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The confidence vote takes place tonight – politicalbetting.com

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  • eekeek Posts: 28,370
    Carnyx said:

    Heathener said:

    Memo circulating amongst Tory MPs listing 13 reasons why Johnson should be ditched.

    "One reason given for removing him is that he was booed outside the thanksgiving service for the Queen at St Paul’s Cathedral. The memo says this “tells us nothing that data does not”, citing polling that “no social group trusts him, with even 55 per cent of current Conservatives calling him untrustworthy”.

    A Tory MP said: “A Conservative prime minister being booed by people who turned up to witness people arriving for a service in honour of the Queen is pretty dire. When you’ve lost the royalists, and a lot of them will be former service personnel, that’s our core vote.” Johnson was also booed while dining at Morito, a restaurant in east London where his son Theo worked. The Mail on Sunday said the prime minister responded with a “dismissive hand gesture and left”.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tory-memo-lists-reasons-to-ditch-boris-johnson-tg8wrqw67

    I've just seen the snippet that Johnson was booed at Morito.

    I've been there, it's very good, but definitely a hangout of the liberal well-to-do. What possessed him to think of eating there? He was bound to come a cropper.
    Did they refuse his credit card or something?
    His son was working there - so I suspect he was making use of a friends and family discount...
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901
    Never mind Sunak shocking us by quitting today, is there the prospect of someone on the far right doing so? Perhaps because Brexit isn't being done hard and fast enough?

    How about Rees-Mogg - he likes things hard and fast doesn't he? Or cosplay Thatcher Liz Truss? OK so they have been the cheerleaders for government policies they would then be resigning to condemn.

    But why not? Raaaaaab resigned as Brexit Secretary in protest at his own work in the role...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    Carnyx said:

    Heathener said:

    Memo circulating amongst Tory MPs listing 13 reasons why Johnson should be ditched.

    "One reason given for removing him is that he was booed outside the thanksgiving service for the Queen at St Paul’s Cathedral. The memo says this “tells us nothing that data does not”, citing polling that “no social group trusts him, with even 55 per cent of current Conservatives calling him untrustworthy”.

    A Tory MP said: “A Conservative prime minister being booed by people who turned up to witness people arriving for a service in honour of the Queen is pretty dire. When you’ve lost the royalists, and a lot of them will be former service personnel, that’s our core vote.” Johnson was also booed while dining at Morito, a restaurant in east London where his son Theo worked. The Mail on Sunday said the prime minister responded with a “dismissive hand gesture and left”.

    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/tory-memo-lists-reasons-to-ditch-boris-johnson-tg8wrqw67

    I've just seen the snippet that Johnson was booed at Morito.

    I've been there, it's very good, but definitely a hangout of the liberal well-to-do. What possessed him to think of eating there? He was bound to come a cropper.
    Did they refuse his credit card or something?
    Don't be silly, Johnson doesn't actually pay for anything.
    *blinks in surprise* Like HMtQ?
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663

    Never mind Sunak shocking us by quitting today, is there the prospect of someone on the far right doing so? Perhaps because Brexit isn't being done hard and fast enough?

    How about Rees-Mogg - he likes things hard and fast doesn't he? Or cosplay Thatcher Liz Truss? OK so they have been the cheerleaders for government policies they would then be resigning to condemn.

    But why not? Raaaaaab resigned as Brexit Secretary in protest at his own work in the role...

    The Mogg-Dorries dream ticket.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,260

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I wonder what effect Ukraine has had on them.

    For years they eulogised Germany's political leadership as the 'true leaders of the western world'.

    And now Germany's political leadership is utterly discredited with Boris being shown to have been right.
    The governments continuation and reinforcement of the long standing policy on Ukraine - arming them and backing them since 2014 - has earned a grudging respect. On that issue, alone. Even among some very anti-BJ people.

    To put it another way - if he was merely muddling along in the middle in the rest of politics, his reputation and polls would probably be stratospheric from Ukraine.

    However, he is toast stuck in the toaster.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,440
    Betting markets seem remarkably unmoved.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    unconvincing.....
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663

    Betting markets seem remarkably unmoved.

    Been priced in for weeks.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070

    kle4 said:

    @trussliz
    The Prime Minister has my 100% backing in today's vote and I strongly encourage colleagues to support him.

    He has delivered on covid recovery and supporting Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. He has apologised for mistakes made.

    We must now focus on economic growth.


    https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1533713618122022914

    It's a secret ballot...
    All Cabinet Members backed May openly according to wiki, even though their actions not helping her re the Brexit deal indicate they didnt really back her.

    I presume its because they both have to show the leader they are loyal if they win, and because even some who want him gone would want serving cabinet members to show loyalty.
    I agree.

    Certainly for non-leadership candidates, the phrase "a traitor to one king is a traitor to all" springs to mind.
    Well the describes pretty well the entire cabinet including Johnson.
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039
    Roger said:

    Any odds on how long his marriage will last if he goes or is that tasteless?

    You answered your own question - you cannot help yourself
  • TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,454
    Nigelb said:

    kle4 said:

    @trussliz
    The Prime Minister has my 100% backing in today's vote and I strongly encourage colleagues to support him.

    He has delivered on covid recovery and supporting Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. He has apologised for mistakes made.

    We must now focus on economic growth.


    https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1533713618122022914

    It's a secret ballot...
    All Cabinet Members backed May openly according to wiki, even though their actions not helping her re the Brexit deal indicate they didnt really back her.

    I presume its because they both have to show the leader they are loyal if they win, and because even some who want him gone would want serving cabinet members to show loyalty.
    I agree.

    Certainly for non-leadership candidates, the phrase "a traitor to one king is a traitor to all" springs to mind.
    Well the describes pretty well the entire cabinet including Johnson.
    Well Nigel if you're asking me if I would put Boris in my Cabinet, if I were made leader, then I think the answer is obvious...
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    Or perhaps you'll stop wanking on about it ?
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,883
    Leon said:

    Stocky said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I think the desire to get rid of Boris comes from all sides of the party.
    Sure. But the frothiest rage and fiercest glee can be found at Remoaner Central
    God Leon, I think your obsession with "remoaners" whether wanky or imbecilic or not is getting a bit over the top here. Are you drunk at 9am? Surely a visit to the psychiatrist is in order here, assuming you can get an appointment.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,191

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    Weak reasoning
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564
    Carnyx said:

    Graun feed, specially for "Mr J will be safe for a year if he wins" folk:

    "Brady says no further no confidence vote allowed for another year if PM wins - but admits that rule could be changed
    Brady will not say whether he has submitted a letter to himself calling a no confidence vote, but he says it would be an odd thing to do.

    And he says that, while technically it would be possible to change the rules, as they stand now if Boris Johnson wins there will be a year-long “period of grace” during which a further leadership contest cannot take place."

    Playing to the "It's now or never" vibe?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216
    R4 - contrasting views between Fraser Nelson “rebels have moved too soon” and Sebastian Payne “unless it’s a big win Johnson is not out of danger as 1922 can change rules”. If there is contest, coronation may be preferred.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    Jonathan said:

    Future generations will now expect the defenestration of a PM as the ceremonial climax of a jubilee celebration.

    Salutary fact - future generations will be lucky to ever see a jubilee celebration.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Nigelb said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    Or perhaps you'll stop wanking on about it ?
    Unlikely
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    unconvincing.....
    The letter suggests that there will be a blue on blue civil war in a leadership contest . Laughable , that didn’t even happen after May .
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838

    Leon said:

    Stocky said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I think the desire to get rid of Boris comes from all sides of the party.
    Sure. But the frothiest rage and fiercest glee can be found at Remoaner Central
    God Leon, I think your obsession with "remoaners" whether wanky or imbecilic or not is getting a bit over the top here. Are you drunk at 9am? Surely a visit to the psychiatrist is in order here, assuming you can get an appointment.
    The pubs have just opened in Tbilisi ... it;s 1202 there.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    “Liz Truss has the gravitas and temperament to navigate the Ukraine situation “

    Words nobody said ever.

    Johnsons been fine on Ukraine, as I say let him continue to be a representative on it.
    Boris will be heading for the Chiltern Hundreds as soon as he is out.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663
    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Straws clutched. Starmers situation is simple. If he gets nicked he’s gone. Otherwise he’s fine.
  • Daveyboy1961Daveyboy1961 Posts: 3,883

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    “Liz Truss has the gravitas and temperament to navigate the Ukraine situation “

    Words nobody said ever.

    Johnsons been fine on Ukraine, as I say let him continue to be a representative on it.
    Boris will be heading for the Chiltern Hundreds as soon as he is out.
    How about ambassador to Ukraine?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,631
    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
  • RochdalePioneersRochdalePioneers Posts: 28,901

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    unconvincing.....
    A ludicrous list with appalling formatting. Instead of underlining whole sentences which are hard to remember simply bold the key points you want to stick in the memory.

    What are they - amateurs?
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662

    It's just amazing how little the Tories learned from Labour's Corbyn years. The idea that the electorate will shrug its shoulders and forget that it detests Johnson because he has won a leadership vote of confidence is for the fairies.

    Corbyn VONC was 2016

    In GE2017 Labour under Corbyn achieved the biggest increase in its vote share since WW2.

    You as usual are mixing up your wish with the reality of what the electorate actually did.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    Leon said:

    Stocky said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I think the desire to get rid of Boris comes from all sides of the party.
    Sure. But the frothiest rage and fiercest glee can be found at Remoaner Central
    No, it is not Brexit. It is Partygate wot dunnit. All over the country, people made sacrifices large and small in order to comply with regulations promulgated from 10 Downing Street. Celebrations were cancelled; dying relatives went unvisited. People might well feel personally insulted that those at the very top of government exempted themselves, and angered at Boris's apparent lack of contrition.

    In the words of Aaron Bell, MP, Does the Prime Minister think I am a fool?
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 52,564

    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    “Liz Truss has the gravitas and temperament to navigate the Ukraine situation “

    Words nobody said ever.

    Johnsons been fine on Ukraine, as I say let him continue to be a representative on it.
    Boris will be heading for the Chiltern Hundreds as soon as he is out.
    How about ambassador to Ukraine?
    But not as an MP.

    "How lucrative is this "ambassador thingy"? How does it compare with the lecture circuit?"
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663

    It's just amazing how little the Tories learned from Labour's Corbyn years. The idea that the electorate will shrug its shoulders and forget that it detests Johnson because he has won a leadership vote of confidence is for the fairies.

    Corbyn VONC was 2016

    In GE2017 Labour under Corbyn achieved the biggest increase in its vote share since WW2.

    You as usual are mixing up your wish with the reality of what the electorate actually did.
    Corbyn lost and then went on to lose again.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,605

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I wonder what effect Ukraine has had on them.

    For years they eulogised Germany's political leadership as the 'true leaders of the western world'.

    And now Germany's political leadership is utterly discredited with Boris being shown to have been right.
    The governments continuation and reinforcement of the long standing policy on Ukraine - arming them and backing them since 2014 - has earned a grudging respect. On that issue, alone. Even among some very anti-BJ people.

    To put it another way - if he was merely muddling along in the middle in the rest of politics, his reputation and polls would probably be stratospheric from Ukraine.

    However, he is toast stuck in the toaster.
    An interesting 'what if' is how things might have been different if Boris was still married to Marina Wheeler.

    There would surely have been less immaturity in Downing Street.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,191
    edited June 2022
    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Sir Korma's job is harder if he's not facing Boris. The country would vote in a chicken Korma if it faced Boris at the next election such is the feverish mood against him. Against say HCunt (Or Wallace or whoever) Beer has to actually present an alternative plan for the country - it's a much higher bar.
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,324
    edited June 2022

    Roger said:

    Any odds on how long his marriage will last if he goes or is that tasteless?

    You answered your own question - you cannot help yourself
    It's fairy nuff in this case, Big G. Neither of them can be accused of overrespecting the institution of marriage. For one it seems a mere convenience, for the other a career opportunity.

    You have to call these things out sometimes.
  • rkrkrkrkrkrk Posts: 8,297
    Stocky said:

    rkrkrk said:

    Well I called this one wrong.
    Didn't think we would have a VoNC.

    Still feel like Johnson survives, but am less certain.

    Odds of us getting someone better than Johnson, I would guess at 75%+.

    Probably the only people worse would be JRM, Priti Patel...? I suppose there are a few national security risks who would be worse too.

    JRM and Patel have nil chance so I wouldn't worry. Many are concerned about Truss (maybe a tad unfairly) and I expect MPs to organise so that she isn't in the final two. My best guess, still, is Hunt and Wallace.
    Don't share your optimism, JRM or someone like him may well stand on tax-cutting, do brexit properly, bonfire of red tape etc. There's a big market for that.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    Jonathan said:

    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Straws clutched. Starmers situation is simple. If he gets nicked he’s gone. Otherwise he’s fine.
    It’s not a clutched straw. It’s a fact

    If Starmer is completely exonerated, yes he’s fine

    But if he gets a Dom Cummings-like ticking-off, minus a FNP, then the stench of hypocrisy will be real, if he clings on. And it will definitely be underlined by the fact he will then - if Boris quits - be facing a squeaky-clean new Tory PM

    Damaging comparison
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,838
    edited June 2022

    Jonathan said:

    Future generations will now expect the defenestration of a PM as the ceremonial climax of a jubilee celebration.

    Salutary fact - future generations will be lucky to ever see a jubilee celebration.
    Wouldn't be such a rush to be PM if the sacrifice of the PM was made the highlight. The Royalists are always, at their syrupiest, sayings oh look how the RF can invent 500 year old ceremonial overnight ... so just as well there won't be more jubilees.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Midvinterblot#/media/File:Midvinterblot_(Carl_Larsson)_-_Nationalmuseum_-_edited.jpg
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    Kay Burley on Boris Johnson facing a vote of no confidence tonight:

    “Do you think somebody should tell him about the bunting?” https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/1533716606781640705/photo/1
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,440
    Jonathan said:

    Betting markets seem remarkably unmoved.

    Been priced in for weeks.
    Now we have an actual VONC, and before the by-elections, I'd expect to see some movement - particularly since there are strong rumours it could be close.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,260

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    Roger said:

    Any odds on how long his marriage will last if he goes or is that tasteless?

    You answered your own question - you cannot help yourself
    I don't know why you are so precious about Johnson's current marriage. Wedding vows from what is clearly already in the public domain mean nothing whatsoever to Mr Johnson. He is just a serial philanderer.
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,663
    Leon said:

    Jonathan said:

    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Straws clutched. Starmers situation is simple. If he gets nicked he’s gone. Otherwise he’s fine.
    It’s not a clutched straw. It’s a fact

    If Starmer is completely exonerated, yes he’s fine

    But if he gets a Dom Cummings-like ticking-off, minus a FNP, then the stench of hypocrisy will be real, if he clings on. And it will definitely be underlined by the fact he will then - if Boris quits - be facing a squeaky-clean new Tory PM

    Damaging comparison
    Nah.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,440

    Jonathan said:

    Future generations will now expect the defenestration of a PM as the ceremonial climax of a jubilee celebration.

    Salutary fact - future generations will be lucky to ever see a jubilee celebration.
    William will very probably get at least a silver.
  • DougSealDougSeal Posts: 12,541
    Leon said:

    Jonathan said:

    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Straws clutched. Starmers situation is simple. If he gets nicked he’s gone. Otherwise he’s fine.
    It’s not a clutched straw. It’s a fact

    If Starmer is completely exonerated, yes he’s fine

    But if he gets a Dom Cummings-like ticking-off, minus a FNP, then the stench of hypocrisy will be real, if he clings on. And it will definitely be underlined by the fact he will then - if Boris quits - be facing a squeaky-clean new Tory PM

    Damaging comparison
    "...if Boris quits...". Ha! Ha! Nice one....
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,874
    Only just checked!

    Boris will want to win tonight. Throw everything at it.

    He can resign on Wednesday.... he's 'better' than Brown then.....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_the_United_Kingdom_by_length_of_tenure
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,440
    Pulpstar said:

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    Weak reasoning
    "Vote for him because he used to be a great election winner."
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    BoZo supporters still spinning the "proven winner" line

    So he wins tonight and gets crushed in the by elections...
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,990
    Dude lost 500 council seats; 11 councils and two of the safest Tory seats in the country in by-elections. How many tests do you want? https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533720037781123073
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,361

    Leon said:

    Stocky said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    I think the desire to get rid of Boris comes from all sides of the party.
    Sure. But the frothiest rage and fiercest glee can be found at Remoaner Central
    No, it is not Brexit. It is Partygate wot dunnit. All over the country, people made sacrifices large and small in order to comply with regulations promulgated from 10 Downing Street. Celebrations were cancelled; dying relatives went unvisited. People might well feel personally insulted that those at the very top of government exempted themselves, and angered at Boris's apparent lack of contrition.

    In the words of Aaron Bell, MP, Does the Prime Minister think I am a fool?
    Yes. It's the sort of people who follow rules even when they know nobody is watching who are most enraged by the failure to do so by Johnson and Number 10.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    edited June 2022
    Deleted as frivolous.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,631

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
    "I never thought I'd live to see the day when the right wing would become the cool ones giving the middle finger to the establishment, and the left wing becoming the sniveling self-righteous twatty ones going around shaming everyone." - John Lydon
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,605

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The irony being that the Queen continued on and the Sex Pistols imploded.

    I suppose Jim Callaghan's 'fascist regime' did lose power less than two years later.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
    Me neither. If Boris goes I reckon the Remoaners might feel a moment of triumph, then a weird bit of depression. Post coitum omne animal tiriste est

    Then they will resume normal service, attacking some other figure or institution. Because theirs is a pathology, not a passion
  • Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 63,039

    Roger said:

    Any odds on how long his marriage will last if he goes or is that tasteless?

    You answered your own question - you cannot help yourself
    I don't know why you are so precious about Johnson's current marriage. Wedding vows from what is clearly already in the public domain mean nothing whatsoever to Mr Johnson. He is just a serial philanderer.
    Maybe I am old fashioned but I am uncomfortable with attacking a marriage especially with 2 young children
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    Good morning. Well Dominic Raab's prediction that there wouldn't be a vote any time soon didn't turn out well.
  • BartholomewRobertsBartholomewRoberts Posts: 21,971
    edited June 2022

    Only just checked!

    Boris will want to win tonight. Throw everything at it.

    He can resign on Wednesday.... he's 'better' than Brown then.....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_the_United_Kingdom_by_length_of_tenure

    Brown's time in office includes the time after he lost the election but before he was replaced by Cameron.

    When Iain Duncan Smith lost the VONC he remained Leader of the Opposition until his replacement, Howard, was chosen.

    If Boris loses tonight, as he should, then he can and probably should remain in office until he is able to advise the Queen on who should replace him and that would take him past Brown and Wellington, and possibly Chamberlain too, but not May.

    If he flounces immediately that would be going against precedent and shirking his responsibilities. I wouldn't put it past him.
  • RazedabodeRazedabode Posts: 3,028
    Scott_xP said:

    BoZo supporters still spinning the "proven winner" line

    So he wins tonight and gets crushed in the by elections...

    Scott_xP said:

    Dude lost 500 council seats; 11 councils and two of the safest Tory seats in the country in by-elections. How many tests do you want? https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533720037781123073

    Which is why if he wins today - with a large part of the party against - it’s not over ..
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    IanB2 said:

    Nigelb said:

    @trussliz
    The Prime Minister has my 100% backing in today's vote and I strongly encourage colleagues to support him.

    He has delivered on covid recovery and supporting Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. He has apologised for mistakes made.

    We must now focus on economic growth.


    https://twitter.com/trussliz/status/1533713618122022914

    Shame it's a secret ballot...
    Quite the opposite. It gives ministers the chance to be loyal on the radio yet dish the clown what he deserves in the ballot.
    There might have been a touch of irony in my post.
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070

    Morning Peeps.

    Been out walking the dog for an hour. Anything much happened?

    Is TSE still in charge?

    I hear there are moves afoot.....
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
    Johnny Rotten is now, apparently, a full time carer for his ailing wife

    When I heard that it made me existentially sad, partly because it is sad for them, but also because it made me feel about 128 years old
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,631
    Andy_JS said:

    Good morning. Well Dominic Raab's prediction that there wouldn't be a vote any time soon didn't turn out well.

    He hadn't quite understood the full extent of how soon the Jubilee would end.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,440
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
    Me neither. If Boris goes I reckon the Remoaners might feel a moment of triumph, then a weird bit of depression. Post coitum omne animal tiriste est

    Then they will resume normal service, attacking some other figure or institution. Because theirs is a pathology, not a passion
    Such is Boris's unpopularity he's now probably a drag on political support for Brexit.
  • mwadamsmwadams Posts: 3,593
    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    That, I think is at the heart of it. Intelligent Brexiteers will recognize that the job now is to focus on un-fucking the things that Johnson's version of Brexit has fucked; and that will necessarily take the wind out of the sails of most Remainers. It's hard to look coherent if you are protesting someone doing more or less what you would recommend yourself; only the ultra-hard-line "pretend it never happened and imagine everyone will agree to us proceeding as if it were still 2016" fruit loops will be left on that particular island.

    I'm not for a minute suggesting that there is such as a species as the Intelligent Brexiteer on the Tory benches, but you never know.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,094

    A reminder that Theresa May lasted as Prime Minister for 1,106 days.

    Boris Johnson is currently on 1,048.


    https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/1533709665040846848

    The MPs turned to Boris only when things got very desperate and they felt he was the only option to recover position and win a GE. They were right.

    It would be very on brand for them to then junk him unceremoniously once they felt he was no longer needed.

    I dont expect it, but it has logic.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896
    Scott_xP said:

    BoZo supporters still spinning the "proven winner" line

    So he wins tonight and gets crushed in the by elections...

    Local papers will be asking the obvious question of Conservative candidates: how would you vote tonight?
  • NigelbNigelb Posts: 71,070
    Pulpstar said:

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    Weak reasoning
    Generous.
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662
    Jonathan said:

    It's just amazing how little the Tories learned from Labour's Corbyn years. The idea that the electorate will shrug its shoulders and forget that it detests Johnson because he has won a leadership vote of confidence is for the fairies.

    Corbyn VONC was 2016

    In GE2017 Labour under Corbyn achieved the biggest increase in its vote share since WW2.

    You as usual are mixing up your wish with the reality of what the electorate actually did.
    Corbyn lost and then went on to lose again.
    Gained seats and votes in 2017

    SO says so

    Reality the electorate detested him so much an extra 4 million voted for his party than at the previous GE
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Leon said:

    Jonathan said:

    Leon said:

    One thought. If Boris goes, that puts a lot more pressure on Sir Beer Korma. Any hint of police disapproval of Beergate and he probably has to resign, even if he doesn’t actually get a FPN

    Straws clutched. Starmers situation is simple. If he gets nicked he’s gone. Otherwise he’s fine.
    It’s not a clutched straw. It’s a fact

    If Starmer is completely exonerated, yes he’s fine

    But if he gets a Dom Cummings-like ticking-off, minus a FNP, then the stench of hypocrisy will be real, if he clings on. And it will definitely be underlined by the fact he will then - if Boris quits - be facing a squeaky-clean new Tory PM

    Damaging comparison
    So you reckon the one rule for the Party of Government and one rule for them is extinguished with Johnson's demise. Hmm.

    Well there will be an undoubted honeymoon for whoever takes over, although I will suggest, that while Partygate has done for Johnson, unless they get a grip, the economy will do for the Conservatives. You saw how quickly Sunak's reputation was flushed down the toilet. It may all be circumstances out of their control, but those are the rules of incumbency, the rough with the smooth.
  • DecrepiterJohnLDecrepiterJohnL Posts: 27,896

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The irony being that the Queen continued on and the Sex Pistols imploded.

    I suppose Jim Callaghan's 'fascist regime' did lose power less than two years later.
    You say imploded but they are back on the telly. Sex Pistols: banned by the BBC; dramatised by Netflix.
  • nico679nico679 Posts: 6,275
    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
    Me neither. If Boris goes I reckon the Remoaners might feel a moment of triumph, then a weird bit of depression. Post coitum omne animal tiriste est

    Then they will resume normal service, attacking some other figure or institution. Because theirs is a pathology, not a passion
    You’re the one that can’t move on from Brexit given your continual droning on about Remoaners ! There is no moment of triumph for Remainers given the UK is out and won’t be going back anytime soon.
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    Never mind Sunak shocking us by quitting today, is there the prospect of someone on the far right doing so? Perhaps because Brexit isn't being done hard and fast enough?

    How about Rees-Mogg - he likes things hard and fast doesn't he? Or cosplay Thatcher Liz Truss? OK so they have been the cheerleaders for government policies they would then be resigning to condemn.

    But why not? Raaaaaab resigned as Brexit Secretary in protest at his own work in the role...

    Is 'far right' the correct description for anyone in the Conservative party? Surely Nazism is far right. Simply being in favour of not being in Europe does not make one a Nazi.
  • SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 39,652

    It's just amazing how little the Tories learned from Labour's Corbyn years. The idea that the electorate will shrug its shoulders and forget that it detests Johnson because he has won a leadership vote of confidence is for the fairies.

    Corbyn VONC was 2016

    In GE2017 Labour under Corbyn achieved the biggest increase in its vote share since WW2.

    You as usual are mixing up your wish with the reality of what the electorate actually did.

    The electorate told the Labour party for 18 months that it did not want Jeremy Corbyn anywhere near Downing Street. The Labour party refused to listen and ended up with its worst electoral result since 1935. The electorate is currently telling the Tories exactly the same thing about Boris Johnson. We'll see if the Tories also decide that they know better.

  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,662

    Jonathan said:

    It's just amazing how little the Tories learned from Labour's Corbyn years. The idea that the electorate will shrug its shoulders and forget that it detests Johnson because he has won a leadership vote of confidence is for the fairies.

    Corbyn VONC was 2016

    In GE2017 Labour under Corbyn achieved the biggest increase in its vote share since WW2.

    You as usual are mixing up your wish with the reality of what the electorate actually did.
    Corbyn lost and then went on to lose again.
    Gained seats and votes in 2017

    SO says electorate detested him

    Reality the electorate detested him so much an extra 4 million voted for his party than at the previous GE
    Corrected
  • TheValiantTheValiant Posts: 1,874

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    unconvincing.....
    VERY unconvincing.
    Read the first paragraph or two.
    Now is the perfect time for a VoNC it seems to me. Ukraine can't be used as an excuse anymore (that war is going to run and run I'm afraid) and the two By-Elections are only going to deliver bad news if Johnson stays.
    The Jubilee is over, half term over and people back to work. Time for a clear out before the summer recess!
  • LostPasswordLostPassword Posts: 18,361

    Jonathan said:

    Future generations will now expect the defenestration of a PM as the ceremonial climax of a jubilee celebration.

    Salutary fact - future generations will be lucky to ever see a jubilee celebration.
    William will very probably get at least a silver.
    Charles was nearly 34 when William was born, who was 31 when George was born, so silver jubilees will be more likely than not with such a generation length.
  • BurgessianBurgessian Posts: 2,747
    kle4 said:

    Jonathan said:

    “Liz Truss has the gravitas and temperament to navigate the Ukraine situation “

    Words nobody said ever.

    Johnsons been fine on Ukraine, as I say let him continue to be a representative on it.
    Good point. The Ukes love BJ and it would have the benefit of his defenestration not being seen as a total rejection of his Govt's record, which it shoudn't be as it is quite defensible. Would also help to suppress some of the bitterness of the fall-out. However not sure Boris would go for it. Would depend on who the successor is.

  • kle4 said:



    A reminder that Theresa May lasted as Prime Minister for 1,106 days.

    Boris Johnson is currently on 1,048.


    https://twitter.com/AdamBienkov/status/1533709665040846848

    The MPs turned to Boris only when things got very desperate and they felt he was the only option to recover position and win a GE. They were right.

    It would be very on brand for them to then junk him unceremoniously once they felt he was no longer needed.

    I dont expect it, but it has logic.
    Boris did what he was put there to do.

    But its done now. That's not a reason to keep him.

    If a team fighting against relegation sacks the Manager and brings in a specialist Manager that knows how to win relegation scraps manages to avoid relegation, then that's job done - but if you then want to go on to do well in the League you might look to move on from that Manager and find a new one afterwards.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,094

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    Strange that they appear to think a new leader would be unable to focus on the problems facing the country. Are they saying Boris will sabotage a new leader?
  • Andy_JSAndy_JS Posts: 32,557
    FPT
    Leon said:

    Chances of VONC: 100%

    Chances of defeat at VONC: 63.5%

    Are those your own figures?
  • OnlyLivingBoyOnlyLivingBoy Posts: 15,781

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
    "I never thought I'd live to see the day when the right wing would become the cool ones giving the middle finger to the establishment, and the left wing becoming the sniveling self-righteous twatty ones going around shaming everyone." - John Lydon
    Punk was always shit anyway.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,215
    edited June 2022
    Fraser Nelson on R4 sounds pretty confident that Johnson will win and says the vote has come too early for those who wish to depose him.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663

    Jonathan said:

    Future generations will now expect the defenestration of a PM as the ceremonial climax of a jubilee celebration.

    Salutary fact - future generations will be lucky to ever see a jubilee celebration.
    William will very probably get at least a silver.
    Charles was nearly 34 when William was born, who was 31 when George was born, so silver jubilees will be more likely than not with such a generation length.
    ... assuming the monarchy survives another 25 years.
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Leon said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
    Johnny Rotten is now, apparently, a full time carer for his ailing wife

    When I heard that it made me existentially sad, partly because it is sad for them, but also because it made me feel about 128 years old
    There was a fantastic interview with Lydon on BBC Radio Scotland ‘Off the Ball’ last weekend (I think it was the Saturday show). He talked about Arsenal and Highbury obviously (it is after all a football show), but also very movingly about his wife and the role sport and music play for people suffering her illness. Huge respect to the man.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,605

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The irony being that the Queen continued on and the Sex Pistols imploded.

    I suppose Jim Callaghan's 'fascist regime' did lose power less than two years later.
    You say imploded but they are back on the telly. Sex Pistols: banned by the BBC; dramatised by Netflix.
    To be watched by the middle aged middle class.

    The Sex Pistols are now part of the establishment.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,631
    nico679 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
    Me neither. If Boris goes I reckon the Remoaners might feel a moment of triumph, then a weird bit of depression. Post coitum omne animal tiriste est

    Then they will resume normal service, attacking some other figure or institution. Because theirs is a pathology, not a passion
    You’re the one that can’t move on from Brexit given your continual droning on about Remoaners ! There is no moment of triumph for Remainers given the UK is out and won’t be going back anytime soon.
    There are genuinely lots of people who think Boris is the only thing holding Brexit up and that if he goes, we'll swiftly start rejoining.
  • LeonLeon Posts: 55,277
    mwadams said:

    Leon said:

    See, here’s you - @Scott_xP - a wanky Remoaner, cutting and pasting another wanky Remoaner on Twitter, and he in turn is retweeted by the FBPE wankers

    All the greatest anger against him is driven by the imbecile Remoaners

    It’s almost enough to get me to support Boris again, but…. Not quite enough. Not this time

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    That, I think is at the heart of it. Intelligent Brexiteers will recognize that the job now is to focus on un-fucking the things that Johnson's version of Brexit has fucked; and that will necessarily take the wind out of the sails of most Remainers. It's hard to look coherent if you are protesting someone doing more or less what you would recommend yourself; only the ultra-hard-line "pretend it never happened and imagine everyone will agree to us proceeding as if it were still 2016" fruit loops will be left on that particular island.

    I'm not for a minute suggesting that there is such as a species as the Intelligent Brexiteer on the Tory benches, but you never know.
    I noticed Dan Hannah - an intelligent Brexiteer - was talking about the Single Market at the weekend. He wasn’t suggesting we should rejoin, but the mere fact he used the words is intriguing

    https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2022/06/04/should-have-stayed-single-market-rejoining-now-would-madness/

    With Boris gone it will be easier to have that much-delayed debate as to what Brexit should do, and what it can’t do. Tho whether the Tories are capable of that debate is a different matter
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,094

    R4 - contrasting views between Fraser Nelson “rebels have moved too soon” and Sebastian Payne “unless it’s a big win Johnson is not out of danger as 1922 can change rules”. If there is contest, coronation may be preferred.

    I dont get the 'moved too soon' argument. If someone is still for him the by elections wont change their minds. It might not succeed, but it's been rumbling for months, it was time to put up.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,215

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The joke was on the punks.

    John Lydon is now an establishment figure. The song is on plenty of playlists - it's lyrics utterly ignored.
    "I never thought I'd live to see the day when the right wing would become the cool ones giving the middle finger to the establishment, and the left wing becoming the sniveling self-righteous twatty ones going around shaming everyone." - John Lydon
    Punk was always shit anyway.
    Sacrilege
  • eekeek Posts: 28,370
    edited June 2022

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The irony being that the Queen continued on and the Sex Pistols imploded.

    I suppose Jim Callaghan's 'fascist regime' did lose power less than two years later.
    You say imploded but they are back on the telly. Sex Pistols: banned by the BBC; dramatised by Netflix.
    Pistol is on Disney not Netflix (well technically 20th Century Fox but it was owned by Disney when they commissioned it).

    And I'm only correcting it because the irony that over the 50 years the Pistols have gone from being banned on the BBC / ITV to a corporate fairy tale.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663

    nico679 said:

    Leon said:

    Leon said:

    Tho I do wonder what will happen to the blind rage of the Remoaners, when and if Boris goes. Will it finally dissipate, or will they simply move on to the next target for their angst?

    You would think seeing the PM removed by MPs writing letters would disabuse people of the idea that we have a fascist government, but I'm not hopeful.
    Me neither. If Boris goes I reckon the Remoaners might feel a moment of triumph, then a weird bit of depression. Post coitum omne animal tiriste est

    Then they will resume normal service, attacking some other figure or institution. Because theirs is a pathology, not a passion
    You’re the one that can’t move on from Brexit given your continual droning on about Remoaners ! There is no moment of triumph for Remainers given the UK is out and won’t be going back anytime soon.
    There are genuinely lots of people who think Boris is the only thing holding Brexit up and that if he goes, we'll swiftly start rejoining.
    You have evidence for that assertion?
  • Northern_AlNorthern_Al Posts: 8,377
    edited June 2022

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    He should get voted out simply for putting out a statement that has text in bold, italicised and underlined at the same time.
    I agree.
  • R4 - contrasting views between Fraser Nelson “rebels have moved too soon” and Sebastian Payne “unless it’s a big win Johnson is not out of danger as 1922 can change rules”. If there is contest, coronation may be preferred.

    I don't see how a coronation is possible. After IDS a coronation was possible because Howard was the "old cardinal" who could be the Leader of the Opposition who'd take the forthcoming election defeat allowing the "young cardinals" to step forwards and have their own time afterwards.

    Whoever replaces Boris is Prime Minister. No way will every contender step aside from that.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,260

    Scott_xP said:

    Ironic that, at the end of the Platinum Jubilee, the Conservatives might finish off the Queen's 16th Prime Minister.

    Perfect end to the celebrations, as I said last night
    This is definitely the highlight of the jubilee. It is The Biggie that everyone will remember. Just as the Sex Pistols hitting Number One was the clear highlight of the silver jubilee.

    God save the Queen
    A fascist regime
    They made you a moron
    Potential H-bomb

    God save the Queen
    She ain't no human being
    There is no future
    In England's dreaming

    Don't be told about what you want
    Don't be told about what you need
    No future, no future, no future for you

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    Tourists are money
    But our figurehead
    Is not what she seems

    God save history
    God save your mad parade
    Oh Lord, have mercy!
    All crimes are paid

    When there's no future, how can there be sin?
    We're the flowers in the dustbin
    We're the poison in the human machine
    We're the future, we're the future

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    God save the Queen
    We mean it, man
    We love our Queen
    God saves

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future, no future

    No future, no future
    No future, no future
    No future for you

    Songwriting and delivery at its very best. John Lydon is one of England’s national treasures.
    The irony being that the Queen continued on and the Sex Pistols imploded.

    I suppose Jim Callaghan's 'fascist regime' did lose power less than two years later.
    You say imploded but they are back on the telly. Sex Pistols: banned by the BBC; dramatised by Netflix.
    The way the song and their whole "thing" has been absorbed and become "establishment" - the only surprise is that they didn't play at the concert on the weekend.

    Anyone remember the comedy of Weller trying to claim that only people who agreed with the politics could like "Eton Rifles"?
  • StuartDicksonStuartDickson Posts: 12,146
    Stocky said:

    Fraser Nelson on R4 sounds pretty confident that Johnson will win and says the vote has come too early for those who wish to depose him.

    If Nelson is correct then his own particular brand of repulsive politics is dead and buried.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    Stocky said:

    Fraser Nelson on R4 sounds pretty confident that Johnson will win and says the vote has come too early for those who wish to depose him.

    Johnson's toast then.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,663
    kle4 said:

    Being circulated to MPs in support of Boris:

    https://twitter.com/tomhfh/status/1533713550929276928

    Strange that they appear to think a new leader would be unable to focus on the problems facing the country. Are they saying Boris will sabotage a new leader?
    Johnson is arrogant enough to believe that if the problems are hard for him to solve they'll be impossible for anyone else.
This discussion has been closed.