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791 for lib dem??
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Universities will be taking applications for new PhD's to start in the autumn to analyze this election, the exit polls vs pollsters performance, etc. Be fascinating opportunity for somebody.0
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Lib Dems got smashed.0
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First of how many UKIP seconds tonight?0
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SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL0
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LD LOL Sunderland S0
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The official in charge of our polling station wouldn't let us inside = even for toilet break and even if we didn't wear a rosette!
It was in a youth centre - is that legal? I'm going to poke enormous fun at Mrs Po Face in the local press over it. How ridiculous.SimonStClare said:
Evening Plato - Keep the 'teller' anecdotes comming, they're hilarious.Plato said:Fun anecdote - one of my LD teller compatriots told me of a spoilt ballot paper that was accepted.
A voter had expertly drawn a cannabis leaf in the box and everyone agreed that this was fair.
Another voter was the wife of a returning officer who was having an affair - she wrote all about it in the little box at the same count. Hilariously awkward there.0 -
Labour only up 2,000 in a North East constituency where they're supposed to be doing better than anywhere else.0
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Lab have at least 1 MP0
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A labour hold... I'm shocked, shocked...0
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So thats UKIP second in Sunderland?
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chuffin' hell well done the Kippers. No wonder Nuttall was advocating voting reform.
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Sunderland broadly in line with the exit poll as well.0
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While BBC World News is giving us Dimbleby and co BBC America is running back to back episodes of "Kitchen Nightmares"...0
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Greens beat Lib dems in Sunderland Houghton ?0
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Labour have to be taking 15 from LDs, if exit polls are correct.Bob__Sykes said:Curtice seems to be full of contradictions.
If labour are taking most LD seats why arethey on 239. And where do Tory gains come from?0 -
Flipper Balls is up there with Al Campbell. Defenestration couldn't happen to a more deserving individual, if it happens.FrancisUrquhart said:
But Balls is the one of a very very few Labour front benchers who really do know what they are talking about when it comes to economics / business. He has just had to go along with a lot of the anti-business nonsense that Ed has been spouting, while he and Chukka have been running around telling businessmen no no it won't be like that.SouthamObserver said:
Probably best for Labour if he is. It's time for a very serious rethink.Danny565 said:Could Ed Balls really be in trouble? Was the source accurate?
I am not sure the exit poll is 100% accurate, but the Tories are clearly going to be well ahead.0 -
Great result for UKIP in Sunderland.0
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Labour are ahead on actual results!
(Sunderland)0 -
No luck in it. This result was never in doubt. Though even I would be slightly surprised if the Tories hit 316.Roger said:SO. It looks like you might have hit lucky!!
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Sunderland UKIP 2nd 21% I was spot on. LOL0
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LD lost deposit count 10
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UKIP need some close seconds in those rotten Labour seats in the north, good start.0
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And first of how many LD lost deposits?0
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First Lib Dem deposit loss of the night0
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UKIP % up but in the wrong place.0
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Sunderland Comfortable Labour hold, majority of 13,000 over second placed UKIP, Tories narrowly behind on 3rd, LDs overtaken by the Greens0
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Lovely hair0
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Sunderland is not that good for the Tories but very good for UKIP compared with the exit poll.0
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Labour putting on just 2,081 votes in Houghton.0
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I did post the other night:
Cameron = Major?0 -
Wow.
Good result for UKIP there.
Poor turnout in Sunderland H though. 56%0 -
BTW, when it is Lib Dem GE campaign starting?0
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Turnout level on 2010.0
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Labour woman doesn't sound confident0
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Sunderland backs the exit poll?0
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The exit poll predicted 60 for Lab.0
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Labour falling short of the exit poll in Sunderland...0
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@CountfromSesameSt: One lost Lib Dem deposit ah-ah-ah0
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SELL CONS
SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL SELL0 -
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Swing Con to Lab 4% in Sunderland S0
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4% swing to Labour.0
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What was UKIP's highest percentage in a seat at the 2010 election?0
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BBC focussing on the minutiae...
The important swing is Con to Lab 4%0 -
H&SS
Looks like Labour didn't turn out for them - they got 55% not the predicted 60%. UKIP on 21.5% vs 16% predicted - presumably a lot from Labour and some from the Tories (who under performed)
Swing of 3.9% vs exit poll prediction of 5%
LibDems lost first deposit of the night0 -
Lab up 5% UKIP up 19% Tories down 3% LD down 12% in Sunderland, 4% swing to Labour, but Labour doing best in NE0
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Bad omen for Ed Balls as well.0
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Thanks Curtice I take it back0
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Actual swing 4%
Exit said swing of 5%0 -
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Swing of 4% to Labour, but UKIP leapfrogged the exit poll prediction for Sunderland.0
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V good point regarding the UKIP vote - swing from the major parties to them and making marginals more so0
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No, Labour needs to start again. Best for all if the old guard goes.FrancisUrquhart said:
But Balls is the one of a very very few Labour front benchers who really do know what they are talking about when it comes to economics / business. He has just had to go along with a lot of the anti-business nonsense that Ed has been spouting, while he and Chukka have been running around telling businessmen no no it won't be like that.SouthamObserver said:
Probably best for Labour if he is. It's time for a very serious rethink.Danny565 said:Could Ed Balls really be in trouble? Was the source accurate?
I am not sure the exit poll is 100% accurate, but the Tories are clearly going to be well ahead.
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Yes.MaxPB said:Sunderland broadly in line with the exit poll as well.
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A shit-load.Sandpit said:First of how many UKIP seconds tonight?
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But UKIP only 7% better than the BNP result in 2010Speedy said:Swing of 4% to Labour, but UKIP leapfrogged the exit poll prediction for Sunderland.
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Friend just texted
If Jose Mourinho was Labour Leader, Labour would win this election now0 -
Will the story be labour boosting votes in places it doesn't matter?0
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Terrible for the LDs, Sunderland. Having a feeling they are going to get smashed tonight....0
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roadto326 @roadto326 48 secs49 seconds ago
Curtice says that the swing to Lab in Sunderland is actually worse than the exit poll for Lab0 -
I have a hat and some ketchup. And I will eat it, if these exit polls are right.0
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Farage only needs about 32% to win Thanet South and they've just got 22% in Houghton.0
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Greens on 4 figures in Sunderland is good result.0
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Yep.Slackbladder said:Will the story be labour boosting votes in places it doesn't matter?
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Absent minded professor says 'one swallow doesn't make a summer'. Gripping stuff.0
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I remember when Tony got his landslide Sunderland gave Labour 30,000+ votes.
Ed seem's to have barely improved on what Brown did...0 -
But they have Ed Miliband.TheScreamingEagles said:Friend just texted
If Jose Mourinho was Labour Leader, Labour would win this election now0 -
We can deduce the overall swing should be between -11 or +3.
i.e. we can deduce nothing, although it's a good result for Labour.0 -
Judging by the Sunderland result compared to the projection, it seems the exit poll slightly overstated both Tories and Labour, and understated UKIP.0
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Annoyingly, the BBC page doesn't autorefresh.0
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Photos please!rottenborough said:I have a hat and some ketchup. And I will eat it, if these exit polls are right.
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About 2 hours till Nuneaton.
The result that will determine if the exit poll is right or wrong.0 -
On the basis of Sunderland lost deposit, Clegg must be a little worried.0
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@rosschawkins: UKIP second in Sunderland - they'll hope to win councillors tonight in locals, challenge in future in north0
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Farron to be Lib Dem leader by next week?0
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eh?MarqueeMark said:
But UKIP only 7% better than the BNP result in 2010Speedy said:Swing of 4% to Labour, but UKIP leapfrogged the exit poll prediction for Sunderland.
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Won't have to wait long for the Scottish Labour old guard to go...SouthamObserver said:
No, Labour needs to start again. Best for all if the old guard goes.FrancisUrquhart said:
But Balls is the one of a very very few Labour front benchers who really do know what they are talking about when it comes to economics / business. He has just had to go along with a lot of the anti-business nonsense that Ed has been spouting, while he and Chukka have been running around telling businessmen no no it won't be like that.SouthamObserver said:
Probably best for Labour if he is. It's time for a very serious rethink.Danny565 said:Could Ed Balls really be in trouble? Was the source accurate?
I am not sure the exit poll is 100% accurate, but the Tories are clearly going to be well ahead.0 -
56% turnout, 55% in 2010.
BNP 5.2 and UKIP 2.7 in 2010 was one of highest scoring BNP seats.0 -
Just a word of caution.
The swing to Tories in early declarations in 2010 was much better than overall...it resulted in lots of Tories early on becoming convinced Exit Poll understating Tories, but in reality Tories missed in a lot of "easy" seats.0 -
@PickardJE: Looks like my pessimistic blog about Labour yesterday may not have been pessimistic enough.... http://t.co/o5KA28iTu50
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6% higher than the exit poll.MarqueeMark said:
But UKIP only 7% better than the BNP result in 2010Speedy said:Swing of 4% to Labour, but UKIP leapfrogged the exit poll prediction for Sunderland.
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If he holds his seat!Roger said:Farron to be Lib Dem leader by next week?
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Eh? UKIP got 22%. BNP got 5% in 2010...MarqueeMark said:
But UKIP only 7% better than the BNP result in 2010Speedy said:Swing of 4% to Labour, but UKIP leapfrogged the exit poll prediction for Sunderland.
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Sunderland result points to Tory majority IMO.0
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ITV Cymru
Lib Dem sources aren’t conceding Cardiff Central which they say is ‘very close’ and in recount territory.
Welsh Conservative sources not giving up on Cardiff North saying it’s on a knife edge + ‘We can’t read it at all0 -
Yorkshire bad for Labour.
Balls losing really would be a silver lining.0 -
Mandelson accuses Cameron of whipping up a frenzy of English nationalism.0
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Nuneaton will tell, 2 hours till then though.FrancisUrquhart said:Just a word of caution.
The swing to Tories in early declarations in 2010 was much better than overall...it resulted in lots of Tories early on becoming convinced Exit Poll understating Tories, but in reality Tories missed in a lot of "easy" seats.0