOPPING said:

    TOPPING said:

    Cookie said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    Again, this is the make-up-your-mind fallacy. There will be diverse opinons within a group, many of which are consisyent over time. This does not equate to a single un-made-up mimd.
    Absolutely. Some of us have been wanting free movement with the EU and more immigration from the rest of the world. But that doesn't seem to fit with Topping's preconceived ideas about Leavers so he would rather pretend we don't exist or that we have had some sort of Damascene conversion.
    Bollocks Richard. Max (a leaver) just said he didn't want millions of Indians coming over here and his solution was to give those very same visas to the EU.

    What's your solution?
    Max is one person. He does not speak for the whole of the Leave movement any more than I do - or any more than you speak for all Remainers. You don't get to pigeon hole people just to fit your own pre-conceived bias. So I am afraid it is you who are talking bollocks.

    Are you a fan of the visas for India?
    I am a fan of both freedom of movement with the EU and more visas for India (and lots of other places). It has been my position - argued against all comers on here, both Leave and Remain supporters - since long before the EU referendum. I think immigration is good for this country and something to be encouraged. Always have done and, I hope, always will.

    I think strong control of borders is good in so far as we need to filter those who intend to do us harm or commit criminal acts (one reason I don't like Schengen) but beyond that I would like to see a default position that people are encouraged to come and work and study here rather than pushed away.
    Thanks for clarifying. You are of course in a minority of leavers but good for you for all that.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,317
    edited October 2022
    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart. Or perhaps we will be surprised...
  • StarryStarry Posts: 110
    So the choice was some humanity as Home Secretary in Mordaunt or continuing the hatred with Braverman. And he picks Cruella??? Disgusting.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,753

    Well I think Sunak will find it hard to convince the public that this is a new-look, revitalised government. He is either being surprisingly foolish, or is in a surprisingly weak position - either way I was hoping for a more convincing team.

    Yep that is a sensible assessment. It is mine also.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555
    Braverman

    Really? That fresh start did not last long.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,037

    Penny stays as leader of the commons

    Penster, you did so well in that outing vs Starmer i simply have to keep you in place!

  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639

    Delighted to see Cruella reappointed to the Home Office. Gift week for Labour.

    Hmm, quite a Cabinet of Curiosities in the old museum sense - not least how many are the same old specimens stil on display. Even if the stuffed giraffe and hippo had a terminal dose of moth/mite/dermestid beetle and had to be chucked.
  • Eabhal said:

    MattW said:

    Looking at the piccies, I see a military uniform I don't recognise. Can anyone help?



    It looks very @TSE , especially the white leather boots.

    Royal Regiment of Scotland. You can tell by the kilt.
    KC3's equerry? Major Eye Candy to his fans, apparently.
    https://graziadaily.co.uk/life/in-the-news/who-is-major-johnny-thompson-king-charles/
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,280
    Despite still being in the Cabinet, Mordaunt's career has clearly hit the buffers. Won't be relevant in the next leadership contest.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,050
    edited October 2022

    Penny punished.

    For some reason, possibly also to do with her fondness for double entendres, I find this sentence vaguely exciting, although I don't really want her to be punished.

    More seriously, she deserved a better job, and is more competent than several of the others appointed to more senior roles.
  • Beibheirli_CBeibheirli_C Posts: 8,163
    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
  • RH1992RH1992 Posts: 788
    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    My interpretation of this is that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    Tim Shipman's assessment seems to be that she knew what she was doing and did it anyway, so I don't think she'd have a problem in doing it again. Definite gift for Labour as they've got another thing to chip away at apart from Rishi himself.

    https://twitter.com/ShippersUnbound/status/1584939423703396352
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    The trouble about appointing factional representatives to Cabinet is that when you fire them for incompetence the whole faction feels like it is being punished.

    I'm genuinely in awe of this appointment. It is breathtaking.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,320
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    I was never particularly bothered about immigration and the point of the working holiday visa is that it's still a work permit based scheme and comes with no right to welfare for the three years and it then requires sponsorship to renew for a further three years, that's completely different to free movement, the government still has a big lever to pull on if it doesn't think it's good for the economy or a subset of workers are seeing wage deflation.
    Max you said yourself that it is virtually unlimited, in the millions, while many over stay their visas. That was what you didn't like, but are suggesting the exact same thing for the EU.

    Makes no sense.

    And if I had a penny for every time people posted on here "we love immigration we just want to be able to control it why should those from South Asia be discriminated against?" I would be 0.00000000001x as wealthy as Rishi.
    It's because Indian nationals already have a higher than average tendency to overstay their visas. Suella Braverman was, fairly, pointing that out.

    You're being purposefully obtuse because you know there's no argument to be had here. An Indian person who earns $100/m in India has a huge incentive to get the 3 year visa, overstay and work illegally until they are deported vs a European earning €1500 per month wherever they live and there are, at last count, 1.4bn Indians compared to 300m people in the EU. The pull factor is just hugely different, for most younger Europeans it will be about a cultural exchange, learning English, meeting English and other European young people, for younger Indians it will be a straight up transactional exchange until they are booted out for overstaying their visa. The proposed scheme was a rubbish idea and any trade deal with India which includes it would be a terrible idea.
    Just be logical.

    To say give all EU citizens the theoretical right to come over here in their millions after voting precisely to curtail just that right is just ridiculous.
    Not really, firstly it's a working holiday visa available to people aged 35 or younger, secondly the visa comes with no right to welfare, thirdly to renew it the person needs a sponsored job at the end of the 3 years or they have to go home. It's completely different to free movement of people. You're trying to draw an equivalence because you think it's some kind of huge gotcha moment, but it isn't and it isn't.
    There is of course an equivalence. It is allowing millions of people into the country to work. I don't imagine too many Parisian investment bankers will be coming but maybe for people from Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria it will be very tempting. Millions? Ask Nigel Farage.

    And you are happy for them to come. It isn't a gotcha moment it is a moment to show how absurd the Brexit vote was.
    It's the difference between having the ability to modify the policy unilaterally based on changing circumstances and being tied in to a political arrangement that cannot be altered.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,320
    Alistair said:

    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    The trouble about appointing factional representatives to Cabinet is that when you fire them for incompetence the whole faction feels like it is being punished.

    I'm genuinely in awe of this appointment. It is breathtaking.
    It's also possible that he actually rates her and agrees with her.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555
    Braverman. :astonished:
  • RH1992 said:

    Penny staying as Leader of the HoC, seems like a punishment!

    https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1584942892489244674

    Ouch.
    It was a bit of a snub when Truss put her there. I do hope that young Master Sunak keeps his petulance in check a bit better than this.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555

    Alistair said:

    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    The trouble about appointing factional representatives to Cabinet is that when you fire them for incompetence the whole faction feels like it is being punished.

    I'm genuinely in awe of this appointment. It is breathtaking.
    It's also possible that he actually rates her and agrees with her.
    That's even more shocking
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,360
    MaxPB said:

    I'm slightly surprised to see people shocked that Braverman is back, this is the cost of doing business for Rishi. We all said how massively significant it was that she backed him instead of Boris, was anyone really that naïve that they thought it was a freebie?

    Politics is a messy business and sometimes getting down in the mud is the only way to win. Rishi showed he was a grown up rather than playing student politics by getting political enemies like SB on side. Is it ideal? Obviously not, but the alternative is Boris bringing back Priti or SB for HS. SB was the kingmaker, this was her price.

    Mud-wrestling with Braverman? Just...no......
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,790
    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154

    Alistair said:

    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    The trouble about appointing factional representatives to Cabinet is that when you fire them for incompetence the whole faction feels like it is being punished.

    I'm genuinely in awe of this appointment. It is breathtaking.
    It's also possible that he actually rates her and agrees with her.
    In that case he's an idiot who shouldn't be PM.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,873

    Alistair said:

    darkage said:

    MaxPB said:

    The Suella appointment is very disappointing and I think is the big story of the reshuffle. And not in a good way.

    Fumbled it, Rishi…

    And yet the alternative was Priti Patel returning under Boris next Monday after he won the members ballot. I'm really not sure how different that would be for the department, but for the nation another two years of Boris would be a disaster. The opportunity cost of not getting Braverman on side was extremely high, Sunak showing he can do grown up politics more than anything else. Purity is for numpties, if he'd refused her offer he'd be losing the membership race right now.
    Agreed - my interpretation of this is also that it must have been the deal that got him over the line, in the sense that it avoided a members election. Braverman back as Home Secretary. Keeps enough of the ERG ers on side. Braverman is probably the only politician aside from Patel that actually covets that job, which is a poisoned chalice in any event. The problem is that I can't see it lasting long. We're basically on a countdown to Braverman resigning the second time, as they come to blows on any number of flashpoint issues (ECHR, migration visa quotas). At least Sunak can say he tried. But it feels like not long until things fall apart.
    The trouble about appointing factional representatives to Cabinet is that when you fire them for incompetence the whole faction feels like it is being punished.

    I'm genuinely in awe of this appointment. It is breathtaking.
    It's also possible that he actually rates her and agrees with her.
    I think at least half of that may be true, as Leon pointed out he made control of borders prominent in his short speech earlier. But even if you agree with and rate someone, it can not be time to appoint them. Her admission last week was significant.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    I was never particularly bothered about immigration and the point of the working holiday visa is that it's still a work permit based scheme and comes with no right to welfare for the three years and it then requires sponsorship to renew for a further three years, that's completely different to free movement, the government still has a big lever to pull on if it doesn't think it's good for the economy or a subset of workers are seeing wage deflation.
    Max you said yourself that it is virtually unlimited, in the millions, while many over stay their visas. That was what you didn't like, but are suggesting the exact same thing for the EU.

    Makes no sense.

    And if I had a penny for every time people posted on here "we love immigration we just want to be able to control it why should those from South Asia be discriminated against?" I would be 0.00000000001x as wealthy as Rishi.
    It's because Indian nationals already have a higher than average tendency to overstay their visas. Suella Braverman was, fairly, pointing that out.

    You're being purposefully obtuse because you know there's no argument to be had here. An Indian person who earns $100/m in India has a huge incentive to get the 3 year visa, overstay and work illegally until they are deported vs a European earning €1500 per month wherever they live and there are, at last count, 1.4bn Indians compared to 300m people in the EU. The pull factor is just hugely different, for most younger Europeans it will be about a cultural exchange, learning English, meeting English and other European young people, for younger Indians it will be a straight up transactional exchange until they are booted out for overstaying their visa. The proposed scheme was a rubbish idea and any trade deal with India which includes it would be a terrible idea.
    Just be logical.

    To say give all EU citizens the theoretical right to come over here in their millions after voting precisely to curtail just that right is just ridiculous.
    Not really, firstly it's a working holiday visa available to people aged 35 or younger, secondly the visa comes with no right to welfare, thirdly to renew it the person needs a sponsored job at the end of the 3 years or they have to go home. It's completely different to free movement of people. You're trying to draw an equivalence because you think it's some kind of huge gotcha moment, but it isn't and it isn't.
    There is of course an equivalence. It is allowing millions of people into the country to work. I don't imagine too many Parisian investment bankers will be coming but maybe for people from Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria it will be very tempting. Millions? Ask Nigel Farage.

    And you are happy for them to come. It isn't a gotcha moment it is a moment to show how absurd the Brexit vote was.
    Again, it's a time limited scheme available to people aged 18-35 and doesn't allow migration rights for dependents. What millions of people are going to use it from Europe? We have the same scheme already in place with Australia and NZ, soon Canada, it's a few thousand per year from the first two and probably a few thousand from Canada after it's agreed. For people from Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania there's no longer any right to welfare or right to bring dependents, so if they want to come here to work as a waiter or waitress for three years, not get a sponsored job (tip, restaurants can't sponsor visas for waiters and waitresses) and go home will anyone give a flying fuck? They pay their way for the NHS, they can't have kids in school, they don't get tax credits of UC, they don't get housing benefits or qualify for social housing, they don't have an indefinite right to leave as they did within the EU.

    The pull factor is completely different. Whether or not you want to recognise that is up to you, I'm certain you already have but are being obtuse because you think it is a gotcha moment despite protestations to the contrary.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,037
    Journos say Penny was in for a while, there were fireworks and she left with a face like thunder.
    Titter
  • Swella reappointed

    THAT. IS. A. DISGRACE.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Labours attack line should be all you’ve done is re-arrange the deck chairs on the Titanic .
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639

    Delighted to see Cruella reappointed to the Home Office. Gift week for Labour.

    And LDs; also for SNP; though much of the HS's remit doesn't affect Scotland, they also have strong views on immigration (and forced emigration of local people).
  • TazTaz Posts: 14,162

    Despite still being in the Cabinet, Mordaunt's career has clearly hit the buffers. Won't be relevant in the next leadership contest.

    She clung on too long
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154
    If Starmer has any sense, he will ignore all that rubbish about elections, which will get him nowhere, and zero in on integrity. A Home Secretary who broke the law, a Business Secretary who lied to the House, a Chancellor who when Health Secretary declined to keep stocks of PPE in place. Serving a boss who not only committed crimes but caused him to.

    Attacks like that are going to be difficult for Sunak to rebut. And they are definitely going to hurt him.
  • Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
  • OT Rory McIlroy won the CJ Cup at the weekend, his third win this year, and is now back on top of the PGA rankings. In a mediocre year for sport so far, there are probably worse 100/1 shots for SPotY. That said, I'd be happier waiting for the shortlist and then backing him (if nominated) for a top-3 finish. He should have the Northern Ireland bloc vote if nothing else.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555

    Journos say Penny was in for a while, there were fireworks and she left with a face like thunder.
    Titter

    Wouldn't you if the PM preferred Braverman for Home Secretary. Mind boggling.

    Maybe third time is a charm when it comes to new PMs this year.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154

    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
    Sumping along those lines, yes.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353
    Alistair said:

    Sorry, let's me get this straight he just put Ex-Home Secretary who Resigned in Disgrace Suella Braverman in as Home Secretary?

    Is he speed-running the "Time to Self Sabotage" achievement or what?

    Is Braverman allowed to sign official documents and contracts off as Suella and not her real name?

    What if they all did that? Ricky Sunak, “Sunny” Jim, Mac the Knife, Lettuce Liz, Sleepy Joe F**kface Von Clownstick
  • MuesliMuesli Posts: 202

    ANOTHER DEMONSTRATION OF TORY RUTHUSELESSNESS

    FTFY

  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,851
    As Northern Al says we've got continuity Johnson/Truss. In fact worse. Al lest Truss had the bottle to sack her for her breach of the ministerial code.

    I must admit I'd thought he'd be better than that
  • Dura_AceDura_Ace Posts: 13,677
    Selebian said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    MattW said:

    Looking at the piccies, I see a military uniform I don't recognise. Can anyone help?



    It looks very @TSE , especially the white leather boots.

    2A Ceremonial of Royal Regiment of Scotland. Gold aiguilette because he's an equerry.

    He's destroying Sunak (beta cuck) with that handshake.
    What I'm wondering: Why is Arsene Wenger in the car with KCIII? is Charlie a gooner? Or did he get confused and think it was Starmer coming to the palace?

    image
    KC3 is a Manc. Citeh all the way.

    https://twitter.com/david_firth/status/1575473269351845888
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477
    Absolute gift for Labour.

    All they now need to do is ask, every day, why a woman whose own party considers a security risk has been reappointed as, erm, Home Secretary.

    The Tories just make it too easy these days.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
    Sumping along those lines, yes.
    Feeling a bit drained by the latest news, though.
  • Jonathan said:

    The Tory fresh start was Mordaunt. This is continuity.

    With respect one unwise appointment in Braverman does not make this continuity from Truss and Johnson

    I agree with Sky that he wants to hit the ground running, and in his confirmation of Hunt as COE you will see next Monday a complete rejection of all things Truss
  • jonny83jonny83 Posts: 1,270

    Journos say Penny was in for a while, there were fireworks and she left with a face like thunder.
    Titter

    Don't know about the fireworks but the face like thunder looks true judging how she left No.10.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,873
    Not expecting too much movement among the remaining lot. Not worth the disruption and there's not really much to promote or demote people into or out of.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,037
    So red neat for the right is Braverman, Cleverly, for Borisites Raab, centrists get Hunt, Shapps
    Has Kemi got anything?
    We all get to say cheerio to Mogg and Nadine
    Penny gets a rough deal but thems the breaks

    Braverman aside it could be worse, its compromise with a weird Suella side
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Can’t you appease all wings of the party with some fresh faces from them .
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,360

    Penny punished.

    Risks making her a rallying fleg if Rishi underwhelms. Albeit, if Rishi underperforms then LotO is best she can hope for in her career.....
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
    Sumping along those lines, yes.
    Feeling a bit drained by the latest news, though.
    Try and filter it out. I know it's hard.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353
    ydoethur said:

    If Starmer has any sense, he will ignore all that rubbish about elections, which will get him nowhere, and zero in on integrity. A Home Secretary who broke the law, a Business Secretary who lied to the House, a Chancellor who when Health Secretary declined to keep stocks of PPE in place. Serving a boss who not only committed crimes but caused him to.

    Attacks like that are going to be difficult for Sunak to rebut. And they are definitely going to hurt him.

    You are talking baggage.
  • WhisperingOracleWhisperingOracle Posts: 9,050
    edited October 2022
    If I was Mordaunt I would be furious too. Going by the appointments, it's almost as if both Truss and then Sunak have tried to deliberately humiliate her, for being the most genuine threat to them in the contests.
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    edited October 2022
    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
    Sumping along those lines, yes.
    Feeling a bit drained by the latest news, though.
    Try and filter it out. I know it's hard.
    Yes, but with those dipsticks? The latest one has really screwed the cap on tight.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,753
    edited October 2022
    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    I was never particularly bothered about immigration and the point of the working holiday visa is that it's still a work permit based scheme and comes with no right to welfare for the three years and it then requires sponsorship to renew for a further three years, that's completely different to free movement, the government still has a big lever to pull on if it doesn't think it's good for the economy or a subset of workers are seeing wage deflation.
    Max you said yourself that it is virtually unlimited, in the millions, while many over stay their visas. That was what you didn't like, but are suggesting the exact same thing for the EU.

    Makes no sense.

    And if I had a penny for every time people posted on here "we love immigration we just want to be able to control it why should those from South Asia be discriminated against?" I would be 0.00000000001x as wealthy as Rishi.
    It's because Indian nationals already have a higher than average tendency to overstay their visas. Suella Braverman was, fairly, pointing that out.

    You're being purposefully obtuse because you know there's no argument to be had here. An Indian person who earns $100/m in India has a huge incentive to get the 3 year visa, overstay and work illegally until they are deported vs a European earning €1500 per month wherever they live and there are, at last count, 1.4bn Indians compared to 300m people in the EU. The pull factor is just hugely different, for most younger Europeans it will be about a cultural exchange, learning English, meeting English and other European young people, for younger Indians it will be a straight up transactional exchange until they are booted out for overstaying their visa. The proposed scheme was a rubbish idea and any trade deal with India which includes it would be a terrible idea.
    Just be logical.

    To say give all EU citizens the theoretical right to come over here in their millions after voting precisely to curtail just that right is just ridiculous.
    Not really, firstly it's a working holiday visa available to people aged 35 or younger, secondly the visa comes with no right to welfare, thirdly to renew it the person needs a sponsored job at the end of the 3 years or they have to go home. It's completely different to free movement of people. You're trying to draw an equivalence because you think it's some kind of huge gotcha moment, but it isn't and it isn't.
    There is of course an equivalence. It is allowing millions of people into the country to work. I don't imagine too many Parisian investment bankers will be coming but maybe for people from Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria it will be very tempting. Millions? Ask Nigel Farage.

    And you are happy for them to come. It isn't a gotcha moment it is a moment to show how absurd the Brexit vote was.
    Again, it's a time limited scheme available to people aged 18-35 and doesn't allow migration rights for dependents. What millions of people are going to use it from Europe? We have the same scheme already in place with Australia and NZ, soon Canada, it's a few thousand per year from the first two and probably a few thousand from Canada after it's agreed. For people from Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania there's no longer any right to welfare or right to bring dependents, so if they want to come here to work as a waiter or waitress for three years, not get a sponsored job (tip, restaurants can't sponsor visas for waiters and waitresses) and go home will anyone give a flying fuck? They pay their way for the NHS, they can't have kids in school, they don't get tax credits of UC, they don't get housing benefits or qualify for social housing, they don't have an indefinite right to leave as they did within the EU.

    The pull factor is completely different. Whether or not you want to recognise that is up to you, I'm certain you already have but are being obtuse because you think it is a gotcha moment despite protestations to the contrary.
    Millions of people from Australia and NZ, and soon Canada are not going to come over here because it's bloody miles away. Arguably the same for India.

    And as for the dependents, this, that and the other benefits if you are a FAM from Bulgaria or Romania you don't care about all that (wasn't it shown that EU immigrants, indeed immigrants in general claim fewer benefits than the indigenous population) you just want to come and get a good job or set up a car wash somewhere. The prevention of which informed precisely the same arguments which were used in support of us leaving the EU.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,037
    We were saying earlier only illiberal arseholes are allowed to be HS
  • DriverDriver Posts: 4,790
    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
    Well, you never seemed to stop using the phrase "stain on humanity", which says a damn sight more about you than her.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,320
    This was Dominic Cummings a few days ago:

    @Dominic2306
    @Betfair please set up 'what year ECHR/HRA referendum' & 'which side will win' markets asap, thanks!


    https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1583022315960299521
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200

    I would be furious if I was Mordaunt too. Going by the appointments, it's almost as if both Truss and then Sunak have tried to deliberately humiliate her, for being the most genuine threat to them in the contests.

    That was spiteful from him.
  • FlatlanderFlatlander Posts: 4,598
    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Carnyx said:

    ydoethur said:

    Dura_Ace said:

    Nigelb said:

    ydoethur said:

    That's pathetic. What was he thinking?

    How to lose friends and alienate people.

    Be fair - he is unlikely to have had any experience with the products of IKEA.
    This is probably his first time putting a cabinet together.
    Sunak does strike me as the sort who couldn't tap an M10 thread or cut decent box joints.
    He probably cannot even to an oil change either :smiley:
    Even I know how do the oil change, you take it to the garage for the annual service......
    Sumping along those lines, yes.
    Feeling a bit drained by the latest news, though.
    Try and filter it out. I know it's hard.
    Yes, but with those dipsticks? The latest one has really screwed the cap on tight.
    They really don't have magnatec personalities, do they?
  • SeaShantyIrish2SeaShantyIrish2 Posts: 17,549
    edited October 2022
    Wither Jacob Rees Mogg? Grant Shapps having just got JRM's "old" job.

    And wither Theresa Coffey? Whose "old" departmental position still unfilled.

    Am using "wither" above in more than one sense. May they BOTH wither!
  • Gillian Keegan at education
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154

    Gillian Keegan at education

    Who is Gillian Keegan?
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,353

    Jonathan said:

    The Tory fresh start was Mordaunt. This is continuity.

    With respect one unwise appointment in Braverman does not make this continuity from Truss and Johnson

    I agree with Sky that he wants to hit the ground running, and in his confirmation of Hunt as COE you will see next Monday a complete rejection of all things Truss
    Only one unwise appointment?
  • RogerRoger Posts: 19,851
    Alistair said:

    I hear Big Tofu is not happy about this and is pledging that there will be consequences.

    Who's Big Tofu?
  • : Gillian Keegan appointed Education Secretary
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,154

    Wither Jacob Rees Mogg? Grant Shapps having just got JRM's "old" job.

    And wither Theresa Coffey? Whose "old" departmental position still unfilled.

    Am using "wither" above in more than one sense. May they BOTH wither!

    Mogg is out altogether, going to the backbenches.
  • Roger said:

    As Northern Al says we've got continuity Johnson/Truss. In fact worse. Al lest Truss had the bottle to sack her for her breach of the ministerial code.

    I must admit I'd thought he'd be better than that

    Total partisan rubbish. It is not continuity Johnson and Truss; that is as absurd as suggesting SKS was continuity Corbyn. It could be argued that overlooking Mordaunt was foolish, but who knows what has gone on in the background. All looks very promising to me. I wish the new PM good luck. He will need it.

    The. Clown. is. Gone. Just rejoice!
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,200
    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
    Well, you never seemed to stop using the phrase "stain on humanity", which says a damn sight more about you than her.
    Why I’m not the one taking glee from shipping people to Rwanda with orgasmic joy . She’s a sociopath.
  • wooliedyedwooliedyed Posts: 10,037
    Some controversy on sweeties for the right but he was never going to send for Clare Short and Paul Boateng from the Lords was he
  • El_CapitanoEl_Capitano Posts: 4,238
    Did they just get Gove into Number 10 to pull down the Lulu Lyttle wallpaper?

    (Health though.)
  • ydoethur said:

    Gillian Keegan at education

    Who is Gillian Keegan?
    Kevin's mum?
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
    Well, you never seemed to stop using the phrase "stain on humanity", which says a damn sight more about you than her.
    Why I’m not the one taking glee from shipping people to Rwanda with orgasmic joy . She’s a sociopath.
    She never actually did it, any more than Ms Patel did. I wonder how much they spent on it all?
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,528
    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    TOPPING said:

    MaxPB said:

    Hold on a sec.

    When we weren't sure if Suella B had resigned or been sacked, there was lots of chatter about how the issue was about legal immigration. Basically, we could no longer afford a "fewer foreigners" strategy because we really needed people to take our jobs.

    How does that circle get squared?

    Extend the Australia/NZ working holiday scheme to the EU on reciprocal basis. It's not a difficult question to answer, Rishi just needs the balls to push it through.
    Hang on so now we want virtually unlimited immigration from the EU instead of South Asia.

    You leavers can't get your story right - last time (ie with Brexit) you were all delighted that we would have fewer EU immigrants and more from eg South Asia.

    Make your bleedin' minds up.
    I was never particularly bothered about immigration and the point of the working holiday visa is that it's still a work permit based scheme and comes with no right to welfare for the three years and it then requires sponsorship to renew for a further three years, that's completely different to free movement, the government still has a big lever to pull on if it doesn't think it's good for the economy or a subset of workers are seeing wage deflation.
    Max you said yourself that it is virtually unlimited, in the millions, while many over stay their visas. That was what you didn't like, but are suggesting the exact same thing for the EU.

    Makes no sense.

    And if I had a penny for every time people posted on here "we love immigration we just want to be able to control it why should those from South Asia be discriminated against?" I would be 0.00000000001x as wealthy as Rishi.
    It's because Indian nationals already have a higher than average tendency to overstay their visas. Suella Braverman was, fairly, pointing that out.

    You're being purposefully obtuse because you know there's no argument to be had here. An Indian person who earns $100/m in India has a huge incentive to get the 3 year visa, overstay and work illegally until they are deported vs a European earning €1500 per month wherever they live and there are, at last count, 1.4bn Indians compared to 300m people in the EU. The pull factor is just hugely different, for most younger Europeans it will be about a cultural exchange, learning English, meeting English and other European young people, for younger Indians it will be a straight up transactional exchange until they are booted out for overstaying their visa. The proposed scheme was a rubbish idea and any trade deal with India which includes it would be a terrible idea.
    Just be logical.

    To say give all EU citizens the theoretical right to come over here in their millions after voting precisely to curtail just that right is just ridiculous.
    Not really, firstly it's a working holiday visa available to people aged 35 or younger, secondly the visa comes with no right to welfare, thirdly to renew it the person needs a sponsored job at the end of the 3 years or they have to go home. It's completely different to free movement of people. You're trying to draw an equivalence because you think it's some kind of huge gotcha moment, but it isn't and it isn't.
    There is of course an equivalence. It is allowing millions of people into the country to work. I don't imagine too many Parisian investment bankers will be coming but maybe for people from Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria it will be very tempting. Millions? Ask Nigel Farage.

    And you are happy for them to come. It isn't a gotcha moment it is a moment to show how absurd the Brexit vote was.
    Again, it's a time limited scheme available to people aged 18-35 and doesn't allow migration rights for dependents. What millions of people are going to use it from Europe? We have the same scheme already in place with Australia and NZ, soon Canada, it's a few thousand per year from the first two and probably a few thousand from Canada after it's agreed. For people from Croatia, Bulgaria and Romania there's no longer any right to welfare or right to bring dependents, so if they want to come here to work as a waiter or waitress for three years, not get a sponsored job (tip, restaurants can't sponsor visas for waiters and waitresses) and go home will anyone give a flying fuck? They pay their way for the NHS, they can't have kids in school, they don't get tax credits of UC, they don't get housing benefits or qualify for social housing, they don't have an indefinite right to leave as they did within the EU.

    The pull factor is completely different. Whether or not you want to recognise that is up to you, I'm certain you already have but are being obtuse because you think it is a gotcha moment despite protestations to the contrary.
    Millions of people from Australia and NZ, and soon Canada are not going to come over here because it's bloody miles away. Arguably the same for India.

    And as for the dependents, this, that and the other benefits if you are a FAM from Bulgaria or Romania you don't care about all that (wasn't it shown that EU immigrants, indeed immigrants in general claim fewer benefits than the indigenous population) you just want to come and get a good job or set up a car wash somewhere. Precisely the same arguments which were used in support of us leaving the EU.
    That was never shown, people said it was but then never provided evidence. Additionally it seems unlikely because immigrants do lower paid work which are subsidised with in working benefits.

    If they want to work in a car wash for three years that's up to them because at the end of the three years they have to go home because the car wash won't be able to sponsor them. If they want to come and get a good job then more power to them, they can get their workplace to sponsor them for a further three years and then become residents.

    Also, you haven't addressed the huge income differential gap, even from those three countries you name, the GDP per capita is $12900 for a Romanian vs $1900 for an Indian. The Indian has a much, much higher incentive to come here than the Romanian.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555

    Roger said:

    As Northern Al says we've got continuity Johnson/Truss. In fact worse. Al lest Truss had the bottle to sack her for her breach of the ministerial code.

    I must admit I'd thought he'd be better than that

    Total partisan rubbish. It is not continuity Johnson and Truss; that is as absurd as suggesting SKS was continuity Corbyn. It could be argued that overlooking Mordaunt was foolish, but who knows what has gone on in the background. All looks very promising to me. I wish the new PM good luck. He will need it.

    The. Clown. is. Gone. Just rejoice!
    Braverman is still there. 😱
  • RH1992 said:

    Penny staying as Leader of the HoC, seems like a punishment!

    https://twitter.com/10DowningStreet/status/1584942892489244674

    Ouch.
    It was a bit of a snub when Truss put her there. I do hope that young Master Sunak keeps his petulance in check a bit better than this.
    Otoh, although Truss & Sunak no doubt intended it as a slight, Leader of the House got Penny Mordaunt a starring role in the Queen to King handover, and sees her on Commons telly every week, which is more than most Secretaries of State.
  • ydoethur said:

    Gillian Keegan at education

    Who is Gillian Keegan?
    MP for Chichester since 2017
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 95,873
    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
    Well, you never seemed to stop using the phrase "stain on humanity", which says a damn sight more about you than her.
    Why I’m not the one taking glee from shipping people to Rwanda with orgasmic joy . She’s a sociopath.
    She never actually did it, any more than Ms Patel did. I wonder how much they spent on it all?
    About £140m I think, including an extra 20, recently.
  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067

    Roger said:

    As Northern Al says we've got continuity Johnson/Truss. In fact worse. Al lest Truss had the bottle to sack her for her breach of the ministerial code.

    I must admit I'd thought he'd be better than that

    Total partisan rubbish. It is not continuity Johnson and Truss; that is as absurd as suggesting SKS was continuity Corbyn. It could be argued that overlooking Mordaunt was foolish, but who knows what has gone on in the background. All looks very promising to me. I wish the new PM good luck. He will need it.

    The. Clown. is. Gone. Just rejoice!
    We can’t rejoice until the corrupt sleazy filthy Tories are gone!

  • Jonathan said:

    The Tory fresh start was Mordaunt. This is continuity.

    With respect one unwise appointment in Braverman does not make this continuity from Truss and Johnson

    I agree with Sky that he wants to hit the ground running, and in his confirmation of Hunt as COE you will see next Monday a complete rejection of all things Truss
    Only one unwise appointment?
    To be honest I am content with most of the appointments so far
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,639
    edited October 2022
    kle4 said:

    Carnyx said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    Driver said:

    nico679 said:

    A spineless set of appointments by Sunak . And with Braverman I can go back to utterly loathing the Tories . Fxck Sunak and his compassionate Conservative garbage .

    "go back to"?
    I briefly mellowed and then Sunak put the stain on humanity back as HS .
    Well, you never seemed to stop using the phrase "stain on humanity", which says a damn sight more about you than her.
    Why I’m not the one taking glee from shipping people to Rwanda with orgasmic joy . She’s a sociopath.
    She never actually did it, any more than Ms Patel did. I wonder how much they spent on it all?
    About £140m I think, including an extra 20, recently.
    At that sort of rate for a free African holiday, Leon ought to be lobbying for an assignment to try it out. Edit: I hasten to add, nothing personal implied or intended, just the sums of money involved!
  • RandallFlaggRandallFlagg Posts: 1,280
    Mel Stride - DWP
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,477

    Penny punished.

    Risks making her a rallying fleg if Rishi underwhelms. Albeit, if Rishi underperforms then LotO is best she can hope for in her career.....
    Why? She's only 49. She could be Loto then win in 2029.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,555
    edited October 2022

    Jonathan said:

    The Tory fresh start was Mordaunt. This is continuity.

    With respect one unwise appointment in Braverman does not make this continuity from Truss and Johnson

    I agree with Sky that he wants to hit the ground running, and in his confirmation of Hunt as COE you will see next Monday a complete rejection of all things Truss
    Only one unwise appointment?
    To be honest I am content with most of the appointments so far
    Braverman has your full support. Do you share her dreams?
  • Mel Stride at work and pensions
This discussion has been closed.