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Reassuring CON voters 3 days before the Bexley by-election – politicalbetting.com
Reassuring CON voters 3 days before the Bexley by-election – politicalbetting.com
'Forgive me, forgive me, forgive me'@BorisJohnson appears to lose track of his notes as he delivers a speech to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) pic.twitter.com/cdCJ2tO6ye
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The Conservative vote from 2019 is holding up bar a few undecideds and James Brokenshire is remembered with affection. They will not care less about Boris being Boris and losing his place at one point in a speech.
The most interesting thing will be whether the LDs fall to 4th place. I found mainly Conservative voters yesterday and a few Labour, I did not find a single LD voter and we also know Tice and RefUK are campaigning hard in the seat
Its the kids. Boris strikes me as the kind of selfish but charismatic chancer who has always managed to dodge most paternal duties - I don’t mean simply ignoring bastard offspring but always having something more important to do just as the wife needs help with nappies
But this time he can’t dodge. Carrie looks pretty assertive. He’s in the public spotlight. He’s stuck at Number 10. All = a lack of sleep which is ageing him by a decade in a year
Go on then. Tell us all how it doesn't matter that Boris can't manage a speech without making some stupid kids TV show joke or turning from one page to the other because actually its only the CBI and actually this poll shows that people don't care about business.
Recent by-elections show that Labour and Lib Dem voters are willing to swing behind whichever party is best placed to beat the Tories.
Green voters less so.
But again he seems tired more than anything. Certainly not drunk
I think Boris will scrape the next election, and retire not long after.
The only way he goes before the next election is if it looks likely he will lose it (even to NOM) and then it’s feasible that decides himself to do one “now that Brexit is delivered”.
Boris is 2 years and 121 days - he needs to get to August 6th 2022 to beat her.
That was before he found out he had no money for holidays and wallpaper mind.
2) By a couple of decades of not listening to voters' concerns.
200, to beat Gordon Brown.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_prime_ministers_of_the_United_Kingdom_by_length_of_tenure
Cameron was pretty much double May, at six years and a couple of months.
I got away with it all those other times so I’ll get away with it again.
If does this a few times during the actual GE campaign, then might be another story.
Laura Kuenssberg
@bbclaurak
·
1h
Tory MPs were worried last week that No 10 was losing its grip - not sure any of them will feel better if they were watching this morning’s speech …
First, Boris will resign “on his own terms” before any risk of ouster.
Second, I can’t see a consensus for any single alternative emerging in the backbench ranks.
Third, I seriously doubt Boris gives a brass shit who or what replaces him.
2. Brexit
3. Corbyn
This is what I take from his “buyer’s remorse” remark. I don’t believe he regrets hooking up with Carrie. They still look genuinely affectionate as a couple
It’s the children. I suspect he’s realised what he’s taken on, so late in life (relatively)
He can't so easily hide away on a Sunday nowadays as Carrie is aware of that trick.
I also don't think he's got the courage to resign before he gets pushed. We've seen it time and again that he has a severe case of indecisiveness, he simply seems unable to make any decision until the very last moment (and then sometimes still not really). The Tory party will move faster than he is able to come to a decision to resign before he's pushed, especially with the new northern MPs looking at their own majorities.
Even Starmer would not do so as it would be political suicide in the RedWall and Labour is moving towards closer alignment to the SM and CU for the UK without full EEA and FoM rather than reversing Brexit. Davey too has also abandoned Rejoin and the LDs position is largely EEA for now
One of my late grandfathers had a child in his 50s with a younger wife but again they could afford a nanny at that time. For most people though yes without major child support it can be a burden and even with a nanny you still have to support them through school and maybe university
Appalling. And their worst figures of the entire pandemic
Imagine if the UK right now was recording 170,000 cases and 2400 deaths. In a day
How can they avoid another lockdown?
“Fuck business” he said.
Today, Boris Johnson has tied Henry Campbell-Bannerman on 852 days as Prime Minister.
The dates on which Boris Johnson ties the following...
Gordon Brown - 07/06/2022
Neville Chamberlain - 06/07/2022
Theresa May - 03/08/2022
Hence even more incentive to stay PM
I reckon he’s pretty constrained by his income, which is considerably less than when he was a backbencher and the Telegraph were giving him five grand a week.
Pensioners could still have to sell their homes to pay for social care
The government cannot rule out some people having to sell their homes to pay for care under cost-saving reforms that will hit poorer pensioners, a minister has suggested.
Paul Scully, a business minister, promised only that there would be “fewer people selling their houses”. It will add to unease over a damaging Tory rebellion against changes that were slipped out last week.
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/boris-johnson-faces-tory-dissent-over-social-care-plans-kspxk3dtb
That means staying at least until the next GE if not beyond.
Those PMs who served less than 5 years eg Brown and May command significantly lower fees than Blair gets or Thatcher got on the lecture circuit and Major and Cameron too are not in the Blair and Thatcher league of speaking fees (albeit Major got some extra income from Carlyle group)
He waffles on about Peppa Pig, makes strange noises, rambles and loses his place - but he's great.
Ed Miliband eats a bacon sandwich, rather clumsily - he's finished.
Kinnock slips on the beach and tries to gee up an audience in Sheffield rather strangely - he's finished.
But I think the Boris act is beginning to wear thin with all but his most devout admirers.
People like comedy Boris. If he can't keep his notes in order he's not likely to be able to do anything too harmful, seems to be part of the reasoning.
When he released his tax returns in 2012 he showed he was a very financially disorganised man who wasn't tax efficient.
BTW, if there is one prime ministerial tenure he would be keen to beat, I think it's probably Cameron. But given that he got "Brexit done", and finished the process inadvertently begun by DC, I'm not clear why he would be all that bothered.
In Victorian times a rich father could get away with seeing the bairns for 10 minutes a day and maybe an hour at the weekend. Then you packed them off to boarding school at 7. Incredible, really. And cruel
Carrie won’t stand for that. She’s a modern mum. She will expect Boris to pitch in, or else. And it is showing.
It flashed up on CNN that Biden has apparently told allies that he is intending to run in 2024
So that’s council tax, utilities and repairs as well.
If he gives it up he had fewer excuses for not looking after the children.
Could never figure out why they used it to host their entire call centre operations, employing expensive, London-based call operators.
In short he'll still be paying for the kids (apparently he had promised them their first deposits, etc) and she'll have his nuts in a financial vice for the rest of the life because he didn't pay his fair share on the mortgage etc during the marriage.
The energy company Bulb has gone in administration. Because it's got 1.7million customers (and currently no body wants any of them) the company will continue to run as is.
Boris Johnson says his speech to the CBI 'went over well' after a reporter asks about him appearing to lose track of his notes https://twitter.com/ITVNewsPolitics/status/1462765158925746178/video/1
“Health minister tells Germans they will all either have 'been vaccinated, recovered or died' from Covid by the end of winter””
(Guardian)
The whole sector just seems to be built on sand, I'm not surprised they're all going bankrupt.
I’m not saying Bulb was a scam, just that the “market” was clearly incentivising simple marketing over innovation or productivity.