The big fact about the next election – politicalbetting.com
Let's remember that Johnson’s Tories are uncoalitionable and need a majority to remain in power. Starmer, however, can become PM even if the Tories win most votes and seats provided they lose their majority
Reckon it became more likely.
Just like in 2010.
members of momentum should contact Diane urgently if they can "help" Keir in his career planning
Well that is a new one on me and it took me a few minutes to work out how it worked and it looks very interesting. More info from anyone please? First thought is if there are say 6 candidates it will take a long time to vote and there will be matches where I don't have an opinion and I can't reasonably be expected to have an opinion between certain candidates.
Labour really have to start coming up with some policies. The excuse given over the last couple of days that if they do, the Tories will nick them is risible.
The “un-“ is ugly.
If the arithmetic makes it possible, then it is a cast-iron guarantee that the politicians will be flexible.
And, after all, Clegg's story had a very, very happy ending .... President of Global Affairs at Meta.
He lost ground and Councillors in every single area of England except London in LE2022.
Mark Drakeford got twice as many gains in little old Wales as SKS in the whole of England even including London.
SKS already down over 300 Councillors in 2021 compared to his predecessor.
SKS defenders must be Tory enablers sleep walking to another GE defeat
An operational note drawn up ahead of Sir Keir’s notorious visit to Durham, where he was filmed enjoying a late-night beer with activists, reveals the gathering had been planned in advance.
Mail on Sunday
A hedgehog speaks.
However on the locals results Labour plus LDs would be more than Tories plus DUP even ignoring the SNP
Kinabalu said - "On that subject - tailoring - I'm about to embark on getting a bespoke suit for the 1st time ever. I'll be going for a snug fit (like Rishi) but not the supershort trousers. Don't think I could carry that off the way he does."
SSI - You might wish to take account of rising sea levels that make high-water pants a sensible investment.
State Go Away said - "i dont mean most voters cannot understand HOW to vote [STV] in terms of numbers ( although it does preclude and spoil some votes the more complicated a system which is not a good thing ) but most voters could then not explain how the votes are COUNTED - that is not transparent and not a good system therefore
SSI - Based on my (admittedly limited) experience with STV in Republic, think you are wrong re: counting. In fact, the system is VERY transparent, as you can demonstrate for yourself with a pretty simple spreadsheet. Easy to see how transfers are flowing including non-transferable votes.
"It's all a stitch-up by the right-wing press!"
"He's better than Johnson!"
"It was a genuine business meeting, honest guv!"
"Labour have been honest throughout this, unlike liar Johnson!"
"The police should have better things to do with their time!"
What a difference a week fails to make. Last Saturday I was sat at the runners and riders board at a point to point explaining that sks was an incompetent liar, now here I am by the lake at badminton and sks is still an incompetent liar.
Don't rule that out.
They'd have to be pretty close to a majority, and hope that makes Keir's job too hard to gather a working arrangement together, rather than rely on someone accepting an offer to keep them in power after 14 years.
Or at least as good as you're likely to get!
Re: sectarian influences, just spun the wheel in front of my neighborhood Tibetan Buddhist temple (doesn't every hood have one?) for you and all other PB COVIDteers.
AND don't know IF you'll consider this a complement, but on the way to my local supermarket, found myself whistling "Roddy McCorley" - and thought of you.
Clancy Brothers & Tommy Makem (with Pete Seeger) - Roddy McCorley
But, I am sure Durham Police would not have reopened the investigation unless they absolutely had to.
So, I think that means there has to be serious & credible evidence that warrants an investigation.
I agree, Durham police are not the met. They are pretty competent and Joy Allen, the labour PCC, is too and she would never interfere as some have suggested elsewhere.
Something is awry,
Crap legislation alert.
Does that imply that Mike thinks a different Tory leader might be able to get support from the yellow peril?
You just know the Lib Dems are going to get back to 20 -25 seats and, once again, be faced with a rather unappealing choice.
But I doubt the public are going to absorb fine details abotu specific times for things, how much leeway they are willing to grant a politician depends on their general feeling to them.
But the Rayner part of the story was where it started to get interesting. It started to look as though they were either incompetent or had something to hide. Neither is a good look.
Mail on Sunday obtain the operational note for April 30 2021 - “beergate” day
The curry at the heart of the police investigation features on it as a preplanned event
Keir Starmer's team planned to have a working meal which detailed the social distancing guidelines that should be followed and what would be ordered.
Sounds like a standard working dinner to me. I've been to tonnes of them
It even says what they will do afterwards, i.e. no party that went on.
So I think Starmer is home and clear, seems like he was telling the truth.
SF 23 DUP 22 ALLN 16 UUP 9 SDLP 6 Other 3 (1 TUV, 1 People Before Profit, 1 Ind ex-DUP)
Looking forward to remaining seats to be decided:
Foyle = 3 remaining, likely I SF, I DUP, 1 SDLP
East Londonderry = 3 remaining, likely 1 Ind Unionist, either 2 SF or 1 SF, 1 SDLP
Fermanagh and South Tyrone = 3 remaining, likely 2 SF, 1 DUP
North Belfast = 2 remaining, likely 1 Alliance, 1 DUP
total remaining thus = SF 4 (min) + DUP 3 + SDLP 2 (max) + Alliance 1 + Ind Unionist 1 = 11
Which would add up with seats already decided to
SF 27 DUP 25 ALLN 17 UUP 9 SDLP 8 TUV 1 PBP 2 Ind Unionists
But I don't see how a planned meal with social distancing guidelines followed between two events that were campaign related can be interpreted as anything other than totally necessary.
Can somebody explain what I am missing?
It's like my company posting an agenda for the day, I feel like this actually makes Starmer look better not worse
They might lose Croydon, but I have them hanging on by 3......
Keir and beer - he's done a Nixon and let a nothing become a something.
Ah, here we go...
Starmer has had the agenda hijacked. He doesn't know how to play dirty. Johnson and his team have absolutely kippered him.
And also, why didn't Labour produce this memo themselves if it proves they're in the clear?
They probably continued working there.
I expect they provided it to the Police, who have now leaked it. Just like they leaked the investigation being reopened without telling Starmer's office first.
Always celebrate the good days. There are plenty of bad ones which will look out for themselves
Work event ends.
So the curry is an isolated, non-work-related social event of the kind that was strictly forbidden. If the author had just written three words - 'Work event resumes' - as the last item then history would be entirely different.
They are a really worthless bunch, the lot of them. What a choice in 2024.
Oh, betting tips! Norwich North is a lock for Labour next time out, if you want a seat against the head, I fancy one of the three Sunderlands to flip, probably central and as much as Malcolm would string me up for it, the Scot Tories will, despite Thursday, retake Ayr, Carrick and Cumnock if they can avoid any further backsliding
What I am questioning is how this has been put out.
With just the right metallic tang to tickle the taste buds!