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Tories back as betting favourite in North Shropshire – politicalbetting.com

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  • Andy_JS said:

    Has the HOC gone into recess now

    Thursday I think.
    I am fairly certain it is tonight
    You are right Big G.

    The speaker announced last week.

    Er no...

    https://whatson.parliament.uk/commons/2021-12-16/
    Confusion reigns but looks like it is Thursday
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    Scott_xP said:

    Have to admire the fanbois desperate spin tonight.

    After BoZo gets his ass handed to him, "Why isn't Starmer any better?"

    Bravo lads.

    And Starmer had a golden opportunity tonight and he fluffed it
    You'd have been the first to accuse him of rampant political opportunism if he'd voted against what seem like sensible measures under the circumstances.
    Politics !!!!
    ??
    So right. It’s going to need Moon Rabbit to place all this into perspective.

    I think PB hive mind have it wrong on this tonight. This is no big deal this rebellion. For one thing it should not be reported as vote against Boris or against covid restrictions, only the rather half baked passport rush in.

    And With the public very much on side of the government, Sage with the government top scientists too, and the Labour Party onside, whoever is PM can bring in Plan C and D whenever they want over Christmas and New Year. If I am wrong on this, please explain how. But I can’t believe people here think otherwise. Sure the PM would have to recall Parliament early, but he’d easily win.

    Now, same thing, change of thoughts. How would you have voted on covid passports yourself and why? I think it’s a good question myself. If I was sat as MP with the libdems tonight how would I have voted? yes there is a liberal and libertarian angle on covid passports. But how big? a big fuss here about Civil Liberties from the same back benches of this government with everything barking mad authoritarian they have been voting through and defending the last few months! LOLs

    Maybe I would have voted against on liberal Principle. Except. If I was ambitious, the safe vote would have been to vote for it tonight. It’s not impossible delta, omicron and flu creak the NHS in coming weeks - soon as you have people dying due to they couldn’t be treated quickly enough, just simply that, that is not just toxic for government, As MP your voting record voting against Covid battling measures would be held against you too if the NHS creaks and people die in waiting ambulances etc etc, whilst if NHS doesn’t struggle to that extent, tonight’s vote is as gone as next springs fish and chip wrapper.

    I’ve given it a lot of thought. Please Tell Jade your future Gen Z PM where wrong.
  • moonshine said:

    .

    Andy_JS said:

    moonshine said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Have to admire the fanbois desperate spin tonight.

    After BoZo gets his ass handed to him, "Why isn't Starmer any better?"

    Bravo lads.

    You are a thick and partisan mug.

    I wrote to my Mp this week imploring him to vote against the measures and then to send in his letter to the 1922. The third time I have asked him to do so in the last year. Despite being on Guido’s list he voted in favour.

    It’s possible for me to recognise that both main leaders right now are a diabolical let down for this country.

    Which MP?
    I won’t embarrass him by saying so but a famous one.
    In their own minds they are all famous !!!!
  • moonshinemoonshine Posts: 5,747
    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    A novel coronavirus at least once a decade, a swine or avian flu scare with a similar frequency.

    This is it now for the rest of our lives.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631
    Andy_JS said:

    Foxy said:

    Andy_JS said:

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    Tory parties seem a bit shit if I am honest....glad I don't get invited to any.
    Yes, after the promisingly dramatic headline, this was sadly bathetic.
    Some of the group are shown wearing paper hats while one is sporting a House of Commons Christmas jumper...
    It’s not ‘100 days of Sodom’ is it?

    It’s some young people trying to have slightly forlorn fun in a terrible lonely plague. It won’t shift a vote, it might even backfire, mildly
    The problem is Keir Starmer thinks it will shift votes.
    It already has shifted the polls substantially.
    The Tories problems in the polls are entirely self-inflicted IMO. Nothing to do with Starmer.
    Not interfering while your opponents make mistakes. Very important. Starmer has played it well.



  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248
    Farooq said:

    Carnyx said:

    rpjs said:

    Nigelb said:

    This is encouraging.

    Bugs across globe are evolving to eat plastic, study finds
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/bugs-across-globe-are-evolving-to-eat-plastic-study-finds
    … “We found multiple lines of evidence supporting the fact that the global microbiome’s plastic-degrading potential correlates strongly with measurements of environmental plastic pollution – a significant demonstration of how the environment is responding to the pressures we are placing on it,” said Prof Aleksej Zelezniak, at Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden…

    Time to dig out my copy of Mutant 59: The Plastic-Eater which I believe was a novelization from the early '70s BBC series Doomwatch.
    PLastic eating microbes also featured in The Andromeda Strain (the novel, anyway; dunno about the film)>
    I believe they ate rubber. And made people's blood solid.
    The rubber/plastic eating was a mutation from the original blood solidifying version.
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    I trust they are keeping the one with Bozo in it until the end?
  • Farooq said:

    Scott_xP said:

    A bleak winter for many restaurants ahead - the clamour for a bailout will be huge in the coming weeks. https://twitter.com/cheftomkerridge/status/1470840990130921474

    Starmer could have made a bailout a condition of his votes tonight.

    The "Opposition" leader didn't think it was worth opposing though. 🙄
    The other people who tend to chime in with the notion that the "opposition" should "oppose" are the thickest of the thick Corbynites.
    Even a broken clock can be right.

    Had Starmer spent the last week saying "we support these restrictions in principle, but they'll have a damaging effect on hospitality so we can only vote them through if the government brings back these support measures" . . . then he could have forced the government into a damaging u-turn and won concessions.

    No need to vote against for the sake of voting against, but at least extract a pound of flesh for giving the government your votes.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661
    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    The others didn't kill millions of people though did they? Or do you think Covid has been so deadly because of the measures taken to contain it?
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,871
    edited December 2021

    Scott_xP said:

    Have to admire the fanbois desperate spin tonight.

    After BoZo gets his ass handed to him, "Why isn't Starmer any better?"

    Bravo lads.

    And Starmer had a golden opportunity tonight and he fluffed it
    You'd have been the first to accuse him of rampant political opportunism if he'd voted against what seem like sensible measures under the circumstances.
    Politics !!!!
    ??
    So right. It’s going to need Moon Rabbit to place all this into perspective.

    I think PB hive mind have it wrong on this tonight. This is no big deal this rebellion. For one thing it should not be reported as vote against Boris or against covid restrictions, only the rather half baked passport rush in.

    And With the public very much on side of the government, Sage with the government top scientists too, and the Labour Party onside, whoever is PM can bring in Plan C and D whenever they want over Christmas and New Year. If I am wrong on this, please explain how. But I can’t believe people here think otherwise. Sure the PM would have to recall Parliament early, but he’d easily win.

    Now, same thing, change of thoughts. How would you have voted on covid passports yourself and why? I think it’s a good question myself. If I was sat as MP with the libdems tonight how would I have voted? yes there is a liberal and libertarian angle on covid passports. But how big? a big fuss here about Civil Liberties from the same back benches of this government with everything barking mad authoritarian they have been voting through and defending the last few months! LOLs

    Maybe I would have voted against on liberal Principle. Except. If I was ambitious, the safe vote would have been to vote for it tonight. It’s not impossible delta, omicron and flu creak the NHS in coming weeks - soon as you have people dying due to they couldn’t be treated quickly enough, just simply that, that is not just toxic for government, As MP your voting record voting against Covid battling measures would be held against you too if the NHS creaks and people die in waiting ambulances etc etc, whilst if NHS doesn’t struggle to that extent, tonight’s vote is as gone as next springs fish and chip wrapper.

    I’ve given it a lot of thought. Please Tell Jade your future Gen Z PM where wrong.
    Absolutely vote against for the simple reason vaxports will be a gateway drug leading to id cards, social credit scoring, nanny knows best cards. Let them in and before 2 decades have passed you will have to be showing them to buy a pint and may be declined as you already had your alcohol ration for the week and any more puts you in danger of stressing the nhs with liver failure.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    Farooq said:

    Carnyx said:

    rpjs said:

    Nigelb said:

    This is encouraging.

    Bugs across globe are evolving to eat plastic, study finds
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/bugs-across-globe-are-evolving-to-eat-plastic-study-finds
    … “We found multiple lines of evidence supporting the fact that the global microbiome’s plastic-degrading potential correlates strongly with measurements of environmental plastic pollution – a significant demonstration of how the environment is responding to the pressures we are placing on it,” said Prof Aleksej Zelezniak, at Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden…

    Time to dig out my copy of Mutant 59: The Plastic-Eater which I believe was a novelization from the early '70s BBC series Doomwatch.
    PLastic eating microbes also featured in The Andromeda Strain (the novel, anyway; dunno about the film)>
    I believe they ate rubber. And made people's blood solid.
    The rubber/plastic eating was a mutation from the original blood solidifying version.
    Blood solidifying is pretty close to covid.
  • Starmer 9 points ahead and leading on most capable PM, Johnson as unpopular as Corbyn.

    Starmer is crap! Useless opposition!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,871

    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    The others didn't kill millions of people though did they? Or do you think Covid has been so deadly because of the measures taken to contain it?
    My point exactly though....they didnt kill millions but what do you think will happen the next time one of them arrives a) politicians will wait and see or b) politicians will lock us all down in case its another covid?

    My money is on b)
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,989
    ...
  • Shaun won't be getting another chance to lose against Khan then, how sad
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 51,624
    63,405 new cases in France with hospitalisations averaging over 1000 per day.
  • So, over 100 Tory backbenchers rebel against what (I assume) was a three-line Whip, in direct opposition to the instructions of their leader, the Prime Minister of the UK.

    And this just goes to show how weak and pathetic Starmer, the LOTO, is.

    Have I got that right?

    I think it also conclusively proves that Die Hard is a Xmas movie.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,188
    Sunak abstaining is the story I think. Blimey
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 42,826
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    The others didn't kill millions of people though did they? Or do you think Covid has been so deadly because of the measures taken to contain it?
    My point exactly though....they didnt kill millions but what do you think will happen the next time one of them arrives a) politicians will wait and see or b) politicians will lock us all down in case its another covid?

    My money is on b)
    https://www.scotsman.com/health/scotland-racks-ps55m-swine-flu-bill-2473151

    IN 2009-10 the SG did the middle of the road and prepared for swine flu - and got complaints about it.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
    In reality very sad. But it’s perceptions matter in politics.

    This is how nursery rhyme remember it in 500 yr time

    Boris Johnson ruled inept,
    To the rules, never once he kept;
    On this old rogue comeuppance crept -
    As he soundly above his party, slept.

    Then children sing Passports! Passports! and all fall down.

    us iGenners can see well into the future.
  • Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Professor Quiz Whitty has to win best team name there.
  • Sunak abstained? Surely a mistake?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    I said similar 18 months ago.

    You may be interested in the article below about the Cult of Safety:

    "Despite everything that Ulrich Beck wrote about these fears, the prospect of global catastrophe never generated the kind of generalised, unfocussed anxiety we see today."

    and,

    "the dominant objects of fear were threats to the whole community, fears which reinforced conformity."

    The thing is - the article was written in 2005!

    https://www.ethicalpolitics.org/ablunden/works/cult-safety.htm
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
    The Zoom Quiz was the 15th Dec, the party on the 18th wasn't it? Different occasions, and rumours of more...
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,989
    CCHQ keen to stress tonight that this was an unauthorised event which was organised by Shaun Bailey's campaign and not by the Conservative Party itself.

    3 staff were disciplined. The first CCHQ knew of the photo was when it emerged this evening.

    https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1470863849519734786
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661
    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    The others didn't kill millions of people though did they? Or do you think Covid has been so deadly because of the measures taken to contain it?
    My point exactly though....they didnt kill millions but what do you think will happen the next time one of them arrives a) politicians will wait and see or b) politicians will lock us all down in case its another covid?

    My money is on b)
    Ah I see what you mean. Well who knows - there may be some overreaction, it's human nature.

    What do you suggest?
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
    In reality very sad. But it’s perceptions matter in politics.

    This is how nursery rhyme remember it in 500 yr time

    Boris Johnson ruled inept,
    To the rules, never once he kept;
    On this old rogue comeuppance crept -
    As he soundly above his party, slept.

    Then children sing Passports! Passports! and all fall down.

    us iGenners can see well into the future.
    Its just not perception. With something like this you have to ensure if you are making such rules you better be sticking to them 100%.

    Putting aside the as yet unknown how sad main party, having a zoom quiz while a bit pathetic, I think a lot of the public will be asking, 1) that's against the rules and 2) wasn't there rather a lot of work that needed doing rather than dicking about having quizzes.
  • We're leading up to the big hitters of the Tories being found to have done naughty things, this story is going to run and run
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830
    Foxy said:

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
    The Zoom Quiz was the 15th Dec, the party on the 18th wasn't it? Different occasions, and rumours of more...
    Show us what you got time. Rumours, schmumours.
  • IshmaelZ said:

    Scott_xP said:

    expect to see this image on a thousand opposition leaflets in the coming months
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1470855685416103950/photo/1

    There's nobody there that we know, though. This is really thin stuff.
    Any future political careers they may have been hoping for, though, have just disappeared.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021
    Foxy said:

    @Leon is right.

    PartyGate was a far better story without the pictures.

    As it is, the pictures make you pity the No. 10 staffers, not envy them.

    What we thought was happening...

    https://twitter.com/Queen_UK/status/1469025930718892033?s=20

    What was happening....people doing a zoom quiz huddled behind Perspex screens drinking shitty booze and nibbles from Tescos Local.
    The Zoom Quiz was the 15th Dec, the party on the 18th wasn't it? Different occasions, and rumours of more...
    Yes I know....it was a joke.....
  • Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    Tory parties seem a bit shit if I am honest....glad I don't get invited to any.
    Yes, after the promisingly dramatic headline, this was sadly bathetic.
    Some of the group are shown wearing paper hats while one is sporting a House of Commons Christmas jumper...
    It’s not ‘100 days of Sodom’ is it?

    It’s some young people trying to have slightly forlorn fun in a terrible lonely plague. It won’t shift a vote, it might even backfire, mildly
    Looks like an utterly shit party.

    But it was illegal, so that must have added a little excitement.

    Like sipping a shandy in a prohibition speak-easy.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    We're leading up to the big hitters of the Tories being found to have done naughty things, this story is going to run and run

    So fucking get on with it. This is soooo dickless.
  • solarflaresolarflare Posts: 3,705
    I'm not going to get truly outraged about this Downing Street quiz until we find out what the questions were!!!
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    Tory parties seem a bit shit if I am honest....glad I don't get invited to any.
    Yes, after the promisingly dramatic headline, this was sadly bathetic.
    Some of the group are shown wearing paper hats while one is sporting a House of Commons Christmas jumper...
    It’s not ‘100 days of Sodom’ is it?

    It’s some young people trying to have slightly forlorn fun in a terrible lonely plague. It won’t shift a vote, it might even backfire, mildly
    Looks like an utterly shit party.

    But it was illegal, so that must have added a little excitement.

    Like sipping a shandy in a prohibition speak-easy.
    The buffet looks particularly limp....
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485
    Pulpstar said:

    Sunak abstaining is the story I think. Blimey

    Not sure about that. He was paired with Rachel presumably? She is poorly with covid. It would have been ungentlemanly and dishonourable to do otherwise I think.
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Foxy said:

    MaxPB said:

    Boris will be deposed if he tries to implement lockdown. Well done actual Tories. You've ended the tyranny of unelected experts.

    He's also fucked if he's seen to personally break any restriction from now on.
    Nobody in authority seems to have minded so far. Why would that change?
    Because his authority and popularity have drained away.
    I am convinced neither of those assertions are correct in the medium term. It may look that way now, but by the middle of January?
    For that to happen Boris needs a very good winter.

    Which means a minimal hit to the UK while European countries get hammered by Delta and Omicron.

    Its possible though that does lead to many Conservative MPs then thinking that new restrictions were unnecessary.
    Several of the PB Tory Brains Trust have assured me that Omicron is mild and a Delta killer. I hope they are right. Although even if they are correct my biggest fear is that the NHS still falls over under the strain. This is why Johnson is right today and Johnny Public is right behind him.
    There is some interesting data from South Africas biggest insurer in this twitter thread. Decent data rather than anecdata:

    https://twitter.com/miamalan/status/1470684351151157252?t=lXJ6l4hEFLN-sLFuHgX_ew&s=19

    This slide shows that there is 29% reduction in risk of admission compared to the original version. Somewhat better, but not great. There is stuff on Pfizer double vax giving 70% protection, so respectable efficacy.



    Thanks for that. It contextualises some of the data that some PB posters have interpreted in a particular way.

    I am assuming today's vote was as much in panic at the prospect of the NHS being overwhelmed in the next month as much as anything else. Will it hold up?
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661

    IshmaelZ said:

    Scott_xP said:

    expect to see this image on a thousand opposition leaflets in the coming months
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1470855685416103950/photo/1

    There's nobody there that we know, though. This is really thin stuff.
    Any future political careers they may have been hoping for, though, have just disappeared.
    And some not-much-future-careers too!
  • Pagan2Pagan2 Posts: 9,871

    Pagan2 said:

    Pagan2 said:

    What worries me most about the current situation is also future viruses

    We had Sars, mers, bird flu etc...no one took precautions particularly and they died out and never affected people mostly. Now we have covid and panic.

    What do people think is going to happen when another raises its head even though its more likely to be a do nothing it will fizzle than another covid?

    The others didn't kill millions of people though did they? Or do you think Covid has been so deadly because of the measures taken to contain it?
    My point exactly though....they didnt kill millions but what do you think will happen the next time one of them arrives a) politicians will wait and see or b) politicians will lock us all down in case its another covid?

    My money is on b)
    Ah I see what you mean. Well who knows - there may be some overreaction, it's human nature.

    What do you suggest?
    I suggest we tell them where to go till it is apparent there actually is a problem. My fear isnt only about politicians reactions but also the medical profession, scientists and a fair chunk of the general public. I am pretty sure within 2 years someone will shout the sky is falling because we have a new virus.....chances are it probably isnt
  • Re Sunak, anything to do with Reeves self isolating? It’s not “pairing” technically because she was presumably a vote for?
  • It was awfully early as I mentioned, to be saying how good Omicron was.

    Just like Delta, I fear things will turn out badly for us, I am afraid
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    edited December 2021
    Pagan2 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    Have to admire the fanbois desperate spin tonight.

    After BoZo gets his ass handed to him, "Why isn't Starmer any better?"

    Bravo lads.

    And Starmer had a golden opportunity tonight and he fluffed it
    You'd have been the first to accuse him of rampant political opportunism if he'd voted against what seem like sensible measures under the circumstances.
    Politics !!!!
    ??
    So right. It’s going to need Moon Rabbit to place all this into perspective.

    I think PB hive mind have it wrong on this tonight. This is no big deal this rebellion. For one thing it should not be reported as vote against Boris or against covid restrictions, only the rather half baked passport rush in.

    And With the public very much on side of the government, Sage with the government top scientists too, and the Labour Party onside, whoever is PM can bring in Plan C and D whenever they want over Christmas and New Year. If I am wrong on this, please explain how. But I can’t believe people here think otherwise. Sure the PM would have to recall Parliament early, but he’d easily win.

    Now, same thing, change of thoughts. How would you have voted on covid passports yourself and why? I think it’s a good question myself. If I was sat as MP with the libdems tonight how would I have voted? yes there is a liberal and libertarian angle on covid passports. But how big? a big fuss here about Civil Liberties from the same back benches of this government with everything barking mad authoritarian they have been voting through and defending the last few months! LOLs

    Maybe I would have voted against on liberal Principle. Except. If I was ambitious, the safe vote would have been to vote for it tonight. It’s not impossible delta, omicron and flu creak the NHS in coming weeks - soon as you have people dying due to they couldn’t be treated quickly enough, just simply that, that is not just toxic for government, As MP your voting record voting against Covid battling measures would be held against you too if the NHS creaks and people die in waiting ambulances etc etc, whilst if NHS doesn’t struggle to that extent, tonight’s vote is as gone as next springs fish and chip wrapper.

    I’ve given it a lot of thought. Please Tell Jade your future Gen Z PM where wrong.
    Absolutely vote against for the simple reason vaxports will be a gateway drug leading to id cards, social credit scoring, nanny knows best cards. Let them in and before 2 decades have passed you will have to be showing them to buy a pint and may be declined as you already had your alcohol ration for the week and any more puts you in danger of stressing the nhs with liver failure.
    LOL that is very funny.

    But seriously, parliaments drawing lines of liberty in smartest happiest place is serious business and as I highlight above, if ambitious politician would I play safe, and vote differently if not ambitious.
  • So, over 100 Tory backbenchers rebel against what (I assume) was a three-line Whip, in direct opposition to the instructions of their leader, the Prime Minister of the UK.

    And this just goes to show how weak and pathetic Starmer, the LOTO, is.

    Have I got that right?

    Yes.
  • IshmaelZIshmaelZ Posts: 21,830

    IshmaelZ said:

    Scott_xP said:

    expect to see this image on a thousand opposition leaflets in the coming months
    https://twitter.com/PickardJE/status/1470855685416103950/photo/1

    There's nobody there that we know, though. This is really thin stuff.
    Any future political careers they may have been hoping for, though, have just disappeared.
    Don't see it making any odds whatever.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    2) Streeting then made it very clear that he and the LP would not support mandatory vaccination.

    So putting 1) and 2) together he is saying that he doesn't think it should be a legal requirement to be vaccinated but on the other hand he feels free to riff about a large cohort who have decided, perfectly legally, to make a particular choice.

    No liberal should defend Streeting's position on this.
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485

    Sunak abstained? Surely a mistake?

    Again, Rachel Reeves is unwell. He’s her pair I think so voting would be ungentlemanly conduct.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661
    edited December 2021
    Scott_xP said:

    CCHQ keen to stress tonight that this was an unauthorised event which was organised by Shaun Bailey's campaign and not by the Conservative Party itself.

    3 staff were disciplined. The first CCHQ knew of the photo was when it emerged this evening.

    https://twitter.com/PaulBrandITV/status/1470863849519734786

    So 3 staff were disciplined. But CCHQ never realised there were photos too.

    Makes it sound as if it would have been fine if no one had taken a photo.

    What did they discipline the staff for, if they didn't know about the parties?
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
  • AnabobazinaAnabobazina Posts: 23,485

    Re Sunak, anything to do with Reeves self isolating? It’s not “pairing” technically because she was presumably a vote for?

    If she abstains, he has to abstain. To do otherwise would be ungentlemanly to his opponent surely?
  • Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    Tory parties seem a bit shit if I am honest....glad I don't get invited to any.
    Yes, after the promisingly dramatic headline, this was sadly bathetic.
    Some of the group are shown wearing paper hats while one is sporting a House of Commons Christmas jumper...
    It’s not ‘100 days of Sodom’ is it?

    It’s some young people trying to have slightly forlorn fun in a terrible lonely plague. It won’t shift a vote, it might even backfire, mildly
    Looks like an utterly shit party.

    But it was illegal, so that must have added a little excitement.

    Like sipping a shandy in a prohibition speak-easy.
    The buffet looks particularly limp....
    One of the guys is looking at it side on with a vaguely terrified look whilst almost trying to smile.

    This has the ring of a party whose idea was someone near the top of management for "team building" and no one under the age of 30 wanted to go.

    It's like an outtake from The Office.
  • darkagedarkage Posts: 5,398
    edited December 2021
    Covid madness update... went swimming today. A woman was actually wearing a mask whilst swimming. Then she wore it in the sauna as well.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    IanB2 said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    I trust they are keeping the one with Bozo in it until the end?
    define end
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    We're leading up to the big hitters of the Tories being found to have done naughty things, this story is going to run and run

    Are we? I think your hope is clouding your judgement.
  • Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Some good names there.

    Hands, Face, First Place and Cheeses of Nazareth have to be the best IMHO.
  • FoxyFoxy Posts: 48,631

    Foxy said:

    MaxPB said:

    Boris will be deposed if he tries to implement lockdown. Well done actual Tories. You've ended the tyranny of unelected experts.

    He's also fucked if he's seen to personally break any restriction from now on.
    Nobody in authority seems to have minded so far. Why would that change?
    Because his authority and popularity have drained away.
    I am convinced neither of those assertions are correct in the medium term. It may look that way now, but by the middle of January?
    For that to happen Boris needs a very good winter.

    Which means a minimal hit to the UK while European countries get hammered by Delta and Omicron.

    Its possible though that does lead to many Conservative MPs then thinking that new restrictions were unnecessary.
    Several of the PB Tory Brains Trust have assured me that Omicron is mild and a Delta killer. I hope they are right. Although even if they are correct my biggest fear is that the NHS still falls over under the strain. This is why Johnson is right today and Johnny Public is right behind him.
    There is some interesting data from South Africas biggest insurer in this twitter thread. Decent data rather than anecdata:

    https://twitter.com/miamalan/status/1470684351151157252?t=lXJ6l4hEFLN-sLFuHgX_ew&s=19

    This slide shows that there is 29% reduction in risk of admission compared to the original version. Somewhat better, but not great. There is stuff on Pfizer double vax giving 70% protection, so respectable efficacy.



    Thanks for that. It contextualises some of the data that some PB posters have interpreted in a particular way.

    I am assuming today's vote was as much in panic at the prospect of the NHS being overwhelmed in the next month as much as anything else. Will it hold up?
    Numbers of covid inpatients in my Trust are just over 100. It's been 80-120 since September, I think. About 15% in ICU, nearly all unvaxxed.
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    darkage said:

    Covid madness update... went swimming today. A woman was actually wearing a mask whilst swimming. Then she wore it in the sauna as well.

    Was she wearing it where her bikini should be?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,188

    Pulpstar said:

    Sunak abstaining is the story I think. Blimey

    Not sure about that. He was paired with Rachel presumably? She is poorly with covid. It would have been ungentlemanly and dishonourable to do otherwise I think.
    Reeves would be following the Labour whip ! You can't pair with your own side
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    It was awfully early as I mentioned, to be saying how good Omicron was.

    Just like Delta, I fear things will turn out badly for us, I am afraid

    When you say "us" do you mean humans in general, or the UK/England?
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300

    Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Some good names there.

    Hands, Face, First Place and Cheeses of Nazareth have to be the best IMHO.
    Rebels without a Claus.
  • If Whitty and LSHTM's wild modelling predictions don't come to pass in New Year then surely Johnson is finally done?

    Almost half his backbench voted to stop this wild lurch to panic.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,802

    63,405 new cases in France with hospitalisations averaging over 1000 per day.

    But they've got vaccine passports, masks and all the rest of it! You must be mistaken. These measures are assured to eliminate COVID, the French are just trying to make Boris look bad.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661
    edited December 2021

    Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Some good names there.

    Hands, Face, First Place and Cheeses of Nazareth have to be the best IMHO.
    Professor Quiz Whitty is my fav.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    Leon said:

    Nigelb said:

    Scott_xP said:

    EXCLUSIVE: Extraordinary image shows 'raucous' Xmas party thrown by Tory aides in lockdown breach
    https://www.mirror.co.uk/news/politics/extraordinary-image-shows-raucous-xmas-25699183

    Tory parties seem a bit shit if I am honest....glad I don't get invited to any.
    Yes, after the promisingly dramatic headline, this was sadly bathetic.
    Some of the group are shown wearing paper hats while one is sporting a House of Commons Christmas jumper...
    It’s not ‘100 days of Sodom’ is it?

    It’s some young people trying to have slightly forlorn fun in a terrible lonely plague. It won’t shift a vote, it might even backfire, mildly
    Looks like an utterly shit party.

    But it was illegal, so that must have added a little excitement.

    Like sipping a shandy in a prohibition speak-easy.
    The buffet looks particularly limp....
    One of the guys is looking at it side on with a vaguely terrified look whilst almost trying to smile.

    This has the ring of a party whose idea was someone near the top of management for "team building" and no one under the age of 30 wanted to go.

    It's like an outtake from The Office.
    I am becoming convinced two things went on....

    1) The bosses thought having zoom quiz nights, silly awards and some drinks would be great for morale of those working hard. And of course the young staffers never wanted to be there, but there were drinks.

    2) The staffers got into a culture of drinkie poos after "work" because pubs were shut and the bosses turned a blind eye.

    I am not convinced any of these "parties" were wild drugs and sex jobbies.

    But clearly nobody thought this will look absolutely shocking if it gets out, oh and the bloke over there in the cabinet office is married to a leading national journalist....I am sure that won't be an issue.
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    Nigelb said:

    This is encouraging.

    Bugs across globe are evolving to eat plastic, study finds
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/bugs-across-globe-are-evolving-to-eat-plastic-study-finds
    … “We found multiple lines of evidence supporting the fact that the global microbiome’s plastic-degrading potential correlates strongly with measurements of environmental plastic pollution – a significant demonstration of how the environment is responding to the pressures we are placing on it,” said Prof Aleksej Zelezniak, at Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden…

    Not encouraging if you’ve had plastic surgery? 😱
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    .

    It was awfully early as I mentioned, to be saying how good Omicron was.

    Just like Delta, I fear things will turn out badly for us, I am afraid

    Sit tight Horse. Statistical probability suggests most of us will be fine.
  • tlg86 said:

    It was awfully early as I mentioned, to be saying how good Omicron was.

    Just like Delta, I fear things will turn out badly for us, I am afraid

    When you say "us" do you mean humans in general, or the UK/England?
    I meant some here
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405
    edited December 2021

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    Knows more does not equal a photo of ‘Johnson snorting coke off Rishi Sunaks naked arse’ though does it? If they’ve got photos better than the pathetic zoom quiz, show it. I don’t believe they do.
  • RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    If tonight's Bailey is one of them it is not a smoking gun

    The demise of Boris premiership will not be over partygate but his loss of confidence by 180 of his mps

    When and only then will time be called no matter how much we may want it to be different
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Farooq said:

    MaxPB said:

    63,405 new cases in France with hospitalisations averaging over 1000 per day.

    But they've got vaccine passports, masks and all the rest of it! You must be mistaken. These measures are assured to eliminate COVID, the French are just trying to make Boris look bad.
    Moron
    +1
  • If Whitty and LSHTM's wild modelling predictions don't come to pass in New Year then surely Johnson is finally done?

    Almost half his backbench voted to stop this wild lurch to panic.

    New Year...I believe according to the HSA model we will have all had COVID by tomorrow....
  • Scott_xPScott_xP Posts: 35,989
    It's a funny old world. Eden rides high in 1955, obliterated in 1956. Wilson landslide in 1966, reputation blown to bits in 1967. Callaghan looks a winner in 1978, destroyed by the winter of 1978-79. Thatcher at her peak in 1987-88, humiliated in 1990. Funny old world.
    https://twitter.com/gsoh31/status/1470854952625086464
  • Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Some good names there.

    Hands, Face, First Place and Cheeses of Nazareth have to be the best IMHO.
    I would prefer: "I fought the law, and the law won"

    But I think that is a bit hopeful given that Cressida's MET have announced they don't investigate crimes from a year ago.

  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    tlg86 said:

    It was awfully early as I mentioned, to be saying how good Omicron was.

    Just like Delta, I fear things will turn out badly for us, I am afraid

    When you say "us" do you mean humans in general, or the UK/England?
    I meant some here
    ??

    I don't see that Delta has made much difference. There was an issue to begin with in that it came just before we'd got through the second doses, but once we'd done that it was fine.
  • Farooq said:

    MaxPB said:

    63,405 new cases in France with hospitalisations averaging over 1000 per day.

    But they've got vaccine passports, masks and all the rest of it! You must be mistaken. These measures are assured to eliminate COVID, the French are just trying to make Boris look bad.
    Moron
    No need to be rude mate
  • MoonRabbitMoonRabbit Posts: 13,494
    edited December 2021
    Stocky said:

    darkage said:

    Covid madness update... went swimming today. A woman was actually wearing a mask whilst swimming. Then she wore it in the sauna as well.

    Was she wearing it where her bikini should be?
    Naturist night where all they wear is masks 😷 This is so bloody funny
  • Nigelb said:

    This is encouraging.

    Bugs across globe are evolving to eat plastic, study finds
    https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/14/bugs-across-globe-are-evolving-to-eat-plastic-study-finds
    … “We found multiple lines of evidence supporting the fact that the global microbiome’s plastic-degrading potential correlates strongly with measurements of environmental plastic pollution – a significant demonstration of how the environment is responding to the pressures we are placing on it,” said Prof Aleksej Zelezniak, at Chalmers University of Technology in Sweden…

    Not encouraging if you’ve had plastic surgery? 😱
    Have you? :)
  • RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    Lol, very creative thanks Pete
  • I am alone in being incandescent over that photo of the party.

    No doubt some people on the very same day were cremating their loved ones via Zoom.

    :angry:

  • SandyRentoolSandyRentool Posts: 22,011

    Scott_xP said:

    ...

    Professor Quiz Whitty has to win best team name there.
    Beaver Fever is the one that has me intrigued.

    Either hinting at the true origin of Covid or Bozo has been spreading an STD round the office.
  • MaxPB said:

    63,405 new cases in France with hospitalisations averaging over 1000 per day.

    But they've got vaccine passports, masks and all the rest of it! You must be mistaken. These measures are assured to eliminate COVID, the French are just trying to make Boris look bad.
    Apparently masks alone should mean just 2,000 cases per day since that's what we had in May.

    The fact that it was illegal to go into other people's homes, restaurants were shut by law indoors etc isn't relevant. Its all the mask.
  • BenpointerBenpointer Posts: 34,661

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    If tonight's Bailey is one of them it is not a smoking gun

    The demise of Boris premiership will not be over partygate but his loss of confidence by 180 of his mps

    When and only then will time be called no matter how much we may want it to be different
    ... unless Boris is in one of the Mirror's party snaps!
  • MexicanpeteMexicanpete Posts: 28,368
    Scott_xP said:

    ...

    23 Teams? How many per team?

    And for those on Sunak as next PM, who do you think might be in "The Money Gang"?
  • IanB2IanB2 Posts: 49,859
    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    2) Streeting then made it very clear that he and the LP would not support mandatory vaccination.

    So putting 1) and 2) together he is saying that he doesn't think it should be a legal requirement to be vaccinated but on the other hand he feels free to riff about a large cohort who have decided, perfectly legally, to make a particular choice.

    No liberal should defend Streeting's position on this.

    One thing I can guarantee is that Streeting is no liberal. He may be a moderate but he’s a centraliser through and through.
  • PB Tories now excusing breaking the rules, depressing
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    edited December 2021

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    That mode of thinking was never particularly appropriate but it went out the window once it was clear being vaccinated doesn't actually stop you getting and transmitting the vaccine on, especially as all the virus does is get ever more infectious anyway.

    Yeah, sure, getting jabbed might reduce the chance of it, but vaccination now has to be viewed in terms of reducing the likelihood of putting yourself in overstretched hospitals and not really anything to do with protecting others by not inadvertently transmitting it to anyone else.
    I'm tending towards your view - though it would be good to understand how less likely a person is to transmit the virus vs an unvaccinated person. I did read a study of this about a month ago which said that the difference wasn't as much as you may think - but I'm damned if I can find it.

    The belief is out there that there is a vast difference and I strongly suspect this isn't true. I'd even go as far as saying that some of the lumpen would rather stand next to an infected person wearing a mask than a unvaccinated person. I think this is become a new 'class of person' issue and I find it most distasteful.
  • MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 50,248

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    That mode of thinking was never particularly appropriate but it went out the window once it was clear being vaccinated doesn't actually stop you getting and transmitting the vaccine on, especially as all the virus does is get ever more infectious anyway.

    Yeah, sure, getting jabbed might reduce the chance of it, but vaccination now has to be viewed in terms of reducing the likelihood of putting yourself in overstretched hospitals and not really anything to do with protecting others by not inadvertently transmitting it to anyone else.
    It is worth remembering that mandatory vaccinations for medical workers have been around for years. To protect patients, colleagues and themselves.
  • RattersRatters Posts: 1,076

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    That mode of thinking was never particularly appropriate but it went out the window once it was clear being vaccinated doesn't actually stop you getting and transmitting the vaccine on, especially as all the virus does is get ever more infectious anyway.

    Yeah, sure, getting jabbed might reduce the chance of it, but vaccination now has to be viewed in terms of reducing the likelihood of putting yourself in overstretched hospitals and not really anything to do with protecting others by not inadvertently transmitting it to anyone else.
    Quite right.

    From a Covid risk perspective, I'd rather an unvaccinated healthcare worker whose hobby was reading booking than a double jabbed healthcare worker who frequented nightclubs twice a week. Neither of the 'risky' choices should be banned by law.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 81,989
    edited December 2021

    PB Tories now excusing breaking the rules, depressing

    Who is excusing rule breaking?

    Its quite possible to take the piss out of how pathetic the parties seem to have been, while not excusing them.

    If you are going to break the rules, might as well go Ferris Bueller's Day Off big...
  • Stocky said:

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    That mode of thinking was never particularly appropriate but it went out the window once it was clear being vaccinated doesn't actually stop you getting and transmitting the vaccine on, especially as all the virus does is get ever more infectious anyway.

    Yeah, sure, getting jabbed might reduce the chance of it, but vaccination now has to be viewed in terms of reducing the likelihood of putting yourself in overstretched hospitals and not really anything to do with protecting others by not inadvertently transmitting it to anyone else.
    I'm tending towards your view - though it would be good to understand how less likely a person is to transmit the virus vs an unvaccinated person. I did read a study of this about a month ago which said that the difference wasn't as much as you may think - but I'm damned if I can find it.

    The belief is out there that there is a vast difference and I strongly suspect this isn't true. I'd even go as far as saying that some of the lumpen would rather stand next to an infected person wearing a mask than a unvaccinated person. I think this is become a new 'class of person' issue and I find it most distasteful.
    Vaccines were sold as the way out and I always thought alone this was a silly thing to say
  • RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    If tonight's Bailey is one of them it is not a smoking gun

    The demise of Boris premiership will not be over partygate but his loss of confidence by 180 of his mps

    When and only then will time be called no matter how much we may want it to be different
    ... unless Boris is in one of the Mirror's party snaps!
    Lots of hope over expectation
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,373

    PB Tories now excusing breaking the rules, depressing

    Who is excusing rule breaking?
    Michael Masi?
  • StockyStocky Posts: 10,213
    edited December 2021
    IanB2 said:

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    2) Streeting then made it very clear that he and the LP would not support mandatory vaccination.

    So putting 1) and 2) together he is saying that he doesn't think it should be a legal requirement to be vaccinated but on the other hand he feels free to riff about a large cohort who have decided, perfectly legally, to make a particular choice.

    No liberal should defend Streeting's position on this.

    One thing I can guarantee is that Streeting is no liberal. He may be a moderate but he’s a centraliser through and through.
    Sorry - I didn't mean to give the impression that I thought he was - he's in the LP! - I was making a broader point.

    Ps. I'm pleased with how the LDs voted today. Are you?
  • turbotubbsturbotubbs Posts: 17,405

    RobD said:

    https://twitter.com/PippaCrerar/status/1470855418243162113

    BoJo next, honestly how stupid can you be?

    Do you have any proof of this, or just hoping?
    I don't have proof but Pippar has been teasing it for over a week
    Can you give us an example?
    No he cannot
    If you check out most of Pippa Crear's tweets from the last ten days she has hinted throughout that she knows more. Don't shoot the Correct Horse Battery messenger!
    If tonight's Bailey is one of them it is not a smoking gun

    The demise of Boris premiership will not be over partygate but his loss of confidence by 180 of his mps

    When and only then will time be called no matter how much we may want it to be different
    ... unless Boris is in one of the Mirror's party snaps!
    If they had it we’d have seen it by now. It doesn’t exist. The zoom photo was the best they had.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 38,802

    If Whitty and LSHTM's wild modelling predictions don't come to pass in New Year then surely Johnson is finally done?

    Almost half his backbench voted to stop this wild lurch to panic.

    I think he would be and so would they. If their advice turns out to be poor it may be seen as time to replace the advisors.

    What I'm still trying to figure out is where the Omicron hospitalisations are going to come from. Much like the doom models from July they seems to not take into account the level of immunity people have built up either with vaccines, infections or both. It's just a simple exercise of "this doubles every x days and y% will be hospitalised". I understand the need to be fast with projections in an emergency but this kind of simple model failed in July as well with less than a third of the overall predicted numbers being hospitalised and the R bumping along at 0.8-1.2 rather than the prediction of a constant 1.5, it seems that no one wants to learn from past mistakes.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,175

    Stocky said:

    I've been pondering Streeting's speech today.

    1) He was asking MPs to imagine a NHS worker who was feeling scared about working alongside her unvaccinated work colleague. And he then went on to talk about if an unvaccinated NHS worker infected a patient how would the relative of that patient feel. I'm very unhappy about the way that unvaccinated people are being thought of in this way - as second class citizens - as though they are a stale fart.

    That mode of thinking was never particularly appropriate but it went out the window once it was clear being vaccinated doesn't actually stop you getting and transmitting the vaccine on, especially as all the virus does is get ever more infectious anyway.

    Yeah, sure, getting jabbed might reduce the chance of it, but vaccination now has to be viewed in terms of reducing the likelihood of putting yourself in overstretched hospitals and not really anything to do with protecting others by not inadvertently transmitting it to anyone else.
    It is worth remembering that mandatory vaccinations for medical workers have been around for years. To protect patients, colleagues and themselves.
    Are flu vaccines mandatory for NHS staff?

    I'm not opposed to it being brought in gradually, I just think it might be counterproductive to do it quite so quickly.
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