politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » If Trump fails to win tonight then his bid will effectively be over
As we saw after last week’s Iowa caucuses this stage in the White House race everything is all about expectations. So although Cruz won last week all the attention went on Rubio who did a fair bit better than expected.
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1st like Sanders in NH0
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Second .... darn it!0
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Maybe, maybe not.
He has the dough, the ego and the votes to plough on. His opponents are mostly pygmies, jostling for 15% of the vote each...0 -
FPT:rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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FourthFifth(?) like Bush/Rubio/Kasich/Christie.0 -
I found it quite funny.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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I've eased out on Rubio over the day, and backed Cruz a little (but not big stakes - just to cover myself) and haven't bothered with Bush.
I still think - in a divided field - Trump edges it for now. He's less disliked by the base than Bush/Kasich who'd be the only other ones to benefit.
Cruz really does seem an acquired taste.0 -
Off topic, WTF is this? Just fired up youtube to listen to some music and the "ad" stream forced this on me, which I assume the Guardian have paid for:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_NhRc_Depzw
Why? And how much did it cost them?
It's embarrassing.0 -
When will we get results tonight?0
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When can we expect the first results?0
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I think Trump's absolute share is the most important thing. Above 32%, good result. Below, bad result.0
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True, by contrast if he wins comfortably he will be well placed for the nomination, especially if Kasich beats Cruz and Rubio for second place. Trump would then have big momentum to take to South Carolina which he should win0
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Trump strikes me as someone who really shouldn't win - the rubicon for me was very definitely crossed with the "bring back waterboarding and much worse" comment - but it looks like he just may, in a very long, slow and sluggish fight, edge it out.HYUFD said:True, by contrast if he wins comfortably he will be well placed for the nomination, especially if Kasich beats Cruz and Rubio for second place. Trump would then have big momentum to take to South Carolina which he should win
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***** BETTING POST *****
Current Google Trends in NH using candidate names:
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
6:48 PM - 9 Feb 2016
Based on the above, Kasich looks good value to win Ladbrokes New Hampshire Primary "without Trump" bet currently on offer at odds of 5/4.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/presidential-election/2016-presidential-election-winner/216136503/
DYOR0 -
Midnightasjohnstone said:When can we expect the first results?
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Bloody hell, using Google Trends as a betting tool !peter_from_putney said:***** BETTING POST *****
Current Google Trends in NH using candidate names:
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
6:48 PM - 9 Feb 2016
Based on the above, Kasich looks good value to win Ladbrokes New Hampshire Primary "without Trump" bet currently on offer at odds of 5/4.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/presidential-election/2016-presidential-election-winner/216136503/
DYOR0 -
Thanks rcs100 - well past my bedtime unfortunately.0
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I think he can drop below 30% ifrcs1000 said:I think Trump's absolute share is the most important thing. Above 32%, good result. Below, bad result.
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
that is the result, Kasich will find it tough in South Carolina I think, and it'd be a poor result for Rubio and Bush too.
Cruz might be happiest medium term with the above tbh.
Not sure Google trends is the best way to work out the polling mind.....0 -
lol, no accusations like that from me!DavidL said:
I thought I was going to be accused of talking my book or something! If only.....Pong said:
Are you betting on Bloomberg?DavidL said:If Bloomberg wants to run he should be running in the Republican race against the Donald. I don't really see how he gets to buy himself a seat in the big game without putting his head above the parapet and showing that he has broad support. I think there would be serious issues of whether he would be allowed to take part in the debates etc.
As an independent I struggle to see what State he wins. New York is possibly the favourite but Hilary got 70% of the vote the last time she stood there, state wide. His running would undoubtedly distort the race in lots of interesting ways but I really struggle to see how he could possibly think there could be a breakthrough to electoral votes.
I just don't think it will happen.
Edit - sorry david, I quoted the wrong post - question meant for @rcs1000
You're one of the most objective and self aware posters on here.
Anyway, I mostly agree with you re; Bloomberg.
The talk about a possible bid certainly buys the guy some additional influence he wouldn't otherwise have - I can see no incentive for him to quash the speculation.
For now.0 -
Agreed, and not just because of Google trends: he's got the momentum. I'm on.peter_from_putney said:***** BETTING POST *****
Current Google Trends in NH using candidate names:
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
6:48 PM - 9 Feb 2016
Based on the above, Kasich looks good value to win Ladbrokes New Hampshire Primary "without Trump" bet currently on offer at odds of 5/4.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/presidential-election/2016-presidential-election-winner/216136503/
DYOR0 -
Google trends o_O ?!
Are you lot serious - were they any good as an Iowa predictor ?
@NickPalmer I've managed to get a bit longer for on Kasich myself today but I wasn't using Google Trends
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I'd be highly surprised if Michael Bloomberg ran. He seems like a man who wants to be president but without the bother of actually running to be president.0
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I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?0
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@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...0 -
Benteke is still rubbish.TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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That's really a mug's game.Pulpstar said:
Bloody hell, using Google Trends as a betting tool !peter_from_putney said:***** BETTING POST *****
Current Google Trends in NH using candidate names:
Trump 27
Kasich 20
Cruz 14
Rubio 13
Bush 9
Christie 8
6:48 PM - 9 Feb 2016
Based on the above, Kasich looks good value to win Ladbrokes New Hampshire Primary "without Trump" bet currently on offer at odds of 5/4.
https://sports.ladbrokes.com/en-gb/betting/politics/american/presidential-election/2016-presidential-election-winner/216136503/
DYOR0 -
Thanks Ms Cycle. Been out all day so late response.
Saw your post thread before last and thought it very good and very true. I will certainly put it to good use.0 -
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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Changes to go through, Hunt to be reshuffled.AlastairMeeks said:@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...0 -
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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Biggest value FGS coppedtlg86 said:
Benteke is still rubbish.TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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I did. But I still don't want the fecker to win. He's going to ban me from America.Pulpstar said:
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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That'd be seen as a Government defeat. Won't happen, unless someone "hard" replaces him. Grayling? Pickles?Pulpstar said:
Changes to go through, Hunt to be reshuffled.AlastairMeeks said:@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...0 -
N.Korea started up a nuclear reactor and upset a lot of peeps. It's ok though we have it covered apparently. Lady Colonel Nugee says we have lots of spitfires to hold them back.TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
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He might waterboard you (and worse) too.TheScreamingEagles said:
I did. But I still don't want the fecker to win. He's going to ban me from America.Pulpstar said:
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
Serves you right if you vote Remain.0 -
@Otto_English: Twitter has peaked. The experts are right. Nothing will ever top this.
https://t.co/A3hKlaWoK20 -
Sorry if it's a repeat question but what time should we expect exit polls if there are any and what time should we get the Results?0
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He is what the base is looking forCasino_Royale said:
Trump strikes me as someone who really shouldn't win - the rubicon for me was very definitely crossed with the "bring back waterboarding and much worse" comment - but it looks like he just may, in a very long, slow and sluggish fight, edge it out.HYUFD said:True, by contrast if he wins comfortably he will be well placed for the nomination, especially if Kasich beats Cruz and Rubio for second place. Trump would then have big momentum to take to South Carolina which he should win
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If he wins NH and SC certainlyrcs1000 said:
He should win Nevada as wellHYUFD said:True, by contrast if he wins comfortably he will be well placed for the nomination, especially if Kasich beats Cruz and Rubio for second place. Trump would then have big momentum to take to South Carolina which he should win
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I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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I suppose he could lock me in a room full of Kippers and Nats.Casino_Royale said:
He might waterboard you (and worse) too.TheScreamingEagles said:
I did. But I still don't want the fecker to win. He's going to ban me from America.Pulpstar said:
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
Serves you right if you vote Remain.0 -
Why is The Donald back-to-front in the article? A sign of the polling direction, perhaps?0
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I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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No, this was the strike that was going to destroy doctors and raise Hunt to sainthood.AlastairMeeks said:@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...0 -
I don't get why Rubio is so much shorter on Betfair than predictit0
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Lolz. A fate worse than death for you?TheScreamingEagles said:
I suppose he could lock me in a room full of Kippers and Nats.Casino_Royale said:
He might waterboard you (and worse) too.TheScreamingEagles said:
I did. But I still don't want the fecker to win. He's going to ban me from America.Pulpstar said:
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
Serves you right if you vote Remain.0 -
He winds me up no end. His cause his not just nor noble.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
There's real injustice in the world, he should focus on that.0 -
I think Sean Fear summed him up best: a monkey masturbating furiously in the centre of his cage in the zoo, desperate for attention.TheScreamingEagles said:
He winds me up no end. His cause his not just nor noble.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
There's real injustice in the world, he should focus on that.0 -
Trump on Sky News0
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Nate Silver's take on how Kasich might fare post New Hampshire, depending on his share of the vote there today:
"My guess is that there’s a difference between Kasich doing pretty well and doing really well. If Kasich replicates Jon Huntsman’s 17 percent of the vote from four years ago, he might be a good story for a few days but not have much impact beyond that. If he gets to 20 percent or more of the vote, however, finishing well ahead of the other “establishment lane” candidates and even threatening to win here, that’s a different story."0 -
So long as the changes go through I'd take that as a win. Similar to Gove being reshuffled from Education but his reforms going ahead.OldKingCole said:
That'd be seen as a Government defeat. Won't happen, unless someone "hard" replaces him. Grayling? Pickles?Pulpstar said:
Changes to go through, Hunt to be reshuffled.AlastairMeeks said:@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...0 -
I'd troll them for a few hours about how much I hate narrow little nationalists like them, then get boredCasino_Royale said:
Lolz. A fate worse than death for you?TheScreamingEagles said:
I suppose he could lock me in a room full of Kippers and Nats.Casino_Royale said:
He might waterboard you (and worse) too.TheScreamingEagles said:
I did. But I still don't want the fecker to win. He's going to ban me from America.Pulpstar said:
Did you not level up a touch when he was 4.3ish ?TheScreamingEagles said:
Anyone but TrumpPulpstar said:
Could be a Kasich surge in the works. *Fingers crossed*TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
Serves you right if you vote Remain.0 -
Because he's a narcissist. Privileged people who complain about how hard done by they are will always arouse strong feelings.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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Let's see - the stock markets teeter on a precipice of oblivion threatening to drag the world financial system down into the very maw of chaos itself.TheScreamingEagles said:I've been asleep for the last few hours, have I missed much?
West Ham lead Liverpool in downtown Newham
I said hello to Nick Clegg at Waterloo Station - he was meeting a couple of old friends and didn't seem to have a care in the world.
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Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !0
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Yup, if the people of America were to ask nicely, he may graciously ascend.AlastairMeeks said:I'd be highly surprised if Michael Bloomberg ran. He seems like a man who wants to be president but without the bother of actually running to be president.
This democracy stuff is overrated.0 -
I'm calling trough Trump.0
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What I'm expecting is that democrat voters will screw the result by voting for Kasich instead of Sanders.
Result, Trump and Sanders lose N.H.0 -
He is in a country that lets non whites attend Oxford University, a country that gives him equality, fairness and opportunities that many would die for, and all he does is moan and bitch about how racist we are.Casino_Royale said:
I think Sean Fear summed him up best: a monkey masturbating furiously in the centre of his cage in the zoo, desperate for attention.TheScreamingEagles said:
He winds me up no end. His cause his not just nor noble.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
There's real injustice in the world, he should focus on that.0 -
Hypocrisy is often passionate.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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I've almost fully sold down my position on Rubio for Next President (covered in case of "accidents" with my 14/1 with Hills from July) and laid him as Republican Nominee.
I don't expect him to win or come second, and for his price to start to drift on Betfair apres NH ski.0 -
Rubio will never be President:Alistair said:https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/697058218275528706
I might lay him more
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xBX0Z1MkDyQ
Even if he gets the republican nomination, he will be laughed at all the way to defeat.0 -
Not great for the guy near the big red button is it?Alistair said:https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/697058218275528706
I might lay him more0 -
Very few people will change their votes off the back of a pay dispute.Alistair said:
No, this was the strike that was going to destroy doctors and raise Hunt to sainthood.AlastairMeeks said:@britainelects On the junior doctors' strike:
Support: 66% (-)
Oppose: 22% (+6)
[So long as emergency care is still provided]
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
@britainelects On who is at fault for the dispute:
The Government: 64%
The Junior Doctors: 13%
Neither - equally at fault: 18%
(via Ipsos Mori / 05-07 Feb)
I hate to say I told you so but...
Especially when the Labour Party is in its current state.0 -
Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.0
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MICIPM (Marco Is Crap Isn;t President MaterialSpeedy said:
Rubio will never be President:Alistair said:https://twitter.com/davidfrum/status/697058218275528706
I might lay him more
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xBX0Z1MkDyQ
Even if he gets the republican nomination, he will be laughed at all the way to defeat.0 -
@Speedy - I'm waiting for Rubio to say that Donald Trump has acted in a reckless and provocative manner and call for him to put aside the rhetoric, and get around the negotiating table, to stop this happening again.0
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Back to school for Taki - Colleges do not award Rhodes ScholarshipsCasino_Royale said:
I found it quite funny.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
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It is indeed time to get around the negotiating table. The government have acted in a reckless and provocative manner. This must not happen again.Casino_Royale said:@Speedy - I'm waiting for Rubio to say that Donald Trump has acted in a reckless and provocative manner and call for him to put aside the rhetoric, and get around the negotiating table, to stop this happening again.
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Jeez Louise....I cannot believe it is 8 years ago when Hilary snatched NH from that upstart Obama, and, my god 12 years ago when Howard Dean went yelping.
Before a blink of an eye I'm going to be dribbling, sat in a care home in Abingdon, wearing pads and talking shyte.0 -
Will it be visible in the turnout for each vote? How valid is it to compare the votes cast today with those cast four years ago?Speedy said:What I'm expecting is that democrat voters will screw the result by voting for Kasich instead of Sanders.
Result, Trump and Sanders lose N.H.0 -
He is this guy's puppet:Speedy said:
Because he has declared his opposition to movies, music and popular culture in general?Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Norman_Braman
At least we know Trump is self funding and Cruz/Hilary are in the pocket of Golden Sacks.
How many people know about Norman Braman or his motives !0 -
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
Amazing isn't it.tyson said:Jeez Louise....I cannot believe it is 8 years ago when Hilary snatched NH from that upstart Obama, and, my god 12 years ago when Howard Dean went yelping.
Before a blink of an eye I'm going to be dribbling, sat in a care home in Abingdon, wearing pads and talking shyte.
NH 08 was my first political bet; and a massive loser. Went for Obama at dreadful odds at about 8pm. And then went to the college Bar and thence to Bed, to sleep the sleep of the righteous. Only to wake to the today programme announcing Hilary's victory!
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OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...Wanderer said:
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
Oh yeah, you would see that in the exit poll with how many independents have voted in each primary.tlg86 said:
Will we be visible in the turnout for each vote? How valid is it to compare the votes cast today with those cast four years ago?Speedy said:What I'm expecting is that democrat voters will screw the result by voting for Kasich instead of Sanders.
Result, Trump and Sanders lose N.H.
You see normally one can be a lefty democrat voter but not registered as a democrat, independents can vote both ways in primaries.0 -
Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
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I see, thanks.Speedy said:
Oh yeah, you would see that in the exit poll with how many independents have voted in each primary.tlg86 said:
Will we be visible in the turnout for each vote? How valid is it to compare the votes cast today with those cast four years ago?Speedy said:What I'm expecting is that democrat voters will screw the result by voting for Kasich instead of Sanders.
Result, Trump and Sanders lose N.H.0 -
You've said this several times before.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
Why? You think he'll nuke Iran?0 -
Reading AC's diaries again at the moment - he makes a fantastic point that at the beginning of a term of govt, ministerial organisation, rather than communication/messaging, is more important. I'm guessing that is why Hunt and Gove were in their positions in the beginning of terms.tyson said:Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorAtyson said:Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
So it validates some of your thoughts.0 -
Withdraw his scholarship, and give it to a more deserving South African. Someone who will use it to do good for others, rather than a whining narcissist.TheScreamingEagles said:
He is in a country that lets non whites attend Oxford University, a country that gives him equality, fairness and opportunities that many would die for, and all he does is moan and bitch about how racist we are.Casino_Royale said:
I think Sean Fear summed him up best: a monkey masturbating furiously in the centre of his cage in the zoo, desperate for attention.TheScreamingEagles said:
He winds me up no end. His cause his not just nor noble.AlastairMeeks said:
I don't understand the hostility he rouses in some people. He's a passionate young man with a strong belief in his cause.DavidL said:
I agree. Qwabe is a muppet who could benefit from a course in critical thinking but that is just boorish.rcs1000 said:FPT:
rcs1000 said:
So we should withdraw academic funding from those who say things we don't like. I think Fraser Nelson is behaving as badly as Ntokozo Qwabe.Scott_P said:@FraserNelson: Taki: I'll offer Oriel College a six-figure donation - but ONLY if they withdraw Ntokozo Qwabe's Rhodes scholarship: https://t.co/3UXlzeBX5l
There's real injustice in the world, he should focus on that.0 -
Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.Pulpstar said:
OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...Wanderer said:
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
Blasted, CNN exit poll is only 45 minutes from now.
But voting wont end for another 2 hours at least.0 -
Some of these Justices should think seriously about retiring before Obama becomes even more ineffectual (we will notice when he has actually left office won't we?)Wanderer said:
Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.Pulpstar said:
OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...Wanderer said:
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
I thought he showed a version of himself in the last debate that would have Hillary in serious trouble. He can do reasonable very well when he wants to. Mind you "who is he really?" could be a dangerous question for him.Casino_Royale said:I'm calling trough Trump.
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As I understand it people have pleaded with Ginsburg about this but she won't have it.DavidL said:
Some of these Justices should think seriously about retiring before Obama becomes even more ineffectual (we will notice when he has actually left office won't we?)Wanderer said:
Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.Pulpstar said:
OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...Wanderer said:
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
Would Obama be able to get a confirmation through the Senate in time though? The GOP could stall until after the election and if they win then just continue stalling until it is too late.DavidL said:
Some of these Justices should think seriously about retiring before Obama becomes even more ineffectual (we will notice when he has actually left office won't we?)Wanderer said:
Yes, but as Kennedy swings both ways you are really looking at 1.5 conservatives and 2.5 liberals on the glide path.Pulpstar said:
OTOH Scalia and Kennedy are both 79 too...Wanderer said:
That's hopeless, I think. They are not both going to see the sun rise in 2024. From the liberal point of view the Democrats simply have to win.Pulpstar said:Looking at SCOTUS, if Rubio or Cruz get in then liberals best start praying for Breyer and Ginsburg's health !
Indeed, the next President could end up appointing three or four justices.0 -
Oh Everyone knows who Trump is, and you know what you're getting with Cruz. Rubio is the moderate sounding true believer.Wanderer said:
I thought he showed a version of himself in the last debate that would have Hillary in serious trouble. He can do reasonable very well when he wants to. Mind you "who is he really?" could be a dangerous question for him.Casino_Royale said:I'm calling trough Trump.
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In terms of political characters there is Alan Clarke and then there is the rest.
AC combines the charisma of B Clinton, the sex appeal of Kennedy, the intellect of (E) Powell, the jaw of Ike, the style of Jagger, the sense of humour of Richard Pryor, the joie de vivre of Depardieu..... Everything about AC was fun.Mortimer said:
Reading AC's diaries again at the moment - he makes a fantastic point that at the beginning of a term of govt, ministerial organisation, rather than communication/messaging, is more important. I'm guessing that is why Hunt and Gove were in their positions in the beginning of terms.tyson said:Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
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Last price matched on Jeb Bush 8.8
I honestly have no words.0 -
This is seriously like something out of a Stephen King novel. Have Americans checked their water supply recently?Speedy said:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JB259lgEorAtyson said:Trump is really entertaining. He's funny...I mean he is genuinely funny. The most entertaining politician of my lifetime- and we've had some corkers, Alan Clarke and George Gallaway spring to mind.
Rubio comes across as the child of a Stepford wife....a bit before your time young Pulps, but scary nevertheless.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
Trump called Ted Cruz a pussy today.
So it validates some of your thoughts.0 -
Me too. It's inexplicable that people thought he had a chance. The senate committee hearing where he tried to ambush John Kerry and instead looked an absolute fool should have been devastating enough.Pulpstar said:Rubio is the only candidate that actually scares me.
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