I think this must be the first time since the site started when I haven't commented during the tenure of a prime minister! Hopefully a lesson for all politicians that you need to build a consensus and take people with you. Tories in headless chicken more at the moment spewing out policies like Alan Partridge coming up with TV ideas. Monkey tennis anyone?
IF you stopped just about anybody on just about any street corner or country crossroad in USA, and asked them, "Who is the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?" believe that most who could give a name would reply, "Boris Johnson?"
With the next most frequent response being, "Tony Blair?"
I've actually just laid Truss 2022 exit (well, backed the other options as odds were more favourable). I don't see the Cons pulling themselves together and organising a coup, they can't go to the members and they won't manage to orangise a coronation without some loons putting forward another candidate. Hunt as CoE has/will stabilise things a bit and the urgency will go (polls remain terrible, but they will hope something turns up before the GE/a unity candidate will emerge).
Still, I wasn't betting on last night's fracking disaster.
1922 will vet any possible fringe candidates and lunatics (Sue Ellen) and tell them to shut up and sit down - leaving straight fight between Penny M and Sunak. All over in a couple of days
Failing that, a Hunt / Mordaunt / Sunak top team (PM / Chancellor / HS). Don't particularly care who is in which role, but I think those three are the only ones at the top of the party who can settle the ship in these times.
Part of me would quite like May back; she was not as bad as many say (especially if they view events through Brexit! glasses), and it would be worth it to hear Boris's screams.
It's a testament to the resilience of our institutions that it's possible within the space of three months to have two monarchs, three PMs and four chancellors without turning a hair. Any other country would be a laughing stock.
The best option is Mordaunt as PM and Sunak back as Chancellor, but I don't think he'd be interested in anything other than the top job. So it's either PM4PM or get Ready for Rishi, and I think either of them keeps Hunt as Chancellor (sadly).
Failing that, a Hunt / Mordaunt / Sunak top team (PM / Chancellor / HS). Don't particularly care who is in which role, but I think those three are the only ones at the top of the party who can settle the ship in these times.
Part of me would quite like May back; she was not as bad as many say (especially if they view events through Brexit! glasses), and it would be worth it to hear Boris's screams.
May’s certainly racing up the table - only third or fourth worst now!
There we go then! After 195 years George Canning will no longer be Britain's shortest Prime Minister by tenure!
Crazy times...
Its Goderich's ghost that is most grateful as Canning died in office. Goderichs 143 days is the shortest 'failed' premiership. Intersstingly he apparantly cried when in with HMK but within days was eminently relieved
It's a testament to the resilience of our institutions that it's possible within the space of three months to have two monarchs, three PMs and four chancellors without turning a hair. Any other country would be a laughing stock.
It's a testament to the resilience of our institutions that it's possible within the space of three months to have two monarchs, three PMs and four chancellors without turning a hair. Any other country would be a laughing stock.
Just been told that that election should form the shape of a Papal conclave . Two days limit before white smoke. Sunak. Mordaunt. Hunt. Wallace. Threshold has to reach 75 - the the third place will be ballotted.
The best option is Mordaunt as PM and Sunak back as Chancellor, but I don't think he'd be interested in anything other than the top job. So it's either PM4PM or get Ready for Rishi, and I think either of them keeps Hunt as Chancellor (sadly).
Tory MPs should think about who gives them the best chance of keeping their seats. They are going to lose the general election come what may. I think Mordaunt is more likely to than Sunak.
There we go then! After 195 years George Canning will no longer be Britain's shortest Prime Minister by tenure!
Crazy times...
Duke of Wellington still holds the record for shortest stint.
Yeah, his caretaker stint - about three weeks, whilst Peel returned from Italy. Peel himself only lasted a few months (but got elected again for a full term)
Really what the Tories need is a Rishi coronation with decent jobs for Mourdant and Badenoch. Braverman can be ignored after the email idiocy. Keep boring hunt at chancellor. They then have a chance of pulling together if Rishi can do something to placate the spartans
Comments
Ahem. First outing for me in this thread
MPs only?
Uncanny.
Hat tip to whoever (Stocky?) pointed out the rules would make that hard to organise within the first year.
Shame for me that Truss didn't hang on until next year, but I'm still up overall.
(Not happening.)
Plummeting
Sunak
Mordant
Braverman
Chisti
Ghost of Thatcher
Who else?
https://twitter.com/dailystar/status/1583074250990055427?t=CUxzvTLbUgjutEALCFnnAw&s=19
He's fusching furious. He'd held his record for nearly 200 years.
Do NOT fuck it up this time.
https://vf.politicalbetting.com/discussion/comment/4172946#Comment_4172946
tl;dr - my source says Rishi.
Watch Penny - if she steps back she’s done a deal with him.
If he doesn’t run it will be Penny.
With the next most frequent response being, "Tony Blair?"
Crazy times...
I don't really rate its leadership chances.
I've actually just laid Truss 2022 exit (well, backed the other options as odds were more favourable). I don't see the Cons pulling themselves together and organising a coup, they can't go to the members and they won't manage to orangise a coronation without some loons putting forward another candidate. Hunt as CoE has/will stabilise things a bit and the urgency will go (polls remain terrible, but they will hope something turns up before the GE/a unity candidate will emerge).
Still, I wasn't betting on last night's fracking disaster.
Popcorn on hand for the next few days...
Number 10 should use it VERY sparingly too.
🚨 THE LETTUCE HAS OFFICIALLY OUTLASTED LIZ TRUSS AND WON 🚨
ALL HAIL THE LETTUCE.
🥗🥗🥗
https://twitter.com/dailystar/status/1583074250990055427
https://twitter.com/SamCoatesSky/status/1583076748916187136
I’ve laid
A snap general election.
Failing that, a Hunt / Mordaunt / Sunak top team (PM / Chancellor / HS). Don't particularly care who is in which role, but I think those three are the only ones at the top of the party who can settle the ship in these times.
Part of me would quite like May back; she was not as bad as many say (especially if they view events through Brexit! glasses), and it would be worth it to hear Boris's screams.
So, probably Mordaunt.
Of course, 98% of the UK population don't count.
Get rid instantly? Has a shot at it erring towards being sensible.
Keep? More of the bonkers.
Boris?
In total fuckwittery. Well done, all concerned.
That said, good for Penny if so.
https://twitter.com/maitlis/status/1583076002494042113
But in modern British politics you have to get your predictions accurate to the hour