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The support of Tory MPs – Truss’s biggest challenge – politicalbetting.com
The support of Tory MPs – Truss’s biggest challenge – politicalbetting.com
With Truss taking over as prime minister it is perhaps worth reminding ourselves of the potential weakness she has with the parliamentary Conservative Party. On the first leadership ballot in July she came away with a meagre 50 votes out of a total 358. That hardly suggests massive backing from her MPs
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There is a list of attacks on civilian aircraft with Soviet MANPADS (and the equivalent Chinese versions) - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Man-portable_air-defense_system#Against_civilian_aircraft
The NYT's latest "hot take":
Britain’s Next Prime Minister Is Still in Thrall to the Empire
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/06/opinion/truss-uk-prime-minister.html
For a former Lib Dem, republican Remainer that's quite a turn around!
While most of the focus should be on problem gambling, the recent development of the bookies using to technology to profile customers and reduce many of them to pennies, is a very sharp business practice.
One cabinet minister: “It would mean appointing people who didn’t support her - people who very publicly said her ideas were shit and she’s incompetent."
https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1567103200125149184
If Moscow was truly confident that it could hold on to its gains and possibly extend them, it would have kept the gas pipelines open, taking the revenues and giving itself a reasonable chance of holding on to lucrative markets over the long-term. It is a sign of a loss of confidence, even desperation, that as Russia is failing as a military superpower it is jeopardising its position as an energy superpower.
https://samf.substack.com/p/the-economic-war
Smarkets and Betfair don't have such limitations, do they?
And then itll be too late for them to act.
Thank fuck that's over...
Confirmation that @BorisJohnson has left the building
https://twitter.com/RoyaNikkhah/status/1567106908003209218?s=20&t=IekzSlk5wfeW5rlTzy6drA
The colonisation of the NYT by the British Remainer mindset is one of the strangest evolutions in journalism
Frankly, if I was a NYT reader in America I’d be somewhat bored of this neurosis by now
Its important though - Boris will be claiming expenses for being PM right up the the final minute.
Brexirrhoids do channel Powellism, but not in any sense that Kojo Koram in that article demonstrates an ability to wrap his head around.
Is it easy to get wiffle into the Grey Lady nowadays or what?
Three potential issues off the top of my head.
Key one is that this would further limit the talent pool, which already looks like some reservoirs did a few weeks ago.
It also betrays a bit of insecure cringe (I get it... she's a geek from a Comp who went to Oxford and politics... not easy). Maggie and Blair were able to keep people who disagreed with them in their cabinet. Cameron was forced to for a while, as was Major (for different reasons). It's a sign of the strength that leads to longevity.
Finally- what if Truss's ideas are shit and she is incompetent? Bit early to be going full-on Bunker.
Everybody's Got to Learn They've Lost Sometime
(Joke.)
PS A friend says he won't be surprised if Truss starts using a hand signal the way Angela Merkel used her famous "quadrilateral".
Enoch Powell? Really? I doubt if 10% of British people under 40 have a clue who he is
It started when an England football player was younger than me. The next landmark was when there was an England cricket player younger than me. Then the England football/cricket captain wer younger than me, then all the whole team was younger than me.
Gradually the politicians take over the role with MPs younger than me, then a LOTO younger than me (Milliband) but today for the first time there is a Prime Minister younger than me!
It's a bit like the insurance industry in this regard. Like investment banking too.
With Boris going and if as expected Truss appoints Kwarteng Chancellor, Braverman Home Secretary and Cleverly Foreign Sec there will be no white male in the top jobs in government for the first time ever. Also showing the ludicrous nature of the NYT Enoch Powell comparison
Cheerleading cabinets are narcissistic and un patriotic - having the best of the wets in and making it work like Lady Thatcher, or Robin cook and Claire Short either side of you like Blair did is the way to benchmark true rather than phoney leadership.
“Kemi and Penny have been difficult. They both think they have enough clout to hold out for something better than what they have been offered,” they said.
“Kemi was offered Transport but didn’t want it. And there was the question about whether Nadine would carry on. Now she has resigned so that frees up the space.”
“Giving Culture or Education to Kemi would give her too much of a platform,” the source explained, given how vocal she has been on issues of culture wars and free speech.
https://twitter.com/camillahmturner/status/1567110307490701315
Word is at least two Tories have turned down the jr role which would have worked closely with him
https://twitter.com/NatashaC/status/1567111390418051074
There is a slim chance at this point that Truss can't actually put together a functioning cabinet...
https://www.gov.uk/government/history/past-prime-ministers
Truss' membership support was not overwhelming however, she got only 57% of Tory members to back her, which while clear was far less than the 67% of Tory members who voted for Cameron in 2005 and the 66% who voted for Boris in 2019 and even less than the 60% who voted for IDS in 2001.
It was though about the same as the 56% of Labour members who voted for Starmer in 2020 and actually slightly more than the 49% of Labour members who voted for Corbyn in 2015, though less than the 59% of Labour members who voted to re elect Corbyn in 2016
Johnson resigned and for the time it takes for Truss to be appointed HMQ retains authority over the proceedings
Your majesty?
Kneel, b****
Moscow, London (don't make me go back there) or Santa Barbara?
Keep it going for 20 minutes and when LT gets despondent, collapse in giggles.
"The Queen graciously appointed Liz Truss as her new prime minister and First Lord of the Treasury".
Otherwise the formal lists would show vacancies for the tiny time period, but instead its shown as instant.
https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/how-is-a-prime-minister-appointed/
However as a columnist for the Knapper’s Gazette i do find it professionally curious. I wonder, for instance, if these articles are popular with American readers. If they get lots of clicks. If they are then that says something genuinely interesting about
liberal American attitudes, and their projections of self doubt and political anxiety onto the UK
Liz Truss expected to freeze household energy bills at around £2,500
It will be the £1,971 energy price cap + the £400 universal handout, with a little on top
Cost expected to be around £90bn - coming from general taxation, not energy bills
https://twitter.com/Steven_Swinford/status/1567107440436453376
PBs St Bart used the same laughable spin - truth is it was only after the greasy polers saw how the wind was blowing 🙂
You are wrong, Mike Smithson is right - Truss struggles in all MP Ballots reflect how her crap skills set and policy outlook is not rated at all by her MPs.
And not liked by her membership either, as she got less than 50% to endorse her despite being clear winner for weeks - and if it had been two horse race with discredited and barmy Boris she would have been soundly beaten by him is the truth here.
Con: 28% (-3 from 23-24 Aug)
Lab: 43% (+4)
Lib Dem: 11% (=)
Green: 6% (-1)
Reform UK: 3% (-2)
SNP: 5% (=)
https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/1567107622163079170?s=20&t=koL0fjMmGxvoOqgFMiGhwg
Labour now open up a 12% lead in the Midlands and Wales, a 26% point lead in the North and a 35% lead in London. Labour even 4% ahead in the South.
However the Tories up to 22% in the Yougov Scottish subsample, with the SNP on 46% and Labour on 20%.
So so far the main swing to the Tories with a looming Truss premiership is in Scotland, everywhere else has swung further to Labour. However the poll was taken before she became PM so we need a week or so to see if she gets any bounce
https://yougov.co.uk/topics/politics/articles-reports/2022/09/06/voting-intention-con-28-lab-43-31-aug-1-sep-2022-a
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_the_United_Kingdom_by_length_of_tenure
https://twitter.com/AnushkaAsthana/status/1567114178749497345